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Why Hit & Run is absurd

Started by Bayes, December 22, 2012, 10:31:31 AM

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VLS

Welcome to the family P.A.

Hope you have a fine stay. Stick around and you'll learn the consensus in the vicinity is there's no better way to play that Marty  ;)

Cheers!

Email/Paypal: betselectiongmail.com
-- Victor

Albalaha

While playing Hit and Run never forget that your chances of being hit is greater than hitting a casino. Only hit and run could be to place one bet of whatever you have on any EC bet you prefer, like Ashley Revell did. One single attempt to either double or nothing.
Email: earnsumit@gmail.com - Visit my blog: http://albalaha.lefora.com
Can mentor a real, regular and serious player

FLAT_IN_O

Quote from: PatternAnalys on May 19, 2013, 05:28:05 PM
Go into a casino, divided you BR into 1,2,4,8,16,32,64,128,516.
Arrived at a table and play bet on RED immediately till u win...DO YOU think the BLACK will show up in the next 10 spins??? 10 BLACK in a row   , probability is 1/1024 and less..[pesky 0 factor]. And then u move to another table and repeat the same bet on RED.  Will u think 10 BLACK will show up, and then go to 3rd, 4th, 5th, 6th,7th,8th,10th.table.& then get out...DO U THINK THE 10 BLACK IN A ROW WILL SHOW UP THAT DAY, WHEN U PLACE THE ONLY GAME BET ON A PARTICULAR TABLE???....Hope u understand what HAR mean by now :nod: ...BTW I think this is the best way to bet 10 steps MARTY....HAR.!!! 10 BLACK in a row will be only encountered when u stay long enough ,or really UNLUCKY!!!




--No many casinos around with 10 tables playing at the same time....as a matter of fact such
casinos don't exist/and believe me I have seen em a lot/not even in Macao.......516 un x 10=
5160 euros.......once it gets you will never recover after that.And that would mean you was
unlucky.

TwoCatSam

If dogs don't go to heaven, when I die I want to go where dogs go.   ...Will Rogers

TwoCatSam

PA

I am relieved to know you are not Jl.  Jl is a good man but he tends to bloviate!!

Personally, I wouldn't "blast" you.

Bayes makes some very good points against HAR.  Others do, too.  Still, I find the concept intriguing.  It "seems" like it should work. 

Even if fourteen geniuses line up and tell you something won't work, you can still try it.  Just be careful.

I play a system with the ExcelBot which is a double HAR.  6th-sense posted it.  It's called "Tetris".  You have 19 rows and to lose, one of those 19 must lose 10 in a row.  (I think it's 10).  So not only must random hit 10 blacks in a row, it must hit them on the same column.  One miss and Sam wins!!

I have actually made money with this.  Ran it on two computers for days and incurred three losses of 52 Euro.  Made far more than I lost.  NOW...I could have hit a run of losers and went bankrupt.  But I didn't.  And that's roulette!!

Good luck, PA

TC
If dogs don't go to heaven, when I die I want to go where dogs go.   ...Will Rogers

Chrisbis

The real problem with Hit & Run (HAR) is when and where U enter the run of things.
For example......
Say something or someone was watching the whole set of results for a given Casino.
Doesn't matter at this stage whether Live/Air/RNG......
But as the results came out, whoever it was (and unbeknownst to you), they charted them in a graph, which looked something like
this one I copied from Turners posts (thanx fellow Northern Brit)......


[attachimg=1]


And, lets just say for arguments sake, U entered your playing phase just when the first lime green circle shows on the graph. (say around spin 30, which is almost 1 complete 37 spin cycle)

U would instantly slid down into a drawdown, and lose money......
Nowthen, lets say U left it for a few spins, say another 30, and decided to 'dip' in again, for another shot, cause U saw the trending results were going your way............
as U can see from the graph, around spin 67, 30 spins on from your first session, is another exact same drawdown.


That is Hit & Run at its worst outcome, as U fell into a foul pit!

TwoCatSam

Quote from: Chrisbis on May 21, 2013, 03:38:28 PM
(thanx fellow Northern Brit)......

Chris

Your logic in infallible!  That is the problem.  Sooner or later you will enter the fray at the beginning of the RFH.

Sam
If dogs don't go to heaven, when I die I want to go where dogs go.   ...Will Rogers

Turner

Chris...you are a Northerner.....excellent....where from?


Ill test thee'.....


What does this conversation between two northern blokes mean?...."put wood in'th 'ole.... Am brass monkeys", "aww shut yer trap yer nesh bugger"

Chrisbis


       
  • Shut the door
  • I am freezing Cold
  • Stop moaning about being cold................(usually directed at women! lol)
Do I pass?
I was in Stoke-on-Trent, but now I have relocated to Tamworth near Lichfield.  ^-^

TwoCatSam

Where does "outen the light" come from?
If dogs don't go to heaven, when I die I want to go where dogs go.   ...Will Rogers

Chrisbis

This one maybe?
Sounds South African

Turner

parochiauthor=Chrisbis link=topic=556.msg14853#msg14853 date=1369165067]

       
  • Shut the door
  • I am freezing Cold
  • Stop moaning about being cold................(usually directed at women! lol)
Do I pass?
I was in Stoke-on-Trent, but now I have relocated to Tamworth near Lichfield.  ^-^

With flying colours......you are midlands then....(see how parochial us English are....lol)

Chrisbis

Parlay when?
And go deeper into the hole?


The reason is because U don't have any idea how deep the hole will be, nor, know where U started on the decline.  :'(


Parlay at the begining of Turners graph would be good, I agree.......but that is called Hindsight!!!!  :o

TwoCatSam

PA

No blasting here!  But you are one of the people I have written about for years.  You said:

"1]HAR means go in win and get lost"

If that were possible, all would be good and tornadoes would not come.  But they do......

Do not, for one minute, think you can sit down and win with consistency.  It cannot be done.  If it could, casinos would not exist.  You may sit down and win fifty times, but the fifty-first will take you straight down and you will loose all your winnings and more.

Hear me now and believe me later............casinos build hotels for people who believe as you do.  But, go for it!  I can promise you, you will learn the sad truth.

Samster
If dogs don't go to heaven, when I die I want to go where dogs go.   ...Will Rogers

GreatGrampa

Quote from: TwoCatSam on May 22, 2013, 01:32:17 PM


Hear me now and believe me later............casinos build hotels for people who believe as you do.  But, go for it!  I can promise you, you will learn the sad truth.

Samster
PA that's a very old man talking.  Trust his wisdom. 
Greatgrampa - Your friend and mine