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Topics - KungFuBac

#1
The link to the whole article is at the very bottom of this post. Much of the article is mostly "elementary-level" info and suggestions. However, a couple of interesting suggestions on betting systems down about 2/3rds of the article. Though I don't wager in this manner/I'm not an advocate for any type of hedging. I still found it interesting.

Any of u play a similar approach to suggestions in the article?
Any thoughts or comments? Yea or nay??
Thanks in advance,
---------------------------------------------------------------

How to Win at Baccarat: The James Bond Strategy

This fixed betting system, inspired by Ian Fleming's character, involves covering multiple outcomes:

Place 70% of your total bet on the Banker
Place 25% on the Player
Place 5% on the Tie
For example, with a $100 total bet:

$70 on Banker
$25 on Player
$5 on Tie
This approach guarantees a win if Tie hits (typical profit of $35 with 8:1 payout) and a small win if Banker wins (profit of approximately $40 – $25 – $5 = $10). You lose only when Player wins ($70 loss offset by $25 win = $45 net loss).

The system offers frequent small wins but doesn't overcome the house edge in the long run.
__________________________________________________________________________________

Exploring the 3-2 System
This straightforward approach focuses on diversification:

Bet 3 units on the Banker
Bet 2 units on the Player
Skip the Tie bet entirely
For example, with a $50 betting round:

$30 on Banker
$20 on Player
Outcomes:

Banker wins: Profit $30 – 5% commission – $20 = $8.50
Player wins: Profit $20 – $30 = -$10
Tie: Both bets push, no gain or loss
This system produces a small profit more than half the time but still has a negative expectation over time.
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https://www.casino.org/blog/how-to-win-at-baccarat/
#2
Hopefully the consequences for the perps will match the crime/ be rendered expeditiously. Society runs more efficiently when that occurs on a consistent basis.


https://www.casino.org/news/robbers-who-targeted-casino-winners-face-life/
#3
This is an interesting list if one likes the luxury treatment. Link at the bottom.

*Probably the nicest I recall is Bellagio in L.Vegas. I was with a group that included two high rollers and the other four of us in the group were avg. So the casino treated our whole group with extra niceties. 

It was a couple levels above my typical room. Though not a penthouse suite or multiple bedrooms suite,..etc.


Another time I was in Tunica and the lady checking me in asked: Would you like an upgrade to a Penthouse luxury suite? Me: Yes that would be OK.  :) .

 I wasn't a high roller and hadn't given them much action that year. However, I thought it was a classy move (& smart business) on her part. It was during the week. I'm sure they had several luxury rms that were going to be empty anyway.
 

https://www.888casino.com/blog/worlds-poshest-casinos


Continued Success,
#4
Where to Play Single Zero Roulette in Las Vegas.

I found this factoid concerning: "..It may seem like triple zero roulette has taken over Las Vegas. There are almost 100 triple zero tables in the market these days and over 200 double zero ones...."


More ways to win,  :)


The following was Written by John Mehaffey on Vegas Advantage.

https://vegasadvantage.com/single-zero-roulette/
#5
I concur with the courts on this one. Any thoughts or opinions??

From the link below:

"...Court upholds that MGM Resorts isn't legally obligated to prevent compulsive gamblers from betting

Plaintiff Sam Antar lost nearly $25 million on MGM platforms

Lawsuit claimed MGM violated the Consumer Fraud Act by offering bonuses despite his addiction

A New Jersey federal appeals court has upheld a lower court ruling that MGM Resorts – and US casino operators in general – have no duty of care toward compulsive gamblers...."




https://www.casino.org/news/mgm-no-duty-of-care-towards-man-who-gambled-25m-court-affirms/
#6
It is my opinion FREEPLAY is very important to most players. Although I do not play to get free play or more free play. However, in recent years I do pay attention to free play and that may sway my decision about playing at a particular property vs another(less free play) property. All other variables being equal. I never play any more or less(wager size or play longer) as a function of free play. So if two casinos require a 50mile drive in opposite directions and one offers $200 and the other $100, then Im likely to visit $200Casino. If Bac tables are the same,...etc.

E.G., I'm currently on a multi-day gaming trip. On the first day I had the following FreePlay amounts at three casinos shown with my net conversion: $100--163, 100--100, 60--99. Historically, I have always played the same wager size and buyin at each of these properties.
These amounts may seem miniscule. However, the EV is obviously very high on free play/
FP should be optimized as a part of any serious gamers' arsenal. Although one shouldnt play above their budget just for FP, IMO.

