Menu

Show posts

This section allows you to view all posts made by this member. Note that you can only see posts made in areas you currently have access to.

Show posts Menu

Messages - KungFuBac

#1
Wagering & Intricacies / Re: Timeless Lessons
February 21, 2026, 04:37:14 AM
Good list.


"...There are basically 14 presentment trends,.."

What are the 14?  thx in advance.


".. Change your responses. The presentments will not change your wagers. Your wagering must change and conform to the presentments..."
    I concur.

"...be super careful of bringing today's societal aura of 'Instant Everything' to the bac table...."

Yes indeed. The key IMO regardless of how one may choose to attack the shoe:
Patience/Discipline and be willing to watch/wait for that EV+ spot. There may only be a few (3-5 spots) in many shoes.


Continued Success,


#2
I concur.
Unfortunately, for the current NewYorkers that whole area of NY(all five boroughs including Manhattan) is increasingly becoming an unlivable cesspool. The political nonsense, lawlessness, no consequences for crime, taxing the working folks(to give free stuff) to the free loaders has even bled over into surrounding areas. Such as N Jersey(Bergen County),..etc. The one question I would like the media to ask Mandami when he comes up with another FREE social program is : "Who will pay for this?".

Ok back to baccarat.

I wish all New Yorkers the best going forward.
#3
General Discussion / Re: Gambling Quotes
February 21, 2026, 04:17:19 AM
If variance makes you uncomfortable, the problem usually isn't the game. It's the size, the pace, or the expectations going in.

Most mistakes start when people try to "fix" variance instead of adjusting their structure.

Originally posted by u/Unhappy-Badger-7464
#4
Key points of article:
"...
Hackers demand $1.5 million in Bitcoin after claiming to steal 800,000 internal Wynn Resorts employee records
The stolen data contains sensitive personal information including Social Security numbers, salaries, and birth dates.."


Down the road Wynn will settle with the victims/ admit no guilt or negligence,...etc. . They will pay the victims about $50 (the value for ones SS#, DOB, Personal Income,...etc). IMO victims should always sue as individuals.


https://www.casino.org/news/cyberhackers-claim-wynn-resorts-breach-demand-1-5million-to-stop-data-leak/
#5
latest update on 2/19/26. Link below.

Title: "Nevada Rep. Titus uses long-shot maneuver to push forward stalled gaming tax deduction bill"

Im glad the battle is continuing and politicians like this Nevada Rep Titus are continuing to fight. This taxation on losses is asinine. I do believe this will eventually get changed back.


https://cdcgaming.com/brief/nevada-rep-titus-uses-long-shot-maneuver-to-push-forward-stalled-gaming-tax-deduction-bill/
#6
I think Ms James has far bigger concerns at the moment. She is still facing additional charges for real estate loan fraud, et al charges coming down the pipeline, allegedly.


https://www.casino.org/news/new-york-ag-james-warns-consumers-on-prediction-markets/
#7
Link below.

I seldom ever go the theatre. However, I might watch this(or at least catch it on netflix). Stallone typically produces A+ movies so that alone will make it a good bet.

I went to see "Melania" recently. A fantastic movie. I had forgotten that theatres offer a nice experience. It had prob been at least a decade or more since I had actually gone to a movie(at a theatre)


https://cdcgaming.com/brief/stallone-to-produce-tv-series-about-benny-binion-birth-of-modern-las-vegas/
#8
Good thoughts VLS. "it's worth remembering how much small wins can compound over time, too..."

A tiny compounding increment can really get the snow ball rolling downhill. One can find alot of good intel on compounding by studying Euler(or just thoroughly examine ones properties' amortization schedule).

In my opinion one should utilize some form of compounding in every thing we do at the tables. I compound every winning wager(sometimes not very much). We never know if our winning streak will occur (X current wager placement/immediate W streak , X shoe section, x shoe, X the day, or x the week, month,...etc).


Thx VLS as I  always value your thoughts(especially on MM and bet sizing). I wish you had more time to comment more often as you have a lot of expertise. I've read alot on your roulette site.



