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Messages - ADulay

#1
Sports Betting Forum / That's one way to break even
September 10, 2025, 04:19:12 PM
Well it's that time of the year again.  The National Felons League is on TV and that gives me a reason to get out of the office and make some friendly wagers online and with friends.

As the first week of the season is always a pain to bet on, I went with a tried and true favorite to give me a win.

I took the Bungles giving points to the Brownies.   The Browns never let me down.  They NEVER cover in Week 1.

Uh, wrong.   They covered the spread this week.  This never happens!

Oh well, luckily for me my online book also has a live casino available so I took the loss over to the casino and got that money back on the roulette and baccarat tables.

So, going into the 2nd week of the season, my bankroll is back where it belongs and knowing that I can take the loss from Sunday and pick it up on Monday is nice!

AD
#2
Bally's Blog / Re: All things Baccarat!
August 20, 2025, 05:14:05 PM
Very interesting.

Thanks.

AD
#3
KungFuBac / Re: Does Type of Shuffle Matter???
August 18, 2025, 06:21:38 PM
It's funny that you mention the "table wash" of the cards at the start of the day.

I used to see that a lot but now that I think about it, I haven't actually seen it in a long time at my local casino.

When I would be the only person at the table and a new set of cards came out I could sit right there and watch it right in front of me and usually the dealer would also let me place the cut card when they were ready!!

That hasn't happened in a long time but then, I don't get into the casino early enough to see if they even do that anymore.

AD
#4
Roulette Forum / Stadium Roulette
August 17, 2025, 11:14:46 PM
Somewhere in one of these Roulette areas is a discussion about stadium type roulette using a live wheel but wagering on individual terminals that you sit down to.   I can't find it so I'll start this thread here.

The "common" complaint is that the wheel is rigged because it knows who the large bettor is and tends to cause that player to lose due to some sort of electronic skullduggery and manipulation of the wheel, ball, air and all sorts of things.

Well, the other day I was the previously mentioned "big bettor" at the table and evidently nobody threw the switch to make my larger wagers lose.  I was the big guy about 85% of the time with the normal wagers and every now and then a larger wager was called for.

They all won. 

When I hit my target for the day I cashed out, took my voucher and left.  Two of the guys who were also on the table asked why I was leaving after continuing to win.   

Told them it was time for lunch.  The casino has a Deli to die for with a corned beef sandwich to make New Youk wish they could be there.

Anyway, it was a very good testing session and I picked up another small idea to help things along.

Live play is always a good crucible for serious testing.  Can't cheat or fudge the results when you've got real money out there, right?

AD
#5
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: cryptocurrency and me
July 26, 2025, 11:05:48 PM
Quote from: Albalaha on July 26, 2025, 03:44:55 AMHmm. Captain you still have the piece of pi, I guess. Keep it as long as possible.

And that there is the problem with the Bitcoin world.  Most people buy Bitcoin (using real money) and then just sit on it hoping it goes up.  It's not actually being used for anything, it's just held. 

And as the majority of buyers have the "Fear of Missing Out" syndrome, they buy right into the play never thinking about when to sell and get "real money" for doing useful things.

I am by no means any kind of expert on crypto currency at all.  Other than my previously mentioned drunken speculation with my buddies, I hold no crypto at all and have no real interest in it.

There are better places to put your money for an "investment" and plenty of other places for good returns on that investment.

It's just not for me but I do enjoy reading about future returns in many of the financial reports.  It should prove interesting moving forward.

AD

#6
Off-topic / Re: Photo Ops
July 20, 2025, 07:06:41 PM
Nice day for a ride so I made the hour ride down to the Immokalee casino and was pleasantly surprised to see that they've added two live craps tables and two live roulette wheels in addition to the previously mentioned stadium type roulette and craps.  This is a good thing for the casino and players I believe.

Anyway, as the summer rains were holding off I took the bike down.

AD

#7
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: cryptocurrency and me
July 15, 2025, 01:42:52 AM
My reply is self deleted.

I just saved myself a lot of grief for sure.

AD
#8
Dozen/Column / Re: Anyone still use this forum??
June 30, 2025, 12:02:01 AM
OK, finally took another look at the Molley thing.

Not impressed.

It needs to hit a single dozen to produce a profit while putting up an inordinate amount of money that isn't being put to work.

Two of the columns/dozen appear to produce zero or a total loss.

