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Topics - Tomla

#1
Sports Betting Forum / THANKS SOXFAN !!!!!!!!
October 09, 2016, 08:30:14 AM
Spent the spring and summer and early fall using your original  parlay: 2, 2, 2, 6, 8 ,   10, 15, 20, 25, 35, 50
                                                                                                        6  4  2 12 12,  10 , 15, 15, 10,15, 25

Used it on many diff types of sports bets and oh my it produces !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
much appreciated the bull dog is fed

( only the dysfunctional could lose)
#2
AsymBacGuy / Assym
September 01, 2016, 05:18:38 PM
where has assym been?
#3
Even chance / simple all of the EC's at one time system
October 24, 2014, 06:35:58 PM
Ok I have played this a few times and it hasn't failed me yet on all of the E/C's
I separate them all
B
R
E
O
H
L
And I have a separate betting line for each position. I Play 0/00 USA roulette...My progression is a variation of a standard Penthouse progression 1122233333333333(stay at 3 till finished) Your ahead on that line
The bet : simple follow the last  FTL ..........
A Black shows Play Black until it changes to RED or 0/00 .. I spend like an hour at a table so maybe 40 spins, after I finish I keep my sheet. And when I continue I continue from the old sheet.


At some point all of the EC's have runs or several runs and clear out.. Try some of your own roulette numbers and see
have fun
#6
Sports Betting Forum / great conference
February 10, 2014, 10:36:56 PM
attending this, it puts some great sports betting stuff out there---it is why teams like the red sox do well with smaller cash outlay than the yankees
http://www.sloansportsconference.com/
#8
General Discussion / interesting meeting next week!!!
January 10, 2014, 11:49:01 AM
I'm meeting the President of  Mohegan Sun a fairly large casino in CT next week on a biz proposal---Should be pretty interesting! Will report back if anything is of interest?
#9
Sports Betting Forum / Kelly Criterion explained
November 09, 2013, 02:51:38 PM
Just to let you know and most sports bettors will know this one. I don't use it myself but most people do or an approximation -
I use a D'alembert on sports betting .
Tomla

Link: http://www.elem.com/~btilly/kelly-criterion/
#10
Sports Betting Forum / NBA
November 04, 2013, 10:40:37 PM
I like over 184.5 in the celtics , memphis game
#11
Sports Betting Forum / Twitter
November 02, 2013, 03:11:46 PM
I have used twitter a lot in the last few years for american sports..great late info on where the money is going late and why. Injuries , suspensions etc..any body else on to it and what are your favorites?
#12
Sports Betting Forum / Maybe soccer?
October 20, 2013, 01:57:50 PM
I don't bet these currently but lets give it a shot.
Sunday Soccer (10/20)[/size]Risk 1% on:  English Championship - Birmingham City +220
[/size] Risk 1% on:  English Championship - Leeds / BC DRAW +240
[/size]Risk 1% on:  Italy Serie A - Parma +220
[/size] Risk 1% on:  Italy Serie A - Verona  / Parma Draw +240
[/size]Risk 1% on:  Spain La Liga - Rayo Vallecano +300
[/size] Risk 1% on:  Spain La Liga - Almeria / Vallecano DRAW +240


#13
Sports Betting Forum / Lets Try College Football
October 19, 2013, 03:27:55 PM
Syracuse +8
Mich St -27
Auburn +13.5
Minn +12
WVA +5

Totals
UNLV/Fresno Over 73.5
Geo/Vandy Over 61
USC/ND Under 51
Geo St/Tex St Over 48
U MASS/Buffalo Over 47.5
BYU/Houston Over 63.5
LSU/Miss Under 59.5
Utah St/ NM Over 52
Kent St /S. Ala Under 55.5
Wash St/ Oregon Under 72
Colo St/ Wyoming Over 66.5
Navy/Toledo Over 55.5
N.ILL/C. Mich Under 59
Ball St/W. Mich Overe 58.5
Ohio/E. Mich Under 56


