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#61
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable ...
Last post by alrelax - March 27, 2024, 06:37:15 AM
But.........Here you will win a very handsomely 10 units!  And I did just that exact thing on this particular shoe!
#62
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable ...
Last post by alrelax - March 27, 2024, 06:33:13 AM
Here, you wager for doubles and you will not be very happy at all!
#63
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable ...
Last post by AsymBacGuy - March 27, 2024, 03:48:12 AM
Statistically speaking, at baccarat doubles are the most likely occurence among all possible patterns thus this plan seems to be unsound, yet the probability to catch long negative sequences will be perfectly symmetrical than crossing long profitable successions, but that's not the point of the method.

In fact the method cannot avoid the inevitable long losing sequences, but to get at least one win per every three hands dealt knowing that back to back low or moderate clustered consecutive streaks are not going to come out around any corner.

Before talking about the progressive multilayered plan, let's consider this shoe sequence.
We assume that the first hand of the shoe will start the BBPPBBPP... action, so if the first hand is a B we'll wager toward BBPPBBPP...and if it's a P the action will be PPBBPPBB...etc
In this shoe sequence (#33.317) first hand is a B.

B
PPP
BBB
P
B
PPP
BB
P
B
P
B
PPP
BB
PP
BB
PPP
BBB
PPPP
B
P
B
P
BBBBB
P
B
PP
BB
PPP

Considering the first hand as neutral (but starting a (B)BPPBBPP.... action) we'll get:

-++++-++-++++--+++-+-+-+-+----+-++-++--+--+++------+

We may even consider the perfect opposite counterpart (meaning we'd start the betting with the PPBBPPBB...betting mood) and we'll get:

-+----+--+-----+-++-++++++++-+----+++--+++--+--+-+-+--

It's true that at this shoe streaks superior than doubles account for a +3 overall ratio and that more or less the number of + will equal the number of -, yet there are important distribution features belonging to the - lenght at both differently taken subsuccessions.

For example, we'll get a greater probability than expected that after a single or a double losing sequence (- or - -) next hand will be a winning one.

Here another shoe sequence:

BB
P
B
P
B
P
B
PPPPP
B
PPPP
B
P
BB
P
B
PPP
B
PP
BB
PPP
BB
PPPPPP
B
PPP
B
PP
BB
P
BB
PP

Again what this shoe looks like under a BBPPBB... action:

+++--++---++-++++---++++-+++++++-+-+--++-+++-++++++-+-

Now the reverse mechanical betting approach (PPBBPPBB...):

---++--+++--+--+++----+++-+++++++-+-+--++-+++-++++++-+-

At this shoe things went even smoother.

People having at their disposal a seven or more figure bankroll do not give a fk about long term edge and let alone about our algorithms, they want to bet, win and gamble.
Yet most of them are not so stu.p.id, in the sense that after a greater than 3-hand losing sequence they'd stop their progressive betting, waiting at least for a single fictional win before restarting the action.
But only a small portion of them know that in order to win itlr one must realize that only a huge bankroll could cover the vast majority of negative fluctuations the game will provide, at the same time aiming for a relatively small profit per every session played.
 
See you next week.

as.
#64
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: PI network social coin tha...
Last post by ADulay - March 26, 2024, 11:00:41 PM
QuoteBreaking news reveals that China has granted a license to Pi Network to operate within the country. 

Well that certainly makes me want to rush out to my local ATM machine to see if I can acquire some Pi pseudo-currency.

Seriously.  What are all of these newly created Pi Billionaires going to do with all that Pi money?  Sell it for BitCoin?  Purchase a new Buick?  (Shanghai has a GM Buick plant, I've been there).

Personally, I wish the best for anyone attempting to get in on the bottom floor of still another digital coin or currency.  It's fun to watch but still looks like a gambling adventure rather than an investment for the future.

BitCoin appears to be in a spiral of people who have a fear of missing out (FOMO) and this new Pi coin looks like the same mind set may take over.

I believe we've seen this picture before and we will most assuredly see it again in the future.

Good luck to all in this new venture.

AD (I haven't been to an ATM in many years)
#65
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable ...
Last post by AsymBacGuy - March 26, 2024, 10:02:34 PM
The "ignorant" double wagers mechanical betting (IDW)

It's an approach we've studied after meeting a HS player willing to bet progressively and not capable to wait for 'triggers', asking for a mechanical approach.

Say that instead of trying to guess this or that, regardless of the actual outcomes we'll implement a strict mechanical betting placement as BBPPBBPPBBPPBBPP....

