Recent posts
#71
Bally's Blog / Re: All things Baccarat!
Last post by AsymBacGuy - August 24, 2025, 08:49:51 PMHi Bally!
Below are just personal thoughts.
The waiting time is one of the most important concept to implement in every bac strategy, KFB knows very well this EC feature.
About doubles we know that 2s are the most probable pattern happening at baccarat, but long term quantities are strongly affected by a "quality" factor.
In a word, doubles are predominant as an overalternating mood is slight less likely to happen and, of course, long consecutive streaks at baccarat are relatively uncommon unless several "incidents" happen along the course of every shoe dealt.
Simplyfing, it's the clustering effect that matters.
as.
Below are just personal thoughts.
The waiting time is one of the most important concept to implement in every bac strategy, KFB knows very well this EC feature.
About doubles we know that 2s are the most probable pattern happening at baccarat, but long term quantities are strongly affected by a "quality" factor.
In a word, doubles are predominant as an overalternating mood is slight less likely to happen and, of course, long consecutive streaks at baccarat are relatively uncommon unless several "incidents" happen along the course of every shoe dealt.
Simplyfing, it's the clustering effect that matters.
as.
#72
Vegas and Atlantic City / Re: A Damn Great Message!
Last post by AsymBacGuy - August 24, 2025, 08:30:59 PMA couple of good links, Al!
We've extensively wrote a lot about it...
When a slice of pizza costs $12, a cocktail $25, a T-shirt with a simple "F1" logo $80, no free parking available, etc...well maybe people will look for better places to spend their money.
Where are the famous "Vegas prices" now?
as.
We've extensively wrote a lot about it...
When a slice of pizza costs $12, a cocktail $25, a T-shirt with a simple "F1" logo $80, no free parking available, etc...well maybe people will look for better places to spend their money.
Where are the famous "Vegas prices" now?
as.
#73
Vegas and Atlantic City / A Damn Great Message!
Last post by alrelax - August 23, 2025, 01:39:32 PMThe pattern is always the same. When the message is wrong, when customers feel ignored or cheated, decline is inevitable. But when you listen, pivot and deliver value with a strong message behind it, success always follows.
https://www.reviewjournal.com/opinion/commentary-time-for-a-las-vegas-pivot-3427405/
https://www.reviewjournal.com/opinion/commentary-time-for-a-las-vegas-pivot-3427405/
#74
Vegas and Atlantic City / A Definitive Vegas Uodate
Last post by alrelax - August 23, 2025, 01:56:48 AMIt is BIG TIME real. Vegas did it to themselves.
Las Vegas' tourism-dependent economy is hitting the brakes. Visitor volume and consumer spending are tumbling in America's casino capital, and the local unemployment rate is hovering among the highest in the country for big metro areas.
https://www.reviewjournal.com/business/the-whole-town-is-slower-las-vegas-economy-hits-the-brakes-3427769/
Las Vegas' tourism-dependent economy is hitting the brakes. Visitor volume and consumer spending are tumbling in America's casino capital, and the local unemployment rate is hovering among the highest in the country for big metro areas.
https://www.reviewjournal.com/business/the-whole-town-is-slower-las-vegas-economy-hits-the-brakes-3427769/
#75
Off-topic / Re: My 10 Best Motivating Song...
Last post by alrelax - August 21, 2025, 11:07:16 PMI have to add 2 additional ones.
Because my friends and I say some of the song's keywords so frequently at the table while we are in play.
U Can't Touch This. By; MC Hammer
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=nnDRng8a2TM&list=RDnnDRng8a2TM&start_radio=1&rv=QRUzAZMYFpQ
And also;
My Prerogative. By; Bobby Brown
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=5cDLZqe735k&pp=ygUaYm9iYnkgYnJvd24gbXkgcHJlcm9nYXRpdmU%3D
Because my friends and I say some of the song's keywords so frequently at the table while we are in play.
U Can't Touch This. By; MC Hammer
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=nnDRng8a2TM&list=RDnnDRng8a2TM&start_radio=1&rv=QRUzAZMYFpQ
And also;
My Prerogative. By; Bobby Brown
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=5cDLZqe735k&pp=ygUaYm9iYnkgYnJvd24gbXkgcHJlcm9nYXRpdmU%3D
#76
Wagering & Intricacies / 9 Areas You Might Wish To Outl...
Last post by alrelax - August 21, 2025, 07:26:04 PMI came up with 9 (Good lord do I love that number!) areas that should be researched, soul dug and remembered when playing.
1). Judgements from others are usually inaccurate.
2). Failure to really try is why most do fail.
3). Patience is widely misunderstood.
4). Set a Bankroll and a percentage of the Bankroll for your session Buy-ins and strictly adhere to those.
5). Understand a solid Money Management Method and religiously apply it.
6). Understand your mistakes and learn from them.
7). Little things add up ITLR and otherwise, where you have applied all kinds of losing techniques and thoughts. Change the habit.
Eight). Excuses are lies and laziness, vow not to engage.
9). Understand and appreciate Blood, Sweat and Tears you have given. Avoid them.
1). Judgements from others are usually inaccurate.
2). Failure to really try is why most do fail.
3). Patience is widely misunderstood.
4). Set a Bankroll and a percentage of the Bankroll for your session Buy-ins and strictly adhere to those.
