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#91
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
February 06, 2022, 04:29:13 PM

KLW    I was in the UK for a few years (in the Midlands) and most of the casinos are small or cater to high rollers...Grosvenor, Crockfords in London etc etc ...... so it can get very expensive if you attempt to test a new bac method in a casino.

Personally, I would never play online...too many problems.....and don't even think about playing online against an RNG....you might as well flush your money down the loo.

Probably as mentioned by ASYMBACGUY, is to buy an automatic shuffler and deal about 200 or 300 shoes and see if you can find any abnormalities which are worthwhile...  finding only one or two abnormalities a shoe will not be practical or worthwhile....... so don't quit your day job.

Even if you can find 15 or 20 abnormalities a shoe, there is no guarantee you can come out a winner in the short run, even if you have a large % probability edge  such as 10%........you will win in the long run with a 10% advantage, but in the short run, normal standard deviation can turn you into a loser over 2 or 3 shoes in a row.

Most blackjack teams in the 1970's  to  1990's using a big player only placed big bets when the deck showed a     
1.5 % advantage.........   and it was very common for their bank to lose 20 % to 40 % of its value...even playing with a 1.5 % edge.

And if you are married with a few kids and your wife sees you dealing cards on the kitchen table for 2 or 3 hours every day, you might soon be talking to a divorce lawyer.


#92
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
January 27, 2022, 02:35:04 AM
I'm not sure where you live but try to see if a nearby casino has Virtual baccarat ( also virtual roulette and virtual blackjack ....dealt by a real dealer ( not an RNG )..... and you can place bets on  a computer terminal.......but you can sit out an entire shoe and not bet and no one will bother you........unfortunately only a few casinos have these virtual machines.

The Venetian in Vegas has them as well as Boston Encore casino in Massachusetts  and the Connecticut casinos.
#93
Online Casinos / Re: Online Poker Collusion
December 27, 2021, 10:01:22 PM
I made a post about online casinos some time ago on the link below.........online8or9   reply #3


Maybe worth re-reading it.

https://betselection.cc/index.php?topic=11132.msg69357#msg69357

Here is the post if you can not find it on the link:



The problem with online casinos is that the result of a decision ( player or banker in baccarat, or the spin of a roulette wheel etc ) is not dependent on the hand dealt by a deck of cards or the spin of a roulette wheel, but the result is determined by the RNG and the cards or the roulette ball is displayed according to the result of the RNG ,,,,and the RNG knows in advance how much is bet on player or banker or how much is bet on a roulette number or even chance.

Personally i would have to be crazy to play that type of game.

At least with live land based casinos, you are assured of getting an honest game ( doesn't mean you will win, but at least you didn't get cheated.)  And you don't have to wait 1 or 2 weeks to get your money,,,you can cash out in a few minutes and you don't have to worry about the online casino stealing your money such as this famous case involving online poker.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Full_Tilt_Poker

Actually in high stakes poker, you have a very good chance of being cheated in a live casino poker game or a home live game  where 2 or more players are playing as a team and giving signals to each other as far as to what cards they are holding as well as various other means of cheating.

Basically it all means you can't trust any company or any person when money is involved.,,,,,especially lots of money.

#94
General Discussion / Dragon bet
December 18, 2021, 03:40:52 PM
Here is a post from the Two Plus Two Poker Forum which may be of interest:


https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/29/news-views-gossip/mikki-mase-1797804/index10.html
#95
I have a suggestion, which of course will not be implemented.....which is ........everyone who chooses not be vaccinated must register with the nearest hospital where they live and state that they have chosen not to be vaccinated,   and if they develop covid symptoms and go to their hospital,  then the hospital will test them for the virus, and if they test positive and have the virus, then they will be given 2 aspirins and told to go home and go to bed.

Anyone disagree?
#96
The virtual baccarat, roulette, 3 card poker, craps and blackjack games which are played on computer terminals are honest since they have live dealers spinning a real roulette wheel and dealing real cards from a shoe ( they are also called Stadium games since the virtual machines are arranged like seats in a soccer or a football stadium.)

One dealer can deal  to as many as 700 virtual terminals which saves the casino many many $$$$ since they can get rid of hundreds of dealers and pit bosses and save a lot of $$$ on salaries, 401K, health insurance,       
vacation pay,   etc etc in addition to eliminating a lot of Human Resources personnel.

However some 21 ( Blackjack ) virtual games only pay 6 to 5 on a player Blackjack instead of 3 to 2. 

The casino can set the odds themselves and I think most casinos have 6 to 5 on a player Blackjack not only on the virtual games but also on the table games since most customers really do not really care about the small difference...........but they are getting screwed, as usual, by the casino.

