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106
Autobetic / Re: The Introduction Zone - say Hi here if you're new!
« on: April 03, 2017, 11:30:30 pm »
If I may re-quote the famous line from the film "Rounders" starring Matt Damon and Ed Norton        ( if you never played poker, this quote will not make sense )

"Women are the rake in life"

107
Autobetic / Re: The Introduction Zone - say Hi here if you're new!
« on: April 03, 2017, 10:31:33 pm »
Baseball great Ted Williams wrote a book "How to Hit a Major League Curve Ball"  ........  so if you read the book you can hit a major league curve ball......right? .......well do you think you can hit a major league curve ball when you had to face Nolan Ryan who was throwing a  100MPH fastball which was moving up and down like a yo-yo and which you probably couldn't even see coming at you, and then looking at a 95 MPH curve ball that was coming right at your head and then breaking right over the strike zone at the last second ?

The same is true with baccarat......I don't think most players  can explain in a book or computer code how they play..............for me it's mostly looking at some patterns and if  I  "feel" like it might work, I bet it.........and if not I don't bet.

The patterns I use are not the standard Banker / Player patterns but a derivation of them.....and sometimes they work and sometimes not. 

The main goal  in bac, roulette, sports betting, poker  or stock/futures  trading is not to "Make Money" but the main goal is bankroll preservation.......because if your bankroll or trading capital is gone, it's back to a career of " Do you want fries with that "?

As I said in a previous thread, the only way to preserve your bankroll is to limit risk as a small    % of Bankroll for each bet, or each session, or each trade, so that a series of catastrophic losing bets or trades will not destroy your bankroll...................and since all these games are negative expectation  games ( -EV) , you are an under dog in every bet or trade you make and you will eventually have to increase your bet size ....but in a very conservative manner ....which of course eliminates 99% of bac players as written of in other posts, describing players who have unfortunately lost huge sums of money ......and currently one player I know is currently down a little north of  $ 500,000. 

Gambling on casino games is similar to trading stocks or futures........the constant battle between fear and greed,  battling within your own emotional makeup.................and if you can't control those two emotions.........you are doomed to failure.

108
Autobetic / Re: The Introduction Zone - say Hi here if you're new!
« on: April 02, 2017, 04:03:01 pm »
The app looks good and I wish you success........but as you said, the only benefit of it is to test "mechanical" methods being sold by system sellers to show that no mechanical system can beat baccarat......and all systems will show the same 1.3 % advantage the casino has over the customer......and so maybe you can help some people to keep them from wasting money.

How to beat bac? ......basically "follow the shoe" ( which is the same as looking for patterns......which sometimes work .....and sometimes do not work )  .........only risk a small % of bankroll on each shoe or session........and have a sufficient bankroll to withstand the inevitable drawdowns......just like an intelligent poker player approaches poker.....and since you are playing a negative expectation baccarat game, have a strategy to deal with the bankroll situation where you will eventually have to increase your bet size.
.

109
Speaking about Cambodian baccarat.................


http://www.phnompenhpost.com/national/gaming-cheats-held-sihanoukville

110
Baccarat Forum / Re: my theory
« on: March 25, 2017, 12:38:25 pm »
As an addition to reply #10 in this thread, there is a psychological and mathematical problem everyone faces in trying to develop a plan to handle profits and losses in any type of gambling situation.

For example if you have a $ 10,000 bankroll and set a 2% loss  limit ( $200 ) for a shoe or roulette session, then if you lose the $ 200 in the first baccarat shoe or 30 or 40 roulette spins, you take the loss and go home...which is pretty easy ( assuming you have the discipline to leave.....which most people do not ).

But what if you set a 2% ( $200 ) target for a profit objective......and a miracle happens and you win your first 4 or 5 bets and are ahead $190 ? 

Can you see the psychological problem? ....are you going to sit there and possibly see the $190 profit disappear if you lose the next 4 or 5 hands or spins....just so you can make an extra $10 ?

That's why a loss limit is cut and dried ( assuming you have the discipline to leave when the loss limit is hit ) and the profit objective has very damaging and difficult psychological problems to deal with.....which is why it is very hard to develop a business plan for gambling since the profit objective is subject to fear and greed which is present in every human being ( the same analysis applies to stock and futures traders.....profit objectives are difficult to get a handle on.)

In my next post, I will describe the three greatest "inventions" in gambling  and the real reasons why it is very difficult to show a profit in any gambling game.


