Recent posts

#71
Vegas and Atlantic City / Re: Fabulous 5-Day Sale Explo...
Last post by alrelax - October 05, 2025, 05:08:39 PM
I was going to make a list, but here is a great article that outlines it all except for the first two I will add for higher line players.

1). They larger brands several years ago held the player's points to cover their issued comps, then once covered would release any excess points for players use on property (usually one point equaled $1.00).

2). The larger brands increasing player's average wagering for their usual comp levels they were at.

Link to great article.

https://www.thestreet.com/travel/this-might-be-the-las-vegas-strips-most-ridiculous-fee-yet


The silverware charges are absurd

There is also a, "put anything in the mini fridge charge". Which is way north of absurdity

And also the general price gouging on such things as show/event tix and pool charges.

There is more, but they did it to themselves, plain and simple.
#72
Vegas and Atlantic City / Fabulous 5-Day Sale Exploded ...
Last post by KungFuBac - October 05, 2025, 05:24:45 AM
#73
Civil & Criminal Topics / Boyd Gaming lawsuits pile up i...
Last post by KungFuBac - October 05, 2025, 05:13:42 AM
Link at bottom.


"...where former employees and those affected by the breach have taken legal action, as their data may have been subject to public disclosure without their consent...."


https://readwrite.com/boyd-gaming-lawsuits-pile-up-in-the-wake-of-data-breach/
#74
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable ...
Last post by KungFuBac - October 05, 2025, 03:36:56 AM
Thx AsymBacGuy.
I like your fine post/ this thread.

"...The long term money you'll win is a by product of the money you haven't lost..".


    I concur. All other variables being equal: Fewer selectively placed wagers will out perform a large volume of wagers.
The ol "Good, Better, Best" situations. When in doubt or we get that subconscious nudge that although this upcoming wager is EV+, it may not be the "BEST", just pull our wager back/ wait.


"...we'll see that at both systems W and L streaks will show up or stop by a better than expected probability in relationship of how things went so far in the actual shoe..."

    It is my opinion this concept(In Bold) is why we casino gamers (investors) should focus on "even-chance" ish type games that do not have card replacement(i.e., Baccarat) vs card-replacement games (i.e., dice and balls type games).


"...By utilizing a 0.75 winning probability you'll get a better idea about "quality" distributions as what we should be really interested upon is, first, cutting loss streaks; then trying to exploit the "rarer" economical profitable streaks.
The 0.75 probability incorporate itself a minor number of decisions, thus restricting the single hands realm. This alone is doing us a favor.  ..."


    I like your 0.75 prob examples as well as your thoughts in above/previous posts about Sym vs Asym setups.
I think u will agree that if one is extremely patient one can occasionally find even more profitable probability examples > 0.75. Though I suspect many gamers would not find it enjoyable if they only wagered  4-5 spots per shoe.


Continued Success,


#75
Other Casinos / Re: Florida Gaming Control Com...
Last post by ADulay - October 03, 2025, 09:17:57 PM
Was cruising through the threads to see if there was something I could use recently and saw this one.

I've had a BetUS account for like forever but hardly used it as it didn't have any live dealer games up until awhile ago.

Once I knew that I went back in last month to see what they offered.

Well, it appears that FreshDeck Studios and/or LuckyStreak studios is now running their live dealer games.

You have to sift through the chaff of flashy display icons and search around but eventually you do find the actual live dealer games and NOT the automated ones or RNG type games.

Played a few weeks on the baccarat tables and enjoyed it.

Currently working on the roulette tables of which they have several that work well with my style of play and the timing is acceptable.

I still can't understand some of the female croupiers as English probably isn't their primary language, but they get by.

I haven't noticed anything suspicious for now and I do tend to keep track of background activity to see if anything duplicates over the days played.

So, for now I've got BetUS and BetPhoenix as my two primary live dealer casinos and surprisingly have had both of them for over a decade!

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#76
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable ...
Last post by AsymBacGuy - October 01, 2025, 02:52:23 AM
By utilizing a 0.75 winning probability you'll get a better idea about "quality" distributions as what we should be really interested upon is, first, cutting loss streaks; then trying to exploit the "rarer" economical profitable streaks.
The 0.75 probability incorporate itself a minor number of decisions, thus restricting the single hands realm. This alone is doing us a favor.

