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Messages - Albalaha

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Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Holy Grail of Gambling: Essentials
« on: March 02, 2021, 05:47:08 am »
Kungfubac,
You might be new to forum world(or might be there with some other name) but are a sensible looking person. Increasing or decreasing bet alone is not a way to win. Increase and decrease should be logical and able to sustain variance till its virtual limits. Every known progression lacks in that side and becomes useless.
       To make a difference, we need to be innovative and keep all fallacies aside.
      You might approach me via email discussing the weaknesses and strengths of your strategy, only if you feel like. I might be of some help.
More later.

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Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Holy Grail of Gambling: Essentials
« on: February 24, 2021, 04:49:26 am »
Holy Grail of Gambling: Essentials, Part 2:

#8. Play in cycles. One cycle completes when you get a Win. Remember, it might not be a net win though. For example, LLLLLW, here a W after 5 successive losses ends the cycle.

#9. In any cycle, first three bets are the most crucial. You may either pause your bets for the cycle to end with a W or bet minimum possible there.

#10. Do not ever try to push your bets to recover losses due to one or more successive bad cycles like LLLLLLLLLLLW or LLLLWLLLLWLLLLLLW . Play ahead as if nothing of this sort happened to you.

# 11. Free up your self from all the fallacies like after a very bad run, you will get a compensatory set of wins.

#12. There is nothing like patterns that you can exploit. Gizmotron preached this fallacy for long. Every pattern that you see running so far, could reverse while you start to bet in favour of it or could carry further if you go against that. Both are randomly equally likely.

More later.....

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Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Holy Grail of Gambling: Essentials
« on: February 24, 2021, 03:50:41 am »
There is nothing like Stop loss or Stop win. You can call your day at any moment you feel like.
Actually, unless you have a set formula to play in the long run, you will always rely upon luck and will think of "hit and run" type failed ideas. All these failed concepts evolved due to the uncertainty and lack of a vision for the long run. Even heard of a money management approach for long run? No.

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Albalaha's Exclusive / Holy Grail of Gambling: Essentials
« on: February 23, 2021, 05:04:06 am »
I thought of never writing back on any of the forums but finally decided to give my inputs on the most controversial topic on gambling. Can there be a way to beat the game? Answer is Yes but it is subject to certain issues:
1. House edge should not be excessive. Baccarat is the best bet, in my humble opinion. Even European roulette/French roulette doable.

2. Betselection doesn't matter, be it static or dynamic, all has the same yield and expectancy in the long run as provided by probabilities they carry and the house edge they bear.

3. Bet limit on EC bet should be atleast 1-100. Although one seldom need to bet over 10 units.

4. A net win could be achieved even in the very first bet but we should always expect to win in the long run and play accordingly. In an EC bet, as per my own estimates and researches, even the worst of the worst could be overcome and a net win could be achieved within 15,000 trials.

5. Stay away from all foolish money managements available for centuries. They are meant to handle only one type of variance. Remember, increasing or decreasing bet alone doesn't make you winner. There are more to it to become an HG.

6. Stop loss doesn't help. One should rather be able to totally forget abnormal losses and should understand that they are part and parcel of the game.

7. Increasing bet from 1 to 2 is 100% increase in the bet while 2 to 3 is only 50% and so on even after increasing bet we keep losing the efficacy needed. This should be kept in mind and answered correctly.

More later..............


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General Discussion / Re: New forum version / Rebuilding
« on: February 19, 2021, 06:18:50 am »
Good to see the new look.

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Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: My concluding post
« on: June 03, 2020, 05:04:31 pm »
Good luck Guys. Have fun and take care. Good bye to all.

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AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
« on: June 03, 2020, 07:12:10 am »
Tomorrow I'll discuss nonsense topics as "quit when you are ahead", "secure a profit", and the more intriguing "stop win or stop loss", all "human factors" that cannot alter in our favor the natural flow of the game.

as.
              Only a strategy meant for long run works that can cater to the worst and the best alike. "Quit when ahead" or "stop loss or stop win" could only be a strategy for ending a day's game and nothing else. It does not make you a winner, in any manner. Do remember, you can not predict what will happen in your next session.