*I once received a $500 free play(and the casino allowed one to take back the free play voucher on a win). My point of view is that I would prefer free play/a free room over all other incentives such as food offers, giftshop, upgraded room, special dinner/drawings, limo rides, chocolate/fruit basket in the room..etc.


An excerpt from the article:
"...The study doesn't necessarily label free-play as categorically bad or ineffective, Lucas said, it just shows that casinos are not doing a very good job of measuring it...."


https://vegasinc.lasvegassun.com/news/2024/aug/05/are-free-play-offers-a-waste-of-money-for-casinos/


Continued Winning To All,
#7
I find the part in bold very interesting:Baccarat hold was 26.7% versus 16.4% in the prior year...

Baccarat offering wagers with a H.E. at approx 1.15% yet a hold of 26.7%.


 Nevada/Las Vegas first quarter
"...For the Las Vegas Strip, table game hold was 18.9% versus 14.8% the prior year. Baccarat hold was 26.7% versus 16.4% in the prior year..."



https://cdcgaming.com/wall-street-bets-vegas-strip-room-rates-golden-entertainment-penn-entertainment-nevada-las-vegas-first-quarter/
#8
The old western world adage: "God Created Man And Colt Made Them Equal."
Of Course referring to Sam Colt(In the mid 1800s he formed what later became Colt Firearms Co.).

A link below showing the best concealed carry weapons for 2025.

*Do any of you put forth extra effort to protect yourselves traveling to/from your casinos. What do you do if you have a large win and must walk or travel to your hotel off premises? Maybe you don't want to leave Front money at that particular casino/don't want a check,..etc. Maybe traveling home at night with large sums of cash? ETC??

Obviously one is not allowed to carry a weapon into a casino(At least not that I've seen in the USA).

**An interesting incident at a casino. Several years ago I was playing at a casino near Joplin,Mo. USA.
This was a small casino and the only two Bac tables were adjacent to the only Craps table. I was positioned approx 20' from the  craps table and my view faced most of the Craps players from the front. So I could also see the floor area behind them. There was a large floor area and all of a sudden I see three large security guards walking across the casino floor. They were rapidly approaching /toward the backside of the craps players standing three to each side of the stickman.

I could tell something was about to happen from the focused and serious look on the security officers face. However, I just thought maybe someone had stolen other players chips or maybe a pickpocket had been flagged by security cameras,...etc. The three security officers walked directly behind one of the stuff players without hesitation. One officer on each side of the player and positioned their legs against his and placed their hands on top of players shoulder as if they were going to face plant him over the craps table. The third security officer pulls his gun(looked like a 38 or similar revolver). He puts the barrel into the players back and says: "If you move an inch I'll kill you."
Of course everyone was watching at that point and all table games nearby had suddenly stopped. They secure him against the table/ remove his gun that was in a concealed small-of-back holster(That I guess was showing through his jacket). He also had what looked like a 15" hunting knife on his side in a leather holster. They walk him away after removing his weapons and contents from pockets. I heard later through a dealer the arrested player just claimed he "forgot" to remove his CC weapon. The knife was legal. I recall thinking this is like the old wild west days. Supposedly that casino utilized some sort of metal detection and the main entrance but this guy entered through the parking garage area. I have never noticed metal detectors at this particular casino(To this day). I heard they banned him for 90 days/ he received a fine.


---------------------------------------------------
https://gundigest.com/handguns/concealed-carry/best-concealed-carry-handguns

2025 Best Concealed Carry Guns
     I own two of the Overall Top Pick(Sig Sauer P365 9mm CC(Concealed Carry). I find them satisfactory as they are easy to conceal in a belt or leg holster.


