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Sputnik's March

Started by Sputnik, January 07, 2016, 10:36:02 AM

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AsymBacGuy

Roulette players tend to be smarter than the baccarat counterpart...


as.
Baccarat is 99% skill and 1% luck

CLEAR EYES, FULL HEARTS. CAN'T LOSE
(Friday Night Lights TV series)

I NEVER LOSE.
I EITHER WIN OR LEARN
(Nelson Mandela)

Winners don't do different things, they do things differently (Albalaha)

Sputnik

 I give up - you don't have 25% series of Three, because you have series of four, five, six, seven and so on all winning as Three even if it is 20 in a row - so you have as many series as singles.
You wrong when you say you capitilaze on singles only.

If sereis of 2 and 3 and highet strike you get PP BBB PPPP BB PP BBB PPP BB PPPPP BBB and you win every bet WWWWWWWWW same as singles B P B P B P B P B P B P WWWWWWWW
So when the SD grow and singles chop you win and when SD grow and you get series to chop you win.

As stated singles contra series or series contra singles is 50/50 and can grow into imbalance and domanation in any direction.
But i if end up between you break even or get varaince and fluctation.

That is the basis for the first march.

So if you get singles and series of two you win and break even.
So if you get singles and series of Three you win and break even.
So if you get series of two and series of Three you win.
So if you get single you win.
And the same way reverse.
You lose when you get 123 Three uniq events or else win and break even.
But there is more strikes then just singles as you stated.

And again - when you clustering Three options and nothing else exist - Rule 1 - then you have the odds 1 in 3.

Atlantis

I like it Sputnik!

Surely this cries out for a 'bot' or sheet to be made. It could be programmed to show when and what to bet and how much to stake. Would be less stressful and help to prevent visual mistakes and human error...

A.

BetJack

Question ??
QuoteThat is the basis for the first march.

So if you get singles and series of two you win and break even.
So if you get singles and series of Three you win and break even.
So if you get series of two and series of Three you win.
So if you get single you win.
And the same way reverse.
You lose when you get 123 Three uniq events or else win and break even.
But there is more strikes then just singles as you stated.

And again - when you clustering Three options and nothing else exist - Rule 1 - then you have the odds 1 in 3.


Now if you playing on rolling basis then your first bet is to follow the last hit and when you have two hits you follow the latest two.
When you get three uniq hits you will have three loses and then continue to follow the last two.

You will most of times win within 6 attempts if you play on a rolling basis as 6 alternating with 1 in 3 probability is very rare.
Or you can start playing after three alternating.


???How Do You play this on rolling basis???
??? What rolling basis MeanS???


X
O
X
O
O
X
X
X
O
X
O
X
O
O
X
X
O
O
X
O
X
O
X
O
O
X
X
X
O
X
X
O
O
O
X
X
O
O
X
O
X
O
X


BEAT-THE-WHEEL


http://www.win-maxx.com/basics/basics27.html


Around 1920 the French roulette-researcher Henry Chateau analysed the relationship of singles and series for the even money chances in 56,534 ideal-spins and came to following results:

Roulette Systems

Chateau did not consider the appearance of 1,536 zeroes in this analysis. If you look careful at the above table, you can easily see that

1. the number of singles is double the number of series of 2
2. the number of series of 2 is double the number of series of 3
3. the number of series of 3 is double the number of series of 4 and so on.
The sum of the singles is approx. 25% of all spins.

Based on this analysis Chateau constructed a pyramid.
In this pyramid you can find the frequency of series:
- the columns in the table show the length of the series,
- the black numbers on the outer left show the numbers of appearances,
- the black numbers on the outer right show the number of spins needed to form the appearances.
The pink highlighted column shows for example, that 1 series of 6 is based on average on the appearance of 2 series of 5,
4 series of 4, 8 series of 3, 16 series of 2 and 32 singles.
128 spins are neccesary for the development of a series of 5.

BEAT-THE-WHEEL

single vs series=50%

single / series2 double>3>4>5>6>7..so on
at the end equilibrium, minus the zero.

thus in long run, u only win when/if, u avoid the variance,
or double up your bet after huge losses...

the profit/loss chart, in flatbet, will move like wave,
up and down, up and down, thus u bet like betting futures/stock.

get in when the wave move in oppisit direction...

Sputnik


BetJack i will play both march 1 & 2 this weekend at my local casino.