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Who among us plays live dealer baccarat on a daily basis? I am looking for a team of real players( even one will do) who has experience online and prefers live dealer baccarat. Please name the casinos where you play(PM me if you do not prefer to disclose that openly). Had it been my choice, I would have asked Victor, Lungyeh, asymbac and even Alrelax (I know he hates online gaming) to make a dream team. Only known members may approach me. This forum has been very silent for long. Let's make some noise.

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Online Casinos / Re: The reality of on-line casinos
« on: May 30, 2020, 03:30:19 pm »
I do play RNG roulette in ................. as well as live dealer one in other casinos. I have never played baccarat RNG and believe most of the baccarat players opt live dealer than RNG.
Quote
the result of a decision ( player or banker in baccarat, or the spin of a roulette wheel etc ) is not dependent on the hand dealt by a deck of cards or the spin of a roulette wheel, but the result is determined by the RNG and the cards or the roulette ball is displayed according to the result of the RNG

Result of a decision is always random irrespective of your expectations be it RNG or real casino. RNG can manipulate is an easy excuse for losses. If you win in the long run in real casinos and RNG makes you lose forcibly, cursing RNG could be justified. Further, online casinos do not just have RNG for roulette and Baccarat but live dealer too with common results for all.

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Seems the results are good on the horror if just betting ONCE only after wLL...?

A.
            Nothing works for all cases to avoid variance but betting too much after third consecutive loss doesn't look good or even wise enough.

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Online Casinos / Re: The reality of on-line casinos
« on: May 30, 2020, 05:25:21 am »
On line casinos are nothing different than landbased casinos at fundamental level. Those who can not win decisively could blame that very easily. So far as unregulated casinos are concerned, they should be avoided. Apart from predatory RNG they do have payment related issues too and could easily avoid paying and answering too.
                I have experience with over 300 online casinos wherein I have played with over 50 casinos for long stretches of time and found them non problematic except certain hiccups. So far playing RNG is concerned, it can easily be manipulated. If we talk of live dealer ones, specially to play baccarat, I would anytime prefer them for landbased ones. It could be my own perception based on my experiences. I found landbased casinos more offensive and unfriendly for a regular player specially if he wins regularly as well. Those high rollers who go to casinos for entertainment and do not mind losing some money, land based casinos are the best place to play. Fun of a real casino is not comparable to any online casino.
               If someone is looking to play online there could be certain parameters that has to be evaluated beforehand. They include the mode and speed of deposits and withdrawals, their limits, issue of banning winners, internet stability while playing, maintenance etc.
In nutshell, randomness is common among all and unless one knows how to win in the long run, he has same fate be it online casinos or landbased real one.

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I would just say that the drawdowns were nothing horrible with both 6 units and 12 units max bets. Max bets were used very sparingly.

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IF I RAISE THE MAX BET LIMIT TO 12, THE SAME SESSION FINISHES IN NET PROFIT, FAR EARLY: 35 WINS VS 53 LOSSES
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ANOTHER SESSION:  93 WINS VS 120 LOSSES:
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Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Players Edge against the house
« on: May 27, 2020, 12:23:32 pm »
Hi Albalaha, is the sentence (in red) a key consideration when you design the MM? Are there any tips/hints to leverage on this when we design MM? Thank you for your guidance.
            Yes. Absolutely. We need to focus most on that span only where we are destined to win 90% of the times, for sure. We can opt to pause over that, that is what most people opt or may bet flat 1 unit, if pausing is not feasible. I prefer later. Mind it, this rule will cause occasional losses too but help in the long run. Mini stop losses (I have elaborated in details ) and absolute stop loss help us handle extreme as well. I have left enough hints to help anybody make his own personal grail. I still believe there could be some better ideas but none will share them.

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