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#41
Dozen/Column / Re: Anyone still use this foru...
Last post by ADulay - April 01, 2025, 05:28:48 PMHaven't been following the Roulette game lately but I'll take a look at the Nolley Molly play and see what it has to offer.
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#42
Dozen/Column / Anyone still use this forum??
Last post by RouletteDevil - April 01, 2025, 06:09:26 AMIf anyone out there who still uses this forum, anyone playing the Nolley Molly on the dozens?
#43
Civil & Criminal Topics / Re: How Do You Protect Yoursel...
Last post by ADulay - March 31, 2025, 07:06:49 PMI should think that this article was written by some kind of AI or some other stuff.
Missouri's gun laws give the owners of various establishments the "right" to post signs prohibiting firearms on the premises but MUST be displayed in an official manner. If not, one only needs to ask the offending person to leave.
If they leave, no harm, no foul and the owner can further restrict the offending person as they see fit.
Sticking a gun into the back of a player in front of casino patrons seems so far fetched that if true, all three "security" officers should be fired and the guy sticking the gun in the back of the player should be sued.
There are laws for drawing a firearm, especially for security guards, and that was way out of line.
Which brings me to the start where I said this is probably a made up story to go with the article.
I can guarantee you that if some security guy jams a gun in my back because he saw my holster at the bac table, I'll be owning the table's profits for the next 20 years.
Andy
Florida class "D" security license
Florida class "G" armed security license.
And a whole bunch of other gun related licenses from many other states that most people don't even know exist.
Missouri's gun laws give the owners of various establishments the "right" to post signs prohibiting firearms on the premises but MUST be displayed in an official manner. If not, one only needs to ask the offending person to leave.
If they leave, no harm, no foul and the owner can further restrict the offending person as they see fit.
Sticking a gun into the back of a player in front of casino patrons seems so far fetched that if true, all three "security" officers should be fired and the guy sticking the gun in the back of the player should be sued.
There are laws for drawing a firearm, especially for security guards, and that was way out of line.
Which brings me to the start where I said this is probably a made up story to go with the article.
I can guarantee you that if some security guy jams a gun in my back because he saw my holster at the bac table, I'll be owning the table's profits for the next 20 years.
Andy
Florida class "D" security license
Florida class "G" armed security license.
And a whole bunch of other gun related licenses from many other states that most people don't even know exist.
#44
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable ...
Last post by AsymBacGuy - March 31, 2025, 04:02:34 AMAt baccarat the definition of asymmetry and symmetry is particularly intricated for several reasons:
- the model is slight asymmetrical at the start (B>P)
- the model is affected by a huge first-step asymmetrical distribution of cards, specifically of key cards
- the model is affected by a huge second-step asymmetrical distribution of third(s) card(s)
- the model is finite and dependent, meaning that each situation (hand dealt) won't cross through the exact same parameters.
Overall and simplifying the issue, we might infer that symmetrical events are just "incidents" made along the way.
After all statistics give us plenty of examples where asymmetry will lead over the symmetry, the latter now intended as a steady expected probability happening for long.
Actually at baccarat there's no symmetry involved other than by coincidental factors and when some low levels of asymmetry are surpassed, more often than not a slight subtle force will shift the results in order to deny a kind of "balanced" results.
Therefore the rule to follow is expecting "low levels of asymmetry": whenever this rule seems to be "violated" best action to make is staying still (no betting) or to wager that the lowest levels of asymmetry will remain as silent.
After all we have strong reasons to think that cards are randomly arranged to get more asymmetrical patterns than symmetrical patterns and when this isn't true is just for a temporary and coincidental short term effect.
Examples of typical asym or sym patterns
ABAA = asym
ABA = sym
AABBB = asym
AABBA = sym
AAABA or AAABBA = asym
AAABBB = sym
Overall we could accept the idea that asym=sym, yet we should be more interested about how many sym events will shift into asym events or vice versa and, more importantly, at which level of asymmetry or symmetry. Per every shoe played.
Now we might use a formula based upon that asym-asym > asym-sym; sym-asym > sym-sym for the most probable asymmetry/symmetry levels of apparition (0, 1 and 2).
We know that an asym/sym/asym sequence lasting for long is the least occurence to happen and the same is about long sym/sym successions.
The remaining probability world is what we should be interested to focus about as proportionally taken (remember the 0.75 probability to happen) asym/asym..., sym/asym and sym-sym/asym patterns are way more probable to naturally come out so maybe enticing (I've sayed "maybe" as a simple flat betting scheme will get the best of it) a multilayered progressive scheme actioned by one or more two losing sym sequences happening at different sections of the shoe.
