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[Bally6354]

Here are batches of 10 Bac Shoes just to give anyone an idea how the landscape pretty much changes from shoe to shoe.

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cheers

[Bally6354]

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cheers

[AsymBacGuy]

Perfect, a sure random pick, right?

Say we want to register what happens after any P double appearance (one trigger I've talked about on my last post). Then we'll get:

First shoe

1- P double
2- P single
3- P single
4- P single

Second shoe

1- P single
2- P double
3- P single
4- P 3+

3rd shoe

1-P single

4th shoe

1- P double
2- P double
3- P single
4- P double undefined

5th shoe

1- P single
2- P single
3- P 3+

6th shoe

1- P single
2- P single

7th shoe

1- P 3+
2- P 3+
3- P double
4- P double
5- P single

8th shoe

1- P 3+
2- P single

9th shoe

1- P single
2- P single
3- P double
4- P single

10th shoe

1- P single
2- P double

11th shoe

1- P double
2- P single
3- P single
4- P single

12th shoe

1- P single
2- P double
3- P single
4- P 3+

13th shoe

1- P single

14th shoe

1- P double
2- P double
3- P 3+
4- P single
5- P double undefined

15th shoe

1- P single
2- P single
3- P 3+

16th shoe

1- P single
2- P single

17th shoe

1- P 3+
2- P 3+
3- P double
4- P double
5- P single

18th shoe

1- P single
2- P 3+
3- P single


19th shoe

1- P single
2- P single
3- P double
4- P single

20th shoe

1- P single
2- P double
3- P single

Total P singles: 36
Total P doubles: 16
Total P 3+s: 11
Total P doubles undefined (meaning one loss if cutting strategy): 2

Singles-doubles/3+s ratio= 52/11 (4.72:1) , expected ratio over a coin flip proposition = 3/1.
We have to add two losing units to the 3+s amount. Still we are in very good shape.

Of course those twenty shoes seem to be too B oriented or too SD/3+ favored anyway.
But what about the probability of success which cannot care a bit about the B vig whether a carefully studied progression is implemented?

And we weren't taking into account the asymmetrical factor and some additional statistical features giving us a much more manageable probability of success.
Everything explained in detail in my book. Not available so easily.
as.









 

[Bally6354]

Thanks Asym for your interesting analysis. 

Here is something else to have a look at which I find interesting.

This is taken from 100 (6 deck) shoes.

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Looking at the top line...Bank appeared 2569 times. It repeated on Bank 1147 times and went to Player 1167 times. The tie came out 220 times.

What I found interesting is how most of the profitable situations appear when betting for player. The percentages in blue highlight where a profit was achieved. In this set of 100 shoes, there was four profitable scenarios when betting for Banker and ten such situations for player.

In the second set of 100 shoes.....the ratio is 14/6 in favour of Player and in the third set of 100 shoes.....the ratio is 14/5 in favour of player.

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cheers