I do not wager every hand Albalaha.  I wager 20-30 hands on a good shoe if I'm winning after the first 5-10 or so.

I employ 1/3rd-1/3rd-1/3rd when I win a couple of parlays with the win money.  If I am winning, I cannot give back all of my win.  If I am losing before I win, I will lose a portion of my buy-in before I stop and wait for another shoe or change tables.

Ref win.  $500 wager.  Win, next bet $1,000.  Win next next $2,000.  If I lose, I lost $500 from my risk capital of the buy-in.  If I won I am up $3,500.  I will then employ my 1/3rds with the $3,500 to continue.

I shoot for a few double parlay wins during a Section of a shoe.  I am more successful than not in completing it.  One time completing that will give me 'free' ammunition, non buy-in funds for the additional attempts.  It works for me far greater than failing me.

But, I do not wager every single hand.  If I play out a series of a Section, I might go down to half of my base wager for several consecutive hands as well.

I also set up wagers on Panda 8s, Fortune 7s, Blazzin 777s and Heavenly 9s for the side bets.  Those have been good to me over a period of time.

Pro Basketball Hall of Famer Chauncey Billups, former NBA guard Damon Jones and nearly three dozen co-defendants will stand trial beginning Nov. 2, a federal judge said Wednesday.

https://www.espn.com/NBA/story/_/id/48103259/trial-date-set-chauncey-billups-others-rigged-poker-case

I respect what you are saying.  However, without seeing an actual scoreboard I get lost in W's and L's. 

I have done extremely well with parlay wagering (pos progression) but I do not employ it every wagering opportunity I encounter.

Possibly you are referring to every hand wagering in a mechanical style, I don't know?

In answering the member's question, Asym said the following:

"Mathematically it doesn't make any difference but in practical terms it's more likely that each player will lose more money by playing for 24h straight than by 24 separate 1 hour sessions as at short sessions players will try to preserve more their winnings (for example by not raising too much their bets, lowering the profit goal, betting few hands).  Of course such a consideration doesn't stand if a player will always and invariably play a rigid scheme (as a robot as you sayed): results will be in line with the tested strategy." 

Yes correct in most cases.  IMO and experience, long term ANYTHING wagered in mechanical form will nearly 100% of the time lose.  Mathematics is irrelevant at the bac table playing a bac shoe.  The order of presentments can not be decided with any accuracy whatsoever.  Sure, there are great advantaged spots and clumps to be wagered upon within sections of a shoe, but those DO NOT REPEAT THEMSELVES after they occur.  Simple and done.

And in addition Asym said: "In a word and for the considerations made above, a propensity should work at "limited" ranges of intervention where no natural variance could destroy it.  Obviously if such a propensity exists (and it does) it'll be slight distributed as miracles cannot happen.  In conclusion, just hundreds of shoes dealt could tell us whether a possible propensity affects the results, especially (that's our "model control") everything else will be somewhat balanced."

Absolutely.  "Limited" ranges of advantaged wagers are totally possible.  But those IMO will be selected by a conscious player, non-mechanical and sporadically.  And where I disagree with Asym is flat-betting.  I do not flat-bet when my "it is there advantaged wagers are winning", I begin my banging it out pattern of parlay wagering.  I do not care what happened in a prior shoe of play, I do not care about what might happen in future shoes of play if I continue my session, etc., etc.  I only care about what I am sitting in front of and wagering at the instant and real time.  Period.

Clustered and Isolation will always be present in 99.99.9% or higher of all shoes played.  Always, Always, Always.  Equalization is the heaviest and most advantaged event a conscious and open minded player can recognize.  But, problem is the change up appears without any sort of regulation and schedule.  It has to or the game would not be there.

There are a few saying and phrases that are commonly used at the table, that I read on other internet locations that are usually mistaken.

"Checks Play". Normally used to alert pit that a larger unusual variance in bet amount was just placed.