Again, a given event is either coming out clustered or isolated and whenever it doesn't show up the opposite event will be clustered at least once by a 100% certainty. Naturally it's 3 times more likely to get a 0.75% p event to be clustered and a 0.25% event to be isolated than vice versa.

For example, if we're adopting a sky's the limit multilayered progression oriented to chase W clustered events and/or L isolated events, we're acting with an astounding high probability of success.
More specifically if the production is really random, the best move is by wagering for the isolated L appearance.

Then to get W clustered at least one time (WW)

Then to get W clustered at least two times (WWW).

Then to get W clustered at least three times (WWWW).

Each class will constantly fight vs superior classes, so (W)LW is opposed to (W)LL, WW is opposed to WL, WWW is opposed to WWL, WWWW is opposed to WWWL.

Obviously it's unlikely that ALL classes will be winning for the entire shoe, but we're virtually 100% certain that at least TWO searched classes will show up at any shoe dealt, so it's just a matter of (few) time that things must take a more probable route.

The LL pattern

LL (or LLL...) make a loser our primary attack and they seem to also have an overall negative effect over ALL other W clustered situations.
Next week I'll present our findings once any LL sequence had shown up in a shoe.

as.
#77
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable ...
Last post by AsymBacGuy - September 29, 2025, 03:09:30 AM
The player's edge is the by product of a constant evaluation of how things are supposed to come out compared with how things really show up in the shoe we're playing at

Obviously by betting ALL hands dealt or ALMOST ALL hands dealt we're not getting a good approximation about how things are distributed along the way.
For the "huge" probability to win it'll happen that we are able to collect several wins with no sensible reason, yet for the HE we're certain to encounter more economical losses than economical wins even though the W/L ratio seems to be well balanced.

Therefore the point is if we let it go many "insignificant" hands we're able to get an edge, so negating a perfect independent probability no matter which spot we decide to wager.

Consider this example.

We know that by adopting a p=0.75%, A:S is 3:1, so anytime an A pattern come out it'll be 3 times more likely to show up clustered than isolated and vice versa (S isolated by a 3:1 probability).
That's a general probability to happen.

Suppose we steadily wager towards an A pattern vs a S pattern: it's just a gambling move.

Suppose we steadily wager towards an A pattern to be clustered one time (so betting after any new A pattern apparition): a bit less gambling move as AA>AS.

Now suppose to bet towards an A pattern to be clustered one time after one A pattern came out as isolated (ASA...)
It's a less gambling move.

Then say to bet towards an A pattern to be clustered one time after two A patterns came out as isolated (ASASA...)

Finally (just for the purpose of the explanation) pretend to bet towards an A pattern to be clustered one time after three A patterns came out as isolated (ASASASA...)

Of course at all examples S could be a single S or a multiple S.

Generally speaking the probability to cross AA after one, two or three isolated As is exponentially placed whereas common probabilites dictate a linear probability.

oOoOo

Somewhat more interesting is the general probability to get isolated S patterns.

If the card distribution is really random (according to random.org long term values) S isolated patterns will come out by a sort of steady frequency where super high rollers could bet up to $1 million or more per hand knowing to get an advantage capable to break down the house.

Unfortunately we do not know for sure if the actual production is really random distributed or not.
That's why any S clustered event happening at the shoe we're playing at needs a double-level assessment in the sense that once a SS pattern happened the SA>SS propensity supposedly acting at the next pattern will be someway lowered but generally endorsing the counterpart AA pattern clustering effect.

as. 
#78
Roulette Forum / Re: Quadruple Zero Roulette De...
Last post by AsymBacGuy - September 28, 2025, 08:56:41 PM
They try everything to lose customers, aren't they?

as.
#79
Roulette Forum / Re: Quadruple Zero Roulette De...
Last post by Albalaha - September 28, 2025, 07:53:27 AM
Even double zero roulette is a joke, unless payout is compensated to European roulette level. Triple or more zero would make the roulette as good as slot machine.
#80
Off-topic / Re: Photo Ops
Last post by ADulay - September 27, 2025, 08:18:58 PM
Had to make a run to the German Consulate in Miami and figured I could add a trip to the Hollywood Hard Rock casino.

Well that didn't work out due to weather and really horrible Miami traffic so I shuffled off to US41 up the west coast of Florida to avoid the interstate for awhile.

And then I run up on this beauty deep in the swamp land!

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