The Perfect Gambling Solution!

How about combine both roulette system with advantage play, physics.
A hybrid using the best of two Worlds.

Cheers

This new forum look is discusting!
I have never seen such a ugly forum look!

Cheers

diversification is when you not put all eggs in one basket - how does that apply to roulette with bet selection and mm ...
you put your money at risk with wider spread to minimize the worst and extreme

cheers

Now we aim to play singles and series of two and series of three and higher.
Series of three and higher is the same group or categorie.

Now if you playing on rolling basis then your first bet is to follow the last hit and when you have two hits you follow the latest two.
When you get three uniq hits you will have three loses and then continue to follow the last two.

You will most of times win within 6 attempts if you play on a rolling basis as 6 alternating with 1 in 3 probability is very rare.
Or you can start playing after three alternating.

If you can come up with other ways to follow the domination, then feel free to create your own triggers.

1) Playing after three alternating
2) Playing on a rolling basis
3) Playing after one combination fall into sleep

See attach file:

Thanks to Victor for translation.

One member with the name Bayes once post that is better to follow the random flow then betting aginst it.
This was due towards a mathematical formula about a coin flip.

I solve this puzzel getting the maximum advantage out of the random flow using what is present.
Each new bet is a new situation where you bet different - when there is a change and you adapt.
You need situational awernes to keep up with the algorithm.

The minimum template is two as you deal with last bet and the present bet.
I call this TRNG ODDS following what is present and the END PLAY is when the random flow comes with new events with no repeats.
But don't be misstaken - this march capture all possibilitys of present repeats no matter strikes or zig zag.
It has a level of tolerans towards how the random flow unfold.

I will describe this method at John's private forum for further development.

If you try different windows with different options - then you will notice that you can not change settings with roulette extreme.
I have email Les about this - four times now and no fix or new update.

I can not test regression as i can not play minimum bets as i can not change settings with roulette extreme.
Just one example.

Look at this video and you will see what i mean.

How can he sell a Product that is not working.

https://youtu.be/pzMVoS4JvGM

 ND mention one old method for me and it made me think of a similiar method "Point & Figure".
You can download it from my dropbox: https://www.dropbox.com/s/7fqb170zh36kx0v/pnf.pdf?dl=0

It speaks about how the flow comes in short Waves and larger Waves - as we know as choppy table or streaky table.
I have been testing this method with succés - that means that it has been pretty easy to win some during 1000 trails.
There is some variance and fluctation, but i assume all methods face that after 1000 trails and more.

This is how it looks with choppy tables:













https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rwEFn7_OJIU

Ecart:

John Patrick mention one thing that strike my mind.
Does who has 2 to 5K or more look for other investment then roulette.

If this is true, then most members don't even have a solid bankroll.

Cheers

A father buys a lie detector robot that slaps people when they lie.
He decides to test it out at dinner one night.
The father asks his son what he did that afternoon.
The son says, "I did some schoolwork."
The robot slaps the son.
The son says, "Ok, Ok. I was at a friend's house watching movies."
Dad asks, "What movie did you watch?"
Son says, "Toy Story."
The robot slaps the son.
Son says, "Ok, Ok, we were watching porn."
Dad says,"What? At your age I didn't even know what porn was."
The robot slaps the father.
Mom laughs and says,"Well, he certainly is your son."
The robot slaps the mother.

I post this for my own reasons and share for does who might think like me
There is no patterns or bet selections or triggers that works
So what is the point betting or play the game if you can not win

I will do what Holloway did - a Gap Book - but maybe not for the same reason
Now i want to know the blending edge where something is due - i know nothings is - but i reckon that some event will not hit me during my life time
So i want to know what the extreme events is and play against them and see how i do

I have now a contact that code everything into Roulette Extreme, so i will not only create a Gap Book, i will also have the code for each and every method
Now i will post the result within this topic, but if you want the code you have to split the coust i pay for it

Cheers

 Once a member with he name John mention that he play each and every trail.
I don't remember the reasion why he did this, but i tought it was impressive, doing that with out losing.
Maybe the reasion was that he was alone at table and could not get a trigger and needed action.
Not sure if he flat betting or use other MM.

Now i find a march or arlgorithm that i like very much, it allow you to play each and every trail.
So 200 trails is 200 placed bets.

I test this march with both flat betting and conservative MM.
This is how it looks like flat betting:



http://youtu.be/3Om738eawms

 I explore progrssions that are smooth where you raise your bets with certain % where the expectations is imbalance ...
Test 1 1 1 1 2 2

Will look into what kind of progrssion that exist using this kind of methodology.
I get very nice result using this with the probaility 1 against 8 with my algorithm.

Note that i play every trail, so 200 trails is 200 placed bets.
This is as close i can get to flat betting today betting a game with negative expectation.

I will develop this futher - maybe it can become a baccarat method.

Don't tune or scoff out until you have digested the whole package, as one word may put you off, which is "Martingale", but hang on in here.

