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Messages - Jimske

Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 35
1
Thanks hgwen,  I don't follow this thread with a lot of detail but your summarization helps me understand his MM.

J

2
Albalaha, did you post your betting scheme or is that's something you're keeping to yourself?

Thanks

3
General Discussion / Re: What to do with the BetSelection.cc forum?
« on: June 17, 2019, 02:28:00 pm »
LOL - He read your mind!  Good for you Victor.  I truly hope you made a good profit and continue to do so as Glen'd employee!


Jimske

4
Happy Father's Day to all the positive and wonderful members here. 

Do not lose hope in BetSelection, it will be positive and a great place once again real soon! 

Have a great day!  Alrelax/Glen.

Thanks Glen.  You as well.  But does this mean you apologize for keep writing stuff like the following on my chat?  (I changed the color)


Real cute!

P.S.  How does the site change the "bad" words" automatically?

5
General Discussion / Re: What to do with the BetSelection.cc forum?
« on: June 15, 2019, 02:19:18 pm »
Viv, The response or lack thereof is telling isn't?  Maybe you should ban Glen and me (Jimske) and see what happens.  IMO, it was a better website pre-Glen moderator and chief banner.  Since then Glen has pretty much sucked out all the oxygen in the room while not once explaining a bet selection that he prefers.

In the "old days" one could talk about NOR or O/S or any number of placement ideas to use as a springboard to success.  This while everyone agreeing that they don't work "right out of the box" but need adjustments in placement and money management.  Glen got rid of most of those people.

115 users on board today.  How many of these play regular like even once a week?  Most are likely recreational players who are looking for ideas and don't necessarily expect a holy grail.  My guess most are moderate bettors.  But you got someone like Glen doing his high roller thing bragging about winning thousands of dollars and never ending rhetoric. Yet not really giving any discernible ideas except for some thoughts on MM and discipline techniques.  All the while (if you read closely) condescending any other approach.

Vic, if you remember I said I was going to join the systems site and pay.  Then I see it's mostly about Roulette and I don't play Roulette.  Then I thought why would I bother?  Glen doesn't, Assymbac doesn't.  Sputnik and Johno about the only two that give it a go.  Others, too, before the great purge of Mr. "Been there, Done That."

I'm serious.  Ban Glen and I then see what happens.

Thanks.


6
Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat Talk
« on: June 13, 2019, 03:46:27 pm »
Sputnik, what constitutes a session?  IOW, how many spins or games?  Have you determined or estimated what the win % is?

Also, from what I can understand of this method you described is not dissimilar to playing a trend.  The trend being wait for certain series to complete and then making bets using them as "turning point." 

Thanks.

7
Real-World Casino Action / Re: Gambling Psychology
« on: May 29, 2019, 08:04:47 pm »
Too long for me but reading the first line of every paragraph.  I agree!  And let me add if he already didn't say.  You got to have a PLAN!  A plan that encompasses all those things above!  Should make that post of Johno's a sticky.


8
Real-World Casino Action / Re: Anthropomorphizing the Game
« on: May 29, 2019, 08:01:45 pm »
Just because I'm a stickler:  Anthropomorphizing is a misnomer to describe peoples relationship to gambling games.  People really don't put human characteristics on the game.  Better to say humans use post hoc fallacious reasoning.  But even then do players really think that present events are caused by past events?  Nah.  They are, IMO, just guessing that some occurrence(s) will repeat enough to overcome the house edge and make a profit.  The game of Baccarat is not all that complicated.

Please someone show me and Alrelax a mathematical method to stop guessing! 

J


9
Real-World Casino Action / Re: Interesting Zumma Stats
« on: May 29, 2019, 07:51:55 pm »
Thanks for posting up that Johno!

So although we can deduce that Baccarat is roughly a 50-50 game, there is a lot going on under the surface with all the different betting opportunities such as FLD, OLD etc...

Now obviously all these different bet selections can't be appearing all at the same time. Some of them could be missing for the majority of a shoe. Let's face it, things don't happen like they are supposed to! For if the law governing the long run were truly replicated over the short run, casino table games would have been extinct long ago!

Alrelax posted up this shoe on one of his most recent winning threads. On the face of things 30 Bankers vs 25 Players does not sound too extreme right?

(Attachment Link)

However there are three situations in this particular shoe where there is a short term discrepancy of 20 decisions involving a binary decision. The amount of short term disproportionate occurrence in this shoe was off the richter scale and it's no wonder the chip tray was half emptied.

As Craig Greiner states in his book  ''The challenge of the game presents a unique paradox! The short run is unequitable to the long run. So when it comes to gaming relationships and probabilities, though the whole is still equal to the sum of its parts, the parts themselves are not simply abbreviated versions of the whole''

Now talking about gaming relationships, here is a shoe that you yourself posted around a week ago!

(Attachment Link)

I found this one interesting because of how after getting at least two Bankers, the next Player was only a single for the majority of the shoe. So there is a relationship forming between different bet selections here if you are able to see it and therefore the so called 'trick' in my opinion is how do you build your framework or arrange your marking so that you can spot/anticipate these occurrences before they are over. But if you can do it, then it allows you the luxury of using positive progressions like the G3M1 for example because you can be confident that a lot of your wins will come in clumps.
First Alrelax shoe almost a "homerun" shoe for me.  So I'd say it was only a triple.  But I'm not the kind of player that tries to "pounce" on shoes.  Too many times my good wins get halved or nearly eliminated.  I'm more of a grind player.  I try not to play more than 2 or 3 shoes so I hit and run.

