Reality Baccarat

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REALITY BACCARAT

PLEASE NOTE:  This will be a new thread of shorts, tidbits and similar baccarat reality.  Real life, non statistical and leaving the, 'should have' out.

Just to help me focus a bit at the table.  I consolidated down my betting and Pos Progressions on a score card.  These are for a $2,000/$2,500 max bet table.  It really does help me in numerous ways.

They are read from Left to Right.

There is a distinct definition of not just what you desire o wager on and how you manage your win or loss, subsequent to a wager.  We all have our unique and exclusive styles of doing such.  However, I personally look for stability in my play and positive progressions such as those on my sheet below, giving me a constant reminder of what I should be doing when I win wagers. 

EXAMPLE:  If I can do a $450-$900-$1,800 and profit net $3,150 on my short 1 + 2, I can then divide up the $3,150 for the ammunition, stress free, buy-in free, to attack something sizable within the shoe. 

It works for me as I constantly am looking at my sheet.  Easier than attempting to implement it all into my subconscious.

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WEAK & STRONG

We have all touched on this before whether it was in detail or not. In BAC winning and losing hands, it is a very difficult in my opinion to put into exact detail why or why it did not happen the way we thought. However, there are Weak and Strong results in hands, which are definitely a tangible fact after they happen. I am not referring to ones and twos type of results here and there.  I am referring to about 6-12 hands clumping IAR.  It is not patterns and trending. Just a long-term observation that follows much greater than 50% of the time, when it begins to occur.  I have definitely put it into my advantages department.

WEAK

One side reduces and the opposite side wins by one or two points consistently. Both sides are basically weak or at least one side is, and the other side gets even weaker as it is reduced. 

Example:  Player opens a 5 and Banker opens a 2.  Player pulls a 6 and Banker pulls an 8. 

Example:  Player opens a 5 and Banker opens a 5.  Player pulls a 7 and Banker pulls a 9.

STRONG

One side increases near or at maximum point value and other side is stagnant or might even reduce.

Example:  Player opens a 3 and Banker opens a 7.  Player pulls a 6. 

Example:  Player opens 0 and Banker opens a 1.  Player pulls a face card and Banker pulls an 8.

Now with that thrown out there, I have found that the Weak/Strong clumping tends to benefit one (1) side for the event occurring, rather than a continuous Weak/Strong 'chop-chop'. 

I have found more so than not, it is usually mixed with both Weak/Strong winning point values, that benefit the one side that is winning for the event.

Anyone else notice this type of Weak/Strong clumping outcome, that can definitely be recognized and used as a tangible advantage??

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Some nights are just special.  There is a long continual argument on most of the forums that go back-and-forth for as long as I could remember. What I am referring to, is about the game being entitled pure guess work and luck and/or people executing their triggers with skill and applying a rock solid money management method to guide them. It is an endless argument that will never stop.

However, I still stick with executing triggers with skill (advantages) and applying a rock solid money management method to guide myself to advantages of wagering or not, and how to deal with the outcomes. But there is also that addendum which is, wagering for what is happening while it is happening. No matter what that might be and that is what throws the highest majority of all off.

So the last night of my play was super special. Highlighted without any trouble to remember whatsoever. For years, referring to those that were there will have no problem saying; "Remember when so-and-so was banging it out.", etc., etc., etc.

You know some nights are casino nights, where upon almost no one at the BAC tables win, at least much greater than their buy-in or perhaps, just a very small portion of their buy-in. Then there are those nights where the players just push their money back-and-forth, finally breaking even and emotionally drained, they finally leave. And finally there are those nights where the players dominate over the casino. All said and done, those nights that the players dominate everything has to fall in order.

Well, the other night was one of those nights that the players won and one big at that! Win, lose, or draw, I will remember this night forever in my most remarkable and memorable BAC sessions. Sure, I have had larger wins.  However the hands, the wagering, the camaraderie, the showmanship, it was all flawlessly there my friends for almost 2 whole shoes.

The session started off like most others.  Win a few, lose a few.  Half the players knew each other well and the others were either occasional or new players. It was about hand 10 or 11 halfway through the first section. There were a few chops with a couple of doubles, one more single, then there was a double banker followed by another double player. One of the occasional players I referred to, pushes in table max at 5K out of his approximate 10K buy-in. He is known to buy-in once and only once. A few times I seen him play in the past, he would wager about 20 hands in the shoe and usually $500-$1200 a hand if I remember correctly. He would occasionally bet larger for one or two bets. We were at a Midi/Macau style 5 Treasures BAC table.

He was on the banker side like almost everyone else was. The player returns a six. He gets the cards and flips a face card over. His second card was a four line and flips a nine over after the horizontal peak and the vertical peel. Leaves his 5K max wager up on the banker side. Most others increase their banker wager. One person on player with a very small wager.  The guy places $200 on the two card/three card Blazen 7s, $100 on the Heavenly nines and $200 on the F7 fortune.  Player returns a four and bank returns a five. Players third card was a seven and bankers card is slid over to the guy. He verbally says anything but a five and we're all agreeing with him of course. He turns the card vertically and starts the peel. Looks up and says we have a two or three. Peels it back and looks around and obviously desires some camaraderie for the fortune seven he is going to produce. Flips the two and high fives all the players with a fortune seven which we almost all had $100 or more and he gets $8000 for his wager rather than the 5k he had on the banker base bet.

A few more hands went by with two players that followed, and then back to back ties. We all counted those back to back ties as two banker, two player, two banker, two ties, but we agreed those two ties should have been two players. A few of us also had $200 on the Blazen 7s praying for the 200:1, three card 7-7 tie.  One of those ties was a two card 7-7 tie for 50:1 which was beautiful as well.  Yes maybe it's guessing, yes maybe it's superstition, yes maybe it's just feeding into the score board. I still have to entitle it as wagering with what's coming out and happening at the instant time.  Most pulled their banker base wager down and placed a new wager on player with smaller amounts, a couple pressed up on the player side. The guy talks to me, and I commented, both ties were bankers dominating the hand with weak extremely player cards. We both really loved a few bankers to come out at that point. We had the ammunition from what the casino has already given us without any risk to our buy-ins and we were already passed our goal levels in my opinion. So it was just playing to keep winning is what I can describe it as. 

Well 7 IAR bankers came out on top of the previous 2 that continued after the back to back ties that was preceded by a double banker.  He did not just play it, he performed it naturally by the bucket load. At numerous times, he was not a gambler, but a showman to the highest power. Flawlessly handling most hands out of the section that we were on. Looks around and obviously wants the camaraderie, that old school type, I got your back brother, just do it please.  Most of us were there with him and he obviously had the floor.  Most all of us were at table max wagering and a few that do not play higher amounts, were clearly well above their norm.

He absolutely translated his wager into a commanding presence that was obviously non-rehearsed! That is what great players do, they don't back down, they don't stop with a small win, they ignore statistics and experiences if they are winning not conceding privilege or yielding after initial resistance or the regular grind.  They are wagering for and virtually blacking out everything except each current hand consciously employing their wins and pulling down continual profits.

As we said when we were coloring up.  "You have to play to win".