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Messages - alrelax

#4111
Quote from: WorldBaccaratKing on October 27, 2014, 05:52:14 PM
. See, a system you have to play it the same way every shoe, otherwise, if you use judgement, it isn't a system. Systems do NOT involve DISCRETION.



Exactly, 1.000%! 
#4112
Weak shoe.  I chart it the other way from the top going down.  Regardless.  There are only 57 or so hands so I will assume the beginning is just that and I rarely play the whole shoe anyways.  Stop with a shoe like that around hand 40 to 45.  So charting it the way I would, I would have played to hand 42 where it wound up with the 3 players repeating. 

I know I would have wagered second line bets and if I did all of them I would have won 13 and lost 8 until hand 42.  I know I would have wagered to cut at repeat #4 based on the shoe 'semi' consistent until the first mini run of 4.  If the 4 came about out of the blue, I would never wager to cut.  I personally have a tendency to win several smaller wagers and throw it all in and I probably would have done that around the 4th consecutive second line successful repeat.  I don't flat bet, never.

Without being there I can't really say as I already implied.  However if I played only double repeats I would have won 26 and lost 16 if I played them all. 

If I played other things besides what I mentioned above I would have either broke even or lost on the 42 hands.  If I stuck to my gut ad had the same gut as I do looking at it---while at the live table I would have done well.

I can't say honestly how I would have done on that shoe, it's not a great shoe in my likings.  I am 100% sure I would have stopped at 1/2 way through. 
#4113
Baccarat Forum / Re: I sat down to write a book
October 27, 2014, 03:49:45 PM
Quote from: Lung Yeh on October 27, 2014, 02:34:42 PM


Kudos to Glen for his humility reinforced by his subtle arrogance. Love your
style

It's a NYC thing, it hails from the Bronx.  Jerome Avenue.  LOL.  If you'd never been there you have no idea.
#4114
Off-topic / Re: Preamble
October 27, 2014, 03:20:54 PM
Devil's advocate.  If it's 'not certain' as you say, then what good is it.  It is still a hunch, a maybe, a might do this or a might do that outcome. Stay well, keep up the great work! 
#4115
Weddings / Re: Profit sharing with me
October 27, 2014, 01:42:13 PM
Quote from: esoito on January 14, 2014, 12:02:06 AM
If this keeps up then poor Weddings will wonder why he ever bothered with his offer in the first place!

Yes, yes. I know. Due diligence and all that. Very important.  But if you start with just a 5 quid/dollar/euro stake you're hardly going to lose the house.

If it's a scam (I don't think it is) then aren't there easier and more lucrative ways to defraud people?

And if it's a scam then Weddings has had infinite patience during his membership here before chucking out the groundbait.

Trouble is, everyone is basically so gun-shy because of all the scams that proliferate the internet that it makes it difficult to discern when an offer is genuine and OK.

But isn't it worth kicking in a small stake -- perhaps the cost of a hamburger -- if only to see what happens? 

If you think not, then keep your powder dry and walk away. Nobody is being compelled to do anything.

At the end of the day it's your choice.

Does anyone know the story about the famous (infamous) attorney in New York City named 'Marc Dreier'????   He sold over $700 Million Dollars (USD) of real estate promissory notes from huge real estate developers in Manhattan that were worth Billions of dollars themselves.  Only problem was, all the promissory notes were fake, forged and not from the Billion dollar real estate developer.  It sure looked like a great deal to the hedge funds and investors buying them. 

"......Marc Dreier was the sole equity partner owner, controlled all of the firm's finances........."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marc_Stuart_Dreier
#4116
Quote from: chiraqi92 on August 30, 2014, 02:21:48 AM
I'm up near 400 dollars for about 16 hours of

My guys working around my business here are making from $20 to $30 hr reg time and 2'xs that after hours.  They are getting way more than 40 hours a week. 

No investment of money to lose.

16 Hours for $400 with a possible loss factor.  No benefits, no job security.  That ugly gut wrenching and ill feeling when you lose money you really needed.

Don't glamourize it cause it won't work for most trying it.   

