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Offline alrelax

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Re: The Private Bet
« Reply #30 on: October 12, 2020, 12:36:31 am »
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  • Lesson 12

    For your overview here is the ratio of appearances ( a range) for the various set patterns observed which can be played to your advantage. First task is to realize the world in which you are observing. It is a quantum world at certain levels and tricks of time, miracles, and exquisite symmetries can be observed if you have the mind trained to recognize  and accept such. Play can be quite beautiful, especially when understood. Chaotic outcomes may just be appearances not yet understood. I see the string of outcomes flowing from a wheel like a 'fountain' - I like the mystical properties, in the sense of seeing beautiful patterns. When read successfully the player is rewarded. I think it is gracious to accept the balance, joy, and even so far as 'Love' in the continuing gifts that are offered to us. It certainly is not hostile.

    The defensive and corrupted ego mind sees threat and trickery in what it does not understand for it fails to see beyond the limits of fear, loss, insecurity and poverty. It is not that I do not lose sometimes. It is how I react that is more important. There is no guilt, shame or punishment if you make mistakes and temporarily fall or fail. Simply get back up again  and re-start. But it is wise to not let the learning process, where we fall and fail most of the time, extend to impact and hurt others. That is why gambling which like so many other activities with powerful emotion and bio chemical signals, can be so addictive. To bang your head against a wall a thousand times making the same string of errors is insanity and goes beyond any reason. We need to learn from mistakes. But shedding guilt and blame is a great help because as you move along the path to greater skill and control, there is less baggage to carry.

    Of course I have a working philosophy beyond my roulette game and it took me many years to see that my passion for roulette was actually an honourable vocation as really there is nothing that cannot be worth learning from and growing. It is creative, analytical, profound and fun all at once. The bonus is the money is good.

    Linear Clusters about 75-85% of  opportunities.

    Cycle Patterns about 5%

    Ladder Patterns about 5% but with a very high strike (success rate).

    Symmetry Patterns about 10%

    The strike rate of Linear Cluster Staking is 90-95%  based on 6 attempts

    The strike rate of Recovery Plays is about 90% based on 6-7 attempts  More detail on this later.

    Success of a session can be determined also by timing of exit and entry points.

    One win ( a coup) can be enough if your goal is clear and the unit value is high.

    There have been sessions though where (if I am in the mood) I try to 'win' every spin !   This is not the smartest strategy but comes out of my curiosity, enthusiasm, and energy. Timing of exit and entry (if entry at all) is an Art Form and should be respected.

    Like market traders, 'Dollar Cost Averaging' is shrewd and works best in the long term because no professional can pick the all time high and take profit at just that moment. It is wiser to spread the net. That is just reality and adapting to reality. Just so with this game. You need an entry goal and the strength of mind to know when to stop.

    That is why playing as a professional and looking to build a monthly profit is a very satisfying game within a game.

    I maintain, but there will be some who disagree of course, that my Private Bet has a winning edge demonstrable by flat staking, given optimum choice of settings. The General chooses the battlefield.

    I will put a stake in the ground and say +10% edge over the house.

    Cluster Theory is beautiful and shatters all the old Newtonian ratios. It digs 'below' the surface.

    I must say along with your other posts this one has an extremely stimulating and  thoughtful content to it. I do appreciate the amount of time your putting into the logical thinking, realization as well as the transformation of actual play into your posts! Thanks again.
    My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/

    Played well over 30,300 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

    "Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

    Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

    Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that more.
     
    EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com


    Offline XXVV

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    Re: The Private Bet
    « Reply #31 on: October 13, 2020, 06:55:45 am »
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  • Thank you Alrelax for your kind comment.

    I am keen to demonstrate some other results from recent live play. I can tell you I do not win every session. I completed last two sessions with a small loss even though in both situations I was ahead early on. My 'mistake' was pushing for more profit  but with some time pressure and also I was not in focus emotionally - in fact very tired. I state this in all honesty because emotion does swing and if more professional I should have recognised this and stepped aside. Irony is that when you need control your emotion can be off track - it was a rare slip and I will take a few days break - I have probably been playing too much, 6 days past week. No guilt, no pain.