Lets throw in the sales pitch.

How to turn £75 into £5250 or $150 (for those across the ditch into over $10,000) for approx 28 hours of table action. Sound interesting?

YES, you do need a certain element of luck. Now we know you can't expect to be lucky all the time. You only need to be lucky for two hours. Yes TWO LOUSY HOURS from the on-set, you may not make it all the way, but it won't cost you anything either.

While people do not see eye to eye regarding bet selection, really it is a defensive mechanism, they need to convince themselves more than anybody else. In essence bet selection is a lottery. Each bet is a 50/50 bet, what happens after X is a lottery. No worries 'bout what you think, this can also suit your mindset.

Let's revisit a set of 4 column binary tables;

1---BBBB
2---PBBB
3---BPBB
4---PPBB
5---BBPB
6---PBPB
7---BPPB
8---PPPB
9---BBBP
10-PBBP
11-BPBP
12-PPBP
13-BBPP
14-PBPP
15-BPPP
16-PPPP

Note I have numbered all possible outcomes. Your aim using a 4 step martingale is to play 10 columns per day, less than ONE SHOE per day maximum and to avoid any 4 column loss.

For those that the progression Martingale leaves a bad taste, bear in mind, the total risk is the initial £75 or $150, if you can't afford to risk that amount, then read no further, or remind yourself of the 5 g's or 10k plus potential..

Your aim is to make 10 units per day (maybe 11 if you want to cater for the tax, or maybe you might choose to wear that small cost), not a dime more. Your aim is to repeat this for 7 days straight, remember, your exposure is minimum as you will not play more than 40 or 44 hands any one day. Any 4 column loss and you quit.

You need to avoid any 4 column loss for the first TWO DAYS ONLY, >> less than one shoe per day <<
Should you lose 4 hands on the bounce on the third day, you will still be in profit.

Should you manage to not lose for SEVEN days, on the second week, you double your unit size, should you lose when you double your unit size, you are still in profit. Again repeat the exercise for the next seven days.

NOTE* you can withstand two losses per week and still remain in profit, this excludes the first two days. Your odds of losing 4 bets in a row is less than 6%, which means your odds of winning a bet in any four bet sequence is just over 93%.

Should you manage to avoid any 4 column loss during the second week, again you double your unit value from £10 or $20, should you lose on day 15, you are still in profit. You just lost £300 but made £700 the previous week, how you determine the stake level for tomorrow is up to you, either drop down or press on, you can withstand 2 losing days per week.

If you have made it this far and only played 10 or 11 (due to tax) columns of 4 for the last 21 days and avoided defeat you double your betting amount for the final time.

NOTE* thus far this whole exercise has been SELF FUNDING.

Should you manage to avoid losing 4 in a row for the final week, you have just turned your initial stake of £75 into £5250 for approx 28 hours of table play, or $150 into over $10000, that's about 4 days work.

Week 1 - goal target £50 daily, weekly goal £350 - risk £75
Week 2 - goal target £100 daily, weekly goal £700 - risk £150
Week 3 - goal target £200 daily, weekly goal £1400 - risk £300
Week 4 - goal target £400 daily, weekly goal £2800 - risk £600

Maximum Total profit should you avoid 4L within 28 hours is £5250 less tax or for US based players over ten thousand dollars for a $150 stake. Other than the initial stake, IT IS SELF FUNDING.

Now take a deserved break and start again from the bottom. Does what you are currently playing carry a risk? Well so does this, so in this respect things are equal.

The risk is limited to £75 or $150, the rewards are greater than what you would ordinarily hope for given the amount of bankroll. If 100 players tried this, not all would be lucky, some would be. All that matters is surviving the first two days.

OK - the bet selection;

It really doesn't matter, either mathematically or logically.

If you believe in trending, then wait for one column of four and use the bet selection SAME. If you don't believe in trending maybe use the bet selection OPPOSITE. Random is probably the best.

If you don't care either way, maybe choose any one of the above 16 options and stick with it. Mathematically each sequence is suppose to occur once every 60 hands, be aware it doesn't always work out like this.

Maybe put the numbers I have associated with the 4 column options into a hat to determine your bet selection, it really doesn't matter. Perhaps omit the numbers 6 and 11 as these are the most common options for any 4 hand sequence. Don't lose sight of the total risk £75 or $150 and the potential reward.

Perhaps play each sequence in numerical order, that is bet option 1 followed by option 2 then option 3 etc. Logically it doesn't make any difference.

Should you lose for example on your fourth column, then that is it for that day, come back tomorrow and restart. You need SEVEN clear days of 10 units profit before doubling your playing stake.

The risk is carried for the first two days only, after that it is >> SELF FUNDING.

You could increase the risk and odds of not losing, by using a 5 column approach. You now have a 96% chance of scoring a win, however you would need to adjust you daily win target to 20 units, and would be playing that a particular 5 hand sequence from 32 possible sequences doesn't hit you for 20 columns..

