Quote from: 8OR9 on June 12, 2023, 03:04:56 AMfor example if the number 5 came up 3 times in your 18 number count, would you put three chips on number 5 for a total bet of 20 chips on the table?

I do this all the time. But I only do it for zero and double zero on the American Wheel. Sometimes the greens go to sleep for more than 100 spins at a time. At others times they heat up and come in swarms.

I suppose I should look for any two super hot numbers. It means keeping a second hit chart to track the two hottest numbers. In answering your question, I do recognize  that hot numbers tend to come in groups of 3 to 5 hits in a short span and then tend to cool off for a 50 to 70 spin gap. I'm not that good at betting hottest numbers.

I started all this out with the three hottest numbers back around 1995. That's how I got going with Reading Randomness. I later learned that swarms of sleeping 12's or swarms of singles in the dozens or columns was very common. It happens to a lesser degree in the 18's, but the characteristics are still true. EC betting, guessing, is still a good speculation. You get swarms of singles and strong dominations. You get absence of singles. All these things can swarm as the global effect across the 12 sets that make up the 6 groupings. I exploit that when it happens.

This is why I don't chart for the hottest numbers. You never know when they will cool off. But the greens are already charted in my charts. So I can see when they are above average active. I get what I want from the basic characteristics of randomness. It's working or it's getting killed on the first try in a swarm. I don't use negative progressions.

Quote from: alrelax on June 10, 2023, 10:11:14 PMMark, if you were to wager $25.00 straight up per number, for say 18 numbers per spin, how would you pick the numbers. 

I would look for the 18 most active numbers. Still I would expect to lose one third of the bets as the law of thirds tends to come true. So 6 numbers would come up as losers from the less dominant side. Still though I would expect to win 12 of the numbers if things tended to act normally. It's breaking the wheel into halves if you ignore the greens. I'd be looking for strong half vs weak half.

If the only Reading Randomness skill you know is the sleeping dozen or sleeping column then the above positive progression is all you need. You can figure your own way to see the sleeping 12 numbers. It can be your own method.

What about a "let it ride" long shot? Let's say you speculate on a sleeping dozen to last let's say 5 times in a row. Very common at times.

So you bet $100 on one awake dozen and $100 on the other awake dozen.

So you let the winnings ride.

So it goes like this:

$200 ( $100 & $100 )
$300 ( $150 & $150 )
$450 ( $225 & $225 )
$675 ( $337.50 & $337.50 )
$1012.50 ( $506.25 & $506.25 )

Total after fifth win equals $1518.75

Quote from: alrelax on June 04, 2023, 04:10:23 AMWe can have a series of 35 dealer initiated spins and instantly while appearing legitimately, allowing the outcome to be our chosen result.

It's nothing but cheating:

I knew it. Way back in 1995 I was part of the development software beta testers for the Macromedia online plugin Shockwave. Later this software plugin became Flash. This was the platform for true "write once, debug everywhere," that JAVA was supposed to be. You see the software displays 24 frames per second and makes stitching so seamless that nobody can see the switch.

I caught that online casino out of Canada that is run from an Indian reservation switching outcomes. I stopped betting online as soon as I noticed that I was being targeted. It's all a form of legalized theft.

I started out there with $40 and rose to $1,400 in three days. All I could get deposited was the $40. They started targeting me within a week. It take3s a while to find the betting style and getting programmers to target you. Now days it's all AI. The computers can hit on you as soon as they push the button. The software knows how to take. The need for programmers is all done away with now days.

Quote from: KungFuBac on May 27, 2023, 08:52:54 PMCan you elaborate on that.
I view the word coincidental meaning in this context as: (results from chance despite being very unlikely,...etc) Do you mean something different?

I never waste my time considering the odds of a perfect storm of conditions resulting in the situation being optimal for exploitation. When a card counter in Blackjack sees the opportunity they attack.  The trick in that game is to not get busted for card counting. But when you see a perfect trend or perfect pattern reoccurring you just hit it. Now it does not matter if it's a long shot on the odds. Are you going to grab the bag of gold? Or are you going to sit there, miss the opportunity, and wonder why you passed up on the chance. What you really want to do is to figure out what there is to gain by winning a long shot once in a while compared to missing every one and still just grinding away with a few ups and downs. Everything adds up. You must take the gravy once in a while in order to be able to take the chances in the first place. Playing against randomness is all about winning in the aggregate. I'm just rambling on here. I'm always ready to attack the opportunities. The grind tends to take care of itself.

Quote from: KungFuBac on May 27, 2023, 03:27:06 AMIndividual random events are, by definition, unpredictable,

I look at it this way. They are unpredictable but at times they are coincidental.

