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Messages - Drazen

#1
Roulette Forum / Re: Priyanka. random thoughts
May 08, 2016, 10:58:18 AM
Quote from: RouletteGhost on May 08, 2016, 02:17:51 AM
It is a better atmosphere and you can delete comments

No caleb here

I don't understand why that bothers you so much? We all know behavior and thinking process of that guy. Just don't pay attention to him and don't be hooked on anything he says.

IF you can't do that, it is really simple to block any user and you won't see any of his posts when you are logged in.

Cheers
#2
Bayes' Blog / Re: Web Site
May 02, 2016, 05:47:32 PM
Thank you Bayes

You know how many times I asked about this...

:cheer: :cheer: :cheer:
#3
Even chance / Re: BV ....0.01c holy grail?
October 19, 2015, 01:49:19 PM
Quote from: RouletteDevil on October 19, 2015, 05:48:21 AM
i do not use any trigger at the moment at BV, But when i start to play "live" wheels, i will wait till 4/5 losses of any even chance then play opposite.

You don't need to wait 4/5 or any much in a row...

It is the same trigger as playing aginst last  4,5 or 10 decisions sequence. If that will feell you any safer...

@Sputnik

Betting almost 100 units at some point is much out of my comfort zone :O

Best

Drazen
#4
General Discussion / Re: PnF
May 12, 2015, 12:42:34 PM
Well if you simply aim to bet on singles, it is the same as betting on R or B all the time, as those bets have same mathematical correlation. I don't understand how you think you will get significantly lower variance with that.

Cheers
#5
General Discussion / Re: PnF
May 07, 2015, 09:02:29 PM
Bayes can you please say what is wrong here?

I understand L3. The trigger is a underrepresented single to become double.

But L2 and L4 are behaving weird.

Sometimes software resets on a underrepresented double (of course the pattern is fixed), sometimes on something different. I am attaching 2 different resets just when they happened.

[attach=1]         [attach=2]

Also on your screen the program is called "RTM tracker", here it is PnF Tracker. Is that  same version?

Cheers

Drazen
#6
Quote from: Mathemagician on May 07, 2015, 04:00:15 PM
Then  after 34 spins I'm shown that 12 numbers haven't been hit at all!
This is one of my favourite bets and I call it the 'hidden dozen'

This is actually happening all the time. Every 37 spins we have about one third of unhit numbers... I have seen for example 6 so as 15 which haven't showed in 37 spins... Very similar to this was my first system posted on any roulette forum...

At first it may seem that having 12 or more unhit numbers is something astronomically rare if we observe carpet dozens at the same time, and we are so blessed with such rare triggers getting so often, but there is a catch in this.

Carpet dozen numbers are same all the time so it means it is only one combination of 12 numbers we are betting on. That combination of course has its own probability if look it through the cycle of 37 spins. On the other hand that is not the same as any different combination of 12 numbers which are observed together in the same spin cycle,which is happennig if we take it that way.

So be carefull and don't think if it is enough rare to see for carpet dozens to sleep even over 15 spins it is the same for any 12 numbers which haven't hitthat long.

I reckon this would still be a better betselection then taking 12 numbers randomly as it lies on a certian degree of negative deviation, but be carefull how long you will run after a trigger and which progression you will use. If you try to run sprint blindly all along that alley be sure you will get tired to come back at some point  :stress:

Cheers

Drazen
#7
General Discussion / Re: PnF
May 05, 2015, 08:10:46 PM
All very clear, as usual. [smiley]aes/thumb.png[/smiley]

Thanks
#8
General Discussion / Re: PnF
May 05, 2015, 05:00:05 PM
Thanks a lot! I can run it. I understand how earlier version was tailored and how it worked, but now I have to admit I am not sure how to use best of those new improvements...

Is this what you are using for your real play, as I see notification you said you will stress about its use? Also this is for sure preview as your web isn't completely finished yet, and we have this tool before web is running.

I am sure many will agree that W/L ratio we see is astonishing for EC bet, but it isn't quite self explanatory how to get it overall in play  :) And of course there is MM for which you said isn't so obvious, and gives us solution to cope with any eventuality with very low stakes. I would be very glad if that won't be lefted out too :), but I think for all that it would be the best to wait you settle all things on your web, right?

