Hey friends,
I might not be posting anything anymore on this place or maybe on any other forum as well. The reason for the same is lack of sensible debates and testing. People are engulfed with ideas like gambling is unbeatable etc. ( I do not know which maths book told them so) most are rigid enough to even talk. A few feel that they can win a random negative expectation game with flat bet by making a very clever way to pick bet or betting at the best times only.
I, sadly do not believe in all these. I started to believe that repeaters are worthy, in my early days as well but gradually knowledge of testing random data helped me ward off such misconceptions. In my recent research work, I came across something that looks like conclusive as to how one may expect to win in the long run. The key is One strategy that works across average, below average, worst and the best times of any bet. An MM approach that let's one sustain through the worst possible (5 SD below mean) with only that much harm that could be recovered easily with average hit rate thereafter in double the span of the worst phase max. That too without hypothetically expecting millions of chips to help you. Forgetting extraordinary losses helps a lot in not losing too huge.
I did understand that EC bets are the best suited bets for MM point of view too. Although straight up bets of roulette will continue to fascinate me the most.
Understanding Law of large numbers, RTM, Virtual limits of a bet and aboveall a long run all over MM strategy helped me get what I always aspired.
The game itself is not beatable in absolute sense but it is very much possible to earn from it, in the long run, still.
Thanks.
Drive ahead, keep going, make yourself happy, take care of your family and your loved ones and watch your health. Keep up all the good work wherever you go.
Although I must say, when I scan the other boards there is lots and lots and lots of drama and all the super active threads are more about soap opera conducted by the drama queens and kings and of a personal nature rather than of the casino nature of any type of value to anyone other than sheer entertainment purposes of watching back alley fights.
Maybe I'm looking in the wrong places, but I do scan the major boards and that's about all I see. I try to focus and sometimes I go sideways and I apologize but I also in some ways like a little social interaction that we used to have. But of course I've explained why people were moderated and which ones were moderated.
But best of luck to you and I look forward to anything you ever want to add.
ALRELAX/Glen.
I hope you'll keep posting, you are one of the best gambling researchers I know.
And for that matter I'm sure you have devised a plan capable to overcome 5 sigma negative deviations, the problem remains about the practical aspects of it.
Hope to read you soon.
as.
QuoteAnd for that matter I'm sure you have devised a plan capable to overcome 5 sigma negative deviations, the problem remains about the practical aspects of it.
Even worse could be handled gracefully and without bleeding. No amount of SD should kill the entire bankroll.
Albalaha, it would be good if you could continue to grace us with your enlightened contributions. Variety is the spice of life. Whatever it is we need unity in diversity. Post less but post some nevertheless
Actually, I see no progress at all on any of the forums these days towards bettering our chances to win. People either gave up on this or a few are busy in churning oldschool proven failure ideas. Whenever I come up with some innovation and feel like discussing to members here, I see no progress and it feels like talking to wall here. Other forums have more chit chat but many members are foulmouth and there is no attempt to control that by admins. This forum is the most disciplined one but apart from the admin himself, asymbac, Victor and myself nobody is even writing a single post for months.
I have kind of concluded a way to play where I can handle the worst with least damage(believe me it is not tough with the correct use of RTM) and win in the average or little below average sessions very easily. Handling variance is the sole challenge and variance could come in various scales and shapes.
All oldschool progressions are deadly dangerous and helpful to casino than players. We must understand the limitations of any way to increase or decrease bets, it can only help upto an extent. Progression is a double edged sword. A skilled player will use it to kill enemies at double pace, a naive player would hurt himself by it.
Anyways, it looks like I am trying to preach all. I think, the moment one gets successful in developing any way to better his chances, he will get silent too. I do not think we have among us, any true pro player or even players with serious money and that describes the silence here. I tried my best to have worthy debates here on my blog and wish you all the best for your attempts. I enjoyed my researches and got help from many programmers here from VLS to Nickmsi, Ophis to Stef.
You've said a lot in your last post and quite a bit of it is spot on and completely and brutally the honest truth. A few of the points in it were very individualistic, which is what the game of baccarat actually is, like lots of things in all of our lives.
You have inspired me to write something that I'll get started on tomorrow, which it is currently 4:30 a.m. and I just closed the restaurant about three hours ago and had an intense 3-hour discussion with two very serious long-term baccarat players, that happened to be staying overnight because I've held them so long at the restaurant.
I'll outline it in a separate thread, thanks.
Good luck Guys. Have fun and take care. Good bye to all.
Wish you the best of luck and most of all stay healthy for yourself and your family.
Hope you'll be back very soon. :thumbsup:
as.