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BlueAngel's & Albalaha's ways.

Started by BEAT-THE-WHEEL, March 24, 2016, 04:48:05 AM

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BEAT-THE-WHEEL

Albalaha says,
after 100millions spins test,
the worst ever he could find,
is 256dozen/1000spins.

Thus taking 256dz/1000spins,
as the limit, we could make a strategy.

By applying BlueAngel's progression.

256dz minimum expectation
=256x2payout=512ME.


Thus in an OVERSIMPLIFIED example...
where the
first 744spin-lose
last 256spin=hit

we could bet 1u till 511st spin.
========================
spin--bet unit-losses---ME
1st....[1u].[-1u]....[512]

to the..

511st..[1u].[-511u]..[512]
512nd..[2u].[-513]..[1024]
513rd..[2u].[-515]..[1024]
514th..[2u].[-517]..[1024]
515th..[2u].[-519]..[1024]

...up to..

744th..[2u].[-977]..[1024]

and following are 256wins

after 256win=x2ux2=[+1024]
=+47unit profit...






===================

How about EC,
Albalaha say worst EC=405/1000.

thus by applying BlueAngel's ME progression...

spin..bet u..losses..ME
0...................[405]

404th..1u....[-404].[405]

405th..2u....[-406].[810]

594th..2u...[-784]..[810]

the rest=hit,
405x2u=810-..=..profit.

BEAT-THE-WHEEL

Albalaha says,
after 100millions spins test,

100cycles of 37spins=more or less ,
to breakeven, albeit green for outside bet.
and for singles, almost equalise.
Thus,
3700spins, for single =more or less 100hits.

thus,
By applying BlueAngel's ME progression.

100x35payout=3500u,
that -200u, HouseEdge!

Thus in an OVERSIMPLIFIED example...
where the

first 3600spin=lose
last 100spin=hit
=================


spin...bet u...losses..ME
0.....................[3500ME]

if single sleep for 500spins, then,

500th...[1u]...[-500]...[3500]
3499th..[1u]..[-3499]...[3500]
3500th..2u....[-3501]...[7000]


3600th=..2u ...[-3701]=...[7000]
3601
to
3700=hit=35x2x100=???

==============
Thus I think, the long spins, the only way to build a HG!

=================

BEAT-THE-WHEEL

The most important ,
I think,

is understanding the RTM,
after the initial,  variance,

RTM, simply mean,
narrowing of differences, albeit the edge.

they may, or may not breakeven,
thus , a progression,
is needed to take advantage,
of these RTM effect.

when, they mostly,
narrowing to near breakeven.

Variance avoidance  knowledge,
also play, a very important part.

thus,
1] The breakeven effect,
2] A sturdy progression,
3] Variance avoidance strategy.

=======================
1] The breakeven effect,

if  your bet selection,
do not make the winning hit toward RTM,
then you are doom.

2] A sturdy progression,

a mild and sturdy progression,
or rather stop betting the progression.

when you know,
that the next few progression,
if even hit,
will not rake in profit.
Then why bet continuously???

3] Variance avoidance strategy.

this already a stale subject...





Blue_Angel

In practical terms nobody would sit and play for 1000 results in a go, thus not the best of approaches.

Actually there is no need for someone to bet 1000 times in order to profit, a minimum expectation could be for lower totals such as 37,74,111,148...etc

Fail to meet minimum expectation during first checkpoint interval and you shall proceed to the next one.

By establishing regular intervals sooner or later at some point the balance will become positive, it's just matter of time.

The real challenge of all progressions is the win/loss distribution, aggressive ones could be busted within few spins from a mild distribution anomaly, very mild progressions could never be able to turn things around.

Therefore something well balanced needed with the ability to be flexible in order to adapt any possible distribution.

''For after all what is man in nature?
A nothing in relation to infinity, all in relation to nothing, a central point between nothing and all and infinitely far from understanding either.
The ends of things and their beginnings are impregnably concealed from him in an impenetrable secret.
He is equally incapable of seeing the nothingness out of which he was drawn and the infinite in which he is engulfed.'' B.Pascal

BEAT-THE-WHEEL

Thanks BlueAngel for your view.

Since 1000spins has better chance for narrowing RTM,

thus I think,
maybe we have no choice,
but play them, especially the RNG,
since they may, or are programmed to RTM,
when nearing 1000spins!

If 1000spins, almost always, RTM,
then why not we take full advantage ,
and exploit it, to fullest?

With some flexible progression,
As we see, STREAKS of hits,
will come in the course
of the 1000spins...

If you bet with your ME style,
you avoid short term variance,
and
if you start with, EC,='405ME' ,

say start with 2, instead of one unit,
then when streaks hit ,
you soon, hit the breakeven,
and win.

The shortcoming, is waiting time....
not for table bet though...

You say,
========================
Fail to meet minimum expectation
during first checkpoint interval and you shall proceed to the next one.
==============================
Does this mean you cut-loss,
and try to recover?




Thanks.

Albalaha

QuoteIn practical terms nobody would sit and play for 1000 results in a go, thus not the best of approaches.

This is the joke of the millennium. A long run strategy doesn't ask to keep betting at a stretch. All sessions and spins are random, so you can pause your game any spin and later resume any other day. No need to bet 1000 or even 500 spins, in a stretch.

                A strategy for long run doesn't get you aching back or holding your piss for hours of non-stop play.
Email: earnsumit@gmail.com - Visit my blog: http://albalaha.lefora.com
Can mentor a real, regular and serious player