I have played the game for about 30 years.  Although I have never been to and will not go to a casino to play for 1 unit, I will give you my thoughts.

My experience on a shoe is I win a few in a row when I sit down or I lose a few in a row, more so than win one and lose one, etc.  Still that doesn't mean anything I guess?

I think equally over the long run (many trips) you will probably be 50-50 or darn close if you stick to the one win and out or 2 or 3 if you lose.  It seems there are people on here that will stick that formula into some computer module and give you the stats on it, if they truly apply to a casino setting (not taking into consideration the gut feeling factor of wager) I don't know? 

Seems to me there should be better and more lucrative ways to make money with $15k capital.  Meaning in the non casino world, that is. 

I would be safe to say luck---rather than anything else would be the largest single factor.

Happy Bday!  Many more.  Let's meet in Vegas in the near future.  Dinner and show on me, I will get it comp, I'm sure I can even get you a nice room comp'ed as well.  I am due for a trip.  Let me know if you can make it.  Thanks.!

You probably mean banned from counting cards, etc.,???  But, if not-I was banned from Mohegan Sun for 24 hours due to some Bit** female floor person at the back end of one of their big baccarat tables back in the very early 2000's.  Was playing and sitting next to an Asian female, she slams down a Natural 8 on the players and I had a Natural 9.  When I put the cards down on the table she called me a M*****F******** in Korean.  The only problem was, I knew the words as well. 

I told her don't call people that and said the words out loud.  The floor lady called the pit manager and she comes up to me telling me I am banned for 24hours for being disrespectful.  Something abut you can cuss at the tables or the cards but when you cuss at other players, it won't be tolerated.  I heard people cussing at the tables thousands of times.   An argument ensued and whatever.  Fell on deaf ears. 

I would have went over to Foxwoods but the gang all came to Mohegan cause their tables were rotten.  So I went up to the room and then played the next day.  Gambling is tuff sometimes.

Anything and everything can happen.  Experiences are golden and those that know Baccarat will realize the game mirrors life pretty well in many ways.  Nice post.