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Topics - Ralph

#1
Even chance / A step parlay.
March 20, 2013, 07:33:20 PM
I needed seven step parlay to get back to new  high, and  it comes just in time to not need eight.
#2
On inside bet it is one to ten at Dublin. I found they use the same table for low stake as higher. I could start using 0.1 Euro and if I needed more just rapid shift to  1 Euro min table, which is the same physical table and then continue using more than one Euro stake.


I saw the same history and the same dealer, everything was the same.
#3
I had a few RFH and was back 100 Euro. I went to an other table using 1 Euro min. Bet  one on on Zero it hit, and I put two on zero and it hit. Carol at Dublin net save the problem.
#4
Even chance / Testing with real on two casinos
March 18, 2013, 12:19:51 PM
I have started a testing run with lowest possible stakes at Dublinbet and Bv. The play at Dublin I have a bank of 50 Euro and play EC on H/L using three lines (0.3 bets). I will play it until the bank is double or I am bust. Started today and ended with a bank of 52 Euro, not very long play. I will continue later.
I use parlay to try to recover losses here.



The other is at BV and I play only RED, testing a progression, which I think can take much against it. I have only put 300 units in that bank.
It is on Zero wheel, as the test is to see if the method can be used live.  Done  834 spins and are small a head. The zero takes its part.

At Bv I use a negative progression, not mechanical, I stake more when I feel it is on winning, and/or I am behind last high. Here I will test how far I can play with the bankroll of 3 Euro.
#5
Even chance / Can you win 5 bets in 50?
March 17, 2013, 02:52:17 PM
We know martingale can survive maybe 12 losing bets in a row. If we want aggressive play, we need many units. That's is possible if we use low stakes, and go for winning, rather than much money.


The Labby will win if  about  a third of the bets are winnings. Can we change it to a fixed number of winnings. We can if we accept high stakes, but win if we win a fixed times regardless of the losses.


Say we want to win 10 units in 5 winning bets, and we chose a NZ penny wheel.  In 100 spins we can not lose  less than 5 bets or?


We make a line of ten  figures:


1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1


That is a fixed Labby.


Spin one we bet 2 units and lose.


We distribute the losses in the fixed length string.


1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2


We bet 3 units and lose.



1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2


We bet 3 units and lose



1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2


We bet 3 units and lose






2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3


We bet  5 units and lose



2
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
3


We bet 5 units and lose



3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
4


we bet 7 units and lose



3
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4


We bet 7 units and lose



4
4
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4


We bet 8 units and lose



5
5
5
5
5
5
5
6
6
6


We bet 11 units and we win





5
5
5
5
5
5
6
6


We bet 11 units and lose



6
6
6
7
7
7
7
7


We bet 13 units and lose





8
8
8
8
8
8
9
9


We bet 17 units and win







8
8
8
8
8
9


We bet 17 units and lose





11
11
11
11
11
11


We bet 22 units and lose



  15
  15
  15
  15
  15
  13


We bet  28 units and win.






  15
  15
  15
  15


We bet 30 units and lose







22
22
23
23


No the stakes can go high, but should we just losing?


We bet  45 units and win




22
23


We bet 45 units and lose


44
46


We bet 90 units and lose




88
92


We bet 180 units and win.






How many times we lose does not matter as long we have a bankroll and are able to hit 5 times on an EC.


Do in fun until you know the play, it can as all methods lose, and lose heavy if not five hits will come in a very long run.


The table limit should  not be a problem. 

 


#6
Even chance / Try to get 10 units
March 16, 2013, 11:23:38 AM
I will start with 100 Euro and use 1 Euro as ground bet try to win 10 Euro.  This time I will always bet opposite chance, until I am six down, then bet the same with one more stake, and try to come back.


I will note the numbers this time.


