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Glen's => Wagering & Intricacies => Topic started by: alrelax on October 12, 2025, 05:06:32 PM

Title: Mistakes & Best Defensive and Offensive
Post by: alrelax on October 12, 2025, 05:06:32 PM
I can write all day long about each one, but for lack of input from all the readers here, I'm going to restrain myself and just outline what reminds me of advantaged play with a little guideline chart that I have for myself.

Most Mistakes/Mistaken

1). Play too long
2). Chasing losses
3). Chasing a singular win
4). When it's there, you fail to wager and/or pump it up
5). When it's not (NOT) there, you fail to stop
6). Constantly increasing Bankroll and Buy-in amounts
7). Failure to have a rock solid M.M.M.
#8).Failure to Reset and/or abide by your Tier/Plateau 

Best Defensive & Offensive

1). Keep game relatively short
2). Believing it will all change soon if you are 100% alert
3). Change your responses to be in control, you create what happens with your wagering and no one else does
4). Long term strength is M.M.M. applied and used as a protocol along with your emotions recognized and controlled while applying
5). You do not have to have all the knowledge and experience
6). Gear your mind towards the shoe, not a limited event(s) to occur or reoccur


Discover and align yourself with the various (1) Protocols - (2) Opportunities and (3) Reality of what a shoe presenting itself offers.  (4) Be Careful, (5) Be Conscious and (6) Be 100% Unbiased. Not easy but if you remember those you will give yourself true advantages IMO and experience.
Title: Re: Mistakes & Best Defensive and Offensive
Post by: AsymBacGuy on October 12, 2025, 08:50:23 PM
That's a very interesting topic I'll make my comments later.

as.
Title: Re: Mistakes & Best Defensive and Offensive
Post by: AsymBacGuy on October 13, 2025, 02:45:32 AM
Most mistakes/mistaken

1) Play too long

If one thinks to play with an edge it doesn't matter how short or long are the sessions played, providing that the mental focus isn't declining for fatigue or bankroll status issues.


2) Chasing losses

Yep.
Card distributions are totally insensitive of our bankroll status and statistically speaking it's slight more probable to collect more losses after losing than to recoup everything or something already lost.


3) Chasing a singular win

Sooner or later we'll have to stop a losing sequence, that doesn't mean to chase losing streaks that can last 10-12 or more hands in a row.
3/4 of the times, winning is a clustered W affair, so there's no reason to bet when a L streak keep showing up or (more importantly) when wins come out as isolated.   

4) When it's there, you fail to wager and/or pump it up.

Here the problem is knowing "when is there" but the main factor why casinos keep collecting more money than expected by the HE is because players will be particularly aggressive when losing but cautious (or overly aggressive) while winning.

5) When it's not (NOT) there, you fail to stop
 
Excellent point.
Whenever it seems we're not guessing right a single hand, stay put and don't bet a dime.
Wait several hands before betting again or, even better, wait for the next shoe to be dealt.
The concept that every shoe dealt is beatable is a total complete bighornsh.i.t.

6) Constantly increasing Bankroll and Buy-in amounts

Another good point.
It takes a robust and verified long term W/L ratio before thinking to raise our standard bets as the house is constantly getting the favorite math side.

7) Failure to have a rock solid M.M.M.

In our opinion and after having verified a kind of an edge (and natural deviations), the best move to take is flat betting the maximum limit at the table. Or what we consider "max" in relationship of our bankroll.

#8) Failure to Reset and/or abide by your Tier/Plateau

Here we disagree.
We do not want to insert subjective factors into the game, unless affecting our future strategy (but since we've ascertained an edge we know that any kind of subjective adjustment will be worthless) 
 
Best defensive and offensive

1) Keep game relatively short

Good point if intended as short betting options into the realm of results.

2) Believing it will all change soon if you are 100% alert

One of the paramount factor to transform a loser into a possible winner.

3) Change your responses to be in control, you create what happens with your wagering and no one else does

Best advice ever.

4) Long term strength is M.M.M. applied and used as a protocol along with your emotions recognized and controlled while applying

Again, flat betting is the only way to ascertain a kind of long term advantage.

5) You do not have to have all the knowledge and experience

We completely disagree about this point.
Baccarat is a very complicated game needing years of experience and study to be possibly "resolved" on long terms.

6) Gear your mind towards the shoe, not a limited event(s) to occur or reoccur

Absolutely true, providing to assess the limit of average intervention.

as.