5). Understand a solid Money Management Method and religiously apply it.
6). Understand your mistakes and learn from them.
7). Little things add up ITLR and otherwise, where you have applied all kinds of losing techniques and thoughts. Change the habit.
Eight). Excuses are lies and laziness, vow not to engage.
9). Understand and appreciate Blood, Sweat and Tears you have given. Avoid them.
#77
Bally's Blog / Re: All things Baccarat!
Last post by Bally6354 - August 20, 2025, 09:29:52 PMThanks guys!
Before I go onto something else, I just want to say one more thing in relation to the 2's and why I think they have to be an important consideration when coming up with some kind of strategy, be that Bac, Roulette or Craps.
There is a mathematical concept known as the 'waiting times' I don't really think it's all that well known to be honest.
It goes like this...
The average waiting times for any of the following groups BBP, BPP, PPB and PBB are 8.
The average waiting times for any of the following groups BPB and PBP are 10.
The average waiting times for any of the following groups BBB and PPP are 14.
What's interesting (to me at least) is when you take a look at a registry and see how these numbers of 8, 10 and 14 are performing.
So if you get some 2's coming out using my framework from above....
B
B 1
P 2 BBP
P 3 BPP
B 4 PPB
B 1 PBB
You can see how that shortest waiting time of 8 is also coming out as 2's and so is it any surprise that I am seeing some nice long runs of the 2's even if they are interspersed with the odd single sometimes.
Let's have a look at some chops...
B
P 2
B 4 BPB
P 2 PBP
B 4 BPB
P 2 PBP
Here is the middle waiting time of 10 for the BPB or PBP.
Finally some runs/streaks...
B
B 1
B 1 BBB
B 1 BBB
B 1 BBB
B 1 BBB
P 2
P 3
P 3 PPP
P 3 PPP
P 3 PPP
Here is the longest waiting time of 14 for the BBB or PPP.
What's kind of strange to me although I am no mathematician is that we know that the 1's = 50%, the 2's = 25% and the 3's = 12.5% and so I would have thought the chops would have had the lowest waiting time and not the 2's. (I will need to ask the AI about that one!)
Anyway, my basic point here is that we can't afford to ignore the 2's and they have to be an integral part of any strategy because of the very fact that they have the lowest waiting time which should really equate to us seeing plenty of action from them. That's not to say that we are not going to see any streaky shoes because of course we do but what I referred to years ago as the 'bag of trash' shoes are more prevalent and they take a bit more working around to stay on top of them.
That will lead me on to my next post where I am going to look at parlays and why they can be quite elusive unless you are selective when looking for them.
cheers
Before I go onto something else, I just want to say one more thing in relation to the 2's and why I think they have to be an important consideration when coming up with some kind of strategy, be that Bac, Roulette or Craps.
There is a mathematical concept known as the 'waiting times' I don't really think it's all that well known to be honest.
It goes like this...
The average waiting times for any of the following groups BBP, BPP, PPB and PBB are 8.
The average waiting times for any of the following groups BPB and PBP are 10.
The average waiting times for any of the following groups BBB and PPP are 14.
What's interesting (to me at least) is when you take a look at a registry and see how these numbers of 8, 10 and 14 are performing.
So if you get some 2's coming out using my framework from above....
B
B 1
P 2 BBP
P 3 BPP
B 4 PPB
B 1 PBB
You can see how that shortest waiting time of 8 is also coming out as 2's and so is it any surprise that I am seeing some nice long runs of the 2's even if they are interspersed with the odd single sometimes.
Let's have a look at some chops...
B
P 2
B 4 BPB
P 2 PBP
B 4 BPB
P 2 PBP
Here is the middle waiting time of 10 for the BPB or PBP.
Finally some runs/streaks...
B
B 1
B 1 BBB
B 1 BBB
B 1 BBB
B 1 BBB
P 2
P 3
P 3 PPP
P 3 PPP
P 3 PPP
Here is the longest waiting time of 14 for the BBB or PPP.
What's kind of strange to me although I am no mathematician is that we know that the 1's = 50%, the 2's = 25% and the 3's = 12.5% and so I would have thought the chops would have had the lowest waiting time and not the 2's. (I will need to ask the AI about that one!)
Anyway, my basic point here is that we can't afford to ignore the 2's and they have to be an integral part of any strategy because of the very fact that they have the lowest waiting time which should really equate to us seeing plenty of action from them. That's not to say that we are not going to see any streaky shoes because of course we do but what I referred to years ago as the 'bag of trash' shoes are more prevalent and they take a bit more working around to stay on top of them.
That will lead me on to my next post where I am going to look at parlays and why they can be quite elusive unless you are selective when looking for them.
cheers
#78
Bally's Blog / Re: All things Baccarat!
Last post by ADulay - August 20, 2025, 05:14:05 PMVery interesting.
Thanks.
AD
Thanks.
AD
#79
Bally's Blog / Re: All things Baccarat!
Last post by AsymBacGuy - August 20, 2025, 09:42:05 AMWelcome back!!
as.
as.
#80
Bally's Blog / Re: All things Baccarat!
Last post by VLS - August 20, 2025, 08:44:45 AMThanks for sharing your notation & ways Allan! 
WELCOME BACK! 
Vic
WELCOME BACK! Vic