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Tell me why my system is flawed! 5 month winning streak!!!

Started by chiraqi92, August 28, 2014, 06:00:13 PM

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alrelax

Quote from: Rolex-Watch on September 18, 2014, 02:38:22 PM

I sometime hedged bets on other tables.  Yes I got hit occasionally, sometimes I let long streak go, recovery 

The only thing I will bring up is the above quote.  Something I never ever understood with a few bac players I seen.  Why would any one in the world let a long streak go??? 

Simply, all you have to do is pull down one (1) winning wager on the streak early-let the same wager ride and pull down each winning hand to your bank roll.  You only lose the very last hand that falls off! 

Maybe again, I smelled too many chemicals from my last haz mat spill job.  I guess.
My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/index.php?board=250.0

Played well over 35,957 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

THE PURPOSE OF GAMING IS TO WIN!

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that & more.
 
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RichBailey86

kimske at my local casino in Queens NY, the baccarat machines are filled with asian players. i see how they play. they play with the trend always never against it.
Danny: Because the house always wins. Play long enough, you never change the stakes. The house takes you. Unless, when that perfect hand comes along, you bet and you bet big, then you take the house.

Rusty: You've been practicing this speech, haven't you?

Danny: Little bit. Did I rush it? Felt I rushed it.

Natural 9

Quote from: RichBailey86 on October 31, 2014, 11:02:11 PM
kimske at my local casino in Queens NY, the baccarat machines are filled with asian players. i see how they play. they play with the trend always never against it.


I agree with you RB86. :nod:

The basic strategies of Asian players are follow the trend otherwise, anti-trend it.  ;)

This strategy will work sometimes but not all the time.  :nope:

Trending and Anti-trending are easy to counter by casinos.  :nod:

Casinos will not give us easy money.  This is the hard truth. :no:




Natural 9  C:-)
"The way to get started is to quit talking and begin doing." - Walt Disney

Mike

Quote from: Rinzler on August 29, 2014, 07:02:21 PM
You have to look for the weakest part of a game, then become an expert across-the-board at that particular one aspect.

I'd like to know what "the weakest part of the game" means. There is no "weakest" part, because all patterns are equally likely, and no pattern cause or indicates any future pattern.

Train33

Quote from: alrelax on October 27, 2014, 01:13:01 PM
My guys working around my business here are making from $20 to $30 hr reg time and 2'xs that after hours.  They are getting way more than 40 hours a week. 

No investment of money to lose.

16 Hours for $400 with a possible loss factor.  No benefits, no job security.  That ugly gut wrenching and ill feeling when you lose money you really needed.

Don't glamourize it cause it won't work for most trying it.   

Okay, carry on, hope you win a ton!!!!  Seriously.  Just throwing something out there is all.   

He never said he was doing this to make a living...apples and oranges. [smiley]aes/sad.png[/smiley]

vo rogue

chiraqi92  how are you going ?.bankroll stil intact ?

chiraqi92

Just an update my bankroll is at 23k BUT If the seahawks wouldve just gave the damn ball to lynch I wouldve had an extra 6k . Really 12k cause my bet was 6k. I've had 7 losing nights but for the most part a lot of $200-600 winning nights. More wins then losses that's what matters to me.

chiraqi92

Quote from: Natural 9 on October 19, 2014, 02:52:28 AM

Like I said, your strategy is too limiting to be used in the long run.

Losing 3,300 in one night has nothing to do with self-control.

It's all about knowing the different shifting of events happening in a shoe.

A 4-in-a-row is only one event happening in a shoe. Overall, the shoe averages 12 different events per shoe.

You're missing a lot with your strategy. But if you're content with 1-3 unit profits only then, continue what you're doing.

Play everyday at the same casino using your strategy and you will see the adjustments that the casinos will make to your play.



Natural 9

It had everything to do with self control I waswalking around making $200-$400 bets. No system just bets. I couldve walked awaay with the 3300 plus the 500 I was up and that's why I onlyaim to make about 300 a session

Tomla

still think this is one of the most overlooked threads on the board.......   keep on winning

chiraqi92

Quote from: Tomla on February 11, 2015, 07:23:36 PM
still think this is one of the most overlooked threads on the board.......   keep on winning
Appreciate the feed back. I just want to make it clear my gameplan is not the same as the orignial post I've made. I just make a 100-200 bet when I see 4 in a row. If I lose 800 I walk away. I feel like I can make a living off this because I know to walk away when im up 200 -400 up.  And every time I lost my 800 at one point I was up at least 200.don't be greedy and it will work.

ezmark

Good going Chiraqi92.

Placing 3 to 5 bets then walking out is a good short term plan.  Look for shoes with '4 in a row' or less.

In the long term over a few hundred shoes I would think the total number of '4 in a row' would be close to the total number of 'greater than  4 in a row'.

Your choice of which shoe to play will be your advantage.

Rolex-Watch

It makes no difference what has previously transpired in a shoe.  If you see a shoe were many streaks have stopped at four, then I would guess the next four streak won't stop at four. 

If you're feeling like an superstitious old timer, I would look for shoes with existing streaks of 7 or more, because statistically there shouldn't be too many of those in any single given shoe.  Then again every hand is independent so anything can happen, yes the total of streaks greater than four is equal to the number of streak ending at four, which is why flat betting is a flawed betting option. 

Trbfla

Rolex....now that you're older, and have more experience you value betting progressions and money management more do than bet selection? Is this correct?

Sputnik


I test a variant of this method and it work pretty good.

Cheers

Trbfla

Rolex-thank you for your reply. So if this is the case...then you must also put discipline as a premium to progressions and mm. So a solid stop loss is in order....