Assigning a 0.75 general winning probability to a asym/sym independent model, the average expected W/L ratio is 3:1, so unbeatable for the vig or P asymmetrical probability.
In reality baccarat slightly endorses the asym patterns formation in the way that each asymmetry level will be more probable than the symmetry counterpart.
Naturally the sure asymmetry will make coincidental symmetrical patterns along the way, that's why we have to restrict their appearance by assigning or not them to a more likely sequences category.
I know, that's all rattlesnake.sh.it.
Fortunately.
as.
- the model is slight asymmetrical at the start (B>P)
- the model is affected by a huge first-step asymmetrical distribution of cards, specifically of key cards
- the model is affected by a huge second-step asymmetrical distribution of third(s) card(s)
- the model is finite and dependent, meaning that each situation (hand dealt) won't cross through the exact same parameters.
Overall and simplifying the issue, we might infer that symmetrical events are just "incidents" made along the way.
After all statistics give us plenty of examples where asymmetry will lead over the symmetry, the latter now intended as a steady expected probability happening for long.
Actually at baccarat there's no symmetry involved other than by coincidental factors and when some low levels of asymmetry are surpassed, more often than not a slight subtle force will shift the results in order to deny a kind of "balanced" results.
Therefore the rule to follow is expecting "low levels of asymmetry": whenever this rule seems to be "violated" best action to make is staying still (no betting) or to wager that the lowest levels of asymmetry will remain as silent.
After all we have strong reasons to think that cards are randomly arranged to get more asymmetrical patterns than symmetrical patterns and when this isn't true is just for a temporary and coincidental short term effect.
Examples of typical asym or sym patterns
ABAA = asym
ABA = sym
AABBB = asym
AABBA = sym
AAABA or AAABBA = asym
AAABBB = sym
Overall we could accept the idea that asym=sym, yet we should be more interested about how many sym events will shift into asym events or vice versa and, more importantly, at which level of asymmetry or symmetry. Per every shoe played.
Now we might use a formula based upon that asym-asym > asym-sym; sym-asym > sym-sym for the most probable asymmetry/symmetry levels of apparition (0, 1 and 2).
We know that an asym/sym/asym sequence lasting for long is the least occurence to happen and the same is about long sym/sym successions.
The remaining probability world is what we should be interested to focus about as proportionally taken (remember the 0.75 probability to happen) asym/asym..., sym/asym and sym-sym/asym patterns are way more probable to naturally come out so maybe enticing (I've sayed "maybe" as a simple flat betting scheme will get the best of it) a multilayered progressive scheme actioned by one or more two losing sym sequences happening at different sections of the shoe.
Assigning a 0.75 general winning probability to a asym/sym independent model, the average expected W/L ratio is 3:1, so unbeatable for the vig or P asymmetrical probability.
In reality baccarat slightly endorses the asym patterns formation in the way that each asymmetry level will be more probable than the symmetry counterpart.
Naturally the sure asymmetry will make coincidental symmetrical patterns along the way, that's why we have to restrict their appearance by assigning or not them to a more likely sequences category.
I know, that's all rattlesnake.sh.it.
Fortunately.
as.
#45
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable ...
Last post by AsymBacGuy - March 30, 2025, 08:56:59 PMHi lp!
Actually things are much more complicated as I talked about A and B events and not about mere B or P hands.
For example a BBBBBB or BBBBBBBBBBBB or PPP or PPPPPP patterns should be considered as asymmetrical (or symmetrical) in relationship of the previous pattern and not by their shape alone.
Therefore BBBBBB could be either an asymmetrical or a symmetrical pattern by what came out previously.
The same about blue/red derived roads or any other random walk you want to utilize.
Then, since each shoe is a world apart, levels of confidence should be approximated by the number and ranges of asymmetrical or symmetrical situations just happened.
Low symmetrical patterns are a general rule, but the actual route must be carefully defined as just one hand could transform an asymmetrical pattern or sequence into a symmetrical pattern or sequence; obviously such thing might happen by an opposite fashion, anyway not constituting the propensity we're really wanting to exploit.
More later
as.
Actually things are much more complicated as I talked about A and B events and not about mere B or P hands.
For example a BBBBBB or BBBBBBBBBBBB or PPP or PPPPPP patterns should be considered as asymmetrical (or symmetrical) in relationship of the previous pattern and not by their shape alone.