I start and will post the result.
#7
Even chance / Playing three EC.
March 12, 2013, 02:05:35 PM
I have tested different types of EC bets, and I use to have some problems getting mote than a few plus. This time I will use all three EC:s and parlay once on winning bets. I will let the losing bet stay. Reset at any plus. I did some 1000 tests in fun and it was about half a chip plus pro spin.  I change now to Zero Wheel even if I would have better result at NOZ. it is in real mode and the lowest bet. The risk money is 10 Euro, and the target is to double the money. I will this time bet against the last number.


I have done 582 spins and got 258 plus.
#8
Ralph's Bot / New link to the bot.
March 12, 2013, 12:57:28 PM
I had before compressed the bot with Jzip, and it may be problem for some.  I have uploaded a zip using WinZip.



http://roullettebot.com/bot/BvBot.zip
#9
Even chance / A try with mixed progressions
March 09, 2013, 08:34:07 PM
I found this on a German website.



A combination of negative and positive progression on one EC.
Using 0.05 on BVNZ. We try it when we expect the wheel to produce series.






We try a longer parlay. 1,2,4,8,16. If we succeed we got 15 units plus or one lost.


If we lose the parlay we try again using 2,4,8,16. If we win we get 13 plus and start over.


On a loss we try using 4,8,16. If we win we got plus of 9 units and start all over.


We try the last time betting 8 units, and if we win we are 1 units plus.


A total loss is 15 units.




We could start with 15 on an EC got on NZ  50% chance of reaching the  win target. Something to
consider??


Here we have several trials, which is better??


I got luck and passed all parlay a few times, betting 15  once and use the series betting the method opposite may be
a option?


I won but I am not sure the method has more value compare to bet more at the first bet, and decrease the bets next time.
#10
Gambling Philosophy / NOZ and variance
March 08, 2013, 09:58:03 AM
On a NOZ we do not have the -EV, which many (poker)math guys tell us we lose every bet on. It is true the unfair odds in the longer run will beat even the best variance to our advantage.


If we keep the betting so the variance is so low as possible, we try to break even, which we should do in the longest run.


To keep the variance down as much as possible is to bet all numbers, never win and never lose, some do it during tracking an opportunity according the theire way of play.


We need some variance to be able to win, small enough to rid out until we are on the right side.


If we bet two doz, we have a lower variance. We have on the other hand experience of that, we always lose a chip, and if we get many loss in a row, we can hardly catch up. THERE IS NOT ANY POSSIBILLITY TO WIN BOTH BET.


On a NOZ wheel we can reduce the variance on EC, and bet two or three. In this case THERE IS A POSSIBILLITY TO WIN ALL BETS.


I see a big difference in this, both from calculating and practical play.


I was trying several 1000 spins using three EC and got good results. Flat it is probably not better than betting one EC, but using positive and negative progressions  make a difference, I have in the trials never lost and never got heavy drawdown.


Use a bet selection of your best, I used last spun number.  We bet all three EC using the last spun number.


If we got  hit we parlay those bets once, the missing bets we do not play. If non of the parlay hits, or all miss first attempt, we add a chip in the next trial. As soon we catch up or nearly do it we reduce the betsize to the minimum.


As it looks, this method is very stable, it can of course lose. I got 576 Euro using 0.1 chips with 100 Euro in bank.
#11
I seldom play dozen, but will give it a try. I will play a dozen 10 times, and add a chip next trial if back, run until plus on NZ. I will chose the dozen which has less hits the last 12 spins.  I have never run it before, will try an BV NZ using 0.1.  Risk money 1000 units.


Results will come.
#12
Playing 0.1 chips at NOZ for about  a week.  We lose slow, and if we dare we can win big. I do not press while flow, just reset everytime at new plus, but if low not hesitate to  wait for seven hits or more if needed to catch up . I follow the last most of the time, but if it starts chopping I follow that(GF but I do).
#13
Online Casinos / Anybody else got the history disabled
February 19, 2013, 04:28:48 AM
In fum mode (BV) my history is disabled, I can not see the play done. Anybody else got the same?
#14
Math & Statistics / Long runs on EC.
February 17, 2013, 01:52:34 PM
We see often methods which use progressions on EC:s, and it looks like many underestimate the chances for a longer run of the same.
How many times have we not seen somebody count a run of seven as very unlikely. An some think a wheel is rigged because  it has been a run of 9 or more.


