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Messages - Sputnik

#1

Have no time to argue, but I will make a short note about the topic, there are different styles of playing tactics and is combined with a players personality.
My trading personality is to win many times with small amounts on a regular basis with very hight strike ratio and take occasional loses.
The small wins add up over time and overcome the occasional loses, even if they hurt, but are part of the game.
That is one way to tackle the game and is based upon players personality, where some players want to win occasional but big and then we talking about other tactics.

I don't need to convince people how to play because I don't care if others lose or win - does who know - know.

Have a great day.

Cheers Patrik
#2
 
I just glance and one reply and know the whole topic - you don't need to win every bet to win - read that again - just one simple comparison if you trading tennis you would be an unintelligent to think you could predict each game correct and win them all - same apply to EC - the biggest and most silly mistake from most members - my opinion ...

For example, let's say you use a simple count system and flat betting 1 unit - then 87% of all sessions and attacks (hit and run) will win +1 unit or break even (if you stop).
It has been proven for 60.000 placed bets and is statistically significant.

Now let's say you make six placement for each sequential attack and lose -6 units and staking 2 units for the next six attempts (attack).
Now you only need to make +1 unit three times to break even with 2 units stake (simple)

That is 2,5 STDV if you lose again and now you can be realistic and start accepting loses.
Repeat and do the same thing with 4 units and win three times (the most common small regression sequence you will find) my experience.

That is 12 units if you win and are now -6 units, there is no reason to chase or try to win or break even because you are fighthing against a sequence worse then 3,0 STDV and should be happy with a three step regression during that sequence from hell.

Now assume you lose again, then you will face above 4,0 STDV sequence and should be more then happy if you find and catch a three step regression - that is Jackpot.
Lets say you staking 6 units and that would be +18 units with a three step regression.
You have lost 42 units and reduce that to 24 units - almost half the stake facing a 4 STDV sequence or worse - that is clever gambling to HEDGE a situation with realsitic expecataions.

But lets say you reach the 5 STDV territorum once in lifetime or maybe twice, then you staking 8 units.
My point is that you will lose but not bust - that is a hudge difference - and even if you bust you hade made some heavy and clever ways to minimize loses and try to hedge every given situation with realistic expectations.

Now the secret lies in that you only need to win twice within six attempts during any given sequence and start over until break even or reaching a three step regression.
All the situations you win your first bet or second bet you take the win or tie and start over with next table.

This way you can play BJ - Baccarat - Roulette - Sic Bo - Craps or any other game that offers 50% probability ....

Cheers Patrik
#3
Meta-selection / Re: On sleepers being treated as "hot"
November 23, 2019, 04:08:26 PM

Victor, I can share something in private, send me a private message if you are interested.

The main approach is to track 1000 trails and look at the top numbers and their "frequency hit ratio" (can explain details private)
Then you can bet only when the number is hot and hitting and avoid the no hitting (cold phases & fluctuation phases).

The advantage is that you might or can stumble on the real bias wheel using that particular hot method that is based upon the same principle as a real bias playing model.

Cheers
#4
General Discussion / Re: Frank Barstow
November 09, 2019, 05:10:58 PM
Thanks Bally ...

I took the real Casino result and test this method.
What I like very much is the small loses and thinking that I will add one additional rule to this method.

If there is no forth repeat and no winning bet after eight attempts I quit and start over.

This never happend, but if it happens I will not go deeper into the whole.
Because this is a Bias number method and three numbers have a 50% probability to hit within eight attempts.
That is the binomial probability calculation and means that would I continue betting after eight attempts I have less than a 50% probability to hit.

Summary:

Bet on the first 3 numbers that repeat
If you get a win (any of those shows a third time) start over.
If you get a 4th number qualified and none of the 3 you're playing has won, start over.
And my rule: If you don't get a 4th repeat or a winning bet after eight attempts, start over.


