Victor - I don't know how long this self moderation is going to continue. But at least is there. Time stamp that can be added to the posts to say last modified. I had seen that in a number of posts where xxvv has edited. If it is to change views it is alright. But if it is to claim 1000$ first and then edit the post and say I have never asked for money that is a very wrong community behaviour. In fact I have seen such a note in the past.
Our members are dedicated to PASSION and PURPOSE without drama!
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#2
Roulette Key Gold / Re: RNG French Roulette Merde !
July 21, 2015, 10:25:36 AMQuote from: XXVV on July 21, 2015, 12:30:57 AMXXVV, I respect your experience. Without calling any names, I have been playing roulette and bacc since am in my twenties. Now am in my seventies. Taking just a leaf out of my experience, in the style of play you are advocating with multiple sets of interpretations if you are taking a four hour window, just try for once imagining that the alternate spins doesn't exist. You would get the same experience as if you have taken into account every spin. I can prove this for any trigger/any sets of interpretations. I respect the privacy of everyone's bet selections and hence request you to try for yourselves and see before believing it.
choosing
Yes of course this is a practical and pure 'seamless' mathematical approach. However I prefer to work at each spin as my bets often change spin by spin as I play multiple sets of interpretations ( for example finales/ streets/ wheel sections/ columns) and my goal is to enter and exit as swiftly as possible in the particular style of play I am now advocating ( just one of many valid approaches) and by selecting for example local Dublin time 8pm onwards over a window of four hours or more, the spin frequency can be more than halved because of patronage. Just look at the Wiesbaden live data for example comparing Tuesday afternoon to Saturday night play by comparing dealer change times on tisch#3.
I certainly now question the assumption of the 'seamless' nature of spin sequences in comparison to my views 20 years ago, because of live table experience.
#3
Roulette Key Gold / Re: RNG French Roulette Merde !
July 20, 2015, 11:17:15 PMQuote from: XXVV on July 20, 2015, 05:21:53 PMYou can opt to skip spins to gain time for your bet analysis. So you could count the numbers from every alternate spins or every 3 spins to buy you bet analysis time. You will find that the results, strike rate will be the same as if you are chosing to consider every spin for your triggers.
The French Roulette rules are best if possible but they are not available for Dublin. Bet 365 has now cut available time to bet in order to make between bet analysis more difficult. Thus a bet that looks ahead would be helpful - this is not a glib remark but instead a bet that is triggered by a promising 'tendency towards a certain outcome or set of outcomes' and which can be turned off if failing or amplified if working successfully over say 2-3 spins.
#4
General Discussion / Bot help
May 19, 2015, 10:46:24 AM
Hi,
I have deviced a system and has been playing it successfuly for the last 1 year. However because it is mechanical i thought if someone can help me create a bot for playing this in Betvoyager. If anyone is interested, please let me know. I can pay for the creation of bot.
I have deviced a system and has been playing it successfuly for the last 1 year. However because it is mechanical i thought if someone can help me create a bot for playing this in Betvoyager. If anyone is interested, please let me know. I can pay for the creation of bot.
#5
Sports Betting Forum / Re: Got a tenner?
February 03, 2015, 12:41:58 PM
Date - 03 Feb 2015
Starting bank - 16.5£
Discipline - Football
Match - Eintracht Frankfurt vs Wolfsburg
Market - AH Wolfsburg -0.5
Odds - 1.85
Bet amount - 16.5£
10£ lost - 2
Total P/L - -11.2£
[attachimg=1]
Starting bank - 16.5£
Discipline - Football
Match - Eintracht Frankfurt vs Wolfsburg
Market - AH Wolfsburg -0.5
Odds - 1.85
Bet amount - 16.5£
10£ lost - 2
Total P/L - -11.2£
[attachimg=1]
#6
Sports Betting Forum / Re: Got a tenner?
February 02, 2015, 01:13:43 PM
Date - 02 Feb 2015
Starting bank - 10£
Discipline - Football
Match - Malaga v Valencia
Market - Under 2.5 goals
Odds - 1.65
Bet amount - 10£
10£ lost - 2
Total P/L - -17.7£
Won - Malaga 1 - 0 Valencia
Starting bank - 10£
Discipline - Football
Match - Malaga v Valencia
Market - Under 2.5 goals
Odds - 1.65
Bet amount - 10£
10£ lost - 2
Total P/L - -17.7£
Won - Malaga 1 - 0 Valencia
#7
Sports Betting Forum / Re: Got a tenner?
