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The Punter's Revenge

Started by Bayes, January 24, 2013, 06:33:31 PM

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Bayes

This is a book which was originally published in 1987 so it's quite dated in some respects, but it's good on probability (Bayes' theorem in particular) and makes for an interesting read overall. There's even a short chapter on roulette (the authors say DON'T play it.  :)) )

Download Link

Bally6354

Quote from: Bayes on January 24, 2013, 06:33:31 PM
There's even a short chapter on roulette (the author's say DON'T play it.  :)) )

Download Link

cheers Bayes  :thumbsup:

I have a lot of  the old smartsig magazines and I can never remember a roulette system published  ???

I will wade through them again and see if there is anything of interest that I can find.

Sometimes it is the people who no one imagines anything of who do the things that no one can imagine.

Sputnik


Is it a book about math (probability) or roulette ?

Bayes

Mainly sports betting, but there is something on casino games (poker, roulette). A couple of chapters on probability.

Part 1 Intro and The Lessons of History 5.08
Part 2 Calculating the Odds, first part 5.09
Part 3 Calculating the Odds, second part 5.10
Part 4 A Risky Business, first part 5.11
Part 5 A Risky Business, second part 5.12
Part 6 Professional Backers, first part 6.01
Part 7 Professional Backers, second part 6.02
Part 8 A Day at the Races, first part 6.04
Part 9 A Day at the Races, second part 6.05
Part 10 Backing the Winner, first part 6.06
Part 11 Backing the Winner, second part 6.07
Part 12 Backing the Winner, third part 6.08
Part 13 Where the Computer Fits In 6.09
Part 14 Football Forecasting, first part 6.10
Part 15 Football Forecasting, second part 6.11
Part 16 Football Forecasting, third part 6.12
Part 17 Football Forecasting, fourth part 7.01
Part 18 Using Football Ratings 7.02
Part 19 Monte Carlo or Bust 7.04
Part 20 The Poker-faced Machine, first part 7.05
Part 21 The Poker-faced Machine, second part 7.06
Part 22 The Art of Being Lucky 7.07

esoito

Thanks, mate.  :thumbsup:

I particularly like their quote: "...probability is a slippery subject, full of paradoxes and pitfalls."

And don't we know it!!

Bayes

Here's another quote I like (with respect to roulette systems) -

"The fact that it is mathematically impossible to win consistently to a
level stake has led some roulette enthusiasts to invent betting
systems designed to overcome the house advantage. The amount of
hard work and ingenuity expended on such systems invites
comparison with the herculean, and equally ill-founded, efforts of
ancient alchemists in their quest for the philosopher's stone."

Sound familiar?  :P

Bally6354

It's just my opinion, but I would rather play roulette any day of the week over betting horses or other types of sports betting. There is a guaranteed 35/1 payout on every spin of the wheel. 2.7% is not really the enemy the way I look at it. Some of these 'bookies benefit' handicaps have over rounds of 40%. Now that's what I call an edge!  :nod:
Sometimes it is the people who no one imagines anything of who do the things that no one can imagine.

Bayes

Bally, I agree. I gave sports betting a good shot a few years ago, but never got anywhere with it; lost a little, won a little, and ended up at around even after a lot of hard work. Maybe it's something to do with the faster turnover in roulette, plus there's a kind of purity in it which I like. Sports betting is messy and there are just too many variables for my liking.

Ralph

Quote from: Bayes on January 25, 2013, 05:14:49 PM
Bally, I agree. I gave sports betting a good shot a few years ago, but never got anywhere with it; lost a little, won a little, and ended up at around even after a lot of hard work. Maybe it's something to do with the faster turnover in roulette, plus there's a kind of purity in it which I like. Sports betting is messy and there are just too many variables for my liking.


In roulette it is billions of variable, the art is to be lucky to find the one which not takes from you, rather the opposite.

grep

Hmmmmm!

I've heard some good things about this book.... but alas! - the sendspace link given is dead .... any chance of a re-up when you get the opportunity?

Cheers!

Schoolman

Maybe someone can do us all a favor here?

The book is available as a free download-
http://horseraceratings.wordpress.com/2012/10/05/the-punters-revenge-free-online/

You need to join this Yahoo group and the book is in the "Files" folder:

https://groups.yahoo.com/neo/groups/hoof-ratings/info

I would do it myself but I can't seem to open a Yahoo account. I've tried several times but you're required to give a mobile phone no, then they send you a validation code in a text. Problem is, I never seem to get the code, maybe I have the wrong kind of phone or something.  >:(

So if anyone has a Yahoo account or can open one more easily than I can, the book is available. But please upload it here!

Thanks in advance to some kind person.  :thumbsup:
A small error in the principles is large in the conclusions.

VLS

Quote from: Schoolman on September 16, 2014, 06:43:45 PMYou need to join this Yahoo group and the book is in the "Files" folder:

https://groups.yahoo.com/neo/groups/hoof-ratings/info

Maybe it's a task for someone with an active yahoo account... Yahoo was big in the "Web 1.0" era, so chances are there's some fellow member still roaming there (i.e. for yahoo mail).

Email/Paypal: betselectiongmail.com
-- Victor

muggins

Uploaded here (7Mb):

http://www19.zippyshare.com/v/32648061/file.html

Schoolman

Thank you very much muggins!  :rose:
A small error in the principles is large in the conclusions.

Sputnik


Thank you very much muggins!

Cheers