I have checked  beside my other play, how often we can expect a longer run in 200 spins. The result is it is very rare to not see a run of
at least 5 in 200 spins, and it is more likely it is  6-9.


On a zero wheel a single zero can chop a run, and if we play against the run or not it is  a problem. We should if possible play EC on NOZero.


Knowing we can expect about  7 in a run in 200 spins It should be possible to make some use of that knowledge. Seven run can a Martingale easy fix, but nothing says it can't be several more, and then the loss is as it use to be when a negative progression bust, the bankroll is wiped out.


I have done quite a lot of playing the last days, checking out how to use the runs, and I have done it many times before.
It will be some who might not agree, but exploring the runs should be using positive progressions. At to the maximum, we should reverse the Martingale.   If we double on win we will lose a chip every  trial, and win nothing at all.


We have to set a number of times we will double on a win, to have any chance to get a profit.  As we know we are on 50% chance every spin on a NoZero, we only fight the variance, No HE, but a tax on the winnings.


There is a fair chance to get a run of 7 in about 200 spins.  I started On BVNZ using 0.1  and , 40 Euro at risk.


Then we follow the last, and double up after a win, starting with reset after four winnings, and pocket the winnings. If the play went so choppy  we  could not recover using four winnings, it is to increase the times we try.  We know it does not matter how many times we double, it is just a matter of time before they show, and seven is not very unlikely in about 200 spins.


We in a way change the role of the bank, the bank plays for one chip, the player going for more, the opposite as Martingale played double on loss, the the player risk much for a single chip.


I did this in fun mode, but the casino is not displaying my fun mode history since a few days, this happen now and then.
#15
Ralph's Bot / New script for the bot
February 16, 2013, 07:24:58 PM
The script is for testing, I may find bugs or change something into it later. It has name  "test2" in the listbox, and should update to your bot as soon you restart the bot.


The script try to catch short tendencies in the stream of numbers, it bet on repeated numbers and do some  progressions in an ambush style, and if it succeed it high the stakes more, if not it rapid reduce the bet.


I have run soon 1000 spins and are on a small plus, was never down very much. Please test it, if possible set it in fun, using 90.00 and let it go for long time with a win target of 8.00 and publish screenshots of the result. I will do it when I pas 1000 spins.


At start put any number as start bet.


#16
General Discussion / A small test with flat bets!
February 14, 2013, 07:30:02 PM
I won 15 Euro using this flat bet method. Flat as we never increase or decrease the stake. It is tested just about a 100 spins, and I hope some more can test and report the outcome.


We use Low and 1 doz, or High  and 3 doz.


We start bet an Euro or 0.1 Euro on Low. If we win, we do the next spin the same. If we lose, we put 0.9 of the bet on Low and 0.1 of the
bet on 1 doz. If we win next time on Low, we bet the same. If we win on Low and doz we put 0.1 from the doz to the Low, if doz has bet.


The tweak is to get forward faster when the doz hit, and the doz bet will have more after a loss. 


We can bet every spin or use the betselection we think work best.
#17
Even chance / Ec longer test!
February 14, 2013, 10:57:37 AM
I do not use win anything or much playing EC. The chance to win is of course larger than any inside bet, but the pay out is smaller.
If we progress hard, some losses put us back very fast, and the recover needs a good streak or even larger bets. When playing just one number, we can wait 100 or more spins to get a hit and  have a chance to recover and go plus. A bad streak EC I think is hard to caching up.


I will try a way to overcome this, by aiming for a plus in a longer series of spins. I will bet at least minimum every bet. The bankroll used will be 15000 units. I can for now not do it in other than fun mode.


