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Forums => Baccarat Forum => Topic started by: alrelax on August 28, 2022, 05:08:48 PM

Title: Point Values & Card Counting in Baccarat
Post by: alrelax on August 28, 2022, 05:08:48 PM
You must understand Linear Estimates. Then you must have experience with Baccarat.

I have written, " The card count and everything related to it cannot be applied in any way that would consistently allow a player to be advantaged............"

So there is a larger amount of sevens, eight, nines and tens in the remaining cards. First, many  would choose to believe that would favor the player's  side. But I must argue that belief. There has to be numerous aces through sixes remaining as well. And that is the problem of card counting in baccarat as compared to blackjack.

In blackjack it easily works because large value cards mixed with either large value or smaller value cards are great as well as, 2 large value cards.  Almost any mixture of a large value card and small value card with the exception of tens benefits the player nicely in blackjack with a third card of a larger value benefiting the player as well.  7-(A/2/3/4)-(8/9/10) as an example. 

But in baccarat the random variables are just non-beneficial to a specific side when pitted against each other at the same time. The problem is, with card counting and assigning point values, the player is attempting to recognize the assignment of cards remaining within the shoe.  Cutting a very very long story short, you will never be able to assign three things. 

1)  Regression.  Because regression is needed to assign a real-valued output to each input.

2)  Sequence Labeling.  Which assigns a number of sequence of values that you absolutely need for Baccarat.

3)  Data Structuring.  Which is a collection of the values of the relationships, functions and operational significance with the ability to apply the data to the point values of the remaining cards.

Hence, the above can never be done with a baccarat shoe because of the astronomical amount of variability due to the 4, 5, or 6, card non optional draw combinations that form each hand. 

And counting cards in Baccarat will only give the player a false sense of system, that will cause greater losses than wins.  Don't believe me???  Go ahead and count, heck the casino supplies pens and cards right there for you to write it all down, you don't even have to memorize anything.  Seriously.