DON'T FOLLOW THE NORM.....BE DIFFERENT!

Tools for the mind are truly unlimited. Research-learn-absorb-discuss-practice.

No matter what you think, you have to think outside of the 'NORM'.

It is not what a computer can do.
It is not what a product or system can do.
It is not what stats or their results prove or show can or cannot be done.

Because, you are going to be wagering on a limited number of hands per session. 

It is solely dependent upon you to go around the walls that project themselves because of the history that allow them to stand without challenge and strange belief by assuming those are correct and can be easily applied. They cannot, never in any way, shape or form, no matter the twists you believe will make them work with uniformity and consistency.

You cannot with the minimal amount of effort succeed by applying a simple trigger when you see the 'point' coming. It will not work. It never has and never will. Why? Because your effort is without true knowledge and experience. And you need both to make it past the countless hurdles that will present themselves. Once you realize that, you've learned more than the average player playing for years and years.

50% means nothing, zero, zip!  Instant time, no advantage. Carryover to wait, also means nothing. Math stats and obvious happening patterns/trends means nothing past the current hand or two or several that just happened. Don't fall in the same rut most all players do, losing 5-7-9 or more hands to win just a few.

With the game you can certainly get a complete shoe of the obvious. Meaning, 1s, 2s and 3s, combinations of chops and every repeating three or four, cuts to the opposite side. But when you see it and don't wager for it, wait a bit, it's too late. Does not continue. Hence sections/turning points.

"The Perfect Expected Results". What so many fail to realize or do not want to realize is, what is actually happening.  Again, WHAT IS ACTUALLY HAPPENING. Which is, A Section Vs. Redundancy that results in fallacy.  A downfall that will eat your bank roll with fierce hunger.

The truth is success does not come by accident. It comes from consistent hard work in pursuit of a dream. It comes from passion that drives you and it will also come from consistently and diligently employing some key habits that position you for greatness.  This success comes from an innate desire to win. Gambling is by far the hardest and most toughest profession out there!  Do you know why? Because it involves you controlling your emotions. And it involves controlling your thoughts when you're in the zone and you're down financially. Do you have the patience and skill to keep it together mentally when you're losing so much on the table? Can you walk away and come back the next day, just as strong and win twice the amount? See, when you lose your mind, you lose your money! Big-time. Surely there must be a winning attitude and habitat that winners religiously apply right?  Is there?  I've considered this for a long long time. I've studied the great minds of the best gamblers out there, through books and other writings, because I was sick of losing my hard earned money! I was sick of cursing my luck and blaming others for my losses. The difference between you and Patrick Veitch or anyone else that has made millions from gambling is their state of mind. They think and do things differently, they have that winning attitude! Richness comes from the mind, not from the pockets!

Your success will be an extension of real knowledge and experience into the game of baccarat or whatever else you are playing to win.

My closing is this. Forge ahead and paint in vivid colors, not in black-and-white or in numbers.

Asym, as I highlighted in my summation, "how psychologically our brain functions play a much larger part of wagering and interpreting the baccarat shoe and its presentments than most can ever imagine."

This IMO is the underlying reason the highest majority of bac players lose or give back their winnings in pursuit of greater immediate winnings. 

One must (MUST) understand with a deep, clear, conscious thought of their ingrained psychological habits I outlined above and then be able to combat those with perfect clearity at the the table. NOT an easy thing to do,  but hey-winning money is the same as hard work.  NOT EASY.  If it all was, the games would not be there, the casinos would not be there, and so on. 

People are lazy.  People want to read a few forums, watch a few imbecile crazy fallacy YouTuber's, grab a few hundred dollars, believe there are guaranteed triggers and hit the casino. They have some off-the-wall fallacy about turning that into thousands and repeatedly doing the same, session after session after session. 

As I have admitted, I believe you have also () and others have on this forum, "Not a surprise knowing that 100% of keen bac players have lost their a$$es at the tables."  100% HONEST AND SPOT-ON, high five my friend. 

As well, by my writings I have gained numerous advantages, learned countless things I was doing wrong and improved my psychological aspects of play.  One of those that I accomplished was a conscious ability to employ positive progression while interfacing each hand along with acknowledging those 3 habits and my Money Management Method. 

