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The Fallacy of a Single Event in Baccarat being used as a Trigger

Started by alrelax, December 28, 2019, 05:08:18 PM

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alrelax

Probably the number 1 most dangerous thing and often misunderstood event in baccarat, that causes people to lose money is the single event being used as a trigger.

The single event or single outcome in baccarat, also known as a complex cause or simply put, over-simplification of an outcome.  And that my friends is what so many drama kings on the gambling forums, either side with or side against.  So many will say, wager this or that based upon, this or that and you will win a few units.  Or they will say, you can not win regardless of what you classify as a single event, etc. 

A single event, which Baccarat is either made up according to half of us as all random hands, or the other half of us, saying it is not and it is a grouped event of 80 events, etc., within one shoe.  Well to me, that fallacy in reality, all boils down to a questionable cause that will occur when the gambler assumes that there is a single event, a simplistic outcome of something that just happened and will cause a number of events, or a single event to happen because of just that cause.

In my terms, I label that, X causes Y and since that occurred, Z has to be the next outcome.  If you believe that, you have over simplified and are wagering on a specific kind of false dilemma where the real possibilities are ignored.  In so many words, the possible causes are really, A and B and/or C and D, but possibly E and Not A or B or C or D that has to happen.  And those my friends or not taken into consideration by the countless masses playing Baccarat.

There are other items to consider and that is the point of my post here. 

And, the real possibilities come into play with reality, unlike the posting of drama, wishes and systems in forums that are for the highest majority of outcomes impossible, not applicable to real live casino play in the game of Baccarat. For the few times those possibilities might happen they will certainly never outweigh the same things from reoccurring on any type of consistent basis whatsoever.
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