17 Sessions
Won +98 Units
Loss -15 Units

PROFIT +83 Units

EDIT i calculated wrong

+27
-3
+27
-3
-9
-3
-3
-3
-15
-3
+24
-6

WON +78
LOSS -48
PROFIT +30 Units

One more test

-6
-3
-9
-3
-9
-3   
+24   
-9   
-24   
+24
-3
-6
-3
-15
+30
-3

WON +78
LOSS -96
LOSS -18
#5
General Discussion / Frank Barstow
November 09, 2019, 01:23:11 PM

Back in 1984, Frank Barstow published, "Beat the Casino".  Within the book, there should be a hot number method with the name Pyramid System.
If you have, could you post that particular method or send me a private message.

I can give something really good in return.

Cheers Patrik From Sweden
#6

The worst after several million of spins - 5.35 - same as winning the lottery :-)
#7
General Discussion / Re: LABBY AND RTM...
September 08, 2019, 03:40:33 PM
PA, where do you, play? are you based in Europe/US ...
I don't think  Albalaha can help you with anything as he keeps his solution in private, but he sometimes posts some sequence about the worst imbalance that is fun to beat, if you know how :-)

You need to understand RTM and see how it unfold, here are some simple examples.

Wait for six events versus one event in any combination, can be XXXOXXX
Now your expectation depends on your benchmark, the window of events above can grow to 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.5 STDV
And yes there is staking plans that can avoid such sequence to win and recoup of the comming regression.

But let's say you want to know what happens if a 1.25 STDV window does not grow stronger and there is RTM, then what is your expectation.
If you get another six events you have 3.0 STDV rare, but happens

Now your expectation is two events for the next six events and you will have RTM and not reaching a 2.5 or 3.0 STDV window.
That is two events with any combination among the future outcomes or sequence.

The RTM don't know what strikes or chopping means, they come as an independent reaction from a strong imbalance and can come with very large gaps between them.
This is the reason why most progression and staking plans fail.

Look at this sequence XXXXOXXXXXXOXXXX this is a 3.0 STDV window and we know that most of the times we will get minimum two winning bets as part of RTM but we don't know where or when for the next six outcomes as they can show in any combination.

This means that all triggers are worthless and you need to look at the ECART in sections/groups of events to see how things balance out or recoup.
One other misunderstanding is that you will get 100% to recoup sequence, this might happen during several thousand of trails.

You need to look at small, medium and large RTM and tackle how to catch them and profit.

Cheers
#8

This forum is dead - you did not grasp what has been posted and you are doomed to fail - your coding will not bring this forum to life and let it stay as it is without taking action is a big mistake.

Cheers
#9

Slotlady was only one example - I told Victor how to make money because he is well known by several thousand all over the internet - but it takes commitment.
Victor could start a Podcast (radio show for gambling) and make different shows and interviews with both Casinos and gambling punters and in the same way get advertisement money.
Star to play strategies of his own, both live (twitch) and Youtube - subscribers will become several thousand and advertisement money and make a hook to the forum explaining the methods that have been playing to draw attention. Twitter and gambling tips and Facebook for more personal interment personal exposure.

I bet that Victor could do the same as Slotlady set up with the internet and make a living from viewers and subscribers rather than from gambling itself.

Cheers
#10

One more thing - change the board for the present posts/topics - so when one member makes 10 posts it with the same topic it only shows as one new post on the present board.
Because sometimes you only one member post twenty times and dominate the present and recent post board at the forum, this is wrong.
You want variations of different categories of the gambling board being presented on the recent post board and not allowing one member to spam the forum.

Cheers
#11

I agree with Bally and I notice one nice future at another gambling forum - make monthly gambling competitions where the punters who want to join pay 10 Euro each.
Could who can present the best monthly system or any other gambling-related competitions, who will win NBA sports.

Assume you get twenty punters to join, then you can make a first, second and third price of the punter's money - an easy way to create some action and life into the forum.

Cheers
#12

I will try to write quick - last time I got interrupted with several live sports picks.

This is what you do - my opinion.

More even spread between Sports section - Slot section - Roulette section - Baccarat section among others.