"Bilking".  Used in joking around about cheating. Usually casino taking players money or sometimes the opposite.

"Player Takes".  Dealers knowingly can tell player has more than table maximum and generally asked for or dealer doesn't want to break down the wagered amount. But the person will only get paid the table max if wager was won and will be returned excess chips if that wager was lost.

"In Play Betting". Meaning placing an additional bet while an event is actually happening, during a hand. At bac never allowed.

"Cold Table". Very subjective term. The highest majority of people are repetitively losing. Of course it won't always stay like that and you will hear that depending on how many people were playing and how many people lost over a certain amount of time. Never anything set as to any amount of time that determines when a table is or was cold.

"Hot Table". Very subjective term. The highest majority of people are repetitively winning.  Of course it won't always stay like that and you will hear that depending on how many people were playing and how many people won over a certain amount of time. Never anything set as to any amount of time that determines when a table is or was hot.

You can Google just about anything now. It's been that way for a number of years, but not really during the good old days of infamous big table bac.

You know, sit down and think about it. You cannot download
bac experience. You cannot download bac failure. You cannot download bac struggling. You will get opinions and twisted definitions or explanations from either inexperienced and possibly a few experienced players.  Most people will not be able the decipher between wrong and right, disadvantage and advantages.  But you cannot download them and be able to absorb them into your body.

The real learning my friends is called, Blood, Sweat and Tears!

Yes, you can't learn from the Internet, Googling, Wiki, etc. But the real experience, gut feelings, knowing what how and why certain events almost always occur, and so much more, you can only build up from once again, actual experience.

You said, "The only way to theorize a possible baccarat vulnerability relies about a "bias" affecting the successions, meaning that each result is not perfect independent and so randomly placed than what we think (or instructed to think of); of course and most of the times such a bias cannot reach values capable to erase and invert the HE, otherwise it would be too easy to beat the game."

PERFECTLY STATED!

Along the same lines, when it is there, it is there, just bang it out. No matter what it is. Whether it makes sense (in correlation to what should happen or not).  And that is why so many people lose.  Because they are too busy writing something on their scorecard or pointing to the scoreboard that makes no sense as to what is actually happening.

You said:  "....winning big at a single session or at few sessions almost always is a sure sign of future disaster or, in presence of a verifed edge, a sign of a more likely impending negative deviation;

Unless you engage in a rock solid MMM plan with Levels and Plateaus you believe in, that govern your post-winning play, etc.  I have written about and detailed out my MMM plan that is one of my largest proven advantages.

I have/numerous others have written about, future sessions played after big wins, are extremely tough to replicate and until we all realize that fact, those future sessions are seriously'Booby-trapped'. 

What a total scum bucket!  Should have a uniform when he goes to jail with the embroidered words, "Police Chief who lied and stole".

Attorneys should have a field day with countless cases being prosecuted by his department.


https://www.newhavenindependent.org/2026/02/20/arrest-warrant-chief-bet-4-4m-online/


Click below to read the actual affidavit with tons of detailed info in it, including money bet, wins and losses from online gaming concerns:

https://www.newhavenindependent.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/2600005814_Redacted.pdf

Quote from: KungFuBac on February 21, 2026, 04:37:14 AMGood list.


"...There are basically 14 presentment trends,.."

What are the 14?  thx in advance.

Yes Sir, IMO and Experience:

Chop-Chop
Doubles
Triples
1s & 2s
1s & 3s
Streaks
Naturals Cut
Naturals Stick
Ties Cut
Ties Stick
1 Side Heavy Building 3rd Card (Repetitive)
1 Side Extreme Reduction 3rd Card (Repetitive)
Equalization
1 Side Complete Domination (with singles occurring from opposite side)

Take them to heart, ignore them, call me silly, recognize them and explore, whatever floats your boat as the saying goes.