Johno's shoe only a double.  But I'm not complaining.  Lots of shoes don't have those kind of consistencies.  All the ones Alrelax posts do.  I guess there's no fun in posting his losing ones?

Right, the trick is building your "framework."  But the crux of the matter is looking for consistencies in the shoe.  There's a lot of things to look for and it's always a gamble whether these consistencies are going to continue or not.  The rest is MM, discipline and all that stuff that Al keeps on talking about (comraderie?  I'm not in).

Then you got Johno and Assymbac who are math and statistic guys who don't buy into this "trend" stuff.  I'd really like to see a defined selection that doesn't require all this looking around for dominant consistencies but as of yet I haven't seen anything that can produce better results than what I'm already doing.

J

10
Alrelax's Blog / Re: Re: Baccarat Sections and Turning Points
« on: May 17, 2019, 02:51:54 am »
Glen,

I appreciate and salute you for your dedicationto this forum amd its noble aims of educating baccarat players. The efforts you put in to record games played in the midst of real money betting is in itself a tremendous challenge. And the ?essays?  (and I mean this in a most respectful way) is a greateffort and sacrifice to put your experience across. By and large these experiences as you narrated are really useful guide. Of course when you narrate in the volumes you have, there probably have been instances where the message was not interpreted the way you meant it to be or there may be situations you may have inadvertently contradicted yourself but circumstances were different but not fully explained. And then critics jump on it and said ? last time you said this now you say this ...?. I can only say that your pieces have been informative and very relevant as are contributions by some others.

Stay the course Glen. I just wish those who do not agree with you treat you with more decorum. I really don't know what's their problems. But sometimes you have been abrasive yourself without provocation. But I find your articles, long winded as some of them may be, to be informative and relevant for baccarat players to stay alive on the game!! God bless
That's all well and good, Yungleh, except he contradicts himself and obfuscates on a regular basis never explaining or addressing fair questions.  It's not a matter of disagreeing when there isn't much to disagree with.  I for one, am happy to have a civil discussion or debate about specific ideas relating to the subject matter.  I think some of his stuff is well accepted - MM, discipline, his 124 progression, etc.  But let's be honest.  He never answers a question when put to him.

He says he doesn't guess and doesn't predict.  Okay, well then how does he decide to make a bet?  Never answers!  He draws lines on pics but never explains what caused him to draw the line or the future implications.  Never answers!  But he's real quick to criticize and condescend on others play, much of which he apparently imagines.


Turning points not really a new concept.  Shoes change.  Today I posted yet another question that follows.  He just deletes it.  I push back because without any explanation it's all disinformation.

"The master of obfuscation with more word salad.

I got an idea.  How about this shoe I played today?  Maybe youd like to point out the sections and turning points as well as any other pertinent information you deem might be relevant to the punter? 
bbb pppppp bbbbb p b ppppppp bbb p bb p bbbbb p b pp b p bbb ppp b pp bbbbb p b pp b ppp bb pp b p b

Thanks."

11
Baccarat Forum / Re: "Stadium" baccarat in casino...computer driven
« on: May 12, 2019, 08:51:52 pm »
Not everything is about you Glen.
You're dead wrong.  Everything is about Glen. :))

12
Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat Flat Betting
« on: May 01, 2019, 02:58:50 am »
A reason is a reason Lungyeh.  I'm not asking him to explain every bet in the shoe. It doesn't matter to me whether he made a bet because he wanted to bet against a moron at the end of the table or if his wife had a lucky feeling. Everybody has to have a reason to choose an individual bet. All he has to do just pick out one shoe and explain why he bet that spot. Maybe he could explain why he bet two or three spots. What's so hard about that?

I think it's ridiculous to post a screenshot and say there was a lot of winning bets in first section of the shoe and not have a clue as to why all those bets were chosen. Was it luck? Does he use a Ouija board? Besides that, Glen did say that he was going to talk about some reasons.  Now all of a sudden it's impossible.

Maybe some brief explanations will help people decide how to choose bets?


13
Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat Flat Betting
« on: April 30, 2019, 07:42:47 pm »

To sit here in front of the screen, post and answer within a short thread, short-concise-#1-5, etc., to state definitely how I bet select to win, is impossible to do.  That would be a BeatTheCasino or Jay Silvo,  etc., system. 

I am sorry to state the above and it is certainly fuel for you to twist it a bit and find a way to post some sort of comment, that I have no clue how to play or I am bull poo-poo or something of the likes.  Which of course you have the right to post. 

Thank you, Alrelax/Glen.
What I have done on this thread is to conduct a rudimentary analysis of Sputnik March from his explanations of the three different series and how one MIGHT interpret that to make actual bet selections.  Instead of participating or adding to this discussion you have chosen to accuse me.

It seems to me you have conflated wagering and bet selection.  You also seem to assume that bet selection must be some mechanical system rather than a fluid ever changing condition dependent on each and every shoe.

Sure, I have continued to press you on selection AND you have stated that you would opine on selection.

It's a lot of nonsense that you cannot describe just one reason you have placed a bet.  Maybe you just don't want to.  So just say that instead of attacking me!

 


14
Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat Flat Betting
« on: April 29, 2019, 08:58:10 pm »
File


15
Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat Flat Betting
« on: April 29, 2019, 08:52:13 pm »
LOL how'd that happen?

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