$150 into over 10 "large" for 4 days effort!!!!!


Should this approach fail inside of the first two day, you would need to win 15 times just to get back to even. Then win another 10 times to progress from first base.

If you had a bankroll greater than £75 or $150 you might want to use the balance to construct recovery option for the first two days only.

Say you lost 15 units before you make 10 units. You then use the rest of your bankroll to recoup then continue where you left off. Few ways to do this, either use another martingale on top (lots of risk), or double your playing stake and use a Labby to win say 8 units, or possibly a Fibonacci, again to win either 15 units or 8 units if you doubled your initial stake size.

Nothing stopping somebody from playing two sessions per day, then you might achieve your goal in two weeks. Give yourself a decent break in between sessions. Yes I have explored this and I have found associating a numeric value to each of the possible outcomes of a Binary chart, as outlined above playing them simply in order 1,2,3,4 etc. faired best [random versus random]. You are either going to win or lose, the initial stake is not that great.

If you decided to play the options sequentially, option 1 is BBBB, you need to decide if you will bet the same as BBBB or the opposite of BBBB, which of course would be would be PPPP, It all works out the same, you're playing with of 15/1 odds no matter what.


Yes IT WILL lose eventually, will you be at the table when it does? Your nemesis has to catch you when you are playing, one of the reasons I state, play less than ONE SHOE per day.

Hence the reason make 10 units then bail. It can even lose when you are at the table, however it is the first 2 days which are crucial, after that, so long as you don't get back to back losing days you will be OK, again hence the reason to limit your exposure.

It really doesn't matter how you determine your bet selection. £5k or $10k for 28 hours graft, minimal risk "$150", cheaper than a few weeks worth of lottery tickets and better odds. 

Don't try and fast track this, by betting every hand, I would suggest that if anybody used other modes of play, that involves betting every hand, it wouldn't work. Losing 4 bets in a row when betting every hand is a whole lot easier than losing 4 bets for any given predetermined column sequence of bets.

The aim is to TRY and turn 75 quid or 150 bucks into £5 bricks or $10 large for 28 hours at the tables. As I stated above, it doesn't really matter if you lose the 3rd day, 2nd stage, 3rd or even the 4th stage, you are STILL IN PROFIT. You need to be lucky for the first two days only, otherwise it is SELF FUNDING. Lose 4 bets in a row and you are done for the day, better for your composure.

Survive for a month and restart. Want to decrease the odds of losing?, Increase the risk..


Disclaimer - Gambling can be a risky business, only gamble with what you can afford to lose.

 Now i start to experiment with progressions only MM without any kind of bet selection.
Just notice last outcome and play, no tracking at all.

So far i only find one way and its for EC - playing each and every trail.
Is like following a march or algorithm.

Any one playing this way?

Cheers

I like roulette and today i am in a good mood :-)
Also testing if you can move two lines ...

                                                                                                                         More text and more waste of forum space...

 This method is by TurboGenius and i like the method very much.
One reason is that you need no tracking and it is easy to play.

You track the last four dozen that hit and bet against them on a rolling basis.

2.
3.
3.
3.
2 L.
2 W.   
2 W.   
1 W.   
1 W.   
2 L.
1 W.   
2 W.   
1 L.   
1 W.   
3 W.   
1 W.   
1 L.   
2 W.   
1 W.   
3 W.   
2 W.   
2 L.
1 L.   
1 W.   
2 L.   
1 W.   
1 L.   
2 W.   
3 W.   
3 W.   
1 L.   
3 W.   
3 L.   
1 W.   
2 W.
2 W.
1 W.
2 W.
1 W.
1 W.
2 W.
2 L.
3 W.
2 W.
3 W.
2 L.
3 L.
1 W
3 L
1 W
1 W
1
1
2
2
1
2

I want to play and have a reason standing next to the wheel starring at it.
Then i been thinking about this method.

But a 4 step marty would be to agressive for my taste, so i was thinking to use one skip and flat betting the first two bets and raise the last one.
I want to play as much i can and lose as little i can during that time standing next to the wheel starring at it and collecting data.


1:1
1:1
2:2

That way i win with my first bet and accept loses with my secound and last bet.
The idea is that first bet and secound bet will hovering around break even territorium.
As first wins one unit and the secound lose one unit.

WWWWLWWWWWWLWW


2.
3.
3.
3.
2 L.
2 W. +1
2 W.
1 W.
1 W.
2 L.
1 W. +2
2 W.
1 L.
1 W. +3
3 W.
1 W.
1 L.
2 W. +4
1 W.
3 W.
2 W.
2 L.
1 L. +2
1 W. +3
2 L.
1 W. +4
1 L.
2 W. +5
3 W.
3 W.
1 L.
3 W. +6
3 L.
1 W. +7
2 W.
2 W.
1 W.
2 W.
1 W.
1 W.
2 W.
2 L.
3 W. +8
2 W.
3 W.
2 L.
3 L. +6
1 W  +7
3 L
1 W  +8
1 W
1
1
2
2
1
2
3



I did not think this could be done - but i use a wheel signature with a bias and random algorithm and i strike above 50% at all times.
Sure there will be varaince and fluctation, but this is the best i ever seen with a 50/50 bet situation.