But, I will tell you one thing.  My years of playing bac have ultra reinforced me to believe in and abide by the following:

* A shoe in time.  Is relatively short.

* Nothing is guaranteed.

* Everything will change again. The good or bad situation is here now, it changes. There are basically 14 presentment trends, most of all appear in most all shoes. Picking one, two or even three of those will be suicide.

* Change your responses. The presentments will not change your wagers. Your wagering must change and conform to the presentments. Huge difference.

* You will NEVER have all the answers.

* There is NO HOLY GRAIL.  Period!

* Be super careful of bringing today's societal aura of 'Instant Everything' to the bac table.  It will bite you the highest majority of the times. 

If I sit down and really think about the government of NYC, having spent decades there and across the river in New Jersey (with businesses in NYC) I would encounter anxiety, heartburn and depression in relation to the taxes, license and permitting process and general everyday rules and regulations. 

The lady is off the wall with extreme 'off the wall-weirdness' and she should have an affair with Mamdani.  In fact they should both be at the receiving end of those infamous NYC midtown adult bookstore glory holes. 

Sorry if I offended anyone here, but after all I am the Administrator and Owner of this forum. 

Respectfully,
Alrelax, Glen

California cardrooms anticipate thousands of layoffs as gambling rules change.  Operators may be forced to drop blackjack and other table games due to new state rules that they say favor tribal casinos

"A banked card game is a type of gambling game in which players place bets against a central dealer, known as the banker or house, rather than directly against each other.

Cardrooms — like the Gardens Casino — are state-licensed venues that, under state law, may only offer player-banked or peer-to-peer games — or tables where players play against each other, not the house.

Bonta is now saying California laws on banked games must adhere to the federal Indian Gaming Regulatory Act of 1988 and California Proposition 1A passed in 2000, according to the California National Indian Gaming Association. However, the cardroom industry disputes the tribal gaming industry's legal interpretation of these laws, saying that Bonta's rules could disrupt its business model.

Pai gow was the first card game using a player-dealer position in the cardroom industry in 1983.

Outsourced player-dealer services— or third party proposition players as they are known in casino parlance — came in 1990. An outsourced player-dealer service is a licensed independent company, not the casino itself, whose employees play in cardroom table games to ensure they remain active and filled, acting as a neutral party like any other player in the game."


https://www.presstelegram.com/2026/02/15/california-cardrooms-anticipate-thousands-of-layoffs-as-gambling-rules-change/

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/two-indian-american-men-indicted-for-allegedly-using-3000-stolen-identities-to-defraud-online-gambling-sites-of-3-million/articleshow/128077490.cms#

Asym, I highly respect you and your long term standing here as "one of the best", without any doubt whatsoever!

However, personally and in my 4 decades plus of live B&M play experience all over the USA on all kinds of tables.  I could never engage in flat betting protocol as a mechanical and set wager amount.  I do flat bet, but for a few/several hands at most. 

As far as "sessions", again I found that each 'time' I play, once or twice a week on the average, each time is a session.  That allows me to seclude and focus more on what is happening.  The same with this subject as flat betting for myself.  Better focus, less remembrance of past loss, patterns, trends, and all the other things that go along with our play, admittedly or not.

So I have a definitive play scheduled limited to each and every time I play.  Win, lose or draw.  Half a shoe or three shoes.  My play continues of course, but I am more aggressive and clearer frame-of-mind when each and every "session" is brand new and secluded with a new beginning and a finite ending. 

As far as the Bankroll and Buy-in.  I learned a long time ago the following.  Risk approximately 10-15% of a Bankroll and replenish any previous losses immediately, maintaining the same Bankroll. 

If I go out of town, I would take several days Buy-in from my Bankroll to allow continued play if I had losing sessions.

I swear this looks like one of the cooks (the style anyways) at the one we go to in Kansas City after the casino. 

"I love how he clicks the spatulas to calibrate them before scooping up food".

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=-uZksEpFuGI