Let's see what are the best or worst patterns to encounter:

1) A long double sequences synchronized with our betting

2) The same double sequences perfectly coming out oppositely to our betting.

As long as no "bad synchronized" back to back doubles show up, we're entitled to win at least one time in three attempts no matter how are the results.
So any chopping line of any lenght belongs to this category and of course any streak 3 or higher will catch at least one win.

More later

as.
#66
Baccarat Forum / Re: Be Careful of Presetting
Last post by AsymBacGuy - March 26, 2024, 09:36:27 PM
Yes, that's why is so important to assign an important value to the "clustering effect" of something. That could happen or not in the actual shoe we're playing at.

H-money sounds as the example of the typical baccarat loser, that is one hoping to win big in short frames of time or, worse, to recoup the money lost in the same way. (Yet, this is the best mathematical approach to adopt at an EV- game).
It's very likely he could lose a lot of money even if he would want to mirror our bets.

as.
#67
Baccarat Forum / Be Careful of Presetting
Last post by alrelax - March 25, 2024, 04:10:10 AM
Be very very careful of believing in the preset, I'm going to wait for 'such and such' and I'm only going to wager for 'so-and-so'. Meaning a series of chops, long streaks, doubles, and numerous other events that happen in the game of baccarat.

What is Presetting?  A setting or value automatically assigned to something.  Example:  Wagering for the cut after a tie, or wagering for the same side after a natural, or continuously wagering for the cut after 3iar, etc., etc.

And usually the above is engaged in, because of previous experiences and your desire for those to return so you can wager correctly. Be careful, real careful and conscious of this! Before Vs. Now, is dangerous to your buy-in most of the time. Keep it Now Vs. Now. A concept so simple, yet so difficult to most.

H-Money and myself talked about this after his quick $15k win the other night.  https://betselection.cc/index.php?topic=11712.0 He did discover that the highest majority of what he normally wagers, are preset decisions based upon previous experiences.  He realizes that those experiences have almost nothing to do with what a different shoe is presenting.
#68
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable ...
Last post by AsymBacGuy - March 25, 2024, 03:39:28 AM
Baccarat is beatable as card distributions privilege the asimmetry and not the symmetry.

Despite that, per any shoe dealt such asymmetry is underdog to come out meaning that most of the times a kind of symmetry reigns supreme over the total possible results.

It's very likely that casinos do know what we're talking about, so enticing players to make a lot of bets into a symmetrical thus unbeatable world where the HE they take advantage from is a way minor factor role producing their profits.

On the other end, it's 100% certain that casinos do not know a fkng bit about how a symmetrical world would shift into a more detectable asymmetrical model other than by a simple "luck" factor.
After all they rely upon mere math statements and not about intricate statistical features where the decisive factor players should be really interested about is the sd value.

We'll see this in a couple of days.

as.
#69
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: PI network social coin tha...
Last post by Albalaha - March 25, 2024, 02:40:53 AM
Important update: Shared on XTwitter)by Pi news officially:
China grants a license to the Pi network: The network heralds a new era
 Of billionaires
 Breaking news reveals that China has granted a license to Pi Network to operate within the country.  This event has created a wave of excitement within the Pi community, with many believing it to be a sign of the impending implosion of the Pi Network
 And the possibility of creating many new billionaires.
 The license granted allows Pi Network to operate in
 The following areas:
 .  Electronic transfers: Pi Network will be allowed
 Providing electronic money transfer services to users
 inside the state.
 .  Commercial (financial) payment: Pi Network can be used
 To pay for goods and services in stores and businesses that accept .Pi
 .  Mutual funds and fund investments
 Currency valuation, financial guarantee service, and management
 Trust Pi Network will be allowed to participate in
 Financial and investment activities, including fund management
 Mutual investment, mutual funds, currency valuation
 Financial guarantees and trust management.
 .  Withdrawals from ATMs: Users will be able to...
  Network to withdraw cash directly from ATM machines
 Automated using Pi.  This license is an important development for Pi


#70
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: PI network social coin tha...
Last post by Albalaha - March 25, 2024, 02:38:59 AM
Ponzi or Pyramid seeks your money to be invested. Invest yourself and get other invested in a Ponzi scheme. In Pi, none is seeking even a penny and all pioneers get to  earn and mine PI without paying a penny.
 I predicted for the new all time high of Bitcoin in 2024 years back. I do predict that PI will stay stronger and in maximum 5 years from now, it will reach over $1000 rate.