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#41
Wagering & Intricacies / Re: Bankrolls and Buy-ins Keys...
Last post by alrelax - December 22, 2025, 03:21:24 AM
For clarification.  I did not intend to influence people to use what I wrote with wildly or guessing type of consistent betting, etc.

I intended it to be used within a solid M.M.M., and of course, along with some type of wagering as we have discussed whereupon the gambler has advantages. 
#42
Wagering & Intricacies / Re: Bankrolls and Buy-ins Keys...
Last post by AsymBacGuy - December 22, 2025, 02:37:59 AM
Good suggestions for sure (and I really mean it) but without a verified edge the player's bankroll will invariably decline no matter how sophisticated is our MM.

Nonetheless it's very likely 99,9% of the bac players aren't going to follow those guidelines as they will try to replenish the buy-in lost in the previous sessions, often by wildly pressing their bets.
Paradoxically doing so they are lowering the math disadvantage by implementing the 'Bold strategy' that teaches us that at any EV- game the best move to adopt is betting large amounts in just one hand or very few hands.

I mean that if we play with an edge the more we play the more we'll win (so the session concept is worthless), but in absence of an edge MM procedures just dilute the eventual loss of the entire bankroll.

Naturally if every player would follow your guidelines casinos will win a lot less money than they actually do.

as.
#43
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable ...
Last post by AsymBacGuy - December 21, 2025, 09:43:02 PM
KFB wrote:

  I find it helpful to view every shoe(& thus every pattern) from a perspective: What is the expected average and how far has this current shoe deviated(- or +). I view a shoe as a combination of patterns that are always trying to approach their respective expectations(& limits).


I agree.

Example.
Say we could bet when a natural will show up, a kind of side bet where any natural is payed less than its math probability to appear (to guarantee the house an edge, of course).
Well, this bet would be so beatable that actually no casino is offering it. And I'm not talking about card counting 8s and 9s, just assessing the average rhythm of presentation with all related statistical features (gaps, card rank combinations forming naturals, symmetry/asymmetry, etc).

It's obvious that the fact that we don't need to guess the exact side where the natural will fall helps a lot.
Nonetheless what really help is that 8s/9s and natural combinations as 7-2, 6-2, 6-3, 5-4 and 4-4 cannot disappear for long and are in relationship of how many NON naturals had happened in the past portions of the shoe.
Then more shoes are played and registered and various probabilities tend to approach more and more the expected ranges of apparition. 

We could make the same considerations about the asymmetrical hands favoring the Banker side, now being a more complicated issue to be devised as their probability drops from 34.2% (naturals) to 8.6% (asym hands).

Going further, and that's what really interests us, we might take care of B/P patterns and now we're moving the problem into more volatile situations that still must obey to math/statistical laws.
For example we take B/P doubles, the easiest pattern formed by two consecutive hands that 91.6% of the times are the product of 50/50 exact situations.

Now differently than the above situations (naturals and asym hands), we should focus our attention about the consecutiveness of such doubles, therefore we must wait for a first B or P double appearance.
Curiously doubles are the prototype of symmetry.

More later

as.
#44
Wagering & Intricacies / Bankrolls and Buy-ins Keys to ...
Last post by alrelax - December 21, 2025, 09:17:53 PM
A topic discussed at length within my circle of gaming friends as well as online venues, has been Bankrolls and Buy-ins.

Through my experience and absolute conclusion, the proper Buy-in would be 10% but no greater under any condition than 15% of the persons Bankroll.

BANKROLL.  Your total funds set aside for gambling risk.

BUY-IN.  Your funds at risk you bring to the casino for each session. 

EXAMPLE BANKROLL.  $10,000.00.  Buy-in per session would be $1,000.00 to $1,500.00, depending upon your comfort and confidence levels.  Bankrolls are also non-accessible from the casino.  Only the Buy-in is taken to the casino on the gambler' person.

REASONING. Dividing up your Bankroll funds gives you multiple chances to win. Realizing dedication and being goal driven with very clear, decisive and definitive numbers. Playing the session in relationship to those three things.  Not playing at any point with the frustration and desperation if you lose, you are out of funds for your gaming pursuits (unless of course you are down to your last session because you somehow wiped out a proper Bankroll with reasonable session Buy-in percentages).

PROTOCOL.  PLAYER ADVANTAGE.  Buy-ins must be religiously and repetitively used to accumulate win money for the current session's play/risk funds. Once the Buy-in is exceeded, the gambler must lock back up his Buy-in.  The win money will determine the length of his session. Sessions can continue as long as he risks only 1/3rd to 2/3rds of his win money. If he exhausted his Buy-in without winning any funds, the session must end.  Period!