1) You can relax playing this method, because during one session you win and break even several times, so it easy to stop and start over without losing anything.
2) You only need a smooth progression to deal with variance and fluctation, for example 111 122 136 test your own solution and practice Before real play, so you know when to hold them or fold them.
3) Rolling basis means you walk up to a table and start tracking, if you get a single you play single and follow it. if you get a serie you follow it unil a loss.
When you have two events, for example singles and series of Three you follow does two, then you only can win and break even.
If you lose you will have Three different events in any combination, single and serie of two and serie of Three or higher 213 then you continue betting the last two, with this example 1 and 3 - that is playing on a Rolling basis.
4) I just show you how i define the odds 1 in 3 with no exeption, this means that your enemy or variance or fluctation is alternating events, so you can make a benchmark for you limit when using a smooth progression, for example 111 122 136 or even more, its up to you.
5) When you flat betting and still on + there is no need to increase the unit value, you only start raise your unit value if you are at -3 units, this is why you will experience most sessions floating between winnings and break even Points.

Cheers

Flat betting i would quit at +5.
I won 20 sessions with +5 units and lose once -18 units, pretty good, better then FTL and DBL as i can not get the same winning frequense.

X
O W 1 +1
X W 1 +2
O W 1 +3
O
X
X L 1 +2
X L 1 +1
O
X W 1 +2
O W 1 +3
X W 1 +4
O W 1 +5
O L 1 +4
X L 1 +3
X L 1 +2
O W 1 +3
O L 1 +2
X W 1 +3
O W 1 +4
X W 1 +5
O W 1 +6
X W 1 +7
O W 1 +8
O L 1 +7
X W 1 +8
X L 1 +7
X L 1 +6
O
X L 1 +5
X L 1 +4
O L 1 +3
O L 1 +2
O L 1 +1
X
X W 1 +2
O
O W 1 +3
X
O L 1 +4
X W 1 +5
O W 1 +6
X W 1 +7

Sputnik


I show you bad session with 3.0 SD - variance and fluctation.
You can hit 3.0 SD and still win using this march - 15 loses contra 2 wins.
Highest winning peak +9 units and biggest drawdown -9 units and highest placed bet size 6 units.

2
2
2
1
2 W 1 +1
1 W 1 +2
1 L 1 +1
2 L 1 +0
1 W 1 +1
2 W 1 +2
2 L 1 +1
1 W 1 +2
1 L 1 +1
2 W 1 +2
1 W 1 +3
1 L 1 +2
2 W 1 +3
1 W 1 +4
1 L 1 +3
1 L 1 +2
1
2
1 W 1 +3
2 W 1 +4
2 L 1 +2
2 W 1 +4
1
2 W 1 +5
2 L 1 +4
1 L 1 +3
1 L 1 +2
2 W 1 +3
1 W 1 +4
2 W 1 +5
2 L 1 +4
2 L 1 +3
1
2 W 1 +4
2 L 1 +3
1 L 1 +2
2 W 1 +3
2 L 1 +2
1 W 1 +3
1 L 1 +2
2 W 1 +3
2 L 1 +2
1 W 1 +3
1 L 1 +2
2 W 1 +3
1 W 1 +4
2 W 1 +5
1 W 1 +6
2 W 1 +7
2 L 1 +6
2 L 1 +5
2
2
2
1
1 L 1 +4
1 W 1 +5
1
2
2 L 1 +4
2 W 1 +5
1
2 W 1 +6
2 L 1 +5
2 W 1 +6
2
2
1
2 W 1 +7
1 W 1 +8
2 W 1 +9
2 L 1 +8
1 L 1 +7
1 L 1 +6
2 W 1 +7
2 L 1 +6
1 W 1 +7
1 L 1 +6
1 L 1 +5
2
1 L 1 +4
2 W 1 +5
1 W 1 +6
2 W 1 +7
2 L 1 +6 Negative variance and fluctation
1 L 1 +5
1 L 1 +4
1
2
1 L 1 +3
1 L 1 +2
2 L 1 +1
2 L 1 +0
2 L 1 -1
1
1 W 1 +0
2 L 1 -1
1 L 1 -2
1 L 1 -3 You lose 111 and are at -3 units next is 122
1
2
2 L 1 -4
2 W 2 -2
1
1 L 1 -3
2 L 2 -5
1 L 2 -7 You lose 122 and are at -7 units next is 136 (15 loses contra 2 wins = 3.0 SD
2 W 1 -6
1 W 1 -5
1 L 1 -6
2 W 3 -3 You are at -3 units go back to 122
1 W 1 -2
1 L 1 -3
1 L 2 -5
1
1
2
2 L 2 -7 You are -7 units and next is 136
1 L 1 -8
1 W 3 -5
2 L 1 -6
1 L 3 -9
2 W 6 -3 You are -3 units and next is 122
1 W 1 -2
1 L 1 -3
1 L 2 -5
2
1 W 2 -3
2 W 1 -2
2 L 1 -3
2 W 1 -2
2
2
2
1
1 L 1 -3
1 W 1 -2
2
2 L 1 -3
1 L 2 -5
1 W 2 -3
1
1
2
2 W 1 -2
1
1 W 1 -1
2
2 W 1 +0 You break even 29 loses and 17 wins
1
2 L
1 W
1 L
1 L
1