    This is the result from a few days earlier.

    83 spins

    Wheel Set   +36    min -18 max +72

    Streets       +198  ATH  min -18

    Finales **    -54    min -54  max +63       3 x 83 = 249 spins   +180 units net     about +0.72 ups

    COLDOZ     17 hits   no losses and a high rate of return

    ** technical very tough set play

    I will post the spins and analysis tomorrow.

    Offline XXVV

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    Re: The Private Bet
    « Reply #32 on: October 14, 2020, 09:38:12 pm »
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  • Interesting time for 'pause for thought' - a good trick in creativity.

    Some fresh ideas have emerged...

    #1  on the COLDOZ play I have established some simple 'outside table' bets for when 2,3,5 and 6 groups are triggered and I will apply some analysis based on simple $5 unit staking  - probably simple step bets. This research and trial will continue.

    #2  learning from the CWB drama of the past ( they were passionate days) I am going to conduct a 'definitive' update analysis test of my Private Bet method based on the suggestion of  testing 4-6 of my 9 number cluster sets being 30 samples of 100 spins and flat staking.

    #3 I am grateful also to Alrelax for some constructive overlay parlay and win staking methods adapted from Baccarat.

    I am going to do this day by day based on my live play. I have decided I will do 5 days per week possibly 2-3 sessions per day having lunch and dinner at the casino sometimes also.

    This idea really resonates with me and there will be no time pressure, in fact no pressure at all. I will play at minimum unit value allowable as all I really seek is an accurate and definitive study of my latest refined work ( although very little has changed with the PB over the past 10 years) and a fair result. It will be exciting for me ( you note my analytical personality), lots of fun, and some sense of scientific enquiry -lol.

    I have done past tests but this one 'all the cards are on the table' as I am sharing what before was secret.

    I suspect at say 2 sessions per day average at 100 spins each that is 200 spins x 5 days = 1000 spins. So with the target 30 x100 that is 3000 spins and thus 3 weeks of 'work'.  I love work that is a passion and I get paid also !

    So lets say by early-mid November we should have these results 30 sessions for every set so we can compare the performance over a statistically suitable sample size, and we can also combine the results on a result of unit per spin. Let's hope we finish in positive territory-lol. I see this as an audit of my professional play also.  Fantastic and cannot wait to start. Will update tomorrow.

    Offline XXVV

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    Re: The Private Bet
    « Reply #33 on: October 15, 2020, 02:52:49 am »
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  • Lesson 15

    We will start the 3000 spin target campaign on Monday, aiming to average 2-300 spins per day. Main purpose is to record the numbers for analysis because I will not be playing 6 sets live !  Perhaps 1-2 sets and WF to accompany the play for 2 hours per 100 spin session. The cut will be hard on the 100 spins win or lose for recording purposes, but live I will play out a cycle if necessary.

    In the interim here are 4 sets from last night and the data. Just 45 spins.

    7
    21
    33
    11
    24
    33
    19
    1
    8
    13
    24
    28
    32
    3
    31
    3
    33
    ----- (WF)

    11
    13
    18
    27
    0
    22
    36
    28
    6
    25
    14
    15
    12
    7
    18
    2
    30
    19
    2
    16
    13
    10
    26
    1
    35
    30
    35
    14
    ----- close with still 6 WF targets.

    Here is the analysis and the end result will surprise you.....

    Wheel Set
    +18,+27,-9,+18,+27,+18,-54,+27R,+9R,+18R,+18     +117 units

    Table Set
    +18,+18, 0, +9, +9, +18, +27, +27     +126 units

    Finales
    -54,+18R,+27R,+18R,+27,+27      +63   R are recovery triple bets

    Streets
    0, +27, 0, +18, -54, +27R, 0, -54R     -36   times like this it is good to be just flat staking


    45 spins  4x 45 spins     +270 units      result average +1.5 units per spin, +1.5 ups.  very good result despite tough Streets play.


