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Messages - Ehtelgaeb

#1
Sports Betting Forum / Re: THANKS SOXFAN !!!!!!!!
October 10, 2016, 11:35:08 AM
Quote from: Tomla on October 09, 2016, 08:30:14 AM
Spent the spring and summer and early fall using your original  parlay: 2, 2, 2, 6, 8 ,   10, 15, 20, 25, 35, 50
                                                                                                        6  4  2 12 12,  10 , 15, 15, 10,15, 25

Used it on many diff types of sports bets and oh my it produces !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
much appreciated the bull dog is fed

( only the dysfunctional could lose)

Tomla, I am always curious about successful sports bettors.  How do you select the team to bet on?  Is it a mathematical process or do you follow sports closely enough to be able to intuitively pick?
#2
Quote from: TheLaw on July 22, 2016, 07:39:56 PM
I think he's asking about the stop-loss that you added to play after the initial larger tests by Nickmsi failed to show a profit with flat betting only.

The charts with -1 and/or -2 stop loss (then restart a new game), were the only ones that showed a profit without a progression.

So still flat betting with an added -2 stop loss then restart new game. Is that correct?

Yes, this is what I was asking.  Evidently not.

Adulay please check your PM.
#3
Quote from: ADulay on July 22, 2016, 04:12:03 AM
I realize that many are stuck on running millions of trial hands but it's hard to beat sitting down at the table once your comfortable with your bet selection.

Hit the B&M casino tonight and flat bet my way to a very nice +8 net.

Can't complain about that.

This makes three trips to the casino where the VDW play has produced a profit.

Simple yet effective for general baccarat play.

An upload of the shoe should be available tomorrow after some sleep for those who care to take a look.

AD

Quick question if you don't mind.  Were you playing as you originally indicated with a reset after a win or did you go with -2 stop loss before resetting?
#4
I always thought the perfect gambling solution was to put bills into a coin changer.  Just like a slot and it always pays 100%.
#5
Horse & Greyhound Racing Forum / Re: Follow the frog
October 03, 2014, 11:57:31 AM
Quote from: Leapyfrog on October 03, 2014, 11:06:30 AM
Thanks for the comments friends. But unfortunately results don't seem to agree :)

I have some acquaintances (not really friends but people I've met) that actually play US horses for a living and they tell me the win rate is similar to poker.  In poker you play maybe 18% - 20% of the hands dealt but you expect to win better than 50% of the hands you play.  So you're winning like 9% of all hands dealt.  In horse racing you may play 50% to 75% of the races but your win rate is maybe 15% so you're winning like 7.5% to 11.25% of all races watched or handicapped.  And at 7% to 12% win rate, your win rate can still be statistically significant but you can still be losing money.  Horse racing is tough.
#6
Horse & Greyhound Racing Forum / Re: Excel
September 26, 2014, 06:25:31 PM
You can get them from BRIS in a comma delimited format, 1435 columns x number of horses in the race today, $1 a card minimum.

http://bris.com/cgi-bin/HTML/products.html

and the $1 files

http://bris.com/cgi-bin/trk_report.cgi?drs

information on the make up of the pp file

http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/static.cgi?page=structures