Therefore BBBBBB could be either an asymmetrical or a symmetrical pattern by what came out previously.
The same about blue/red derived roads or any other random walk you want to utilize.
Then, since each shoe is a world apart, levels of confidence should be approximated by the number and ranges of asymmetrical or symmetrical situations just happened.
Low symmetrical patterns are a general rule, but the actual route must be carefully defined as just one hand could transform an asymmetrical pattern or sequence into a symmetrical pattern or sequence; obviously such thing might happen by an opposite fashion, anyway not constituting the propensity we're really wanting to exploit.
More later
as.
#46
General Discussion / Made A Decision
Last post by alrelax - March 30, 2025, 05:00:10 PMI have made a decision not to write and post any threads or in any threads for quite awhile.
I will still Admin and monitor all threads as normal.
Thanks,
Stay well,
Alrelax
I will still Admin and monitor all threads as normal.
Thanks,
Stay well,
Alrelax
#47
Civil & Criminal Topics / How Do You Protect Yourself T...
Last post by KungFuBac - March 30, 2025, 04:45:32 AMThe old western world adage: "God Created Man And Colt Made Them Equal."
Of Course referring to Sam Colt(In the mid 1800s he formed what later became Colt Firearms Co.).
A link below showing the best concealed carry weapons for 2025.
*Do any of you put forth extra effort to protect yourselves traveling to/from your casinos. What do you do if you have a large win and must walk or travel to your hotel off premises? Maybe you don't want to leave Front money at that particular casino/don't want a check,..etc. Maybe traveling home at night with large sums of cash? ETC??
Obviously one is not allowed to carry a weapon into a casino(At least not that I've seen in the USA).
**An interesting incident at a casino. Several years ago I was playing at a casino near Joplin,Mo. USA.
This was a small casino and the only two Bac tables were adjacent to the only Craps table. I was positioned approx 20' from the craps table and my view faced most of the Craps players from the front. So I could also see the floor area behind them. There was a large floor area and all of a sudden I see three large security guards walking across the casino floor. They were rapidly approaching /toward the backside of the craps players standing three to each side of the stickman.
I could tell something was about to happen from the focused and serious look on the security officers face. However, I just thought maybe someone had stolen other players chips or maybe a pickpocket had been flagged by security cameras,...etc. The three security officers walked directly behind one of the stuff players without hesitation. One officer on each side of the player and positioned their legs against his and placed their hands on top of players shoulder as if they were going to face plant him over the craps table. The third security officer pulls his gun(looked like a 38 or similar revolver). He puts the barrel into the players back and says: "If you move an inch I'll kill you."
Of course everyone was watching at that point and all table games nearby had suddenly stopped. They secure him against the table/ remove his gun that was in a concealed small-of-back holster(That I guess was showing through his jacket). He also had what looked like a 15" hunting knife on his side in a leather holster. They walk him away after removing his weapons and contents from pockets. I heard later through a dealer the arrested player just claimed he "forgot" to remove his CC weapon. The knife was legal. I recall thinking this is like the old wild west days. Supposedly that casino utilized some sort of metal detection and the main entrance but this guy entered through the parking garage area. I have never noticed metal detectors at this particular casino(To this day). I heard they banned him for 90 days/ he received a fine.
---------------------------------------------------
https://gundigest.com/handguns/concealed-carry/best-concealed-carry-handguns
2025 Best Concealed Carry Guns
I own two of the Overall Top Pick(Sig Sauer P365 9mm CC(Concealed Carry). I find them satisfactory as they are easy to conceal in a belt or leg holster.
Overall Pick: Sig P365
Runner-Up: Springfield Hellcat
Best High-end Carry: Wilson Combat EDC X9
Best Classic Carry: Glock 19
Best Budget: PSA Dagger
Best Carry Revolver: Ruger LCR in .327 Federal Magnum
Best .357 Magnum: Ruger LCRx 3-Inch
Best .380 ACP: Ruger LCP MAX
Best Easy To Manipulate: Smith & Wesson Equalizer
Best Backwoods Carry: Glock 20
Of Course referring to Sam Colt(In the mid 1800s he formed what later became Colt Firearms Co.).
A link below showing the best concealed carry weapons for 2025.
*Do any of you put forth extra effort to protect yourselves traveling to/from your casinos. What do you do if you have a large win and must walk or travel to your hotel off premises? Maybe you don't want to leave Front money at that particular casino/don't want a check,..etc. Maybe traveling home at night with large sums of cash? ETC??