This method play numbers with physical parameters.

WWWWWLWWWWWWWWLWWWWWLWLWLLWLWWWWWWLW

Here is the code for RWD (playing one number) ...

Quotesystem "Roy Ward Dickson Type Roulette Hot Number Strategy v1"
{
*************************************
*         Testing RWD types         *
*         on the VIP Lounge         *
*************************************
          Rx-ed by St0rm0r
-------------------------------------
           00-c0mpatible
-------------------------------------
Bet on a number if it:
a) appears 3 times within 20 (or 19) spins after not appearing for 30 spins or more
and...
b) the difference in the gap between the 1st & 2nd (A) and
the 2nd & 3rd appearances(B) is 6 spins or less
unless...
c) the number has appeared 3 times in succession.

Options:
Appear within X spins (19 or 20 spins)

Bet selection:
A or B <= 6
(A-B) <= 6
A and B <= 6
(A+B)/2 <= 6

Bet for X spins (9 or 5)

Progressions:
flat bet
9,9,9,10,10,10,12,12,12
1,1,1,1,1,1,2,2,2
profit on next spin
-------------------------------------
}
method "main"
begin
// section 1: do this once
while starting new session
    begin
    call "init"
    exit
    end

// section 2: do the tracking
add 100% net record"profit"data
if record"profit"data > 0
    begin
    put 0 record"profit"data
    end

track last number for 1 time record"last N"layout
call "update hit frequencies"
call "update ready for qualification"
call "update appearances"

// section 3: act on a loss
if net < 0
    begin
    if record"P"data = 2 or record"P"data = 3
        begin
        add 1 record"pro"data index
        if record"pro"data index > record"pro"data count
            begin
            put 1 record"pro"data index
            end
        end
    end

// section 4:act on a win
if net > 0
    begin
    if record"P"data = 2 or record"P"data = 3
        begin
        put 1 record"pro"data index
        end
    put 1 record"numbers"layout index
    loop until  record"numbers"layout = record"last N"layout
        begin
        add 1 record"numbers"layout index
        end
    put 100% record"numbers"layout index in
    record"1st appearance counter"data index
    put 100% record"numbers"layout index in
    record"2nd appearance"data index
    put 100% record"numbers"layout index in
    record"3rd appearance"data index
    put 100% record"numbers"layout index in
    record"start qualification"data index
    put 100% record"numbers"layout index in
    record"bet"data index
    call "no go"
    end

//section 5: bet
if record"P"data = 1
    begin
    put 1 record"pro"data
    end
if record"P"data = 4
    begin
    call "calculate bet"
    end

put 1 record"bet"data index
loop until record"bet"data index > record"bet"data count
    begin
    put 100% record"bet"data index record"numbers"layout index
    if record"bet"data > 0
        begin
        put 100% record"pro"data record"numbers"layout
        add 1 record"bet"data
        if record"bet"data > record"Y"data
            begin
            put 1 record"pro"data index
            put 100% record"bet"data index in
            record"1st appearance counter"data index
            put 100% record"bet"data index in
            record"2nd appearance"data index
            put 100% record"bet"data index in
            record"3rd appearance"data index
            put 100% record"bet"data index in
            record"start qualification"data index
            call "no go"
            end
        end
    add 1 record"bet"data index
    end
end

// subroutines
method "init"
begin
group
    begin
    display "RWD Type Test"
    display "---------------------------"
    display "after not appearing for 30 spins or more"
    input data "a number appears 3 times within X spins e.g.19 or 20:"
    record"X"data
    input dropdown "Bet selection: a number qualifies if
    1:= A or B <= 6
    2:= (A-B) <= 6
    3:= A and B <= 6
    4:= (A+B)/2 <= 6" record"selection"data
    input data "Bet for Y spins (e.g. 9):" record"Y"data
    input dropdown "Progression:
    1:= flat bet
    2:= 9,9,9,10,10,10,12,12,12
    3:= 1,1,1,1,1,1,2,2,2
    4:= profit on next spin" record"P"data
    end
if record"P"data = 2
    begin
    set list [9,9,9,10,10,10,12,12,12] record"pro"data
    end
if record"P"data = 3
    begin
    set list [1,1,1,1,1,1,2,2,2] record"pro"data
    end
put 1 record"pro"data index
copy list [number 00, number 0, number 1, number 2, number 3,number 4,number 5,
number 6,number 7,number 8,number 9,number 10,number 11,number 12,number 13,
number 14,number 15,number 16,number 17,number 18,number 19,number 20,
number 21,number 22,number 23,number 24,number 25,number 26,number 27,
number 28,number 29,number 30,number 31,number 32,number 33,number 34,
number 35,number 36] to record"numbers"layout
set list [0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,
0,0,0,0,0] record"not hit since"data
set list [0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,
0,0,0,0,0] record"start qualification"data
set list [0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,
0,0,0,0,0] record"1st appearance counter"data
set list [0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,
0,0,0,0,0] record"2nd appearance"data
set list [0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,
0,0,0,0,0] record"3rd appearance"data
set list [0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,
0,0,0,0,0] record"bet"data
call "reset"
end

