Hi asym, hoping everything is fine!

I have two question.

1.
First sequence every I/C is a shoes right?

2.  With B/P successions what you mean exactly? Any B/P successions or what?

Exactly, but more often than not patterns will prolong or stop at some detectable points especially if we'd run the same situation infinite ways.

For simplicity say we're taking care of the very first S pattern happening per every shoe dealt.
We'll stubbornly bet that that first S pattern will be come out as isolated (A-S) instead of being clustered (S-S...)

Here's a "short" list of real shoe results (I=isolated S pattern, C=clustered S pattern) according to a specific random walk:

I
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
C
I
I
C
C
I
C
I
I
I
C
C
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
C
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
C
I
C
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
C
I
C
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
C
I
I
C
I
C
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
C
C
I
I
I
C
I
C
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
C
I
C
I
I
C
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
C
I
C
I
I
I
C
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
C
I
I
C
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
C
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
C
C
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
C
I
C
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
C
I
I
I
I
I
I

I'd guess that it wouldn't be so difficult to get an advantage of such succession even if you are changing the sequence by all the possible permutations coming out in your mind.

Make things easier and let's see what'll happen at the same shoes just considered by mere BP pattern sequences:

I
C
C
I
I
C
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
C
I
C
I
C
I
C
I
C
I
C
I
I
C
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
C
I
C
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
C
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
C
I
C
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
C
I
I
C
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
C
C
I
I
I
C
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
C
C
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
C
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
C
C
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
C
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
C
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
C
I
C
I
I
I
I
C
C
I
I
I
I
C
C
C
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
I
I
I
I
I
C
C
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
C
C
I
I
C
C
I
I
C
I

Such "simplest" succession seems to be quite similar to the previous one, but in the process of building it we accounted for a way higher number of 2-step winning situations than 1-step situations, so suggesting that BP asym/sym feature needs a relative higher number of hands dealt to privilege the asymmetry.
This finding should suggest us that whenever we take the simple BP succession as the "main line" to rely upon, most asymmetrical impact will show up, on average, at the second step meaning that we'll get more wins at the 2-step than at the 1-step.

as.

The 2 states I am between the majority of the times, there are no Waffle Houses.

Although when I am in or around Kansas City for work or casino, there are!  And in fact I/We will even break from a casino to go one nearby to eat! 

Love them, always did and always will!

Rolling High

Walking through the casino, cash in my pocket
Feeling bold, All hundreds, Buying in let's go
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Rolling high with BetSelection, the real deal in my hand, Slamming down those natural 9s, just like I planned
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EZ, 5 Treasures, Macau style, it don't matter how they play
When the cards are dealt just right, they all turn my way. 

Rolling high with BetSelection, the real deal in my hand, Slamming down those natural 9s, just like I planned.
In a world of glitz and glitter
It's the truth that shines bright
BetSelection my guide in this thrilling night. 

It's what it's all about, under the neon skies
Facts and figures, no disguise, no more lies
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BetSelection by my side, Always Always Forever
Feeling the rush, a roller coaster ride. 

From Atlantic City to Las Vegas
From Connecticut's largest to Los Angeles' crowded
From South Florida's Hard Rocks to the Midwest
Been there and played most all without much changing
The amazing Asians, wonderful Whites and
Let's not forget a few other nationalities
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One thing for sure that is guaranteed not a loser
Same as a natural 9 and you know what I mean
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High five, fist bump, big hugs for those huge wins

Rolling high with BetSelection, the real deal in my hand, Slamming down those natural 9s, just like I planned.
In a world of glitz and glitter
It's the truth that shines bright
BetSelection, my guide in this thrilling night.

And we worked on this one for awhile:

Baccarat Bonanza

Slamming cards on the felt, the lights shining bright,
Risking it all under the neon night,
Bets going down, the chips stack high,
This is the casino, where dreams never die.
Swiping my card, feel the rush in my veins,
Exchanging dollars for chips, breaking the chains,
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Oh, Baccarat bonanza, luck on my side,
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Asian players stare, shaking heads in doubt,
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Natural nine vs a natural eight,
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Oh, Baccarat bonanza, luck on my side,
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Oh, Baccarat bonanza, luck on my side,
Slamming down nines, ready for the ride,
Dealer's jaw drops, can't believe his eyes,
Winning hand after hand, I'm reaching for the skies.
Asian players stare, shaking heads in doubt,
But this game's for all, let me hear you shout!


