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Buy-ins, Winning & Losing-Believing You Can Recoup, Understanding What Most Can’t

Started by alrelax, July 02, 2023, 12:33:11 PM

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alrelax

It is not easy, but in my opinion you must adhere with consciousness of neutrality as much as possible. You must have extreme respect of the shoe presentments without believing you can and will second-guess them with a plan to conquer. Defining that,  I mean 'setting triggers' without seeing those triggers being presented. 

Neutrality and the application of such will allow you to adjust to chop chop, twos, 1s-2s-3s, streaks, cuts after defined events, and defined events occurring after select triggers, etc.  Otherwise without neutrality, you will catch a few and easily give those wins and additional units right back to catch more. In other words, you will lose all/any presentments after and before your triggers that unlike your possible triggered events, dominate all shoes.  The aforementioned happens almost every single shoe with no one ever defining what I just wrote.

I guess what I'm trying to define, is your triggers may not occur, but other events have to, 100% of the time. Your triggers will only be a very small percentage of that.  Think about that as well. 

The other thing is declaring your risk capital buy-in in concrete, set in stone, amount.  Rather than the two all-time buy-ins I witness repeatedly, example; Bringing $2,000 and buying in with say $300 at a time believing you are governing yourself, and another example, bringing say $3,000 and buying in for $1,000 and playing with a frame of mind, if I lose I always have in reserve another two buy-ins, etc. To me, each of those two are working against you and fueling false thoughts, attempts and negative money management method adherence enormously. You will almost always wager with a continual thought, "if I lose this, I can try again with XYZ".

We tend to believe what has happened can and will happen again. We play for it. But, it is wrong and if the event did occur and you caught it once, twice or even three times, in no way does that mean it will repeatedly happen throughout the shoe. It probably will not. It most likely cannot and that is the exact reason notes, writing and score tracking in detail is allowed at all brick and mortar Baccarat tables.

As far as stop losses and stop wins are concerned, please understand what will give you an advantage or not.

First, a stop loss without winning in excess of your risk capital value, must be just that. Your risk capital bought in amount nothing additional. I have experienced over the years as well as countless people I have witnessed doing similar. As I said earlier, "if I lose this buy-in, I can try again with XYZ", is dead wrong, negative and favors the casino, not the player.

Without doubt whatsoever, all of my additional buy-ins that never produced the recoup or a win, are far in excess than those that did. And the amount of additional money for those additional buy-ins would absolutely dwarf the amount that was lost in the ones failing to produce in the first place. Meaning the original buy-in.

The game does not change but your emotions, frustrations and decision making abilities certainly  100% does.  As well, your ego does and because the average player believes he is so smart, successful and could never be wrong, almost all sadly plays the highest percentage of the time in the casinos favor.  That is why you have to realize, when you have a losing session from the start or into a winning session, how to define it and continue or discontinue the play.

Hence, why I say buy-in one time, have a decent draw down amount and play positively to win with progressive parlays, adhere to a money management method and a 1/3rd-1/3rd-1/3rd for your wins.  If it's not working stop without additional buy-ins. Once you engage in additional buy-ins, the 'have-to's increase exponentially and will decrease most all of your chances for winning the session.

Think and play with advantages!

My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/index.php?board=250.0

Played well over 35,957 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

THE PURPOSE OF GAMING IS TO WIN!

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that & more.
 
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Gizmotron

Well put. This is so true. This is the stop-win and stop-loss explained.
"...IT'S AGAINST THE LAW TO BREAK THE LAW OF AVERAGES."