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Messages - Donkeyskillz

#1
Baccarat Forum / Re: Tie
July 31, 2016, 04:11:27 AM
One day a pit boss had mentioned he had never seen a shoe with no ties in so I came up with a strategy to bet the tie after 25 hands with no tie . I eventually changed it to 35 hands with no tie before I started a very long progression. I never lost with it but I had one shoe where my tie bet was up to about $150 on the tie bet and I hit P6, B6 on the second last hand of the shoe for $1200. The sad part was after that I only broke even on that one shoe and it was a good warning that anything can and will happen at any given time. I have never actually seen a shoe with no ties.
#2
All i stated in my first post  was that my last 5 sessions lasted 1.75 hours only. I never stated that all my sessions lasted this long so it is quite obvious i caught a couple of banker bets and got the hell out of the casino. If I take 8 units to the casino it will not be a 10 hour grind. I will either be up or down rather quickly for the session
#3
If I am up a couple of units I take them home with me and I don't risk more units than I can win in any one session. Should be simple to understand
#4
My units are $50 and I take $400 per session only or 2k per week as I play about 5 days on average. My biggest win was 9 units in any one session in May and my biggest
loss was -5 units in May as well. That day Player side won 5 times and I only correctly bet Banker 3 times and did not add those 3 units to my session  roll of 8 units. How I got to 8 units is I had many small wins on average when I was winning but when I lost I would lose the 100 plus units I brought to the casino when I had a bad day. Recovering a 100 plus units cann take days or even weeks and I eventually did not see the point of a 100 plus unit session bankroll. Last week I only netted 27 units so at that rate it would take me about 3.5 weeks to recover 1 bad day of a 100 unit loss just to break even for the month. Even worse i could have more than one 100 unit loss in the same month and a much longer recovery point.

For myself losing 8 units takes about 1.5 sessions at the most to recover if I was to lose all 8 units in a single session and that is why I chose to no longer take 5k to any given session that I play.
#5
I don't't have any triggers as I just leave the casino if I am up for the session and that's all I do really well. I limit my bankroll exposure to 8 units so that is the most I can ever lose so I don't go on monkey tilt on any given day and lose thousands because I got pissed off and double up on  BANKER and player wins again and go home a broke behind loser. I had  1 session in May where I lost 5 units to player wins and only won 3 units on my BANKER bets. I did not add those 3 units to my session bankroll and took those 3 units home and recorded my session as a loss of 5 units.

As players we can only control when we enter the game and when we leave the game, and how many units we lose when we are wrong on any given day. Anything else is
pure bs when it comes to baccarat. As I have said I don't claim to be a pro in anyway in a -ev game as I understand variance really well and the casino's edge which is why
I hit and run and get the hell out of the casino if I am up a couple of units in a session. Some people play for pure pleasure and entertainment only and others play to try and make some money. Both groups will have a completely different approach to this game.
#6
Hi everyone!

I would like to clarify a few things from my previous posts as I am new to forums as I don't claim to be a professional baccarat player in any way period at all. Basically all I
do is bet BANKER every hand I do bet. I use a low session bankroll (8 units) because if I lose I can only lose an amount that can easily be recovered on any given day should I place bets in any PLAYER dominant situations. Years ago I used to take 100 units a day to the casino and changed that when I figured out that taking more units than I can win in a session was only good for the casino.

If I have turned a net profit I take it home every time I play. I see people who are ahead every day at some point but they don't have the stones to walk away with the profit and get greedy and leave the casino down 2k plus the 1K they were up for 3K swing daily when I play. Today was a shocker as I watched a woman who was up 5k get greedy and lose it plus another 3k for an 8K swing and leave in tears. So if i am up some banker bets I plan for the exit as quickly as possible and get the hell out of the casino cause the one thing I have 100% control over is when I exit the game.
#7
When i used to bet ties i would enter the shoe at hand 36 and min bet the tie to hand 41. From hand 42 on would be small  incremental progression as to ensure a profit in the shoe. The closest I came to losing was I had 1 shoe that the tie didn't come till the very last hand in the shoe and tied at 6. Dealers that were new to dealing baccarat were dangerous if they did not understand the drawing rules of the game as casinos were new in Canada at that time. I used to stalk the boards of six tables at a time to find a spot to bet.

When i go to the casino every day i use $ 400  for my session bankroll and use $50 as my unit size . I use 8 units per session because it is easy to recover the next day or week and i don't lose control and martingale my life savings when player side is dominant in any given session. i got sick of winning 5 out of 6 days a week and only being up $500 for the week cause i could not accept a losing day. I eventually started taking notes on everything and calculating my average units won and never rebet any units won in a given session.
#8
Hi this is my first post and i would like to give my opinion on gambling for a living. I just moved to Vegas from Canada in april as my american wife could not stand the snow any longer and had me immigrate . My wife is a poker dealer at the WSOP for 6 weeks a year which is where I met her 2 years ago. I now live 15 minutes from the casino that I go to every day here in Vegas.

I started out as a blackjack counter in Canada years ago when the casinos first open. Eventually they started using shuffle machines and moved on real quickly to a game I knew nothing about called bacarrat. It was a comment from a pit boss that he had never saw a shoe that never had a tie in it and that peaked my interest and entered games where no ties occured in the first 35 hands etc and every possible strategy one could possibly think of.

I keep perfect records of all my sessions including date, casino, result, and time invested
I never  bet plaver and always bet banker
My session bankroll is 8 units and if I lose it I go home
All bets won go home with me every time regardless if the session is up or down so any bets won do not ever get added to my session bankroll and get rebet
When I am winning and finally lose a bet I cash out and go home and never risk losing any units won EVER
When I am winning it usually happens within the first 30 minutes so I keep my sessions short

My last 5 sessions netted me 27 units for the week (5.5, 4.7, 4.5, 5.1, 7.2) and I invested a total of 1.75 hours. The partial units is because I side bet  banker for dealer when i am winning. When I am up and lose a bet I go home with the profit every time I play and never give into greed and have 100 % self control. My wife keeps her own records of date and amount won/loss only and takes all the money and keeps it in a separate account so even if I had the impulse to play my wiinnings I only have access to my 8 units per session and that's all i will enter the casino with EVER. I will not go so far to say I am a  professional  but at the moment this is how I am making money in Vegas each day.