Author Topic: Practical Knowledge & Bias. How Can You Win?  (Read 475 times)

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Offline alrelax

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Practical Knowledge & Bias. How Can You Win?
« on: May 01, 2022, 09:08:10 pm »
Let me make it clear and state it right away. Practical knowledge is superior to theoretical gambling knowledge and is well, practical knowledge is incredibly important to any career whatsoever and to life in general. Whether gambling, or a non-related gambling career, as well as life in general, all three of them cannot and will not excel in theoretical knowledge only. Think about it, think long and hard about it because what you read on almost all of the forums  will say theoretical knowledge is the way to profits.  And it is not.

Is there a bias or not?

Yes there is. But. And a huge but indeed, most all people will win a couple/few hands and then their factual-based decision making playing turns to an egotistic belief of fiction, with anything from superstitions to long term statistical results attempting to be applied to a few shoes. 

Then the frustration, the chase, and the loss comes around once again.  Whatever they were following, they quickly come to realization that they do not have the bankroll to survive the draw down until it comes back around. And that is why almost everybody loses at the baccarat table.

Then most all see turning factual-based or biased available opportunities to greed and hope because your mind immediately turns to:

1)  Making previous losses back;

2)  Losing sight of what is possible and focusing on unrealistic win amounts.

Sad, but absolutely true. 

Most everyone is looking at what to bet in a repeating or scheduled automatic mode. In other words when something happens, then I bet, etc. It will never work out in your favor or on a regular basis, shoe after shoe after shoe, session after session after session, NEVER EVER.  And that right there is what most peoples downfall is. Realize it or not, debate it or not, it is exactly that.

Winning hand after hand, catching the streaks, chops, cuts, doubles, anything repeating in any way.  Very different and distinctive things/events. It is mind altering difficult due to numerous factors that will factor in, but will be different in the majority of the shoes that you play as to how they developed. That is another thing most no one ever understands or will ever ever figure out.

There are simply no absolutes, NONE. And so many players will be completely oblivious to that fact at the table. Maybe off the table they know and they recognize it, but on the live table with real money they do not.

Nobody’s approach is true gospel to every session for a positive turnout or the ability to recover losses.  Widely debated on almost every forum  there is and usually the subject of drama, ridicule and humiliation towards an original poster that might have something valuable to say.

Ice is cold to the touch. Always will be, always has been, will never change. Do a ten million dollar study and extensive research. It will not change. But baccarat is not that way and will never be that way and can never ever be the same with any type of system, method or statistical outcome being applied in real life gambling.

You can win and lose. Most likely you will do both while playing baccarat. That is if you are not just sitting down for one, two or three hands. You have to remember that. Be conscious and extremely careful of being sucked in by the table and believing you can continue hot win streaks or you can use Marty progressions or even flat bet yourself back to recovery of lost funds or the continuance of winning. 

Good things to a baccarat player’s advantage, seems to happen in small sections.  Take huge advantage of those and realize when those have stopped. 

Unfortunately the casinos where I do play have  the largest majority of players that do all group up together every time something looks good or is starting to happen in the player’s favor. And that is the exact reason for their downfall with almost every session. Their hopes and visions are totally off what the shoe is presenting or might present.  Which is the highest majority of the time completely different than what they need to recoup, win and profit by playing the way that they do. And they influence themselves which affects their emotional and psychological state of thinking and that is what accounts for their losses the highest majority of the times.

What so many Baccarat players are completely oblivious to.

The four strongest areas of profitability originate from:

25%  Turning Points

25%  Presentments

25%  Money Management Methods

25%  Your decision to continue or stop after winning

Are you fooled by the game? Only you can answer that honestly. The best predictor of future behavior is past behavior.

It is safe to say that you are vulnerable to certain predicaments again. You cannot change your personality or your need for admiration because the admiration fuels your need for control. And most people feel they have to control every situation that they are in, no matter if it’s gambling or not.  And you cannot control what that shoe is going to present and in what order.

Things you can change easily if you really wanted to, are your desires to take drugs or alcohol and even smoking as well as who you surround yourself with. Those things you have constructive control over. But of course you really have to want to change.

As far as gambling goes, the way you act and the things you believe in are controlled by your subconscious and almost always you have little to no control over.  Once you figure it out and realize those reasons your decision making process will greatly improve and your winning sessions will far outnumber your losing sessions by employing those 4 areas that I outlined above.

Thanks, Alrelax
My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/

Played well over 34,200 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that more.
 
EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com

Offline alrelax

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Re: Practical Knowledge & Bias. How Can You Win?
« Reply #1 on: May 01, 2022, 10:10:02 pm »
Here is a link from 2018 reference my thoughts.

Post #9 will detail my bac table thoughts and style.

https://betselection.cc/index.php?topic=9733.0
My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/

Played well over 34,200 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that more.
 
EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com

Offline KungFuBac

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Re: Practical Knowledge & Bias. How Can You Win?
« Reply #2 on: May 03, 2022, 05:35:38 am »
Good read/ thx for repost link for 2018' essay.

Alrelax--in your 37 yrs of bac play what is the number ONE thing you now do that improved your game the most (that you didn't do in your first decade or so of playing)?  Thx in advance.

Continued Success,

"There are many large numbers smaller than one."

Offline alrelax

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Re: Practical Knowledge & Bias. How Can You Win?
« Reply #3 on: May 03, 2022, 10:37:47 am »
Good read/ thx for repost link for 2018' essay.

Alrelax--in your 37 yrs of bac play what is the number ONE thing you now do that improved your game the most (that you didn't do in your first decade or so of playing)?  Thx in advance.

Continued Success,

Stop the session without giving back the win and the risked buyin.  Early days were generally play until busted, no matter how large the wins were.  And believe me at those big original tables with the 3 dealers, 2 floor personnel and 14 players, the kind where the players held the shoe and dealt the cards, there were some great sized wins.   

But now I employ proper M.M.M. on the wins with the 1/3, 1/3, 1/3 system to govern my play.
My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/

Played well over 34,200 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that more.
 
EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com

Offline alrelax

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Re: Practical Knowledge & Bias. How Can You Win?
« Reply #4 on: May 14, 2022, 02:45:18 pm »
Key word ‘GOVERN’ not ‘dictate’ how I wager and the cashing out aspect of the session.   
My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/

Played well over 34,200 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that more.
 
EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com