NCAA FB YTD 37/25
Money line 0/3
Totals 8/4
#14
I think not but your input would be welcome and appreciated. They are both random but in different ways. Yesterday or today Albahala or who ever compared NFL travel to Cricket play(that's an interesting concept al)
So real players would be welcome to discuss this.
#15
Sports Betting Forum / Cricket
October 18, 2013, 03:25:56 PM
NO PLAYS TODAY !
#16
WEST COAST to EAST COAST

One trendy concept being used by the media is that NFL West Coast teams traveling eastsuffer declines in performance. It's certainly reasonable to hypothesize that the combination of long flights, strange beds and time zone changes confuse internal body clocks and prevent players and teams from performing up to expectations.[/font]
With this in mind, we used our testing to examine the theory of West Coast teams traveling east and find out just how truthful it is. To start, we had to first find a way to measure expected performance. Similar to our monday night analysis, we can't use straight up wins and losses since they don't provide a realistic measure of performance. For example, San Diego is traveling to Jacksonville this week as 7.5-point favorites. Since 2003, favorites of -7.5 and greater are 543-108 (83.4%) straight up, so concluding that a San Diego victory alone meant they met expectations would be incorrect.
Instead, we can use against the spread (ATS) records as a much better indicator. It's safe to assume that the favorite in each matchup is "expected" to be the better team and the actual size of the spread define "how much better" the favorite is expected to be. Therefore, we would define a 3-point Chargers victory as underperforming since they did not cover the spread. Conversely, a 10-point win would cover the 7.5-point spread, indicating that San Diego outperformed expectations and "played well" against Jacksonville.
With our measure of performance defined, we compiled ATS records for the four NFL teams located in the Pacific Time Zone (San Francisco 49ers, Oakland Raiders, San Diego Chargers and Seattle Seahawks) when traveling to play in the Mountain, Central and Eastern Time Zones.
The table below displays the results, since 2005:

GAME TIME ZONE
[/size][/font][/color]

ATS RECORD
[/size][/font][/color]

ATS WIN RATE
[/size][/font][/color]
Mountain
22-10
68.8%
Central
37-44
45.7%
Eastern
44-57
43.6%

Interestingly, ATS performance of Pacific Time Zone teams gets progressively worse as they travel further east. Based on these results, we can conclude that West Coast teams don't meet expectations and therefore "play badly" when traveling to the East Coast.
While we have achieved our original goal by confirming this concept, we decided to now look at this from a betting theory perspective in order to learn how to take advantage going forward. Using the analysis above as a baseline, we also tested other scenarios and found that Pacific Time Zone teams traveling east perform even worse after covering the spread in their previous game.
The table below displays ATS records for Pacific Time Zone teams, coming off an ATS victory in their most recent game, dating back to 2005:

GAME TIME ZONE
[/size][/font][/color]

ATS RECORD
[/size][/font][/color]

ATS WIN RATE
[/size][/font][/color]
Mountain
6-8
42.9%
Central
16-26
38.1%
Eastern
16-38
29.6%

For the record, this added wrinkle is not related to the teams' actual travel, but is instead a reflection of betting market overreaction. The betting public tends to focus on recent results and will back teams that covered the spread in their latest game. In turn, oddsmakers react by shading lines, forcing bettors who like these teams to take them at bad numbers.
Sharp bettors wait for these market overreactions and take advantage by betting against the Pacific Time Zone teams, knowing they only cover the spread at a rate of 29.6%.