I start now and publish screenshot. I have not exactly the plan ready, may adjust as the play goes.
#18
Straight-up / seven number method
February 09, 2013, 09:31:37 AM
We are use to see a number repeat in the first 10 spins, it happen so often we can try to make use of it. Sometimes when it takes more spins to get a repeat, we want to go plus as soon we hit. A progression on single number can be rather low and catch up on a hit. Three chips gain over 100 units.


I have tested some other ways to use it, and M7 is one of them.


This time I placed 5 chips from start, on the five last numbers, then if the first spin hit, we are plus and start all over.
If not a hit, add one number, so we bet 6 numbers, on a hit we are on plus and restart.


If the six numbers not got any hit, we place the last number and we have seven numbers, if a hit we are plus and restart.


If  we miss all spins up to now, we add a chip to one of the numbers and spin. If we hit and are on plus we restart, if  not we add a chip to the hitting number. If miss, we add a chip to the last placed number. We play and add a chip to the numbers, one at every spin until we are plus. We add them equal, but if a number hit we add that number before any other.


It looks like it less often than M7 will have larger drawdown, it is seldom very large numbers of spins until a plus. The stop/loss we decide according to the bankroll, test result and the risks we think is acceptable.


I did a test with goal of 1000 units plus, and got it after 352 spins.


I will do the same test a few more times, and have 9000 units in bank (90 Euro).

#19
An user reported a reading error in the bot, this is now corrected. Please download the corrected version.


http://roullettebot.com/bot/BvBot.exe.zip
#20
Even chance / Is it due?
February 02, 2013, 04:07:07 AM
The two pictures show the distribution of black and red in 42 spins. 31 of them are black.


Those spins are done continous, and I have halt the session. I will play flat red for 50 spins and see if the red comes back. If I guess I would say maybe, but black can as well dominate longer.
#21
General Discussion / Last ten days report!!
February 01, 2013, 04:25:19 PM
Not any heavy resistance from the wheel the last ten days.  There are a few metods played, not anything magic, some luck!
#22
Even chance / Bet for dominante EC.
February 01, 2013, 09:24:58 AM
The outcome of an EC in the long run should be 50% excluding zero. The play has fluctuations, one EC will dominate in the shorter time in many cases.


I think this is tried plenty of times by many. I will bet 20 spins at the same color, and every 20th spin I will see if it is on plus, and then start with one unit, else do a fib.


The plan is at a point I will be on plus.  I will wait for a change in the fluctuation and bet on the color showing lower number than the other in the last 20 spins.


The zero hit make us to have if not the most spins hitting, the most stake at hits.
#23
Multiple locations / A corner plus a color
February 01, 2013, 06:40:09 AM
I will start a play using a static place for the bets. The corner 1,2,4,5 and the color red.
The corner will have be progressed using fib, with a progression every 7th spin. The color adding a chip on a win. Reset if new high. 100 units as target for the play.


Screenshots will come.
#24
Street / Testing some runs using negative progressions.
January 30, 2013, 11:45:07 AM
If we bet on one street and add a chip every spin, we wait for the street to become frequent and stop at the new high. With a larger bankroll this should end profitable on a NZ wheel. The problem is every NO zero wheel has a narrow bet spread. The casinos has protected the bank with lower max bet on NZ.


On a zero wheel it is not fair odds, which make such a play more unsafe. It must not only become hits on the streets it must come to compensate for the HE too. So we can allready say it can lose the biggest bankroll.  The spread is 1 to 15000 on the zero wheel. If needed we can use the straight up to go to 35000 units a bet.


I will try some play, I will stretch it over days as I have some busy other things to do. The target of the test at BV (fun) is to win 100000 units and risk what I have on the account (1.8 million units).


Screenshots will come!
#25
General Discussion / Roulette Strategies!
January 28, 2013, 07:55:16 PM
Most of the pattern and other systematic playerd use the history of spins to find a bet, anybody knows that by all math, will not work, to win you must build the method using the future spins.  8)