Okay, carry on, hope you win a ton!!!!  Seriously.  Just throwing something out there is all.   
#4117
Quote from: Sputnik on October 27, 2014, 11:32:28 AM
Maybe i am stupid, i am not sure, but i have been around from 2006/2007 to today and i have never seen any winning method for baccarat or roulette.
Yes i have seen members who claim they are winning, but never seen any topic or some one writing about a winning method.
So that is just lies or empty words.

For example:
No one have show proper bankroll management with proper session management with proper bet selection and staking plan that win more then you lose.

I admit that every one is better then me, even if i know i am a very clever gambler.


Cheers

Many a casino management and their peripheral employees count on just that.  There is no winning system and most all regular gamblers lose more than they win.  Otherwise they could not build multi hundred million dollar and billion dollar properties and pay huge payrolls each and every single week.  Period. END OF STORY.
#4118
Baccarat Forum / Re: Ride the Waves
October 26, 2014, 07:47:32 PM
2's and the second line wager is gold!  Chop is gold if you follow it of course and it is a true chop.  When the streak comes and you are on it, it is the same as a climax with a beautiful woman.  Sorry, but absolutely 100% true.  I am talking Midi or Big Table with large wagers. 
#4119
Baccarat Forum / Re: I sat down to write a book
October 25, 2014, 12:01:11 PM
Welcome to my Blog and YES, most definitely.  My email address is ---- for anyone desiring to contact me.
#4120
General Discussion / Re: Global Library of systems?
October 24, 2014, 05:15:43 PM
Quote from: Sputnik on October 24, 2014, 05:05:00 PM
I once read a topic about a guy show post the names of 200 systems - he wanted to trade and non of the 200 system made him a winner.

Not 1 valid rock solid system to clock the casino in a library of 200?????  Wow, blows my mind, can't understand that one!
#4121
General Discussion / Re: Global Library of systems?
October 24, 2014, 02:44:51 PM
Never heard of the $35 atm fee yet.  I run front money wherever I play in Vegas, when I escape the property and run somewhere else and need cash for whatever, I hit an ATM with a debit card.  Never been charged more than a couple of dollars.  Unless you are referring to the pick up the phone and get an advance deal, I never heard of ATM's that charge $35.00.  Any megaresort, Bellagio, PH, Wynn, Mirage, all the shopping malls, etc., all have tons of ATM's that will be $1.95 or $2.95 or so. 
#4122
Off-topic / Re: Preamble
October 24, 2014, 01:03:18 PM
Quote from: Bayes on October 24, 2014, 11:24:08 AM


>>>>>>1) However, this objectivity is more apparent than actual. The definition of probability on this view is "The relative frequency of occurrence of an event after an infinite number of similar trials has occurred".


>>>>>>2)The second problem with relative frequencies is that they cannot apply to unique events.

Okay, I do read your 'stuff'.  But here.  Any system would have to have a 'trigger'?????? NO?  And, any systems would have to have that trigger based on something, NO?  Which would have to be past events????? NO?  Although I am no Dr. Spock or Eisenstein, you are basing your decisions on past performance and what has happened.  Although, I will give you, that the other sides or possible numbers have to eventually come up, you are still predicating and that is without certainty.  And that is my point.  No better than 21 year old pimple face Joey from California blowing his $250.00 birthday present his daddy gave him. 

Next, someone will tell me there is absolute truth to Gypsy Fortune Tellers.   [smiley]aes/thinking.png[/smiley]
#4123
General Discussion / Re: Global Library of systems?
October 23, 2014, 11:05:19 PM
Oh don't get me wrong, I would definitely read through it, there are lull's at work too.  But seriously I would!  After all I am not growing spinach in a swamp yet while playing the accordion or whatever the Floridian remarked.

I always have something constructive to do like cleaning up sulfuric acid or formaldehyde or up righting a tractor trailer lying across the interstate.  LOL. 

Got to go, my accordion is waiting out in my spinach patch. [smiley]aes/joking.png[/smiley]
#4124
General Discussion / Re: Global Library of systems?
October 23, 2014, 10:04:30 PM
Better get a lot of extra cyberspace to warehouse that one! :nod:
#4125
You are spot on about the doubles, but don't leave about 6 to 12 times chop.  After 3 is spotty and four does cut a lot.  If you are on a run the old school way was to wager heavy, one once and pull down the winning.  After it, you can not lose.  Leave the wager until the run cuts.  That's all I have to say.