method "reset"
begin
set flag "qualified" false
end

method "update hit frequencies"
begin
put 1 record"numbers"layout index
loop until record"numbers"layout index > record"numbers"layout count
    begin
    put 100% record"numbers"layout index record"not hit since"data index
    if record"numbers"layout = record"last N"layout
        begin
        put 0 record"not hit since"data
        end
        else
        begin
        add 1 record"not hit since"data
        end
    add 1 record"numbers"layout index
    end
end

method "update ready for qualification"
begin
put 1 record"not hit since"data index
loop until record"not hit since"data index > record"not hit since"data count
    begin
    put 100% record"not hit since"data index in
    record"start qualification"data index
    if record"not hit since"data = 30
        begin
        put 1 record"start qualification"data
        end
    add 1 record"not hit since"data index
    end
end

method "update appearances"
begin
put 1 record"start qualification"data index
loop until record"start qualification"data index >
record"start qualification"data count
    begin
    put 100% record"start qualification"data index in
    record"1st appearance counter"data index
    put 100% record"start qualification"data index in
    record"2nd appearance"data index
    put 100% record"start qualification"data index in
    record"3rd appearance"data index
    put 100% record"start qualification"data index in
    record"numbers"layout index
    put 100% record"start qualification"data index in
    record"bet"data index
    if record"start qualification"data = 1
        begin
        if record"numbers"layout = record"last N"layout
            begin
            if record"1st appearance counter"data = 0
                begin
                add 1 record"1st appearance counter"data
                end
                else
                begin
                if record"2nd appearance"data = 0
                    begin
                    put 100% record"1st appearance counter"data in
                    record"2nd appearance"data
                    add 1 record"1st appearance counter"data
                    end
                    else
                    begin
                    if record"3rd appearance"data = 0
                        begin
                        put 100% record"1st appearance counter"data in
                        record"3rd appearance"data
                        add 1 record"1st appearance counter"data
                        //check if qualified,
                        put 100% record"3rd appearance"data record"diff"data
                        subtract 100% record"2nd appearance"data from
                        record"diff"data
                        if record"selection"data = 1
                            begin
                            if record"2nd appearance"data < 7 or
                            record"diff"data < 7
                                begin
                                if record"2nd appearance"data > 1 or
                                record"diff"data > 1
                                    begin
                                    //bet
                                    put 1 record"bet"data
                                    //act
                                    put 2 record"start qualification"data
                                    end
                                end
                                else
                                begin
                                call "no go"
                                end
                            end
                        if record"selection"data = 2
                            begin
                            if record"2nd appearance"data > record"diff"data
                                begin
                                put 100% record"2nd appearance"data in record"temp"data
                                subtract 100% record"diff"data record"temp"data
                                end
                                else
                                begin
                                put 100% record"diff"data in record"temp"data
                                subtract 100% record"2nd appearance"data record"temp"data
                                end
                            if record"temp"data < 7
                                begin
                                if record"2nd appearance"data > 1 or
                                record"diff"data > 1
                                    begin
                                    //bet
                                    put 1 record"bet"data
                                    //act
                                    put 2 record"start qualification"data
                                    end
                                end
                                else
                                begin
                                call "no go"
                                end
                            end
                       if record"selection"data = 3
                            begin
                            if record"2nd appearance"data < 7 and
                            record"diff"data < 7
                                begin
                                if record"2nd appearance"data > 1 or
                                record"diff"data > 1
                                    begin
                                    //bet
                                    put 1 record"bet"data
                                    //act
                                    put 2 record"start qualification"data
                                    end
                                end
                                else
                                begin
                                call "no go"
                                end
                            end
                       if record"selection"data = 4
                            begin
                            put 100% record"2nd appearance"data in record"temp"data
                            add 100% record"diff"data record"temp"data
                            divide by 2 on record"temp"data
                            if record"temp"data < 7
                                begin
                                if record"2nd appearance"data > 1 or
                                record"diff"data > 1
                                    begin
                                    //bet
                                    put 1 record"bet"data
                                    //act
                                    put 2 record"start qualification"data
                                    end
                                end
                                else
                                begin
                                call "no go"
                                end
                            end
                        end
                    end
                end
            end
            else
            begin
            if record"1st appearance counter"data > 0
                begin
                add 1 record"1st appearance counter"data
                if record"1st appearance counter"data > record"X"data
                    begin
                    call "no go"
                    end
                end
            end
        end
    add 1 record"start qualification"data index
    end
end

