Myself and a few others decided to do something a bit out of the ordinary today. 

We pulled out before 5a.m., and went to a nice spot down by a lake on a road we can continue down for the casino we eventually desire to wind up at later today.

We brought our breakfast and will discuss our thoughts and ideas as well for the sessions we will be engaging in,

Here are some pictures from a little bit ago. 

Will post pictures of the score boards if possible after the play.

Another interesting crypto adventure:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/crypto-trader-110-million-manipulation-193526849.html

Answer: Yes.

If certain random walks will produce a slight superior number of streaky shoes than average, the single probability is somewhat slight diminished, mostly as one side could be "singled" oriented for quite long time (due to the asymmetrical issues) but the other one tends to form more streaks than average (so kind of denying a back-to-back single distribution at both sides).

Since itlr almost everything will equalize, in order to restrict at most the negative variance an important tool to take care of will be to utilize the "clustering" effect.
Meaning that slight less likely (long) chopping sequences someway must balance those more probable shoes where singles come out isolated or by couples.
So when a long chopping sequence had shown up, we should be way less interested to make a bet at the future trigger (single), on the contrary isolated and coupled singles should entice us to make  more bets. 

Here a real shoes sample where isolated and double single patterns = W (+1) VS superior single patterns = L (-3):

- LLWLW

- WWWLWW

- WWWWWWWL

- WWWWWLW

- WLLLLW

- WWWWWL

- WLLWWWL

- WLWWWWWW

- LWWLW

- WLWLW

- LLWW

- WLLWWWWW

- LWWWWWW

- WLWLLW

- WWWWWWW

- WWLWWWWW

- WWWWWWWL

- LLWWWW

- WWWW

- WWWWLWWW

- WWWWWLW

- WWLWWW

- LLWLW(-1)

- WWLLWWW

- WLWW

- WWLWLW

- WWWWWLW

- WLWWWL

- WLWWWWWW

- WLWWLWW

- WWLWWWWL

- WWWWWWWW

- LWWWWWWL

- LWWWLWWWL

- WWWWLWWWW

- WWWWWW

- LWWWWWWWW

- WLLW

- WWWWWW

- LWWWLWW

- WWWWWWWW

- LLLWWL

- WLWLWWWW

- WWLLWW

- WWWLWW

- WWWWLWW

- WWWWWL

- WLWWWLWWWW

- WWWWLWW

- LWWWWWWLWW

- WL

- W(-1)

- WLWLWL

- LWWWLW

- WWLLWWL

- WLLWW

- WWWWLW

- LLWWWWL

- WWWWWWWL

- WWWWLW

- WWWWWW

- LLW

- WLWWLWL

- WWWLW

- WLWWWWW

- LWWWWLWWW

- LLWWW

- WWWLWW

- WWWWWWLWWWW

- WWWL

- WWWLWW

- WWWWWW

- LWWWWWL

- WWLWWLWW

- WWWWWL

- WWLWWWW

- LLWWWWWL(-1)

- WWLLWL

- WWWLWLWWW

- LLWWWW

- WWWLW

- LWWWLL

- WWWWWLWWWWW

- WWWWLW

- WLWLWWW

- WWWWWWL

- WWWWWWL

- WWLWWL

- WWWWW

- WWWL

- WLLWWWW

- WWWWWWL

- LLLLL

- WWWWWLWWW

- LWWW

- WWWLLW

- WWWLWW

- WWWWL

- WWWWWW

- WWLWLL

- WWWWLWLW

- WWWWWW

- WWWWWWWW(-1)

- WWWWWLWW

- WWWWWWW

- WWWLWL

- WWWW

- WWLWLW

- WLWW

- WLWWWLWW

- WWWWLLLLW

- LLLWWLW

- WWWLWLL

- WLWWW

- WLWWLWWLW

- LLLLLWWW

- LWWWWWL

- WWWWWWL

- WWWWW

- WWWWWWW

- LWWWWW

- WWWWWW

- WLWWLWWW

- LWWLWL

- WWLWWW

- WWWWLW

- WWWW

- LWLWW

- LLLW

- WWWWL(-1)

- WWWWW

- WWWWWWLLW

- WWLLWWLWW

- LWWWWLWW

- LWWWWWLW

- LWWWWL

- LWWWWWWL

- WWWL (18632)

as.

After 5 resolved hands are dealt and assuming a perfect 50/50 A/B probability, only two hopping sequences are expected: ABABA and BABAB.
At both such successions either A and B come out clustered 'isolated', that is no streak happened at both sides.

In the remaining 30 out of 32 possibilities, A or B singled outcomes can only come out: (notice that eight patterns won't show singled A/B hands)

a) One time 12 times;

b) Two times 8 times;

c) Three times 2 times.