    Offline XXVV

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    Re: The Private Bet
    « Reply #34 on: October 15, 2020, 03:03:34 am »
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  • Lesson 16

    COLDOZ ideas

    numbers  group

    4             2   DOZ 1  + COL 1
    8             3   COLS 1 +2 and play 19/22  and LOW
    12           4   -
    8             5   COLS 2+ 3  and play 15/18  and HIGH
    4             6   DOZ 3 + COL 3

    This provides for a lot of coverage as protection also.

    Play the above when 2,3,5,6 are triggered

    Examples will be provided over the weekend.

    Offline XXVV

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    Re: The Private Bet
    « Reply #35 on: October 15, 2020, 07:53:14 am »
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  • Caution :
    With this COLDOZ approach there will also need to be strict rules for extent of play, pausing and then re-triggering - I will provide worked examples tomorrow. Play can be at $5 units and for the few straight up target numbers also.

    This is still in preliminary testing.

    Offline XXVV

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    Re: The Private Bet
    « Reply #36 on: October 16, 2020, 08:51:09 pm »
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  • For clarity I will remove COLDOZ to its own titled section - it deserves so - I do emphasise it is useful but of course nowhere near the efficiency of the Cluster Theory Private Bet. Here in the meantime is an example of how accurate and useful COLDOZ can be , as another tool in the toolbox and also, importantly how pattern reading can give you raptd access to massive hits and success with Roulette. Remember it pays 35 :1 , unlike any other Casino game.  You have the fabulous advantage of stopping and starting at will while the House has to play every spin !

    These are from live play observed yesterday afternoon. First  44 spins illustrating WF, Wheel Set, Street Set, COLDOZ and the second sample showing how grouping of recorded data into B/R combined with Finales (mental) fast overview can provide astonishing edge opportunity - simple and very effective. Secret is to wait like a hunter or fisherman before striking !

    Example 1
    35               5
    13               3
    14               4
    15 (odds..)   5
    11               3
    27               6
    25               4  hit cycle
    36               6
    15               5  hit cycle
    20               4
    13               3  hit cluster
    15  hit         5
    ---
    4                 2
    5                 3
    10               2
    29               5
    0                 -
    2                 3
    22               3
    33               6  hit cluster
    16               3
    23               4  hit cluster
    35               5
    9                 4
    0                 -
    21               5
    3                 4
    18               5
    20               4
    17               4
    24               5
    9                 4
    32               5
    9     hit        4
    ----
    6                 4
    29               5
    21               5
    23               4
    33               6
    7                 2  massive hit
    19               3
    7                 2
    10               2
    20               4
    -------

    Wheel Set  +108   Streets -18      2 WF hits 15 and 9   big COLDOZ hit on 7


    Example 2

            2                     B  B  A  Wheel- Finales -Street
            10                   C  B  D
    1                             x  A  A
            33                   C  A  C               
    14                           D  B  A
    12                           A  B  D   hit on A
            17                   B  D  B   hit on B and B
    9                             D  D C
    3                             A  A  A
            15   hit            A  C  A   hit on C   had to be Black and Low and ending in 5.6 and in third col ** major hit
             6    hit            B  C  B                 repeat Finale target
            33                   C  A  C   hit on C
             2                    B  B  A   hit on B
    ------ 

    note choppy R and B appearances
    use pattern to advantage
    sometimes use an ongoing cluster as a strong SAME indicator to advantage

    Offline XXVV

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    Re: The Private Bet
    « Reply #37 on: October 17, 2020, 08:55:38 pm »
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  • Just to illustrate how all the cluster sets are useful here is a review of the previous 44 number collection played with the column set and finales set. Recall this is nothing to do with COLDOZ but can co-relate. The Col set is logically A 1-25 incl, B 28-17 incl, C 20-9inl, D 12-36 incl and 0 is left out.

