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#121
Baccarat Forum / Re: 2 Great Shoes Last Night!
November 24, 2020, 05:25:24 PM
A long time ago, I forget which forum it was , a poster named Pit Boss posted a simple, conservative negative progression which bet against a streak going more than 3 in a row. Makes sense because
in the "long run" most streaks will end at 3 or less  approximately 85%  to 88% of the time.

If you have a few scorecards, draw a line under the third row on the card and count the hands above the 3 line and then count the hands below the 3 line which went to 4 ( stop counting if the run went more than 4 since we are only interested if the run went past 3).... ...for example if 60 hands are above the 3 line and 6 hands ran to 4, then  the % of runs which stopped at 3 equals 60/64 = 94% of the time.
(60 hands stopped at a run of 3 or less and 4 hands hit the run of 4 for a  total of 64 hands played.)

For example if you have    PBPBPBPBPB
                                           PB    P    B
                                             B    P    B
                                                   P    B
                                                   P    B
                                                   P

Then 17 hands are above a run of 3 hands or less and 2 hands went to a run of 4........so it went to a run of  3 or less i 17/19 of about 89% of the time.

This is the reason bac is so hard to beat since when the hands are above the 3 line at least 85% of the time, you can get anything such as a chop  PBPBPB   a two   PPBBPPBBPPBB    a three PPPBBBPPPBBB   a
1-2 BPPBPPBPP a 3-2 PPPBBPPPBB a 1-3 PBBBPBBBPBBB or garbage   PPBPPPBPBBBPPBPBBPBP  so it's hard to come up with conservative negative progression.

And of course the first shoes you actually play for real money  that any run will end  at 3, you get         
6 shoes in a row where almost every run is 4 ,6  4 , 8, 5,  9  etc etc and you get whacked if you bet a negative progression hoping that the run will end at 3..
#122
Baccarat Forum / Re: 2 Great Shoes Last Night!
November 19, 2020, 03:21:10 PM
1. "Listen to the experts"     Well who are the "experts"........and if the experts are making so much money, why  would they sell their techniques to anyone else....and why do they have so much time on their hands if they are playing all the time and making so much money?

2. It's just an advertisement to learn from the "experts"  .................for a charge of course!
#123
Here  are two online poker sites which became "famous" a few years ago.....these sites are only poker sites and were not baccarat/blackjack/roulette casino sites .......but they are an example of what can happen to your money if you play online.


https://www.worldcasinoindex.com/guide/absolute-poker-and-ultimatebet-cheating-scandals/


Also, here is an example of some of the individuals who you may meet  online:

https://www.cardschat.com/news/russ-hamilton-online-poker-flashback-90662/
#124
Online Casinos / Re: The reality of on-line casinos
October 16, 2020, 02:19:45 PM
At your online casino, how long does it take to receive a withdrawal..........and is it by check or direct deposit to your bank?
#125
General Discussion / the life of a whale
October 11, 2020, 05:46:22 PM

Here is an article about gambling whales.......are you a whale?


https://nypost.com/2020/10/10/casino-hosts-gambling-stories/
#126

Vegas is out of action for at least another year until there is a vaccine...and even then, many people will choose not to get vaccinated, so there is still a chance the virus will keep on spreading.


https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8726053/Las-Vegas-ghost-town-strippers-signs-saying-Sorry-clothed.html

And this place is expected to open next July in Vegas....what a nightmare....talk about bad timing!!!

https://www.rwlasvegas.com/
#127

The casino business is tough........   you   can not trust anyone.


https://apnews.com/b3c24f68dfed486dcdce766dce73b8fa
#128
This should be interesting.


https://dnyuz.com/2020/08/06/boxed-into-a-corner-residents-brace-for-thousands-to-attend-motorcycle-rally/

Las Vegas Bookmakers should post a bet to estimate the over/under as to how many people will be infected during the Sturgis motorcycle get-together........  and another bet as to how many will be infected as they return home.

