Can you share with us how to design a good MM? The thinking processes behind your design, so that it can start us thinking as well.
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#2
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: I can beat these extreme sessions of EC. Can you?
April 30, 2021, 04:14:56 PM
Hi. What's your win in units for this stretch?
Quote from: Albalaha on April 30, 2021, 08:07:31 AM
SESSION#2: SUPERHARSH. FIRST 100 DECISIONS HAS ONLY 29 WINS AND OVERALL 133 LOSSES VS 79 WINS
I USED MAX BET 12 TO BEAT IT.
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#3
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Holy Grail: Randomness can be beaten even in the long run-II
May 28, 2020, 07:38:27 AM
Hi Albalaha,
For the 6 units max bet session, what is the
Max drawdown?
How many times did u bet 6 units (i.e. How many times did u place the max bet?)
Can you show at which bets the 6 units were placed?
What was the net profit in terms of units?
For the 12 units max bet session, what is the
Max drawdown?
How many times did u bet 12 units (i.e. How many times did u place the max bet?)
Can you show at which bets the 12 units were placed?
What was the net profit in terms of units?
Thank you.
For the 6 units max bet session, what is the
Max drawdown?
How many times did u bet 6 units (i.e. How many times did u place the max bet?)
Can you show at which bets the 6 units were placed?
What was the net profit in terms of units?
For the 12 units max bet session, what is the
Max drawdown?
How many times did u bet 12 units (i.e. How many times did u place the max bet?)
Can you show at which bets the 12 units were placed?
What was the net profit in terms of units?
Thank you.
#4
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Players Edge against the house
May 27, 2020, 08:15:32 AM
Hi Albalaha, is the sentence (in red) a key consideration when you design the MM? Are there any tips/hints to leverage on this when we design MM? Thank you for your guidance.
Quote from: Albalaha on May 17, 2020, 05:26:00 PM
Resuming my post:
People lose principally due to ignorance of following things:
1. Casino has virtually unlimited chips and time to counter a player
2. Casino has that theoretical edge
3. All progressions that seem to help players are rather killing them faster
4. Randomness i.e. uncertainty could bring unbeatable variance, momentarily enough to kill any money management.
Now, how a player can have edge over casinos:
1. Awareness instead of ignorance of all these
2. Control over emotions as to when to bet, when not and how much to bet. When to call off.
3. Trying to swim against the current could kill even the best swimmers. When variance is at its peak, you either need to
mellow your attack instead of accelerating that or wait for tide to go.
4. One must know that 90% of the wins are likely in 1.5x of break even spread i.e. within first three bets of an EC. Hence
pushing ahead too much is a foolish approach.
5. All old school progressions seem to be made to help casinos than players. They either go too high in bets (marty, labby, fibo
etc) or are not meant to win in adverse cases with even infinite chips (e.g. oscar's grind or opposite). Positive progressions are
even more foolish as they expect successive wins or clumping wins to win a profit. Not realistic and all proven failures in
simulations. So, unless sure of having a bulletproof MM, opt flat betting and survive for 4,000 bets with 100 chips. Enjoy comps.
Have fun in casinos at least harm possible.
6. Lack of simulation skills: It is the biggest killer. Most of the system/strategy maker or follower fail to understand that their
way is set to lose only. They are either ignorant or they self hypnotise themselves that they can win with a proven failure idea
too as they had some success with it. You can have success with a ten step marty for a few thousands bets too but ultimately, it
will be fatal. Improve this area and you can have some hope.
7. Do not expect to earn from a clever trigger or betselection alone in casino games. There is none, practically. Play a static bet
or switch that for any reason, will not help you. Waiting for any any trigger will only waste your time and will offer same set of
volatility still as playing all over.
More later...............
