You are right. 9th bet is always a mutual bet if there is no win before. All other bets are 50/50. There is no guaranteed bet.

BBPPBBPPB- You lose 7 bets in a row betting DBL and only 4 bets betting VDW.
BBBBBBBBB- You win 7 bets in a row betting DBL and also 7 betting VDW.
BPBPBPBPB- You win 7 bets in a row betting DBL and only 5 betting VDW.

In the final analysis all bet selections are 50/50. However, since less bets are placed in VDW the theoretical loss will be less. Thanks to all those who are trying to tweak VDW to get positive expectation.

I presume you have considerable passive income by rents, dividends, royalties, pension, etc.

At 7, either R or B would complete the AP. So it is a No Bet situation. You will skip the bet.

Looking forward for your additional information.

Thanks.

It is possible that some cats with great subjective bet selection ability are able to get a parlay win within 11 or 13 attempts and make profit. For most of us, it is impossible. You do not need long run to prove it.

You can not program IBM Watson to beat Zumma 1600 with any bet selection and a 11 step or 13 step parlay. Mathematically it is impossible.

soxfan,

The progression looks formidable. Wish you best of luck in your play.

Quote from: Jimske on April 10, 2016, 08:53:23 PM
You're making a mistake.  I don't know where you get the second $10 prog that does add up to 875 but the first prog which he wrote gets to 175 units or $1,750.00 at $10.

You are right if the unit size is $10 and the starting bet is $20. The total loss if you bust is $1750.

My numbers are for unit size of $5 and starting bet of $10 for $10 minimum tables. 

Quote from: RouletteGhost on April 10, 2016, 09:19:35 PM
Mr majiks MM beats this

Soxfan progression is a variation of Mr. Majik progression. Both need two consecutive wins. In Soxfan progression you win more as you go deeper, whereas in Majik progression you win the same amount.

Soxfan progression is 2-2-2-6-8-10-15-20-25-35-50 or 10-10-10-30-40-50-75-100-125-175-250. Add it up and and you will get $875.00 in a $10 table.

In a $10 table, soxfan progression requires a bankroll of $875. If you bust you are down $875. Soxfan has  a subjective style of bet selection that gives him back to back wins within 11 attempts most of the time. Unless your bet selection can duplicate this feat, you will be out of money.

Most of the common bet selections dbl, odbl, fld, old etc. fail in zumma 1600 using soxfan progression. Progression alone can not make you a winner, unless you have a bet selection that makes it a winner. All bet selections have a negative edge of about 1.15% flat betting, and no progression will make it a winner mathematically.

Out of 5249 wins, it can be assumed that 50.6% bets were made on Banker bets. What this means is that 2656 bets were made on banker and the remaining 2593 bets were made on Player. Your net win is 442 units (2656*95+2593-4808). Your advantage is 442/10057*100=4.39%. Instead of losing at 1.15% you are winning at 4.39%.

When you have advantage, you should not flat bet. You should use Kelly Criterion. You can use 4% as advantage and always bet 4% of your bankroll for maximum growth of your bankroll. Let us say you start with $1000, your first bet is $40. If you lose that bet, your bankroll is 960 or your bet is 4% of 960 rounded to 40. If you lose the bet, your bankroll is 920 and your bet is 35 rounded and so on. Always bet 4% of your bankroll. Calculate your advantage at periodic intervals and change the percentage suitably.

What is the solid MM you recommend to clean up every day?

If bet selection can not win flat betting, progression will make it a winner is another "gambler's fallacy". Actually you will lose more, since the average bet becomes bigger.

All bet selections are 50/50. The only exception may be playing tight with variance?

Can you measure randomness? What is the unit for radomness?