With cash in my pocket, I'm leaving my mark,
In the heat of the game, igniting the spark,
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Step into the light where the chips all gleam,
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You wrote, "Conversely, playing towards low levels of presentation will suffer from the inevitable strong deviations.
In the meanwhile HE adds more damage to our bankroll.

The same about betting half of the hands dealt or 1/3 (or more) of the hands dealt.

If you stay away from betting you are not losing anything, I don't recall any long term winning player betting more than few or very few hands per shoe."

I wrote,  "Expectations are extremely dangerous to a player. By expecting presentations to be a certain way you are removing yourself from the reality of the shoe. 

If you remove yourself from expectations of what should happen/ occur and how it should, you become impartial and more open to the possibility of what the shoe will produce.  You pay attention in a different perspective that will be to your advantage.

BAC is complex and your awareness is crucial to profitability. Expectations are great in planning and armchair quarterbacking, but at the table they are extremely dangerous and bankroll drainers in every aspect whatsoever."

More in my thread I wrote just before you wrote the above I quoted.


https://betselection.cc/index.php?topic=12019.msg73214;topicseen#msg73214

Besides of the strategy employed, when we play every hand we'll get an inferior number of long winning streaks than long losing streaks for the simple reason that most patterns get a low level of univocal presentation so making difficult (impossible) to be more right than wrong.
Conversely, playing towards low levels of presentation will suffer from the inevitable strong deviations.
In the meanwhile HE adds more damage to our bankroll.

The same about betting half of the hands dealt or 1/3 (or more) of the hands dealt.

If you stay away from betting you are not losing anything, I don't recall any long term winning player betting more than few or very few hands per shoe.

Make an experiment and register how many times you would have won or lost if you were to bet every hand, then half of the hands dealt and so on. The different W/L lines will esponentially get better results in inverse relationship of the betting frequency (HE discounted).   

The AS/S "scheme" is an example of that.
Despite of being very slight unfavorite to proportionally come out over S patterns by mere quantities, A patterns are generally more manageable to be forecasted just because at baccarat clusters of something are slight more likely to happen for card distributions and rules issues.

On the other end, if S>A, 1-step A winning ranges must be more likely included within short ranges so making more room to the slight likely S patterns happening at the 2-step.
And when a S cluster had shown up in the actual shoe there's a slight probability it will repeat again, so restraining us to wager toward getting the future S as isolated.

oOoOo

Since we are strong believers that the only way to ascertain an advantage is by flat betting, say we want to collect many fictional players working for us and wagering different A/S situations.
The basic assumption we rely upon is the AVERAGE RANDOM card distribution.
Obviously and even though it appears as somewhat complicated, that's just a simplified version of what we're actually using at the tables.

Player #1 will be responsible of the mere 1-step A situation, he will register how many consecutive times he would have won or lost the first attempt and is set up at -3/-4. Meaning that he will advice us to bet in order to reverse ONE TIME that negative range.
It's true that the same specular positive cutoff value (+3/+4) should be more entitled to reverse toward the negative field, but after reading Alrelax valuable suggestions and knowing that actual shoes are not so randomly distributed we preferred to let it go a positive amount without betting or possibly riding the positive 1-step wave (see below)

Player #2 will be responsible of the 2-step A situation, acting by the same guidelines seen above for the Player #1.

Player #3 will take care of the A clustered appearances (so full betting the two steps) knowing that isolated A coming out in a row, despite of being relatively rare, are more likely intertwined by S isolated events.

Player #4 is the one supporting long term data telling us that A clusters longer than three vs A clusters of exact lenght of three (A3+:A3 ratio)  will be distributed by a super high balanced ratio favoring a betting towards A3+ patterns. There are several options to exploit this feature, for sure a strong negative variance is very very very unlikely.

Notice that I haven't included in this simplified plan the S shape appearance, at least by direct terms.
First, it doesn't make much sense to be so interested about a 0.25 probability distribution.
Second and more importantly, actual shuffling machines seem to make more probable S clusters giving us no valuable insights to assess their average impact, mostly as their production is not random.

BTW, there's a reason why Player#1 and #2 won't get precise cutoff values (-3 or -4 and +3 or +4), let's wonder why. 

as.

Hey!  If it's Christmas morning there's only one place for me to be.

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