Garfield

I have tested tonight with real money. So far the result is good. What I noticed it is stress free. Don't have to think much. Just watch your MM.

Thanks Sputnik
You will never know. Not now, not in this life. You aren't that lucky.

jsintl

Quote from: Garfield on February 03, 2016, 05:29:13 PM
I have tested tonight with real money. So far the result is good. What I noticed it is stress free. Don't have to think much. Just watch your MM.

Thanks Sputnik

Can we have some samples using B/P results in Baccarat.

Thanks,

Sputnik


Read the topic from beginning - the first original march is best.

I made a video for you where you can see 300 trails playing the game on a rollong basis.
It gets a bad start and we have to Place 2 units as our highest bet during 300 trails, just that is pretty Amazing.

The session peak at +9 units flat betting and during the 300 trails it break even several times, this means we had the oppertunity to quit playing several times in a row, this is why you can relax playing this way, if you have dicipline, then you can quit at +2,3,4 units, if not and you are in the hole then you stop when at even.

https://youtu.be/LbvOG8HuRNM




BEAT-THE-WHEEL

Quote from: Sputnik on February 03, 2016, 12:32:49 PM
I show you bad session with 3.0 SD - variance and fluctation.
You can hit 3.0 SD and still win using this march - 15 loses contra 2 wins.
Highest winning peak +9 units and biggest drawdown -9 units and highest placed bet size 6 units.


2 L 1 +6 Negative variance and fluctation
1 L 1 +5
1 L 1 +4
1
2
1 L 1 +3
1 L 1 +2
2 L 1 +1
2 L 1 +0
2 L 1 -1
1
1 W 1 +0
2 L 1 -1
1 L 1 -2
1 L 1 -3 You lose 111 and are at -3 units next is 122
1
2
2 L 1 -4
2 W 2 -2
1
1 L 1 -3
2 L 2 -5
1 L 2 -7 You lose 122 and are at -7 units next is 136 (15 loses contra 2 wins = 3.0 SD
2 W 1 -6
1 W 1 -5
1 L 1 -6
2 W 3 -3 You are at -3 units go back to 122
1 W 1 -2
1 L 1 -3
1 L 2 -5
1
1
2
2 L 2 -7 You are -7 units and next is 136
1 L 1 -8
1 W 3 -5
2 L 1 -6
1 L 3 -9
2 W 6 -3 You are -3 units and next is 122
1 W 1 -2
1 L 1 -3
1 L 2 -5
2
1 W 2 -3
2 W 1 -2
2 L 1 -3
2 W 1 -2
2
2
2
1
1 L 1 -3
1 W 1 -2
2
2 L 1 -3
1 L 2 -5
1 W 2 -3
1
1
2
2 W 1 -2
1
1 W 1 -1
2
2 W 1 +0 You break even 29 loses and 17 wins


if we bet only that variance spins.

The actual losses =-6,
the DD=-13,

JamButtie

Been testing this like crazy, shows a lot of promise, thanks Sputnik

Sputnik

Quote from: JamButtie on February 04, 2016, 05:51:13 PM
Been testing this like crazy, shows a lot of promise, thanks Sputnik

I understand why you test this like crazy - the march is Amazing and stable with winnings and break evens Points.
To be honest i have never seen any public march or bet selection that use smooth progression with succés.

I been using 111122136 or 111122233 or 111122246 and so on, most session i Place 2 units as highest bet during several shoes.
I have not solve the MM but i know i can use a smooth progression.

111
122 after this i Think 233 is the best choise ....

Sputnik

 You can build your progression based upon this progression, but using a smoot latter.

For example

111
122
233
And so on ...

The original:
progression that is based on the "Philiberte" system found in the Monte Carlo Anecdotes.

1-2-4


1-3-6


2-4-8


2-6-12


3-6-12


3-9-18


4-8-16


4-12-24


5-10-20


5-15-30


7-14-28


7-21-42


9-18-36


9-27-54


12-24-48


12-36-72


15-30-60


15-45-90