    Cols
    C
    A
    B
    D
    B
    D
    A  target C 
    D
    D
    C  +9  target B
    A
    D
    A
    B  +0 target C
    A
    C  +18  target D
    -
    B
    A
    D  +0 target C cycle
    A
    C  +18 and target B which will be a rare failure
    C
    C
    -
    D
    C
    D
    C
    B  and play out for 6 but -54, also trigger for A
    D
    C
    C
    C
    C
    C
    D
    C
    D
    A    THIS SHOWS SO PLAY 3 RECOVERY ATTEMPTS
    A1  +27
    A2  +27
    A3  +27
    C
    ----    strange SAME block on col but can be used to advantage- despite all the problems still +18 o/a

    also playing through the finales that was also +18 o/a

    All sets had best results in the first 22 spins, so in practical play seeing we are achieving ABOVE average expectation take profit early

    Even playing through tough technical delays the 4 sets achieved +120 units in 156 spins ( ie about 0.8 ups). Take profit when at +1 ups

    Offline XXVV

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    Re: The Private Bet
    « Reply #38 on: October 18, 2020, 11:28:01 pm »
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  • Lesson #17

    Key principle reinforced from recent informal sampling:  take profit whenever > +1unit per spin per set

    Keep doing this and you will often achieve close to an ATH strike per session.

    Am about to commence the 30 day 100 spins per day test in order to test out and compare all sets as part of the Cluster Theory for the Private Bet. Interesting how such a simple yet structured goal can be so exciting and rewarding.

    Offline XXVV

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    Re: The Private Bet
    « Reply #39 on: November 01, 2020, 08:38:29 pm »
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  • Thank you Alrelax the technical problems appear resolved and I can update my past 2 weeks of further research.

    I have completed 8 sessions of 100 spin live data that includes 5 sets of Private Bet technique, WF data and COLDOZ analysis and a brand new short cut method using Finales which certainly appears to be a very stable source or platform for predictive analysis. 

    Later today I will post sufficient material to demonstrate the consistency of my Private Bet. All testing has been done from live play at my local casino. All staking is flat staking for ease of analysis.

    It is one matter to prove in theory. It is another matter to demonstrate in practical application, and this latter might be a further series of posts. I intend to round off my tests to 10 sessions which will thus be 5000 spins in test analysis overall, 1000 spins for every individual 9 number set.

    More soon, and best wishes to all.  R.

    Offline XXVV

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    Re: The Private Bet
    « Reply #40 on: November 02, 2020, 09:42:46 pm »
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  • I have completed 10 sets of more than 100 spins played live, and studied this through the lenses of 5 different sets of 9 number groupings that  offer fresh ways of looking at 'numbers'.

    So we use the Column Set, the Wheel Section Set, the Table placings Set, the Finales Set, and the Streets Set. We could use at least a further five and you can create to your heart's content such as with differing wheel sections, colours, odds and evens, highs and lows, and other street layouts such as diagonals.

    My observation over the past 20 + years is that, although individual set results may vary session by session, in the broader view, the bigger sum total, these variations may even out. That is theory. In practice in my small initial sample, one Set stands out in consistent performance. That is the Finales Set ( the numeral endings of numbers A 1-3 as well as Zero, B 2-4 and number 10, C 5-6 and number 20, and 7-8-9 with 30 as the extra number - I sometimes add 19. '19' is the number technically being the zero or outsider so that 36 can be neatly divided).

    Curiously the brand new Method I will soon introduce is based on a shortened version of Finales play. It seems most effective.

    As earlier stated the 10 session sample I consider too small, and will follow Charles' advice to measure 30 sessions.

    Of the 10 sessions measured I consider 9 were successful and only one #9 showed a small loss over the total 5 sets combined.

    The result so far shows a net flat stake earning of +0.80 units per spin per set.

    Finales alone demonstrates +1.45 units per spin.

    This is based on a strict cut off at the 100 spin mark. Sometimes the early part, sometimes the later part shows best results. One Set, the Finales Set showed two examples of earnings throughout at +3.60 and +3.87 units per spin per set in the 100 spins.

    The sample size when enlarged to a more statistically significant size at 30 sessions will show whether Finales really has a special extra edge, and already I am considering just why. From earlier results I anticipate it will blend more with the other sets.

