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Topics - Number Six

#1
Math & Statistics / March of the Next In Line
December 23, 2013, 10:45:07 AM
To steal a phrase from sputnik, this is the "march" of the next in line.

It is based on a simulation of 3.7m spins.

So, what is it? In a fixed set of 37 spins, we know the probability is high for some repeaters; this information can be useful for betting "hot" numbers within that set. Even if a number only hits twice, it is hotter than the majority. The march shows, according to what has hit, what should hit next.

The probability cascades from the top down. So, the first outcome of the cycle is most likely to hit twice than any other, followed by the second outcome and the third. We can observe a standard march like this until a "cross over", where a certain number has a higher probability of hitting for a third time than some other number does for hitting a second time. In that case, the march model may not be exactly the same as what is envisioned in theory.

This march can help to hone your selection for repeat numbers or law of the third or even to create some effective GUT-like bet; for example, with the cross overs there are moments when it is wiser to look further back up the cycle for your next bet as oppose to always selecting from the last eight or ten or twelve.

OutcomeHits
12
22
32
42
52
62
72
82
92
102
112
122
132
142
152
162
172
182
192
13
202
23
212
33
222
43
232
53
242
63
73
252
83
262
93
272
103
113
282
123
292
133
302
143
153
312
163
14
173
24
322
183
34
193
44
332
54
203
64
213
74
342
223
84
94
233
104
243
114
352
253
124
134
263
144
15
273
154
25
164
35
362
283
174
45
293
55
184
65
194
75
303
204
85
95
214
313
105
224
115
234
323
125
244
16
135
26
145
333
254
36
155
46
264
165
56
175
66
274
76
343
185
86
195
284
96
106
205
294
116
215
126
17
225
353
304
27
136
37
235
146
47
314
156
245
57
166
67
255
77