May the wind be at your back throughout the new year,kfb
#9
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
February 03, 2026, 03:29:04 PM
Thx Asym/appreciate u taking the time to elaborate.

I've enjoyed the discussion with Whatswhats. I like your examples  on the 3/3+  with your Asym/Sym context. I know several players that look at your 3/3+(though with a slight twist). I will comment more on the 3/3+ as I think its an important topic.

    I like that and also find other specific placements EV+(Especially when we can find >=2 EV+ bet placements meeting at the same junction at the same time. that's where Im more likely to deploy my higher-pressed wagers.


"...This finding (there are quite more of them) emphasizes the importance of studying shoes coming out from the same source and that around the globe there are very acute players trying to get a kind of an edge whatever intended as the person we've met during our sessions..."

    I try to profile each casino I play. One may be surprised as it seems casinos have slightly different shuffling procedures. Even casinos within the same chain. I do not know why sometimes but the data doesn't lie. Maybe its just Variance-of-shoe-shufle. One of my casinos has been generating the same profile for almost 8 years. Even if I never figure out WHY(I can still take advantage of this profile).


"...It's way more interesting to assess that this finding promotes an unsound math plan as all bets are placed at P side..."

    Good point. It is my opinion that although P vs B will approach 50% it is the dispersion of results that create this placement on P(that u suggest above). It seems P has a slightly differently personality (vs B) in how it disperses (primarily around the 1iar and 2iar).

   

"...Shoes are coming out from the same shuffling machine brand, even if working at different casinos (!).

That's not the only finding promoting a kind of univocal betting placement, just one of the easiest.

Unfortunately (and probably this is a possible added value of it) a nearly half of the shoes dealt are unplayable at least for this specific attack. Then only one bet is suggested per every playable shoe..."


    I concur/ feel it would be good training for a player to set in fromt of two consecutive shoes taking notes for bet placement(Yet not make a single wager). Patience/ Discipline coupled with MM is the ticket my friends.


Continued Success,
#10
KungFuBac / Canada at Par w currency exchange in vegas
January 25, 2026, 10:26:11 PM
Link at bottom.

The short summary from anthony curtis las vegas advisor:

"...to encourage Canadian tourists to return to the city. The program, which runs through August 31, 2026, allows Canadians to pay for select hotel stays, beverages, and gaming at a 1-to-1 currency exchange rate (CAD to USD), offering a significant discount compared to current exchange rates. Key Details of the "Canada at Par" Program: Participating Properties: Circa Resort & Casino, the D Las Vegas, and Golden Gate Hotel & Casino. Duration: Valid from January 22, 2026, to August 31, 2026. Hotel Stays: Canadians can receive the "at par" rate at check-in, meaning the USD room rate is charged directly in CAD. Gaming: Guests can redeem up to CAD$500 in slot promotional play at a 1-to-1 value by visiting the Club One desk with a valid Canadian ID or passport   ..."


This could give our Canadian neighbors an opportunity. I play with two poker players that use to live near Detroit and would monitor the currency exchange rate daily. Often the true strength of a countries currency (compared with another countries currency strength) isn't stated accurately by the financial industry. They said often the currency exchange rates true benefit would be less than 1%. Even <1% could be very lucrative(doing it daily or every few days,...etc).


https://www.lasvegasadvisor.com/forums/deals-comps-coupons/canada-at-par/page/1/#post-484147/
#11
Tried-and-True Money Casino Gambling Management Techniques

I agree with most of the authors' suggestions.
re: Stop Loss and Stop Win.

Stop Loss:
Personally, I do not rebuy into the same shoe after busting a buyin. I do go get another buyin but will select a different shoe, go to different casino, maybe take a restroom break/walk around 15-20mins,...etc.

What is interesting is when I bust a buyin it seems I will bust another within a few shoes or days and often that second bust in close proximity will have a Net-(i.e., meaning it had not earned itself once).

