gr8player, if you state that nothing is "more likely" how a possible "bias" might be working for us?
While it is true that the game has always been and forever will be a "turn-of-the-card" even-chance game, where "likely-hood" is never to be mistaken for any sort of "guarantee", the player that still insists, in spite of these negative odds, to get the better of this game, will need their own personal "answers" to all that randomness can conjure with every turn of the cards.
As so begins our quest for a bet selection process. And then a money-management process. And then our entry/exit strategies.
This is our task. We need "answers"....real, reliable, dependable, and consistent ANSWERS to the randomness question.
Yes, the outcomes, percentage-wise, are all roughly 50/50. Hence the term: "even-chance".
So, in the face of that, what might the savvy player do?
I cannot answer for the majority; I can answer only for myself, as such:
I rely on "picking my spots" within certain portions of certain shoes where it APPEARS AS IF the results are "trending" my way. Look, we all need a reason to bet (or "non-bet"), and I have mine. And because I play only certain "preferred trends" that, again, APPEAR AS IF they might bring about clusters of wins, I am able to remain consistent in my bet selection process. In other words, it works for me.
Now, that all said, I am not changing the odds of any one particular deal, or any one particular hand. I am not saying that. What I am saying is that I am of the opinion that my Player's Edges that I utilize are sufficient to counter the negative expectations that the player that is lacking in the use of those very same Player's Edges are succumbing to in their overall play.
It should also be noted here and now that if, in fact, I were able to rely upon my strike rates always and forever hitting at 53 to 54% that I'd be in no need of any money-management process, and simply resort to flat-betting. Alas, that is not the case, as I play this game as everyone does....on a session-to-session basis....and need to adjust my bet sizes as I go along over my long term play; all in order to manage my recoup (when necessary), my time, and, well, my money.
We are the underdogs here....let's make no mistake of it. There's but only a few things that we can do, only a few things that we, as players, truly can control, in order to turn the tide into our favor. And, even when we get our games to that point, we've got to do it, again and again. Every new session our counters get reset back to "0", no one cares if you won your last ten sessions, you've got to prove it all again at each new session. And so, my friends, it ain't easy.
But "ain't easy" does not mean impossible. But it does mean a true commitment and a true "answer" for all that this game can throw at you. The player that concentrates more on the answer to the next outcome (be it won or lost) as opposed to predicting it....that is the player that I deem as worthy, that is the player with the real fighting chance at this game. It is when you come to realize that "prediction" in this game will ultimately lead to frustration and failure; that the real importance is on your reaction to the results, your "answers" to the ultimate question of exactly what it is that you can and cannot control, this is where the winning end-game appears.
There are valid answers....patient, consistent play with bet sizing matched to certain strike-rate statistics....and there are invalid answers (imo)....betting every hand with steep negative progressions.
In the end...it's your money. You must choose how to play it.
With that in mind, I wish you all the very best of it.