3 units a shoe is nothing to sneeze at. Keep up that win rate and gradually increase the bet size with winnings.

If win rate is 52%, out of 8000 bets, W is 4160 and L is 3840 for a net gain of 320 units and not 160 units. Out of 4160 win bets, 50.6% bets, i.e. 2105 bets would have been made on Banker. The commission is 105 units. Net gain is 215 units for 8000 bets at 52% win rate.

Hi spartacookie,

Thanks for posting your money management. You bet 1 unit 7 times. If the overall is -3 (5L vs 2W), you increase your bet to 2 units. If you win the first 2 bets, you are now -3+2+2=1 unit. Some people will reduce the bet to 1 unit, since you are +1 unit and start all over with 1 unit for the next 7 bets.  But in your method of play, you continue to play with 2 units for the next 5 bets. If you win the next 5 bets with 2 units, your win will be 1+5*2=11 units. If you lose the next 5 bets, your net will be 1-10=-9 units and you will increase your bet to 3 units. Bankroll of 400 units is required for your aggressive style of betting.

What is the maximum bet you have made so far and the maximum drawdown? Have you lost your 400 units ever?

Know what you can't do, and you will know what you can do.

This is the original version.

Try https://imspirit.wordpress.com/tag/baccarat-code/

If your win rate is 52.47% and 51.2% is break even, your advantage is 52.47-51.2=1.27% rounded to 1%. As per Kelly Criterion always bet 1% of your bankroll rounded to the nearest five. If you start with $3000 your bet will be $30. When the bankroll is greater than $3250 increase bet size to $35. If the bankroll is less than $2750 decrease to $25, and so on. Always bet 1% of bankroll rounded suitably.

Usually how many hands you need to see at the start to determine that it is a choppy or otbl shoe?

In macrogambling, the long run is the period when the loss adjusts fully to the house edge in contrast to the short run when the loss does not reflect the house edge. In other words, in the long run death and house edge are inevitable.

I have modified my earlier Table. The corrected Table is given below:

B   
B   P    L     A1
B   P    L     A2
P   B    L     B1
P   B    L     B2
P   B    L     B3
B   P    L     A1
B   P    L     A2
P   B    L     B1
P   B    L     B2
P   B    L     B3
B   P    L     A1
and so on

B
B   P   L   A1
B   P   L   A2
P   B   L   B1
P   B   L   B2
P   B   L   B3
P   B   L   A1
P   B   L   A2
B   P   L   B1
B   P   L   B2
B   P   L   B3
B   P   L   A1
and so on.......
All bet selections will lose at 1.15%, flat betting, and this bet selection is no exception.

Wish you success in your endeavor. Perhaps you can match your full time occupational income, by slowly increasing the bet size as you gain more proficiency.

O/R (Opposite/Repeat) count will indicate if the shoe is chopping or streaking.

After WLWLWL you already lost the first 3 bets in the progression and now you have to bet the fourth bet in the progression.

Soxfan progression requires two consecutive wins in 11 attempts. This is not easy to achieve. For every parlay win there are three losses. Actually with HA the parlay losses will be slightly more than three. At every bet level for every win there are 3+ losses and the losses at higher bet levels will be more.

I believe in precognition and some people with subjective bet selection can achieve a parlay hit within 11 attempts. For those not gifted, this is a dangerous progression.