#5
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Holy Grail: Randomness can be beaten even in the long run-II
May 27, 2020, 08:02:23 AM
Hi, of course I wasn't expecting you to tell me how you bet. That will be unreasonable. I was curious about how the size of each bet changes over time (i.e. When u hit max bet). I can only see how the bankroll changes over time but is more interested in how the size of each bet changes over time.
Another question is that you have been posting multiple horrible sessions but the method used to overcome those sessions are exactly the same or have your method improvised over time? I noticed that some supposedly easier sessions have higher max bet while the tougher ones have lower max bet.
Another question is that you have been posting multiple horrible sessions but the method used to overcome those sessions are exactly the same or have your method improvised over time? I noticed that some supposedly easier sessions have higher max bet while the tougher ones have lower max bet.
#6
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Holy Grail: Randomness can be beaten even in the long run-II
May 26, 2020, 04:11:29 PM
Hi Albalaha, can you kindly show us the number of units gained/loss during each bet/hand?
#7
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Holy Grail: Randomness can be beaten even in the long run-II
May 26, 2020, 09:25:22 AM
What's the overall profit in terms of units in the end?
#8
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Holy Grail: Randomness can be beaten even in the long run-II
May 04, 2020, 12:00:56 PM
How many units do you win with a session like this?
Quote from: Albalaha on May 04, 2020, 05:18:06 AM
It was tough from #105 and it took 621 bets to beat it with a net profit thereafter. Horrible losses all over: 268 Wins vs 355 Losses
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#9
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Holy Grail: Randomness can be beaten even in the long run-II
May 04, 2020, 11:51:36 AM
Do you mean that you increase the value of one unit after your mini stop loss?
Quote from: Albalaha on May 04, 2020, 09:46:05 AM
Mini Stop loss stops my progression for a win target. I try to earn ahead afresh than pushing to win back of the lost sum of MSL. Pushing to win too bad times give us irreparable loss. It is a complex methodology to avoid the worst outcomes, in any eventuality. Thos playing a 10 step martingale can't even comprehend this even slightly.
#10
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Holy Grail: Randomness can be beaten even in the long run-II
May 04, 2020, 08:05:13 AM
what do you do after each mini stop loss? do u consider it as a loss or do you include the losses (from the mini stop loss) as part of subsequent bets for recovery?
Quote from: Albalaha on May 04, 2020, 03:32:43 AM
Mini Stop losses could be defined as per your comfort level. I define it as 5 more losses than wins. For example LLLWWLLLLLLLLL
here LLLWWLLLLLLLLL red colored area defines an MSL for me. Size of unit or count may vary depending upon your progression.
#11
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Holy Grail: Randomness can be beaten even in the long run-II
May 04, 2020, 07:12:48 AM
do you mean that in the first 621 bets, you are in negative units and only reaches positive units after bet 621?
what was the net profit in units after bet 621?
what was the net profit in units after bet 621?
#12
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Holy Grail: Randomness can be beaten even in the long run-II
May 03, 2020, 04:35:09 PM
Hi Albalaha,
You recommend a bankroll of 300/600units
What is the number of units that you recommend as mini stop losses?
You recommend a bankroll of 300/600units
What is the number of units that you recommend as mini stop losses?
#13
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Holy Grail: Randomness can be beaten even in the long run-II
April 30, 2020, 01:45:48 AM
For this particular session that took 600 spins, how many units did u win?
How many mini stop losses were there?
How many mini stop losses were there?
Quote from: Albalaha on April 29, 2020, 12:28:38 PM
-222
#14
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Holy Grail: Randomness can be beaten even in the long run-II
April 29, 2020, 02:51:32 AM
What's the maximum drawdown for the session above?
#15
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: Holy Grail: Randomness can be beaten even in the long run-II
April 27, 2020, 03:23:38 PM
How many trials for an average session?
Quote from: Albalaha on April 26, 2020, 05:21:13 PM
In my latest MM,
the max bet that i have seen has been 24 units.
Maximum drawdown below 300
Average win in an average session should be 20-40 units.