Hope these Tips help you become a better Punter
TOMLA


#17
Sports Betting Forum / BASEBALL--World Series
October 16, 2013, 04:40:36 PM
Back by nobodies demand but at the same time I can't resist....one more play in Baseball to show that Im well rounded and maybe some dutch sports bets in soccer in a few weeks. As a famous Dominican once said "Beisbol has been berry berry good to me"
Lets try to make the 3 and 0 record into 4 and 0 with some help from all of the popular Deities!
Tonight in the Los Angelos -St Louis series take NO RUNS in the first inning -138
Mucho Good wishes to all !!!
#18
Sports Betting Forum / NHL
October 15, 2013, 06:25:09 PM
Hey NFL  worked out well with a 2 and 0 so lets try chasing  a little round black puck, the NHL ! Infamously, men with bright ugly uniforms do this on ice while wearing shoes with blades on them. Little does the world know that on Friday nights in Canada people at bars yell "it's Hockey night Canada"!!!!! They even get excited about this sport in the colder climates of europe--but with global warming next year we may be betting water polo.
To all of my Canuck friends lets try the Toronto Maple Leafs -150, a high Vig to pay and that's not my usual style, , it seems to be Albahalas style with many 3-1 favorites and higher , but to each his own.


Rationale: Minny really sucks on the road this year
Good Luck to all!!
#19
Sports Betting Forum / NFL sunday
October 13, 2013, 04:16:48 PM
In honor of the departed Albahala man I will make one pick for sunday football,,, my meager attempt to fill in for a great void. If I lose I will delete the post to keep my record unblemished.
Im picking the once famous Black and Gold Pittsburg Steelers! -120 to win. Good luck to all!!
01:00p ET [/t][/t][/t]
Pittsburgh Steelers (0-4) @ New York Jets (2-2) (CBS)
Over
Under
215Pittsburgh Steelers     -120    20½ (-120)   20½ (-110)
216New York Jets     +100    2
[/td][/tr][/table]
#20
General Discussion / Double ball roulette
October 10, 2013, 06:40:29 PM
Love Roulette? Get Ready For Double The Action
By eastcoastgambler, 2013-10-09 18:18:51
Section: Las Vegas, Topic:


One ball not enough for you when playing roulette? Well, there� a fix for that. We ran across Double Ball Roulette for the first time at G2E (the Global Gaming Expo). Double Ball Roulette is different from the original game in that the dealer doesn� actually spin the ball(s). The dealer places the balls into a machine and they�e shot into the wheel. The first ball will make a complete lap before the second ball comes out. A machine is used to ensure there are less chances the balls will knock into each other.  The appeal of roulette is its simplicity. Pick a number. Spin the ball. Win or lose. Double Ball Roulette isn� quite as simple. Adding a second ball changes payouts and odds. For example, if you bet on red then both balls must land on red for you to win. You get paid 3-1 instead of even money, but the odds of that happening are smaller than one ball.
#21
Sports Betting Forum / baseball---usa stuff
September 10, 2013, 07:23:06 PM
Interesting Trend in MLB since 9/1/13[/color][/size]. I've gone back and tracked since 9/1/13 by betting strictly dogs in every game you would be up. Based on $100.00 plays on every dog meaning you had to get odds of even money or better you would nicely be on the plus side $719.00. My guess is with them bringing in Triple A players and new pitchers for the end of the season the dogs have been barking.
My research was done by using Vegas Insider.com which uses dime odds.

9/1/13 7 winning favorites and 7 winning dogs Dogs +$347.00
9/2/13 8 winning favorites and 7 winning dogs + $59.00
9/3/13 7 winning favorites 6 winning dogs +$31.00
9/4/13 7 winning favorites 6 winning dogs +$61.00
9/5/13 3 winning favorites 3 winning dogs +$205.00
9/6/13 8 winning favorites 6 winning dogs - $151.00
9/7/13 7 winning favorites 7 winning dogs +$198.00
9/8/13 9 winning favorites 4 winning dogs - $276
9/9/13 5 winning favorites 5 winning dogs +$245.00

2 losing days and 7 winning ones +$719.00

Don't know if this is going to hold up or not but I'm going to just blindly bet on all dogs for a while and see what happens. Don't know if this is a trend worth backtracking or not as I don't have the fox sheets now. But I think it would be worthwhile to back track for the last 7 years up to playoff times to see if this is a good trend or not.

Any thoughts please add to this.
[/size]
#22
nice little well thought out site
http://wagesofwins.com