The wager methods do take some time to learn to be quick and smooth but overall there are better "dozen" type plays out there.

Just my two cents worth of an opinion on this one but thanks for bringing it up.

AD
#9
Wow.

Could they put any more advertising on that web page????

AD
#10
Off-topic / Re: Photo Ops
June 07, 2025, 07:05:24 PM
Aha!

Yellow sports cars you say?

When I first met my wife in the early 70's, this was her ride.

A blast to tool around with but you froze your butt off in the winter as the heater pretty much only kept the ice off the windshield and that was about it.

A really fun sports car though.

AD

#11
QuoteFor example, with a $50 betting round:

$30 on Banker
$20 on Player
Outcomes:

Banker wins: Profit $30 – 5% commission – $20 = $8.50
Player wins: Profit $20 – $30 = -$10
Tie: Both bets push, no gain or loss
This system produces a small profit more than half the time but still has a negative expectation over time.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

https://www.casino.org/blog/how-to-win-at-baccarat/

Wow.

This is what is passing for valuable system play now?

Why not just wager the $10 net on Bank and take a $9.50 profit on a Bank win?

You lose $10 on the Player win either way, you just "pay" more with their method.

Weird.

AD

#12
Over 100 triple zero tables!!!!

Yes, most gamblers are clueless and are not students of the games.

The fact that there are more than two of those tables shows how poor the level of play really is with most people.

Simply incredible.

AD
#13
Dozen/Column / Re: Anyone still use this forum??
April 01, 2025, 05:28:48 PM
Haven't been following the Roulette game lately but I'll take a look at the Nolley Molly play and see what it has to offer.

AD
#14
I should think that this article was written by some kind of AI or some other stuff.

Missouri's gun laws give the owners of various establishments the "right" to post signs prohibiting firearms on the premises but MUST be displayed in an official manner.  If not, one only needs to ask the offending person to leave.

If they leave, no harm, no foul and the owner can further restrict the offending person as they see fit.

Sticking a gun into the back of a player in front of casino patrons seems so far fetched that if true, all three "security" officers should be fired and the guy sticking the gun in the back of the player should be sued.

There are laws for drawing a firearm, especially for security guards, and that was way out of line.

Which brings me to the start where I said this is probably a made up story to go with the article.

I can guarantee you that if some security guy jams a gun in my back because he saw my holster at the bac table, I'll be owning the table's profits for the next 20 years.

Andy
Florida class "D" security license
Florida class "G" armed security license.

And a whole bunch of other gun related licenses from many other states that most people don't even know exist.
#15
Off-topic / Re: Photo Ops
March 06, 2025, 07:19:08 PM
Most new shooters (and many "experienced" shooters) have a major fault with their grip.

In my duties as a Range Safety Officer and Match Director I get to see many new shooters coming into the sports and they are kind of taken aback at their dismal performance the first time they try any of the popular shooting sports.

The usual reason is a poor grip setup.

There are several thousand videos out there that demonstrate whatever the current popular handgun grip is and most of them are pretty good but it still boils down to the individual has to be able to change their poor grip for a good one.

The second reason is generally because the person may not be shooting a sidearm that works well with their hands and overall body strength.

Lots of older shooters, especially women, will show up with a revolver that is either too large for them or the trigger weight is so heavy that they can't pull the trigger!  My lady is like that.  Her late husband bought her a nice 5 shot revolver that is the right size for her hands but she simply cannot pull the trigger on it.

We eventually got her a small footprint Glock that merely needs 5.5 lbs to pull the trigger and she can do that with no problem.

The other big problem we see if shooters who have purchased a sidearm, got a license of some sort, depending on where they live, and then head off to the range and shoot up a box of ammunition.

They declare themselves "good to go" and never get to experience anything other than a "static range" where you shoot down a lane at a close up target.

When they get to something that involves actually moving and shooting or getting out of the way while shooting, they realize how really unprepared they are for carrying a sidearm.

Many even get rid of their current sidearm and get a new one as they realize they bought a sidearm based on advertising and not what they need for the intended tasks.  This happens a LOT.

Anyway, to get back on track. . . . .

Check to make sure you have a secure and proper grip.  This will solve a myriad of problems.

Then make sure the tool you're using is what you can work with, not what the advertising in the gun magazines say you need.

I'll see if I can drag up another video one of these days that's worth viewing.  Most of mine are pretty dull but every now and then we get a funny one for sure.

AD