method "no go"
begin
put 0 record"start qualification"data
put 0 record"1st appearance counter"data
put 0 record"2nd appearance"data
put 0 record"3rd appearance"data
put 0 record"bet"data
end

method "calculate bet"
begin
//determine amount of numbers to play
put 0 record"amount of numbers active"data
put 1 record"bet"data index
loop until record"bet"data index > record"bet"data count
    begin
    if record"bet"data > 0
        begin
        add 1 record"amount of numbers active"data
        end
    add 1 record"bet"data index
    end
//calculate bet
put 100% record"profit"data record"count"data
put 0 record"pro"data
loop until record"count"data > 0
    begin
    subtract 100% record"amount of numbers active"data record"count"data
    add 36 record"count"data
    add 1 record"pro"data
    end
end

This is how the LW-Registry can look like when you use a positive progression.

WL
WL
LWL
WWL
WL
LWWL
WWWWWWWL
WL
WWWWWL
WWWL
WWWWWWWWWWL
LWWWWL
WWL
WL
LLL
WL
WL
WL
WWWWL
WWL
LLWWL
LWL
WWWWWL
LLWWL
LLWL
LWL
WWL
WL
LWWWWWWL
LWL
LLWL
WL
WL
LWL
WWWWL
WL
WL
WL
LLWWL
LWL
LLL
WWL
LLWL
WL
LLL
WWWL

TOPIC 1

This is deep and advance gambling theory about bet selections based upon math and probability.
It does not get any better then this.


Every thing i write in this topic is based upon experiments.

I start with one mehtod based upon Marigny de Grilleau.
The method is based upon singles contra larger series.

This mean that you have a benchmark or a window of events that reach a big imbalance of singles.
Then your expectation is that larger series will start to show after that.

The window of events (singles) should reach 3.0 STD.
After that you wait for triggers or indications before you attack for larger series.

The french word for STD is Ecart

First you have to get the Absolute Ecart when you calculate.
So lets assume you have an sequence with 14 series alternating with two singles present.

Then you take 14 - 2 = 12

Now we want to get the statistical ecart so we continue with...
14 + 2 = 16

Now we take the sqr of 16 = 4

And finally we divide the absolute ecart whit the sqr
12 sqr 4 = 3,00

The Statistical Ecart 3,00

- - - - - - - - - -

This is the values for singles contra series:

Singles has the value of 1
Series of two has the value of 0
Series of three has the value of 1
Series of four has the value of 2
Series of five has the value of 3
Series of six has the value of 4
And so it continues

Lets for example say you have 14 singles and alot of series of two and no series of three or any larger series present.
Then when the first series of three show, then the imblance stop to grow.
That is not a trigger or indication that we getting regression twoards the mean.
The only thing that happen is that the imbalance stop to grow, after that the imbalance could continue to grow stronger.
So if we would have bet then we would have been chasing for regression.

If we get more singles and series of three, then we have a bumpy ride where the balance and imbalance alternating.
So that is also no trigger or indication for a bet.
But i am not sure if we should avoid this kind of wave, we could bet on it and win, even if we don't strike larger series.

But if we get a series of four, then we get more then a stop growing as i mention above.
Then we have a tiny regression towards the mean, that is a indication and a trigger.
Because then the regression has started to show and are present.
But that should only be valid if you measuring a window of 3.0 STD (having a window with overrepresented events).

This means i can back track the random flow and see how it behave based upon this playing model.
This without measuring a window of 3.0 STD.
This means we let the random flow unfold like a flower and show us the truth of balance and imbalance and strikes.

I just put a win for each series of three that show and more wins for all the larger series that show.
That way i can see how common or not common strikes is using this playing model based upon math and proabability.

I can see how ofthen i get tiny, medium or large windows of imbalance.
I can see how ofthen i get tiny, medium or large strikes.
I can see how chaotic the random flow is, the true nature.

So the only thing left is to see what kind of indication some one would chose.
If you want to catch tiny strikes you might need to chasing for events.
If you want to catch medium or large strikes you might need a window of 3.0 STD.
I don't have the solution for that.

Lets take a look at the random flow and see how it unfold...
Here you can see how common there is with tiny, medium and large strikes:

WL
WWL
WL
WL
WWWWL
WWL
WL
WWWWWL
WL
WWWL
WL
WWWWWL
WL
WL
WWL
WWL
WL
WWL
WL
WL
WWL
WL
WWWL
WWL
WL
WL
WWL
WL
WL
WWWWL
WL
WWL
WWWWL
WL
WWWL
WWL
WWWWWL
WWL
WWL
WWL
WWWL
WL

So next time you read that Asian players at the baccarat table always follow a trend and not bet against it.
Then now you understand the playing model to catch larger series and can make your own observations base upon strikes.

Cheers

Don't tune or scoff out until you have digested the whole package, as one word may put you off, which is "Martingale", but hang on in here.