The Strurgis motorcycle meeting is a perfect example of why a vaccine may not have much effect as to eliminating the virus.
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#129
Even if they develop 2 or 3 vaccines, I think we may be heading for a catastrophe if a worst case happens...which is if a vaccine has serious side effects ( or even death ) no one will get get vaccinated ....in addition there will be the usual idi*ots who will believe some conspiracy theory that the vaccine is a government plot to kill people.......and then there are the people who  are anti all vaccines who will not get vaccinated ......and then there are the other idi*ots who will not wear a mask because it it affects their "freedom"..............and the flu season starts in a few months and no one knows the side affects of any vaccine taken with the flu shot...so maybe 30% to 40 % will not get vaccinated and keep spreading the virus....and the federal government just can't keep spending 2 to 3 trillion dollars every 3 months to keep the economy afloat and hyperinflation will eventually set in and  money will be worthless just like Germany in the 1920's. ( it cost 4 Billion Deutch Marks to buy a loaf of bread )

And then "civil unrest" will start because there will be literally millions of people who will be evicted from the homes who have very little to eat.

Just reading some recent news items about car jacking and robberies occurring in broad daylight now ..
so some suggestions   .1. If you stop for gas, check out if anyone looks suspicious before you get out to pump gas, once you get out of your car, you are defenseless.  2. Buy a cheap cell phone and if you get robbed, give them the cheap phone. 3. But a cheap wallet and put $10 in it with a bunch of papers so the wallet  looks full and hand over that wallet if you get robbed.4. Sad to say but you may have to get a gun and a concealed carry permit and be prepared to use it. If you live in a house, buy a shot gun and 1 or 2 pistols and hide them in various places in case of a home invasion.... actually only a shot gun is effective since it is extremely difficult to hit someone with just a pistol..with a shot gun you have a better chance of hitting someone if you just aim in the general direction.

P.S. Vegas may be finished for the next 2 or 3 years. with only 5 or 6 casinos being able to stay open
#131
What's amazing about these old car chases is that they are real cars an real drivers.......today the "chases" are just computer graphics.....in the 1980's when these chases were filmed there were no computers and graphics so it was all real photography. 

The most amazing shot from To Live and Die in LA was at minute 3:58 when the stunt driver passes right in front of a moving freight train ...................absolutely incredible......one mistake and he is dead.
#132
This one is pretty good too. I lived in Los Angeles for 25 years and travelled on the freeways and  I don't know how they filmed the freeway scene at the end of the video......absolutely incredible and the stunt drivers are amazing.   



The movie "To live and die in LA" was pretty good too.

https://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=to+live+and+die+in+la+car+chase&docid=608036187939210844&mid=D9AECAFCA64E71246B25D9AECAFCA64E71246B25&view=detail&FORM=VIRE
#133
I think the Park MGM in Vegas ( formerly the Monte Carlo hotel in Vegas )  just became a             non smoking hotel ..which may be a smart move since probably about 80% of the vegas visitors do not smoke and if they can capture a significant number of customers then maybe a few other vegas casinos may follow ..just like a few casinos dropped the parking fees due to virus ...but I think as soon as business picks up the parking fees may come back.

By the way, casinos don't care one bit if an employee or customer gets lung cancer from inhaling about 2 packs a day of  second hand smoke.....its all about the money
#134

Basic math for gamblers:

Online casinos = Caveat Emptor
#135
Vegas and Atlantic City / Re: Las Vegas under siege
June 02, 2020, 04:26:34 PM
"Those who do not remember the past are condemned to repeat it"   George Santayana

1776                 USA Founding Fathers ( Unjust representation )

1789 France      Maximilien Robespierre ( Unjust representation, income inequality )

1917  Russia      Vladimir Ilyich Ulyanov  ( Poverty stricken peasants, famines, income inequality, caught in a seemingly endless war )             Slogan -     Land    Peace      Bread

1933  Soviet Union    Ioseb Besarionis dzе Djugashvili  "The death of one person is a tragedy, the death of a million people is a statistic"

1959  Cuba   Fidel Castro  ( Corrupt government,  poverty stricken peasants, income inequality)