Thanks

Drazen
#9
General Discussion / Re: PnF
May 02, 2015, 08:12:26 PM
For the ones who don't understand point and figure method is one of the oldest techniques of technical analysis commonly used in trading. Basicly it tries to catch and exploit trends while they last. Although originaly created for stocks, it can be easily transfered to EC games, but there are some important things in stocks trading which we can't find in roulette (like support and demand), so we are more or less left with mechanical triggers here. I haven't test this to death but only knowing the fact that we are dealing only with mechanical triggers I suppose how this ends.

This has been mentioned in the past and a few years ago Bayes actually made a DOS program to transfer EC bets to look like a stock charts for easier understanding.

I have every single published program of his, so I can dig this up if someone is interested, but of course with his permission first. Or maybe he still has it somewhere...

Although If I remember running this wasn't straightforward and simple coz it was DOS program. Anyway it can be done for sure and it worked nicely. I have all saved together with explanations how to run it.

Best

Drazen

#10
Quote from: Kav on April 20, 2015, 02:52:43 PM
And no, the game is not made of statistics and probabilities. These do not even existed when roulette was invented.

And the Earth wasn't rounded yet on 17. February 1600. when Girodano Bruno was burned at Campo de' Fiori...

Cheers
#11
In my humble opinion this question is totally absurd. It realy makes no sense and I don't understand how and what you expect to get for a satisfying answer? And  how would you use it in some favor anyway...

You are also forcing going out of the box.. Well I can tell if you want to beat the game you should definitely be IN THE BOX, not search some voodoo wormholes, becasue everthying this game is made of is very simple. Statistics --> probabilities ---> variance. And there is no simple mechanical way to overcome this, except good understanding and applying of statistics in the right way. Throught the physics or betting against strong deviations.

Cheers

Drazen
#12
Even chance / Re: Return to the Mean
April 14, 2015, 06:57:47 PM
My first test test was pretty interesting:

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 - first ten decisions
1 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 - second - start to bet against first formation
2 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 2- oh dear we run on pretty nasty storm here; - L W L L L L L L W W; continuing to bet against first formation
1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 - ka boom; and the sun has shined hehe
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
+1 flat bet overall

Cheers
#13
Quote from: The Crow on March 19, 2015, 04:58:30 AM
There is a distinct difference between the armature and the professional.
"Armatures practice until the get it right. Professionals practice until it cannot go wrong."

Life as a pro,

The Crow

Very well said, sir.

Best

Drazen
#14
Bayes said it good. Investing into something sounds like you don't have too much work to do, but if you are investing into "your" business then it gets a different perspective :)

I personaly found sports betting as easiest and most less time consuming way to invest my money with a decent ROI.

On a week basis I invest about 5-6 K and earn my 1.5 month salary in the office .  I work in croatian national health insurance fund and that is my full time job for now.

Many would here ask what is the reason I am still working with such ratio of income, but don't forget I am 26 and earger to have working experience in a life. Also the job I have now is given to me by credits for working there few years as a student. So I couldnt refuse that job with also well over 20% of unemployment rate behind my back  and say: I am going to live out of sports betting!...

I get enough of knowledge and experience that I am confident that I could live just out of it if really necessary, but I am not thinking about not having a regular job in life..

Sputnik mentioned some psychological pressure. I can't say that I have it much. [smiley]aes/thinking.png[/smiley] I am very confident, practiced and knwoledable enough about it so it actually brings relaxation in a way [smiley]aes/coffee.png[/smiley]

So it can definitely be done that one has a full time job and gambles quite succesfully without stress from it.

You have my proof in the attach. It wasn't the best week I had but those 10% you see, are still good enough to try it for a next week too  :nod:

Cheers


[attach=1]


#15
Thanks for the reply. Very interesting, sir.

I had in mind to show this but in a bit different example. Through the asian lines (ATS) in NBA for the past ten years. I hope I ll catch enough of free time soon for this.

I am semi professional player and regression to the mean is my main bet selection. I play soccer mainly but NBA and NCAA too. I have overall yield about 15%. But I incorporate progression and my own money mangement.

Cheers

Drazen