111
Baccarat Forum / Re: my theory
« on: March 23, 2017, 12:36:15 am »
As has been mentioned many times here in the past....don't think in dollars or euros......think in percentages.......such as .......

1. What  % of my bankroll will I bet on each hand (minimum and maximum % if you are using a progression )

2. What maximum % of my bankroll will I risk on one shoe

3. What maximum % of my bankroll will I risk on one session...( a session can be anything you feel like such as the number of shoes you play starting from the time you enter a casino until the time you leave the casino...........or a fixed number of shoes such as play 3 shoes and quit and that is a session).

4. What range of percentages will I try to win for each shoe and each session .....such  as try to win between 1% and 2 % of bankroll for each shoe and 2% or 3 % of bankroll for each session.

The main idea is to be conservative in your percentages so you are able to withstand the inevitable long losing streaks.

Of course no one does this because:

1. They are too lazy

2. And most people just like to gamble, have a good time and get an adrenaline rush .........and not try to "Win Money".........which is why casinos keep on building multi billion dollar casinos with the money lost by gamblers.

In my next post, I will explain the mathematical and psychological difficulties in determining the relationship between taking profits and losses.

112
Baccarat Forum / Re: Baccarat Live Dealer using Lanky's model
« on: March 17, 2017, 02:37:38 am »
Better make sure you have a big enough bankroll for this method......on shoe # 8 above, you were betting 11 units and you were down 33.5 units at that point.....if you were betting $ 100 a unit, you are down $3,300 and have to bet $1,100 on the next hand .......and you will eventually lose the next 3 or 4 bets if you play long enough..........and that can destroy your bankroll.

113
Multiple locations / Re: The "A-Way" Roulette Strategy
« on: March 14, 2017, 01:39:59 pm »
The video shows you betting the High and Low......are you betting lines, streets, double streets or High or Low ?

114
Roulette Forum / Re: An Dozen matrix method which I'm using
« on: March 14, 2017, 10:07:58 am »
"Then suppose that we have 16,26,21 and write on the opposite side sequence:

232 (1)"

Not sure what the 232 and the (1) mean...can you explain ?

115
If you bring any type of computing device into  las vegas casino, I think it means 5 years in prison and a $ 50,000 fine.

116
Even chance / Re: The way to beat the ECs
« on: March 09, 2017, 08:05:09 pm »
If this method is profitable (which is debatable), then try applying it to baccarat where you only have Player and Banker and you won't have top worry about a 0 or a 00 as in roulette.

117
Even chance / Re: NEW strategy !
« on: March 05, 2017, 09:20:05 pm »
Here are some suggestions:

1.Divide your bankroll into 3 parts for red/black, high/low, odd/even and hopefully one of the three will give you a big winner

2. Instead of even chances, try dividing the wheel into 2 sections ( 18 numbers on one section and 19 numbers in the other section since you have to include the 0 )

Then bet the 18 numbers or 19 numbers hoping that the section will repeat ....but I would probably stop at 5 or 6 repeats for this method instead of 10 since 10 repeats do not happen that often.  In this method you don't have to worry about the 0 number since you are betting it as part of the 19 numbers.

3 I don't trust the online casinos but if there are not many casinos in Romania, then I guess you have no choice but to play online.

good luck

118
Even chance / Re: Re: The way to beat the ECs
« on: March 05, 2017, 08:59:30 pm »
I guess I'll ask again for the third time.......if you understand this, how about showing us you would bet these actual roulette results ?

I don't understand why no one would want to explain the method with the actual roulette results  described below.......unless it was actually really profitable.


R=Red   ( don't confuse this R with the R which means a run )
B=Black

R
R
R
B
R
B
0   ( zero )
B
B
B
B
R
B
R
B
B
R
R
B
B
R
B

119
Even chance / Re: Re: The way to beat the ECs
« on: March 04, 2017, 04:10:05 pm »
I guess I'll ask again.......if you understand this, how about showing us you would bet these actual results ?


R=Red   ( don't confuse this R with the R which means a run )
B=Black

R
R
R
B
R
B
0   ( zero )
B
B
B
B
R
B
R
B
B
R
R
B
B

120
Even chance / Re: Re: The way to beat the ECs
« on: March 02, 2017, 07:46:16 pm »
OK  .....if someone understand this, how about showing the graph and the actual bets of these  results I have from a real brick and mortar casino

R=Red   ( don't confuse this R with the R which means a run )
B=Black

R
R
R
B
R
B
0   ( zero )
B
B
B
B
R
B
R
B
B

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