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Forums => Baccarat Forum => Topic started by: alrelax on October 19, 2025, 11:41:47 PM

Title: Reality Vs. Fallacy
Post by: alrelax on October 19, 2025, 11:41:47 PM
IMO and Experience, there is considerably more to the game of Baccarat than bet placement with the attempt to understand the statistics appearing in some type of mechanical order. 

With that said, you have to indulge in the substance and the reality of the game, not within the façade and fantasy as the majority of players do.

The reality in substance is that anything and everything in any order can happen with its own non-scheduled and out of order regularity.

Arranged 'Sporadicity' versus Derangement.  Most believe they can figure out 'what's due next' but the problem is, the shoe's presentments do not subscribe to anything.

DO NOT SUBSCRIBE TO THE SUBSTANCE OF STATISTICS.  YOU MUST GET IN THERE AND CREATE REALITY THROUGH WAGERING WITH THE ACTUAL GAME AND WITHIN THE ISOLATED CURRENT SHOE.

There is a difference in casino gambling research, textbook, statistical results and testimonials as compared to the reality of actual gaming for the possibility of winning funds or the loss of your risk capital.  Huge difference because in research, textbook reading, reviewing results and testimony, you do not lose money.  There are also no emotions and real-life consequences as well. 

The difference and the reality along with the limits of it, will govern your game, it has to. There is no other way about it. Your money is your governor, simple and period. Your money, whether it is your bank roll or just your buy-in, your win at the table, your loss at the table with your remainder available, all governs the reality you encounter. The true reality for the smart players, is a real sliding scale at the table while you are playing. There are no two ways about it, IMO. As far as Betselection, there are no mechanical and/or structured protocol guaranteed, never has been and never will be. However, advantages can be leaned towards in the long run.  But that is extremely individualistic and must be developed over years for those that can define what produces a profit for themselves.

-EV and +EV (in the player opinion/use) should not be classified and used IMO, and I feel extremely strong about that through my actual gaming experience.  Because there are absolutely no guarantees, once you begin classifying as negative or positive EV the frustration for losses as well as the artificial momentums for wins, can both be detrimental to you in countless ways that the highest majority of us cannot control at the table.

Why do I say all of this? Because of the following. Wagering decisions are the interpretation that occurs as a result of a combination of several factors usually. The mind has an automatic tendency to interpret an experience (previous hands) or series of experiences, (past in relationship to now) and your attitude while you subconsciously attempt to consciously analyze the data from within the experience you were wagering upon.  And at the table that is extremely difficult in itself, you are analyzing based upon what the casino desires you to (currently) and the past several hands, etc.  Scoreboard, scorecards, note taking allowability, etc., etc. 

It may seem to you that your mind is simply trying to figure out the experience (current happening), but actually it is screening  for evidence to support the decision you were/are clinging to in order to make your wager. And what you were/are clinging to and what the presentments coming out of the shoe will be, are two entirely different events. That is why you need to realize what the shoe is presenting and leave all of your feelings, desires and statistics out of your wagering decision making process.

However chances are, and what is totally -EV to you and ultra profitable to the casino much greater than 50% of the time/wagering, is your mind being clouded by strong emotions of the moment. Hence, frustrations for losses as well as the artificial momentums that usually quickly fail for continued wins.

There are ways to heavily combat in your favor those -EV events as well as curtail the greater than 50% of the time, your wagers will not total greater than your losses.

You either figure it out and get it or you do not and realize it's a dead end.