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THREE INEVITABLE SCENARIO IN BETTING!!!

Started by BEAT-THE-WHEEL, November 25, 2016, 10:47:53 PM

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BEAT-THE-WHEEL

Gentlemen,
There will be only THREE probability,
one of three scenario, to happen in next,
10,20,or 30spins...


Say, if you choose to bet BLACK, in roulette,
or BANKER, in baccarat,
what will HAPPEN?..in next , say 20spins?
===================

#first scenario=BREAKEVEN,
[say 10win 10 lose]
more or less, within math expectation.
thus win or lose little, if flatbet 1u.

#second scenario=EXTREME POSITIVE VARIANCE.
[say 15win 5 lose]

    'win' extremely more, than 'lose'.
thus HUGE profit, if flatbet 1u.


#third scenario.=EXTREME NEGATIVE VARIANCE.
[say 5win 15 lose]

''lose', extremly more, than 'win'.
thus    HUGE loss, if flatbet 1u.

I don't know the RATIO,
of the #1,2,3 scenarios.
But, I THINK,
it will be in [ratio=1:1:1]

in next three session,
1 will breakeven,
1 will positive,
1 will negative.
====================
Now the adage,
"Making HAY while sunshine",
applied here.

say, if we have initial bank roll,
and divided to bet in next 9session,
say, 9000/9=1000  initial capital per session.



bet with $1000
#first scenario=BREAKEVEN,

since the result, will breakeven,
we try to win, with progression,
DOUBLE the initial capital,
when PROFIT TARGET=2000,achived,
STOP BET!
===========================


#second scenario=EXTREME POSITIVE VARIANCE.
    'win' extremly more, than 'lose'.


since the result, will  MORE "win", than "lose",
we try to win, with progression,
DOUBLE the initial capital,
when PROFIT TARGET=2000,achived,
STOP BET!
===========================


#third scenario.=more 'LOSE', than 'win',

since the result, will NEGATIVE,
impossible to win...
We STOP the bet, cut loss,
when the losses, reach -1000.

===========================

If the ratio=[1:1:1]
this mean, in every 9sessions,
we have the probability,
in long term play...

of 3losses sessions,
and 6 profitable sessions.
================

This way, we do not stop, at first win,
we take ADVANTAGE to the hilt,
of ,

BREAKEVEN, and POSITIVE
VARIANCE sessions,
to DOUBLE the initial capital,

and CUT LOSS,
when hit by the,
INEVITABLE NEGATIVE VARIANCE.

I see that many agreed,
to STOP-at-first-win, when positive,
and bet till all capital depleted,...
when negative variance hit?

What you think?

BEAT-THE-WHEEL

Now,
The most important question,
to ask YOURSELF!

Could my,
STRATEGY/SYSTEM,
win to double the initial capital,
IF, in the next x spins,
is near BREAKEVEN event???

If your strategy,
cannot DOUBLE your initial capital,
in a BREAKEVEN hit, then ,
GO look for a system,
that can double the CAPITAL.

If a strategy can win double the capital,
in a BREAKEVEN event,
then,
of course,
it can win double in a
POSITIVE VARIANCE event!