Thanks Glen for the welcome back.

Here is the very best deal I can offer you.

Quote'Flip of the Switch', is complicated, but for sake of keeping it to a couple of sentences, it is the player's thought process that will govern him with the recognition of patterns, trends, and whatever else he is convinced will be the next presentment from the shoe.  His wagering on that without regards to reality and then being sucked into gambling fallacy, LOCK, STOCK & BARREL.  The gambler has no idea that he actually wagered on his impulse and not on a tangible pattern, trend, or other defined presentment as he was really thinking he was doing.

I tried to draw attention to this all the way back in the Gambler's Glen days. I called it the effectiveness states. It is the ability to ignore the biases. It's one thing to see a trend or a pattern. It's another to know if it is in a coincidental phase of working temporaraly or not. Knowing is everything.

Quote from: alrelax on May 23, 2023, 04:32:50 AMThink about the following and if you find it interesting and just maybe the case.........just maybe..........re-read my entire very long thread a couple of times.

Others working their way through Reading Randomness have stated that you must read the entire thread several times to get it. It's a skill. It's part being able to read 12 sets in a simultaneous chart. It's almost too much to ask.

I need to pick up where I left off with your thread. I'm just half way through the first time.

Quote from: alrelax on May 23, 2023, 04:21:20 AMAnd if you can even begin to really understand what I just said, then you might be one of the few, the very few that might survive the 'Flip of the Switch'.

I haven't even gotten past the first half way point yet for the first time through. All I know is what I have written down for myself regarding randomness. It's 4 years coming this July since I wrote Reading Randomness. It's 5 years since I viewed that video playing the stock market like a casino.

I know this much though. Your first loss on an attempted try is the beginning trigger that the trend or pattern has failed. It's time to bail out of the attempt. There will be many more openings to follow. There is no point in rushing things. In Roulette I have 6 groupings made up from 12 sets.

Quote from: alrelax on May 22, 2023, 03:02:45 AMYou have to be able to recognize and be neutral to what and how the presentments are occurring, not for the why.  Just think about, winning. It does not matter one bit why you win, it matters what and how you won.  Remember that.

It's just coincidence. There is no meaningful statistical all seeing truth. If there were then probability would tell you when a trend starts, how long it will last, and when it will end.

Quote*  It's better to value old, distilled thoughts than 'new thinking' because for an idea to last so long it must be good. That is, old ideas have had to stand the test of time. New ideas have not. Some new ideas will end up lasting, but most will not.  Related very closely to the sensational stories right above this thought.

Take the discovery in Reading Randomness where I state what a person at the door at Harvey's Tahoe once told me when I asked him what the secret to all this was? He said "bet big when you are doing well and bet small any other times."  This is in fact the tactic for card counting in Blackjack.

Quote from: alrelax on May 22, 2023, 03:02:45 AM*  We have a tendency to see risks against specific things as more likely than general risks (dying in a terrorist attack while traveling vs. dying on your next trip, even though the second includes the first). We seem to overvalue the things that trigger an emotional response and undervalue the things that aren't as emotional.  What I am saying is, that the more spectacular something or some event that we participate in or we are part of, the more our response or perception of that event will be as compared to other events, even of greater importance overall.

So wonderfully observed. I liken this to the amature stock traders that trade badly on fear. They tend to sell off from fear that they will lose what little they have gained. So they sell off too soon. They also sell off too late out of fear that they will miss out on a recovery transition and get stuck even further for an even bigger loss. I saw a video regarding this and it changed my life. I discovered moving averages and stop win and stop loss boundaries. It applies to all Even Chance games.

Quote from: alrelax on May 22, 2023, 03:02:45 AMI am not saying do not play or wager for the 1's, 2's and 3's by any means.  What I am saying is that if you consistently do that, along with any other thing in Bac, you will lose and lose everything you have.  There is a time and place to wager 1's, 2's and 3's as well as streaks, pure chop chop, pairs, as well as 1's and 4's to 6's or side wagers or ties or anything else.  Why?  Because they will all come out, every one of them. 

I must do this in sections of ideas before such locations alone would get me lost. It's clearly a thesis. I will take this section and the 87% / 13% to the bank. In Reading Randomness I spend a lot of time on characteristics. That's what this is. These series of 1's, 2's, and 3's are a wonderful statistic to find in EC betting. In RR you get 6 individual sets of EC groupings all at once. So you get to look at one set and it is showing nothing while another set might be showing something. That's just the nature of having simultaneous groups.

But this stat on EC's is actually a wonderful discovery on my part. Thanks.