Good thread.

Al wrote: The bottom line is, while you cannot totally control what is happening, or about to happen in front of you, you must control yourself by the way you respond to what is happening or just happened.

That's a very good rule of thumb and our general answer, when in doubt, is to bet very few hands.
Obviously there are many specific guidelines to follow as well that more or less are framed in the "hoping for the best but expecting the worst" picture.
This seems to collide with the #2 point (The habit of your inner resistance) but it doesn't if one has verified a long term edge that must be adapted to the actual outcomes.
Laboratory tests are made by a way greater speed than live shoe results and this leads us to do a lot of mistakes at real tables, especially when we're losing.

Then:
1). The Habit of Expecting Things to be a Certain Way

As you sayed, this point is very subjective.
We'd guess that at least 95% of bac players hope for limitless positive deviations, 4.99% "wrongly" confide about 1-step long term math/statistical data (B>P, B/P average ratio, etc) but only the remaining 0.001% (an optimistic percentage, I know) are really able to understand and more importantly exploit the intricacies of the game.
"Expected things" need a moderate/huge hands volume to be exploited, providing one had carefully tested and measured why his/her edge comes from.

2-The Habit of Your Inner Resistance

Not a surprise knowing that 100% of keen bac players have lost their a$$es at the tables.
The game is conceived to make the players to lose no matter how smart or st.u.p.id or aggressive or cautious they are.
If a coin flip proposition (No HE) cannot guarantee a player to be ahead after X hands, let's imagine what happens after several trials of betting when the ROI is constantly 0.9894:1 or 0.9876:1.
In a word, this factor is important to be "ignored" after having assessed to play with a verified long term edge, even though we all know that most "no edge" players are particularly prone to raise their bets while losing and being particulary prudent while winning (an asymmetrical detrimental attitude).

3). The Habit of Focusing Only on What Is/Was Wrong

This is a very important factor to be constantly aware of.
When things are not going to our favor, we should evaluate what are the probabilities that future patterns will fit (or not) our plan and now our brain must be particularly focused about NOT losing more hands than promptly recovering the actual losing status.
It's here that most money is lost by the intervention of what we call as "compounding error" even if the first hands were lost by natural variance.

as.

Worth Reading:

The expansion of gambling across the world has casinos doubling down on offering free play to gain and retain customers, but those incentives have drawn the attention of fraudsters setting up syndicates to take advantage of properties, and tribal casinos are among those leading the way to stop it.


https://cdcgaming.com/casinos-tackling-rising-slot-advantage-play/

Hey Albahala, I came away with +19 units.

290 decisions
107W
183L
I made 124 bets. 54W and 70L
Max bet 7 units.
Played Labby and paused betting after 3 L's in a row and resumed betting after a WW or WLW.

P.S. I went back and read all your post on the different forums and have learned a lot. Wish you would post more often.

1. Roulette and Randomness: The Imbalance BehaviorRoulette outcomes are statistically independent—each spin is not influenced by the previous one. Despite this, over short periods of time, streaks and imbalances are entirely possible, simply due to the nature of randomness.Imbalance Growth:

   
In roulette, imbalances can theoretically continue to grow, but there are practical boundaries. The idea of an imbalance continuing forever is unlikely due to the law of large numbers. The longer you observe, the more likely it is for the results to approach the theoretical expectation (e.g., 50/50 distribution for black and red outcomes).
Small Sample Sizes: In smaller windows or sub-windows, streaks and significant imbalances are more common because there is less time for randomness to average out.
Large Sample Sizes: As the number of spins increases, it becomes more likely that the results will converge toward the expected average (e.g., roughly half red and half black outcomes).
2. What is Most Likely to Happen After an Imbalance?If you observe an imbalance that meets a strong threshold in a given sub-window, the most statistically likely outcome is that over time:

   
The imbalance will eventually correct itself.
This is not guaranteed immediately after the imbalance is detected, but rather over the long term.
The mean reversion effect indicates that the probabilities for underrepresented and overrepresented sides will stay the same for each subsequent spin (i.e., still 50/50 for black or red, regardless of the previous streak).
However, because you are focusing on a specific sub-window and aiming to identify mean reversion within the next window of the same size, what happens next is driven by a few important points:

   
Immediate Correction: Statistically, once an imbalance has been detected, the system may be more likely to see events favoring the underrepresented side, simply because the event itself (e.g., more reds than blacks) is currently underrepresented. This is not a rule but rather a statistical trend when considered over time.
Continued Imbalance: It's also possible for the imbalance to continue growing further before correction occurs. Sometimes, randomness favors streaks of one side (e.g., reds) beyond what you might expect. This is often called positive autocorrelation—one streak leads to more of the same in the short term.
3. Practical Limits on Imbalances: Can They Grow to Infinity?In theory:

   
An imbalance can continue growing indefinitely in a purely random system since there is no inherent memory and each spin is independent.
In practice:

   
The Law of Large Numbers: Over a very large number of spins, the imbalance tends to even out, and deviations decrease in proportion to the total number of spins. The average difference between the actual outcomes and expected outcomes converges to zero.
Gaussian Distribution: For sufficiently large spin counts, the outcomes tend to fall into a normal distribution, meaning extreme imbalances (more than ±4 or ±5 standard deviations from the mean) become extremely rare.
4. Likelyhood Limits: Observations and Real-World RecordsThe concept of how far an imbalance can go is crucial, and there are some real-world scenarios and records to consider:

   
Roulette Records: Observations from real casinos have shown that streaks of the same color can sometimes reach 15-20 consecutive spins. The probability of getting 20 consecutive reds or blacks is approximately 1 in 1,048,576 (since (1/2)20(1/2)^{20}(1/2)20). However, this can happen and has been observed. Even streaks of 24 consecutive reds or blacks have been reported.
Famous Example: One well-known anecdote took place at a casino in Monte Carlo in 1913, where black came up 26 times in a row. This event was so notable that it led to a psychological effect called the Gambler's Fallacy, where people assumed that red was "due" and bet heavily on red, leading to massive losses.
Practical Imbalance Limits:

     
In practice, when looking at smaller sub-windows (e.g., 25 spins), it's rare for an imbalance to grow beyond ±5 in terms of standard deviations.
Typically, if you measure écart as the difference between occurrences divided by the square root of the total number of spins in the sub-window, an imbalance of ±3.0 or more already indicates a significant deviation, which would suggest a high likelihood for a reversion or correction.
5. Implications for Betting Strategy: What Should You Expect After an Imbalance?

   
Imbalance Limits: While an imbalance can theoretically grow indefinitely, it's practically limited by the behavior of randomness, which tends to revert to the mean over time.
Correction Expectation: After detecting an imbalance, the most probable event is that the system will move toward correction. This doesn't mean an immediate correction will happen in the next few spins, but statistically, the longer the imbalance exists, the more likely it is to revert.
Considerations for Strategy:

   
Threshold for Action: Once an imbalance is measured above ±3.0, the expectation is that a correction is more likely than a continued imbalance growth. Thus, betting in favor of the underrepresented side could be a reasonable approach.
Record Limits: Given that extreme imbalances are observed but rare, the strategy could include watching for thresholds such as ±5.0 before betting aggressively, considering that these situations are less likely to persist.
Summary:

   
Imbalances Can Grow: Imbalances can grow to surprising extents but are practically limited by the nature of randomness in large numbers.
Return to the Mean is Probable: After a significant imbalance is detected, a return to the mean is statistically more likely over time.
Real-World Imbalance Limits: Observations in real casinos show that extreme streaks (e.g., 20+ consecutive outcomes) are possible, but very rare.
Strategy Implication: If you detect an imbalance above ±3.0 in a sub-window, it's generally more likely that a correction will follow rather than the imbalance growing further without limits.

day2, 20 triggers. 132 units profit.

you know it is good if it comes from me. Also, it is clear and explanatory.
...and free.

day 1. 13 triggers. 90 units profit.

I don't engage in these or study these types of questions.  But I like the gist of the 'adventure'.

Thanks for posting, hopefully you get some productive answers.