Obviously one is not allowed to carry a weapon into a casino(At least not that I've seen in the USA).
**An interesting incident at a casino. Several years ago I was playing at a casino near Joplin,Mo. USA.
This was a small casino and the only two Bac tables were adjacent to the only Craps table. I was positioned approx 20' from the craps table and my view faced most of the Craps players from the front. So I could also see the floor area behind them. There was a large floor area and all of a sudden I see three large security guards walking across the casino floor. They were rapidly approaching /toward the backside of the craps players standing three to each side of the stickman.
I could tell something was about to happen from the focused and serious look on the security officers face. However, I just thought maybe someone had stolen other players chips or maybe a pickpocket had been flagged by security cameras,...etc. The three security officers walked directly behind one of the stuff players without hesitation. One officer on each side of the player and positioned their legs against his and placed their hands on top of players shoulder as if they were going to face plant him over the craps table. The third security officer pulls his gun(looked like a 38 or similar revolver). He puts the barrel into the players back and says: "If you move an inch I'll kill you."
Of course everyone was watching at that point and all table games nearby had suddenly stopped. They secure him against the table/ remove his gun that was in a concealed small-of-back holster(That I guess was showing through his jacket). He also had what looked like a 15" hunting knife on his side in a leather holster. They walk him away after removing his weapons and contents from pockets. I heard later through a dealer the arrested player just claimed he "forgot" to remove his CC weapon. The knife was legal. I recall thinking this is like the old wild west days. Supposedly that casino utilized some sort of metal detection and the main entrance but this guy entered through the parking garage area. I have never noticed metal detectors at this particular casino(To this day). I heard they banned him for 90 days/ he received a fine.
---------------------------------------------------
https://gundigest.com/handguns/concealed-carry/best-concealed-carry-handguns
2025 Best Concealed Carry Guns
I own two of the Overall Top Pick(Sig Sauer P365 9mm CC(Concealed Carry). I find them satisfactory as they are easy to conceal in a belt or leg holster.
Overall Pick: Sig P365
Runner-Up: Springfield Hellcat
Best High-end Carry: Wilson Combat EDC X9
Best Classic Carry: Glock 19
Best Budget: PSA Dagger
Best Carry Revolver: Ruger LCR in .327 Federal Magnum
Best .357 Magnum: Ruger LCRx 3-Inch
Best .380 ACP: Ruger LCP MAX
Best Easy To Manipulate: Smith & Wesson Equalizer
Best Backwoods Carry: Glock 20
#48
General Discussion / Re: Gambling Quotes
Last post by KungFuBac - March 30, 2025, 03:50:28 AM"STOP doing what isn't working."
-E.B. Tucker (Gold/other financial investments author), Tony Robbins(motivational speaker), et als.
-E.B. Tucker (Gold/other financial investments author), Tony Robbins(motivational speaker), et als.
#49
KungFuBac / Don’t Hate Good Promotions, Em...
Last post by KungFuBac - March 30, 2025, 03:44:11 AMDon't Hate Good Promotions, Embrace Them
A good article about playing more efficiently, maximizing offers, and incentives during peak promotional periods.
https://travelzork.com/don't-hate-good-promotions-embrace-them/
A good article about playing more efficiently, maximizing offers, and incentives during peak promotional periods.
https://travelzork.com/don't-hate-good-promotions-embrace-them/
#50
KungFuBac / Unbelievable Luck: Witnessing ...
Last post by KungFuBac - March 30, 2025, 03:38:54 AMUnbelievable Luck: Witnessing the Biggest Baccarat Wins of All Time
This was a good read. I play with a gentleman that deals Bac in Tunica. I once asked him what was the best win he ever dealt. He said it wasn't the largest ever win but a young guy about 25yo bought in with 3K and in about 45mins walked with 80K. He said the player didn't appear to be following a predetermined system but seemed to be just guessing and relying on intuition. He had never seen this player before or after and he declined to show a players card at buyin.
https://cardpaymentguru.co.uk/biggest-baccarat-wins/
This was a good read. I play with a gentleman that deals Bac in Tunica. I once asked him what was the best win he ever dealt. He said it wasn't the largest ever win but a young guy about 25yo bought in with 3K and in about 45mins walked with 80K. He said the player didn't appear to be following a predetermined system but seemed to be just guessing and relying on intuition. He had never seen this player before or after and he declined to show a players card at buyin.
https://cardpaymentguru.co.uk/biggest-baccarat-wins/