Thought, Reasons & Reality

[alrelax]

As Asym wrote in his Post #1433, the following: "Most of the times patterns move around low or very low levels of deviation, more appropriately by ranges of univocal situations happening for short frames.

"Trend following" players (probably 99% of all bac players) will win by hoping (or confiding) that homogeneous (or at least controllable) lines will be superior than heterogeneous lines, so wagering that winning ranges could take a longer than expected distribution.

The remaining 1% part will adopt a kind of system/approach/method/strategy based on B>P propensity, B/P gaps, B/P pattern deviations, RTM effects or other features. Obviously their enemy is strong negative deviations (ranges) not properly balanced by the searched (expected) results.

Definitely both different approaches are completely worthless itlr as bac tables continue to collect huge profits either from trend followers and from "system" players."

Yes, IN THE LONG RUN!  However, although we all play 'forever' in a sense, do not play for the long run.  Play for the instant date and time, play for the instant shoe alone, selective and individualistic.  Do not play for merging the results into your scorecard from the previous hundreds and hundreds of shoes/sessions.  What you are sitting in front of, has no rules, regulations, presentment scheduling protocol, etc., etc.

1). ONE HAS TO ADDRESS THE "Quit when your ahead". True, but a real double edged sword to the maximum! You will stop your potential win, simple. In baccarat you must win and win well when you are winning. Give back a little bit, but have the experience to realize the risk and how reality plays being played out and keep it going without frustration, emotion and greed.  Refer to my rock solid M.M.M.

2). TREND FOLLOWING Vs. PRESENTMENT RECOGNITION.  Trends are always present, however a trend is not always there when we wager!  We all believe somewhat in following a trend to profit, but greater than 50% of the time, you will lose far greater than you will prevail. That is a guarantee. However, Presentments Recognition is a greater player advantage without a doubt. Hard to do, I agree. Trend following is a definitive exercise that is very emotional where upon you are basically setting the course that the shoe must conform to and you must follow as well. Presentment Recognition is wagering without judgment course setting. When I learned it I did much better with my results.

3). DO NOT CHASE.  Never ever!!!!  As I just said never ever. A negative martingale or two, but not a chase scene. Don't do it. Yes, I have done it in the past and I regret all the times I've done it. As I said before, the few times I have made up money, the amount of money I lost does not come close to all of the money that I've spent in the attempted chases.

Come on people let's win. Don't give the casino your risk capital. Win!