POST SESSION.  Gambler must return his Buy-in to his Bankroll to replenish previous losses, if any. Win money must also be returned to his Bankroll to replenish previous lost money, if any.  OF THE UTMOST IMPORTANCE:  If the gambler is 100% whole with his Bankroll, then he must use the win money outside of gambling to keep a clear and concise frame of mind, so he will not fall into the trap of always believing he will be able to win more and more. This will also put him at an advantage for realizing tangible purchases or uses that his win money created for him.  I.E.:  Pay bills, buy household items, pay down loans, purchase reloadable cards for daily/weekly expenses, etc., etc.

BANKROLL SIZE:  A controversial subject, but in my lengthy experience as well as countless gambling friends and partners experiences, it is of the upmost gamblers advantage to keep the same Bankroll size for a lengthy period of time.  And, not to always have the desire only to win for the purpose of building his Bankroll larger and larger. Doing so brings false hopes, harder session goals, and all types of fallacies which will ultimately cause greater and eventual losses in almost every single case. Bankrolls should be set by the gamblers comfort level, confidence level, and financial ability to be able to risk his entire Bankroll.

#45
Alrelax's Blog / Las Vegas TV Series The Montec...
Last post by alrelax - December 21, 2025, 07:49:15 PM
'Las Vegas' was a NBC Television series lasting 5 Years.

From WIKI:  "Las Vegas is an American comedy-drama television series created by Gary Scott Thompson. It was broadcast by NBC from September 22, 2003, to February 15, 2008, airing for five seasons. It focuses on a team of people working at the Montecito, a fictional hotel and casino on the Las Vegas Strip. The employees deal with various issues that arise within the working environment, ranging from casino security to restaurant management and valet parking. Las Vegas starred James Caan, Josh Duhamel, Nikki Cox, James Lesure, Vanessa Marcil, Molly Sims, Marsha Thomason, and eventually Tom Selleck. The series originally centered on Ed Deline (Caan), a strict ex-CIA officer who serves as the president of operations for the Montecito. Former Marine Counterintelligence/HUMINT (CI/HUMINT) officer, Danny McCoy (Duhamel), who is Ed's protégé, later becomes the Montecito's new president.

The pilot episode began filming in March 2003, and was produced for $5 million, making it the most expensive pilot in NBC history. Production for a full season began later that year. Much of the series filming occurred at Culver Studios in California, where a set was constructed to represent the Montecito. Some filming also occasionally took place in Las Vegas. The Mandalay Bay and Green Valley Ranch, two hotel-casinos in the Las Vegas Valley, were sometimes used to portray the Montecito."

Years ago I was at Mandalay Bay with one of my non Mandalay Bay Casino hosts and one thing led to another after meeting a few of the TV show stars, I was graciously given the ID cards shown below the stars wear in the show. 

Thought I would share with you guys.
#46
General Discussion / Re: To Everyone!!
Last post by VLS - December 20, 2025, 04:16:26 AM
Merry Christmas & Happy New Year indeed! 🎄✨

This website holds tremendous potential, and it will be wonderful to see it flourish under Glen's vision, enhancing the experience for all fellow users.

I'm truly grateful to be part of such a close‑knit, welcoming community. We deeply appreciate everyone involved, as each of us contributes our unique part to the orchestration that makes this forum thrive.

May the coming year bring renewed energy, joyful connections, and plenty of success at the game tables for us all 🌟🙌.

With gratitude and best wishes,
Vic & Family 🤗
#47
General Discussion / To Everyone!!
Last post by alrelax - December 19, 2025, 08:19:08 PM
As we head into the end of the 2025, I wish to take a moment to acknowledge everyone that joins us as a forum community.  Several things I have planned to add to BetSelection Forum that will, with certainty, make it a superior forum with additional platforms and entertainment, all related to gaming.  And it will all come to fruition in 2026.

I hope everyone takes care of themselves and their families with the utmost dedication.  When you are healthy, strong frame-mind matters. Each day BetSelection Forum, myself and Vic supports learning, connection, and belonging to a community. We appreciate our members, friends and other community partners who make our forum drama free, welcoming and safe. We wish everyone a restful break and look forward to great and extremely profitable 2026! 

Merry Christmas and Happy New Year to everyone!
#48
Off-topic / Re: Photo Ops
Last post by alrelax - December 19, 2025, 02:35:38 PM
Only clouds in the morning sky.  A bit unique IMO.
#49
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: WIZARD OF ODDS 6 DECK SHOE...
Last post by ADulay - December 19, 2025, 04:13:25 AM
Thanks for the data.

AD
#50
Vegas and Atlantic City / The Stardust: Vegas’ Greatest ...
Last post by alrelax - December 18, 2025, 12:32:40 PM
The Stardust: Vegas' Greatest Crime Scene

Check this out, some absolutely great details laid out.


https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=xQaePnx2pRc