The last I heard, the Venetian in Las Vegas, the Boston Encore in Boston and Foxwoods casino and Mohegan Sun casino in Connecticut have the virtual games. ...........but I am not sure about European and Asian casinos.

The Genting casino in Queens New York City has all the Roulette, Bacarrat, Blackjack games using a Random Number Generator (RNG) and like online casinos, if you lose all your money playing on an online casino or against an RNG computer, you deserve to lose all your money because you are a   *oron.

The same applies to playing on an online Poker site......I have lost track of all the scams, collusion, multi accounting, ghost players, high-tech cheating,  etc etc etc which  has happened  on internet poker sites.

Unfortunately there are three things which you can not trust another human being ....money, sex and power............the three biggest weaknesses, and temptations, of all of us human beings.
#97
If you are thinking of playing an online casino....you better read this first.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lPq5FURU3dw&ab_channel=JacobslifeinVegas

Actually if you do play an online casino, you deserve to lose all your money for being a *oron.
#98
If anyone gets successful ( and lucky ) in the crypto market and the word gets around that you have a lot of $$$$$$, then this article may be of interest to you.


https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/entrepreneur-told-police-tortured-several-125337210.html
#100
Without betting on the games, most professional sports would almost disappear....................especially the National Football League.   

If you lived in San Diego, would you care about who would win a game between the Minnesota Vikings and Detroit Lions?

Rooting for a pro team is like rooting for US Steel or General Motors to have a profitable year so the CEO can get a         
$ 5,000,000 bonus at the end of the year.   No Thanks!

"Good teams win..........great teams cover the point spread"

 
#101
As far as buying recommendations from a tout service, I would never do it.    As the old saying goes, if they were very profitable and successful at a specific business, they would do it instead of selling picks and betting selections.

Also may of these "touts" and selection services always advertise a winning percentage of 60 % or more... which is impossible in the long run...if you could achieve a 60% win rate in sports betting, you would own the casino in about 6 months.

Betting on sports  ( baseball, pro and college basketball, pro and college football, soccer ( called football in the rest of the world ) tennis, hockey etc etc  requires at least 12 to 16 hours a day of study and analysis 6 or 7 days a week....with no guarantee of success..........and you need a very, very  large bankroll to even have a chance of a profitable year.     Hitting   % 55 percent winning bets in the long run is very, very hard to achieve.

And now thanks to the internet and only 2 companies in Las Vegas owning most of the sports books,  the betting line is essentially the same for every game so you can't shop around for the best line as you could have done 20 years ago.

And you also have to have a passion for sports to follow and also watch all the games and read the latest information which affects every game (injuries, coaching changes etc etc )

Personally I lost complete interest in sports when players started signing $ 20,000,000 to $ 30,000,000 contracts........am I supposed to be a fan of these players and root for their team when next year they become a free agent and sign a new contract with another team for a    $ 5,000,000  increase in salary?

They  don't care about me......so why should I care about some multi millionaire arrogant, obnoxious,
prima  donna?

#102
George Carlin and Richard Pryor are always voted the two best stand up comedians....too bad they are both gone..........and also Robin Williams is right up there ........a tremendous talent
#103
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable itlr
August 08, 2021, 12:53:51 PM
I haven't been keeping up with this thread ....but as far as finding statistical anomalies in a bac shoe.....   I think you have to also consider the practicality of the method.........if the anomalies only present themselves for 2   or 3 or 4 or 5 bets a shoe, you have to consider if it is worthwhile to sit at a table for an hour or an hour and a half waiting for those situations to appear for a bet while inhaling about three packs of second hand cigarette smoke (smoking will be reinstated after Covid......casinos do not care if the dealers and employees and customers get  sick from the smoke....all they care about is if they can make more profit with a smoking casino versus a non smoking casino )

Also,  in an 80 hand shoe of baccarat, do you think you can sit there for an hour and a half and only bet 3 or 4 hands without the pit boss or dealer saying something?

Best place to play the method is at a casino with Stadium baccarat, where it is all electronic betting with a live dealer and you can sit out as many hands as you feel like.



#104
Even with all the cameras and surveillance, the cheating still goes on......this scam went on for at least a year and stole over $1,000,000 at the 5 Star Bellagio hotel in Vegas, which has thousands of cameras....... until they got greedy and then they got caught.

https://www.casinocitytimes.com/david-ferrara/article/bellagio-craps-scheme-defied-452-billion-to-1-odds-64848
#105
Roulette Forum / Re: Florida Roulette
July 17, 2021, 12:01:21 AM
The Venetian in Vegas has Stadium,   Foxwoods and Mohegan Sun in Connecticut have Stadium....also the Wind Creek in Pennsylvania ( Used to be called Sands Casino before it was sold to Wind Creek ) has at least  4 Baccarat Stadium games and over 200 terminals......more casinos will have it in the future....it's a big money saver for the casinos