Invite famous people to get life into the forum board, they get advertisement and new followers and the discussion will take place in different areas.

For example Roulettman on Youtube - he makes videos about systems and selections and general talk bout roulette.
Make him or you post his videos on forum and give him exporsure.
Reckon he will take part in discussions about videos and genaral gambling talk.
At the moment he making a new video about scams online casinos and those has been cheated - contact him.

Slotlady has Youtube channel with many followers, Facebook, Twitter, Youtube, Patreon.
And live stream sessions online and real casino with Twitch among other things.
She might like forum board exposure.

I belive there is great bunch of Youtubeers and others who could bring life into this forum, but if they get there own sections the spread and space between different categories has to be even and not one game dominant.
I think this could be a new great set up for forum.

Make list of people with many followers and you will draw anttention to this forum.

Cheers
#13

audionot - I understand your point of view - but this is a pure investment instead of the stock market.

I took 500 Euro from my bankroll for casino gambling and invest them into sports betting service - marketbeaters dot se -
Now I gamble with my money and bet 2% of my bankroll - 10 Euro flat betting - the recommendation is 1% of bankroll and that would be 10 Euro flat betting with 1000 Euro.

I buy two tipsters with an edge - Daniel 112% ROI and Inside 110% ROI - together they place around 200 bets for two months period and I can expect 560 Euro or more in pure profits.
The stock market doesn't even get close to those numbers.

Markeatbeaters has a spreadsheet with 7500 placed bets and 107% ROI - compare that to any other service that doesn't show you there stats.
This is a great opportunity for those who have a Europen time zone.

Cheers

#14

Turbo admits he using a Marty and I have been trying to solve this puzzle, but I will never know if I have the same solution.
There is a march that you can follow to catch repeaters and new single outcomes that are forced to fill the gap sooner or later.

This is how the results look like, been thinking to test this online, but the charting and tracking take time for each bet.
But I find a live wheel from London Casino - Hippodrome - with live streaming from Unibet.
That has a very nice function, the dealer does only spin the wheel after the punters and the Casino has placed their bets.
So it can take 2 to 3 minutes or more between each spin depending on how crowded the table is at the Casino.

+15   7 spins
+44   16 spins
+32   4 spins
+7   10 spins
+15   7 spins
+26   5 spins
+26   5 spins
+20   10 spins
+21   6 spins

Cheers
#15
Meta-selection / Re: 98-unit parachute
June 05, 2019, 12:51:04 PM
 Hello Victor - I always use the binomial probability with parachute methods.
Where each location has a 50% chance to hit like the EC.

A EC has 50% with one attempt
A Dozen has 50% with two attempts
A Line has 50% with four attempts
A Split has 50% with twelve attempts

Look at this:

Half      +1

Dozen   +1
Dozen   +0

Line      +2
Line      +1
LIne      +0
Line       -1

Split     +10
Split     +9
Split     +8
Split     +7
Split     +6
Split     +5
Split     +4
Split     +3
Split     +2
Split     +1
Split     +0
SPlit     -1

Now I know the binomial distribution work with the same probability as EC bets.
You only need to write down the results into groups of four and you will get sixteen different patterns to emerge.
Same as 4 EC bets.

Other solutions are to use eight patterns into groups of three.

A line has 50% to win with four attempts
The street has 50% to win with eight attempts
Single nr has 50% to win with twenty-five attempts.

Line+5
Line +4
Line +3
Line +2

Street +7
Street +6
Street +5
Street +4
Street +3
Street +2
Street +1
Street +0

Single +23
Singe +22
Single +21
Single +20
Single +19
Single +18
Single +17
Single +16
Sinlge +15
Single +14
Single +13
Singe +12
Single +11
Single +10
Single +9
Single +8
Single +7
Single +6
Sinlge +5
Single +4
Single +3
Single +2
Single +1
Single +0
Single -1

Same as 3 EC bets.
Now the patterns is same as EC where you get XXX XOO XOX OOO OXX OXO and so one.

Cheers