February 01, 2015, 02:11:45 AM
Won 25 Jan 2015 - Return 15.3£
Date - 01 Feb 2015
Starting bank - 15.3£
Discipline - Football
Match - Southampton v swansea
Market - Southampton win
Odds - 1.6
Bet amount - 13£
10£ lost - 1
Total P/L - -4.7£
Date - 01 Feb 2015
Starting bank - 15.3£
Discipline - Football
Match - Southampton v swansea
Market - Southampton win
Odds - 1.6
Bet amount - 13£
10£ lost - 1
Total P/L - -4.7£
#8
Sports Betting Forum / Re: Got a tenner?
January 25, 2015, 02:43:55 AM
Date - 25 Jan 2015
Starting bank - 10£
Discipline - Football
Match - Brighton vs Arsenal
Market - Arsenal win
Odds - 1.53
Bet amount - 10£
10£ lost - 1
Total P/L - -10£
[attachimg=1]
Starting bank - 10£
Discipline - Football
Match - Brighton vs Arsenal
Market - Arsenal win
Odds - 1.53
Bet amount - 10£
10£ lost - 1
Total P/L - -10£
[attachimg=1]
#9
Sports Betting Forum / Got a tenner?
January 20, 2015, 12:46:15 AM
Yes, you got a tenner? I am trying to convert some 10s into 1000s. I might hit some miss some, but I wanted to see how I am performing. I am keeping this as a log of what am doing for the year 2015.
Date - 20 Jan 2015
Starting bank - 10£
Discipline - Football
Match - Ivory coast vs Guinea
Market - Over 2.5 goals
Odds - 2.1
Bet amount - 10£
[attachimg=1]
Date - 20 Jan 2015
Starting bank - 10£
Discipline - Football
Match - Ivory coast vs Guinea
Market - Over 2.5 goals
Odds - 2.1
Bet amount - 10£
[attachimg=1]
#10
Sports Betting Forum / Re: Regression toward mean in sports betting
January 19, 2015, 05:23:05 PM
Hello Drazen,
Yes it does exist. But it is not very straightforward. Let me try to explain best with an example, as this needs to weave together with the value of the bet and odds in which it is available. I will explain in layman's language without getting into the complexities of it. Please take this as a concept, more than welcome to answer any queries you might have.
Everton v Westbrom
This season Everton average number of goals per game is 3. Westbrom is 2.3
The overall average of Everton number of goals at home is 3.3. Last season this figure was 3.
The manager's philosophy has not changed. Now see the sample of last 4 home games. 3 below the average and 1 just above the average.
Now lets look at the next four games at home including today. Liverpool, Leicester city, Newcastle and today Westbrom. For this sample not to be on the extreme like the current sample, we expect a 3 goal average every game and if not 2 games above and 2 games below. Now take a look at the odds. Overs are giving average of 2.00 odds where as unders are providing around 1.8 mark.
Considering all these parameters, today is a game we can expect overs at 2.00 odds. Now it is not a single bet. If lost it will stretch across the next 3 matches as well. The expectation is this sample of 4 will be closer to average and not as extreme as the last sample of 4 matches.
This is just a sample. I will quote more examples as it comes along.
Yes it does exist. But it is not very straightforward. Let me try to explain best with an example, as this needs to weave together with the value of the bet and odds in which it is available. I will explain in layman's language without getting into the complexities of it. Please take this as a concept, more than welcome to answer any queries you might have.
Everton v Westbrom
This season Everton average number of goals per game is 3. Westbrom is 2.3
The overall average of Everton number of goals at home is 3.3. Last season this figure was 3.
The manager's philosophy has not changed. Now see the sample of last 4 home games. 3 below the average and 1 just above the average.
Now lets look at the next four games at home including today. Liverpool, Leicester city, Newcastle and today Westbrom. For this sample not to be on the extreme like the current sample, we expect a 3 goal average every game and if not 2 games above and 2 games below. Now take a look at the odds. Overs are giving average of 2.00 odds where as unders are providing around 1.8 mark.
Considering all these parameters, today is a game we can expect overs at 2.00 odds. Now it is not a single bet. If lost it will stretch across the next 3 matches as well. The expectation is this sample of 4 will be closer to average and not as extreme as the last sample of 4 matches.
This is just a sample. I will quote more examples as it comes along.
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