    Two sessions of the 10 were more challenging, being #9 and #10. It is handy to know that bad stuff can happen, and in practical play we would have dis-engaged early. Such is the freedom of a General to choose battles. The House has to stand and endure. The Player is free to come and go. This is a huge practical advantage but a fact which most ignore in the heat of a (losing) battle.

    10 Sessions

    Column  +405   1000 spins
    Wheel    +640
    Table      +661
    Finales   +1449
    Street    +798

    Overall approx + 0.8 u/s/s at this stage.
      Recall to break even in roulette the Player demonstrates a +2.75% edge over the House.

    More details soon and after the further 20 sessions are studied during November, I will commence a Play Strategy for Private Bet by end of year. By that stage in my commercial life my blockchain investments and applications will be launching for 2021.




    Offline XXVV

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    Re: The Private Bet
    « Reply #41 on: November 03, 2020, 08:59:44 pm »
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  • Let me also add that for best advantage, when you have selected a wheel to play with ( yes on the basis of past outcomes 15-20 ideally)***, then play with I suggest 2 sets, being Finales and for ease of visualisation, the Wheel Set/ and or the Streets set. With practice this can be managed on your card, but eventually in your mind. That is what I do as this also overlays inspiration and intuition.

    Also keep watching the patterns of R/B choppy or streaky, odds and evens, and high/ low. Easy.  Also WF !!! as sometimes the wheel produces repeats or penultimate cycle repeats - be aware of these variables.

    Sometimes it just clicks and when the Private Bet is hitting on first or second attempts that is great. Also sometimes I progress 2,3,4,5 on the first four attempts - risky but greater returns!  That is 2x9,3x9, 4x9, 5 x9.

    However keep playing with high value units ( +$5 units) and keep the session short 10-20 spins, or even better 5-10 spins.

    Take profit when offered. If you refuse opportunities you are saying to your consciousness at lower more hidden levels that you do not want to win, in fact out of some deluded guilt pattern you want to punish yourself and lose. Many do this. Most losers when interviewed will state they were ahead at one stage.

    You can x3 or x5 your Risk Bank sometimes. I have done x10. Once out of a set test I turned 5 units into 100 units before cashing out 10 spins later - good clusters. Beware also though that chaos and tough sessions can last longer than fine weather patches.

    Broadly I see calm seas and blue skies 3 out of 10 sessions, bad stuff 2 out of 10 sessions, and the balance middling. Try to steer away from storms. Take a small loss to get out. That is being a smart general and many lives will be saved.

    This is a little glimpse of my playing strategy.

    ***
    Roulette is a game of cycles within cycles and essentially Short Cycle Theory demonstrates that 10-30 spins are cycle durations and I have noted 19 and 38 and 57 and 76 spin cycles ( allow slippage and neighbours of 2-3 spins on longer duration cycles. The Wheel thus has a 'memory'.  That is evident as within up to 500 spins all numbers are noted, usually within 120 spins.


    Offline XXVV

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    Re: The Private Bet
    « Reply #42 on: November 04, 2020, 06:12:13 am »
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  • Results Session #11

    100 spins

    Col       +144
    Wheel   +144
    Table    +9
    Finales  +281  again Finales wins and ATH at 100 spins
    Street    -27

    WF  1 -6- 2 - 6 - 3

    Offline XXVV

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    Re: The Private Bet
    « Reply #43 on: November 04, 2020, 08:28:50 am »
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  • Results Session #12

    100 spins

    Col      +261     + 810 in 1200 spins
    Wheel  +0         +784
    Table   +54        +724
    Finale  +80        +1810
    Street  -63         +708

    WF   7--4--2--1--5 ( 110 spins)

    Offline XXVV

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    Re: The Private Bet
    « Reply #44 on: November 04, 2020, 09:34:38 pm »
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  • Results Session  #13

     100 spins

    Cols       -198                                      +612  in 1300 spins
    Wheel   +198                                      +982
    Table     +36                                       +760
    Finales   +81    max +225 at 60 spins   +1891
    Street    +18    max +153 at 60 spins   +726

    WF  7--7--4--1