Lets throw in the sales pitch.

How to turn £75 into £5250 or $150 (for those across the ditch into over $10,000) for approx 28 hours of table action. Sound interesting?

YES, you do need a certain element of luck. Now we know you can't expect to be lucky all the time. You only need to be lucky for two hours. Yes TWO LOUSY HOURS from the on-set, you may not make it all the way, but it won't cost you anything either.

While people do not see eye to eye regarding bet selection, really it is a defensive mechanism, they need to convince themselves more than anybody else. In essence bet selection is a lottery. Each bet is a 50/50 bet, what happens after X is a lottery. No worries 'bout what you think, this can also suit your mindset.

Let's revisit a set of 4 column binary tables;

1---BBBB
2---PBBB
3---BPBB
4---PPBB
5---BBPB
6---PBPB
7---BPPB
8---PPPB
9---BBBP
10-PBBP
11-BPBP
12-PPBP
13-BBPP
14-PBPP
15-BPPP
16-PPPP

Note I have numbered all possible outcomes. Your aim using a 4 step martingale is to play 10 columns per day, less than ONE SHOE per day maximum and to avoid any 4 column loss.

For those that the progression Martingale leaves a bad taste, bear in mind, the total risk is the initial £75 or $150, if you can't afford to risk that amount, then read no further, or remind yourself of the 5 g's or 10k plus potential..

Your aim is to make 10 units per day (maybe 11 if you want to cater for the tax, or maybe you might choose to wear that small cost), not a dime more. Your aim is to repeat this for 7 days straight, remember, your exposure is minimum as you will not play more than 40 or 44 hands any one day. Any 4 column loss and you quit.

You need to avoid any 4 column loss for the first TWO DAYS ONLY, >> less than one shoe per day <<
Should you lose 4 hands on the bounce on the third day, you will still be in profit.

Should you manage to not lose for SEVEN days, on the second week, you double your unit size, should you lose when you double your unit size, you are still in profit. Again repeat the exercise for the next seven days.

NOTE* you can withstand two losses per week and still remain in profit, this excludes the first two days. Your odds of losing 4 bets in a row is less than 6%, which means your odds of winning a bet in any four bet sequence is just over 93%.

Should you manage to avoid any 4 column loss during the second week, again you double your unit value from £10 or $20, should you lose on day 15, you are still in profit. You just lost £300 but made £700 the previous week, how you determine the stake level for tomorrow is up to you, either drop down or press on, you can withstand 2 losing days per week.

If you have made it this far and only played 10 or 11 (due to tax) columns of 4 for the last 21 days and avoided defeat you double your betting amount for the final time.

NOTE* thus far this whole exercise has been SELF FUNDING.

Should you manage to avoid losing 4 in a row for the final week, you have just turned your initial stake of £75 into £5250 for approx 28 hours of table play, or $150 into over $10000, that's about 4 days work.

Week 1 - goal target £50 daily, weekly goal £350 - risk £75
Week 2 - goal target £100 daily, weekly goal £700 - risk £150
Week 3 - goal target £200 daily, weekly goal £1400 - risk £300
Week 4 - goal target £400 daily, weekly goal £2800 - risk £600

Maximum Total profit should you avoid 4L within 28 hours is £5250 less tax or for US based players over ten thousand dollars for a $150 stake. Other than the initial stake, IT IS SELF FUNDING.

Now take a deserved break and start again from the bottom. Does what you are currently playing carry a risk? Well so does this, so in this respect things are equal.

The risk is limited to £75 or $150, the rewards are greater than what you would ordinarily hope for given the amount of bankroll. If 100 players tried this, not all would be lucky, some would be. All that matters is surviving the first two days.

OK - the bet selection;

It really doesn't matter, either mathematically or logically.

If you believe in trending, then wait for one column of four and use the bet selection SAME. If you don't believe in trending maybe use the bet selection OPPOSITE. Random is probably the best.

If you don't care either way, maybe choose any one of the above 16 options and stick with it. Mathematically each sequence is suppose to occur once every 60 hands, be aware it doesn't always work out like this.

Maybe put the numbers I have associated with the 4 column options into a hat to determine your bet selection, it really doesn't matter. Perhaps omit the numbers 6 and 11 as these are the most common options for any 4 hand sequence. Don't lose sight of the total risk £75 or $150 and the potential reward.

Perhaps play each sequence in numerical order, that is bet option 1 followed by option 2 then option 3 etc. Logically it doesn't make any difference.

Should you lose for example on your fourth column, then that is it for that day, come back tomorrow and restart. You need SEVEN clear days of 10 units profit before doubling your playing stake.

The risk is carried for the first two days only, after that it is >> SELF FUNDING.

You could increase the risk and odds of not losing, by using a 5 column approach. You now have a 96% chance of scoring a win, however you would need to adjust you daily win target to 20 units, and would be playing that a particular 5 hand sequence from 32 possible sequences doesn't hit you for 20 columns..