More specifically and considering ALL possible 32 patterns, the same A or B hand show up clustered just at six patterns (ABABA, BABAB, ABABB, BABAA, ABBAB and BAABA).

Obviously that doesn't mean that there's an advantage by betting toward a same A or B scenario to be clustered isolated, just knowing that by taking care of multiple 5 hands samples, a binomial probability produces such distributions.

Nonetheless, baccarat is not a coin flip game, any hand is not completely independent from the previous one(s) and finally one side is math more probable than the other one.
So the question is: Do we have tools to find out a possible factor capable to amplify the difficulty to get clustered isolated spots at BOTH sides?

More later

as.

Polarization of some random walks

Mathematicians and many gambling experts have demonstrated that either each baccarat hand dealt is a new (undetectable) hand and/or that many known systems have no possibility to overcome and invert the HE.

Whereas the first argument is completely false, it's correct to state that known systems (based upon i.dioti.c math assumptions) have no one possibility to win itlr.

We can't win at a math EV- game by using math tools, but we might win by disputing the perfect randomness of the shoes dealt, that is proving that NOT every hand is a new hand completely unrelated to the previous one(s).

Of course such unrandomness will present itself by different levels, many times difficultly to be detected (or getting too significant levels to be grasped) but sure as hell itlr the so called 50/50 (coin flip) proposition with all the related statistical consequences will go right down the toilet.

A paradoxical finding is that more efforts are made to provide "random" shoes, better will be our probability to get an urn getting a close than average or greater than average R/W balls ratio.
The reason is because more key cards are dispersed, higher will be the probability to get detectable patterns having a superior likelihood to show up clustered at some point.

Such supposedly (verified) propensity could be ascertained by classifying the streaks lenght by merging two adjacent streak classes: We've seen to take care of 2s and 3s vs superior streaks or 3s and 4s vs superior streaks.

We know that in an interesting portion of total shoes dealt, 5/5+ streaks do not show up (especially whenever a given random walk is acting), so giving us a kind of "frerolling", meaning that we can't lose a dime in the process.
Counterpart losing situations may come out when low value streaks show up as isolated between such 5/5+ streaks and now the problem will shift to the more likely singles distribution, so denying a proper number of streaks.

Singles vs streaks sequences

If we'd think that some streak classes will stop before than expected, we might infer than even singles will show up more clustered than isolated.

Actually this is true, providing to consider one side of the two possible successions, meaning that what happened as clustered at one side tend to be slightly clustered and vice versa.
In fact both sides coming out as long singled outcomes are the least scenario to encounter. 

That's a big edge over the house for the reasons that one shoe cannot be equally pattern distributed for long.

We'll get through this next time.

as.

Thus the R/W balls ratio will be always uncertain but the R/W balls distribution will take more likely lines as being somewhat restrained by an asymmetrical probability of success working at an already asymmetrical card distribution.

Obviously the common B/P sequence is the worst succession to take care of, as considering just one side of the operations: The simple back-to-back successions.

Therefore in some sense we should try to amplify the asymmetrical cards distribution factor, challenging it to bypass our two betting steps asymmetrical plan for long.

Thinking that everything will show up anywhere and anytime is reasonable; thinking that the R/W ratio will always deviate towards the W side (where it's more difficult to spot valuable R more probable sequences) is not only impossible but also never happening in practice.

At the start of the shoe we'd assume the R/W ratio should be 3:1, then we must act accordingly to what the actual shoe is producing.

More on that later

as.

So, if I read this correctly, if I purchase $1000 of something called "BlockDag" now, when it actually launches I'll have $5,000,000.

Swell.  Where do I sign up?

AD

Thx albalaha. I've researched some/ will study some more over the weekend. This one may have some merit.




Continued Success,

"At gambling, the deadly sin is to mistake bad play for bad luck." – Casino Royale (Movie)   

it is the newest thing in the crypto era and being projected as new earning opportunity at its prelaunch stage. If we search about it, we will see hundreds of articles over this in various blogs, e-newspapers etc whereing it is being claimed that it has got an earning potential of 500x, 1000x and even upto 30,000x from the current price offered at this prelaunch stage. Too good to be true. It is being termed as an evolution stage of crypto, from blockchain to DAG and now blockDAG
   However, I do not buy such claims that it will go so high, otherwise every rookie will become a billionaire by putting a grand into it. When millions of people try to earn from a definitive way of earning, it can not go as fast as it is projecting. I would still take a small bet in it to see how it works in future. Any idea/experience of BlockDAG? It is openly saying that it is at $0.004 now and will launch at $0.08