Recently I had gone about 9 weeks without busting my buyin(very long for me). It busted and a short time later( a couple days later) it busted again with only a 19% win of itself. Most busts that are Net- I seem to at least have profits of 60%--80% prior to bust.

Stop Win: Personally I do not think we should have a Stop Win. Simply implement a trailing loss (similar to investing in a stock or precious metals,..etc). One never knows how long the current winning trend will last(shoes, days, weeks, months,..etc).



https://www.888casino.com/blog/gambling-management-tchniques
#12
Alrelax's Blog / Re: Gambling Science
January 20, 2026, 07:06:36 AM
Good post/ I will quickly respond with some quick thoughts. Then respond/elaborate more at a later date.

For the most part many of the general statements above would be considered mostly accurate for the average(i.e., most typical) gambler. Meaning the gamer that wagers nearly all hands dealt, balls spun, dice tossed, every day, and continuously to perpetuity. This average gamer is the type that does not record data, doesn't study or try to improve ones skills, ...etc/ 20-30 years later is still at the skill level as year one. For this type of gamer I say most of the above assertions about ruin, h.e., ...etc are mostly accurate.

re: H.E. I agree with the above about how small H.E. add up. The same is true when the player has an edge. Even when a player does not always have a H.E. the player can still go on significantly long and massive winning streaks. Meaning prior to seeing the casinos' written-in edge start to show as (+) for them.

It is my opinion the player has many options and tools the casino does not possess. One main advantage for the player is the fact the casino must offer the game 24-7.

The player can play(or not play) as much or little as one desires.

The player can play very few (or many) hands.
Players can select only the hands more favorable to the player.
Players select how much to wager in each spot and the casinos' only option is to match it.
A player should think of the casino as a robot that's only allowed to match our move--this alone gives us many favorable options. If it wasn't for low table max bets a larger-funded player could bust the casino(especially if one knew how much liquid assets the casino could access quickly).


IMO one of the main advantages the casino has is the option to select(limit) the table max bet. If it wasn't for the casino limiting this(Tmax) I perceive we would see many of the poorly managed casinos go bust. Just like the players do that exhibit poor money management skills.

More later /have a good week.kfb

#13

20 College Basketball Players Indicted in Federal Point-Shaving Case

Who could have seen this coming? Stay tuned to this story as more indictments are in the pipeline.

Key points to story: "...  U.S. Attorney's Office for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania on Thursday announced the indictments of 20 recent men's college basketball players from 17 schools for allegedly attempting to fix games via performance manipulation in the 2023–24 and '24–25 seasons. Officials say 39 players from 17 teams attempted to fix 29 games. The feds also filed charges against six other people associated with the scheme, including former NBA player and college standout Antonio Blakeney and individuals who worked as personal trainers or AAU coaches. ..."

20 College Basketball Players Indicted in Federal Point-Shaving Case

https://www.si.com/college-basketball/20-college-basketball-players-indicted-in-federal-point-shaving-case
#14
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
January 12, 2026, 06:51:41 AM
Hi Asym.

"...Obviously when in doubt betting towards the deviations will be a minor mistake than wagering to have that deviation to stop..."

    I think this is the optimum approach for most events. 


Q: Approximately how many events(i.e., Betting Spots) do you consider in most shoes?


Q:What is your typical deviation-from-expectation requirement for betting into that spot? For example do you look for events that lets say occur four times per shoe. Then after say 60% penetration (with -0- occurrence) in the shoe you start wagering for that event to occur  after the first stages of said event have shown?
    OR 
Are you more likely to only wager on events that lets say only occur every 3.5 shoes?


Thx in advance.


#15
Hopefully they will fix this(i.e., revert back to previous rules).

Good news for slot players is the $1200 cutoff(for jackpot payouts generating a form) has been raised to $2000 >1/1/26. This change doesn't affect me as I don't play slots (or if I do its only when required for free play).


https://cdcgaming.com/brief/house-rules-committee-blocks-fair-bet-act-leaving-2026-gambling-tax-reform-uncertain/




Continued Success,
Continued Success,