$150 into over 10 "large" for 4 days effort!!!!!


Should this approach fail inside of the first two day, you would need to win 15 times just to get back to even. Then win another 10 times to progress from first base.

If you had a bankroll greater than £75 or $150 you might want to use the balance to construct recovery option for the first two days only.

Say you lost 15 units before you make 10 units. You then use the rest of your bankroll to recoup then continue where you left off. Few ways to do this, either use another martingale on top (lots of risk), or double your playing stake and use a Labby to win say 8 units, or possibly a Fibonacci, again to win either 15 units or 8 units if you doubled your initial stake size.

Nothing stopping somebody from playing two sessions per day, then you might achieve your goal in two weeks. Give yourself a decent break in between sessions. Yes I have explored this and I have found associating a numeric value to each of the possible outcomes of a Binary chart, as outlined above playing them simply in order 1,2,3,4 etc. faired best [random versus random]. You are either going to win or lose, the initial stake is not that great.

If you decided to play the options sequentially, option 1 is BBBB, you need to decide if you will bet the same as BBBB or the opposite of BBBB, which of course would be would be PPPP, It all works out the same, you're playing with of 15/1 odds no matter what.


Yes IT WILL lose eventually, will you be at the table when it does? Your nemesis has to catch you when you are playing, one of the reasons I state, play less than ONE SHOE per day.

Hence the reason make 10 units then bail. It can even lose when you are at the table, however it is the first 2 days which are crucial, after that, so long as you don't get back to back losing days you will be OK, again hence the reason to limit your exposure.

It really doesn't matter how you determine your bet selection. £5k or $10k for 28 hours graft, minimal risk "$150", cheaper than a few weeks worth of lottery tickets and better odds. 

Don't try and fast track this, by betting every hand, I would suggest that if anybody used other modes of play, that involves betting every hand, it wouldn't work. Losing 4 bets in a row when betting every hand is a whole lot easier than losing 4 bets for any given predetermined column sequence of bets.

The aim is to TRY and turn 75 quid or 150 bucks into £5 bricks or $10 large for 28 hours at the tables. As I stated above, it doesn't really matter if you lose the 3rd day, 2nd stage, 3rd or even the 4th stage, you are STILL IN PROFIT. You need to be lucky for the first two days only, otherwise it is SELF FUNDING. Lose 4 bets in a row and you are done for the day, better for your composure.

Survive for a month and restart. Want to decrease the odds of losing?, Increase the risk..


Disclaimer - Gambling can be a risky business, only gamble with what you can afford to lose.

I have been taking a closer look at the 24 Karat baccarat method.
It is based upon poor knowledge.

You aim to see what is the underrepresented and overrepresented events and you aim to catch correction.

The basic is that you have as many singles as you have series.
So when you cut the random flow into singles contra series or series contra singles you have a 50/50 situation, just like banker and player.

So after certain amount of events you see what is the overrepresented and underrepresented events.
If series are overrepresented you aim to play singles and the other way around.

But this method is not based upon math and probability.
Because you only need to be ahead with 2 events and that is only around 0,44 STD.
Is not strenght behind that.

The bell curve indicate that you need around 3.0 STD to see significant change of correction.
I have post simulation software for every one to confirm that with there own statistics at other topic at beginner section.

I can give you one example that would improve the 24 karat method.
Take 14 series and 2 singles, then you have 3.0 STD.
But lets say you have 7 series present, then you know when the singles will show that they has to be more then 2, if not then you will have a independent window of 3.0 STD or more.
That way you would play for correction based upon math and probability.

It is just one example to illustrate the methodologoy, i am not saying that work or is better then any other selection.
But i am saying it is based upon math and probability.

With this example i hope more members will understand why the 24 baccarat method is based upon a big flaw.

I qoute this from wiki ...

"Regression toward the mean simply says that, following an extreme random event, the next random event is likely to be less extreme. In no sense does the future event "compensate for" or "even out" the previous event, though this is assumed in the gambler's fallacy (and variant law of averages). Similarly, the law of large numbers states that in the long term, the average will tend towards the expected value, but makes no statement about individual trials. For example, following a run of 10 heads on a flip of a fair coin (a rare, extreme event), regression to the mean states that the next run of heads will likely be less than 10, while the law of large numbers states that in the long term, this event will likely average out, and the average fraction of heads will tend to 1/2. By contrast, the gambler's fallacy incorrectly assumes that the coin is now "due" for a run of tails, to balance out."

Cheers

Pst ...
It is easy to check the truth.
Every event is independent, so we can pick any random flow with events and match them with future events.
Lets say 14 vs 2 is 3.0 STD ,,, that is a total of 16 event window.
Now you can pick any 8 random results and match them with 8 future random events.
Then you can check same and oppisite and if the result is less or more then 14 vs 2 for each window.
Now you naked the random flow telling you the truth about regression towards the mean.