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Strikes

Started by Sputnik, September 27, 2014, 07:32:30 PM

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Sputnik


How do you catch strikes?

Is a very good question as we have flat betting and positive progressions.
I have never seen any one write about a bet selection that catch strikes.

Why is that?



split-monster

Excuse my ignorance! What do you mean by strikes Sputnik?

Thanks

Sputnik

Quote from: split-monster on September 27, 2014, 07:44:03 PM
Excuse my ignorance! What do you mean by strikes Sputnik?

Thanks

-

Ok lets take it from the beginning:
All that we see is negative progression, is very common.
You lose your first bet and you bet more chasing to catch a winning event.

Positive progression you never see and is not common.
This is because you don't see any one developing selections for strikes.
A strike is 23456789 winning events in a row.

So option one with negative progression has a winning sequense looking like this:
LWLLLWLLLWLLLLLLWLLWLWLWLLWWLWLWWWLWLLLWLLLLWLLLLLLLWLLWLWLL

The other option using a positive progression has a winning sequense looking like this:
WWLWWLWLLWWWLWWWWWWLWWWWLWWLLWLWLLWWLWLWWWLWWLWWWLW

This is a exampel from random org testing to hit long strikes or break even or bet at most three attempts.
I use a positive progression: Regression Up & Pull



This is the LW-Registry ...
Here you can see how hard it is to catch longer strikes:

2014 09 27

WL
WWWWWWWWL
LLW
WWWWWWL

2014 09 26

WWL
LW
LW

2014 09 25

WWL
WWWWWL
WWL
LLW
WWWWWWL

2014 09 24

LW
WL
WWWL
LLW

2014 09 23

LW
LW
WWL
WWWL

2014 09 22

WWL
LW
WL
LLL
LLW

2014 09 21

WL
LLL
WL
WWWL
LW

2014 09 20

WL
LW
WL
WL

2014 09 19

LW
LW
LW
WL
WL

2014 09 18

LLL
LLL
WWWL
WWL

Sputnik


-

Even if i know i can win, so will it not last forever.
I can now see why some say flat betting and progressions are the same thing.

Even if i might be up so am i pretty sure loses will chop.
Is just a matter of time.

I test a straight regression where i was staking 54321.
I test another clustering selection.

50 sessions
159 units won
80 units lost
total 79 units

Results ...

+1
+6
+0
+14
+10
+1
+6
+0
-20
+0

- -

+10
+0
+10
+0
+1
+6
+6
+1
+1
+1

- -

+0
+1
+1
+13
+1
+10
+17
+6
+1
+23

- -

+1
+0
+0
+1
+1
+0
+0
+0
+1
+1

- -

+0
-20
+0
-20
+0
+1
-20
+6
+20
+0