Overall Pick: Sig P365
Runner-Up: Springfield Hellcat
Best High-end Carry: Wilson Combat EDC X9
Best Classic Carry: Glock 19
Best Budget: PSA Dagger
Best Carry Revolver: Ruger LCR in .327 Federal Magnum
Best .357 Magnum: Ruger LCRx 3-Inch
Best .380 ACP: Ruger LCP MAX
Best Easy To Manipulate: Smith & Wesson Equalizer
Best Backwoods Carry: Glock 20
#9
Don't Hate Good Promotions, Embrace Them

  A good article about playing more efficiently, maximizing offers, and incentives during peak promotional periods.   

https://travelzork.com/don't-hate-good-promotions-embrace-them/
#10
Unbelievable Luck: Witnessing the Biggest Baccarat Wins of All Time

This was a good read. I play with a gentleman that deals Bac in Tunica. I once asked him what was the best win he ever dealt. He said it wasn't the largest ever win but a young guy about 25yo bought in with 3K and in about 45mins walked with 80K. He said the player didn't appear to be following a predetermined system but seemed to be just guessing and relying on intuition. He had never seen this player before or after and he declined to show a players card at buyin.

https://cardpaymentguru.co.uk/biggest-baccarat-wins/
#11
Key statements from Konnikova:

"...Maria Konnikova isn't afraid to call out the cheating that goes on in poker, and casinos' unwillingness to deal with the problem. .."


"... Her book about cheating includes poker, baccarat, and sporting events; tennis has had some problems. Even fly fishing has..."


"When I meet people and they ask what my new book is about, I say cheating. Their faces light up and say they have a story for me." Konnikova said, laughing.  ..."



I speak with a lot of casino executives and one of their main concerns is the collusion between player/dealers. This goes on all the time and often is a large syndicate or group of players in a specific region of the USA.

I play Bac with an octogenarian that has played with many of the all time greats in poker. Most of  you from the Poker circuit would readily recognize his name. According to him many players constantly try to cheat or "fudge" a little(Not just poker players but Bac, roulette, craps,..etc). It is his opinion most casinos know who they are but just choose to monitor for awhile until they can ID more in the syndicate.


https://cdcgaming.com/maria-konnikova-poker-champ-describes-humble-beginnings-and-cheating-problem/
#12
This is the main point of the link:

BetMGM and Borgata Hotel Casino & Spa in Atlantic City are announcing the launch of Dual Play Baccarat. Customers on BetMGM Casino can now play at the same tables with players that are at the physical Borgata Atlantic City.

Evolution Gaming is partnered with both BetMGM and Borgata, which will bring the action to those who wish to play at online. Cameras will be displayed at the tables, making it a first-class, and real-time experience for those virtually. The game is played with a human dealer at the Borgata.



     Personally I would find this acceptable. IMO this could be the wave of the future. I have been discussing a similar setup with an indian tribe in the Midwest. They have several casinos within one region of one state/another just across the state line. The above would be easy to implement. The feedback Im receiving is the CEO of gaming operations does not like the volatility from the Baccarat Hold vs other table games. Meaning Bac players wager much larger vs other games.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

https://www.playnj.com/news/betmgm-and-borgata-atlantic-city-introduce-omnichannel-dual-play-live-dealer-baccarat/87823/
#13
Top March Madness Contests and Bracket Challenges in 2025

Im a big fan of college basketball/ will watch many games during the next couple weeks. I will enter several of the following contests(Most are free) so the EV is great. Good luck to all.



https://www.thesportsgeek.com/blog/best-march-madness-contests-free-real-money/
#14
There is a great quote near the midpoint of the article. It is in a green square and begins with "Captain Jack."



https://www.casinoreports.com/gambling-tilting-winning-need-name/
#15
Top casino scams of the year unveiled at World Game Protection Conference
* If one scrolls down in the article it also shows links to the top 2022 /2023 scams. Many are still making the top-ten list.


https://cdcgaming.com/top-casino-scams-of-the-year-unveiled-at-game-protection-conference/
#16
A friend that owns a cyber security company sent the following link. He said it is very likely that authorities from "several" jurisdictions already know where to find the hackers(as well as whom). He never recommends paying ransom. Cyber security is one of the fastest growing segments in the tech industry.


https://cdcgaming.com/brief/michigan-sault-tribe-leaders-say-they-won't-pay-ransom-after-cyber-attack/
#17
Link to story via CDC is at the bottom.

I play here all the time(Mostly Blackhawk--Central City as they are adjoining towns with approx 30 casinos door-to-door with each other. I sure hope I didn't contribute to this 5.1% downturn. I would feel bad. :)

The author (Charlotte Capewell) states: "...Colorado's three land-based casinos generated more than $80.8 million in assorted gross profit in January, down 5.1% compared to the previous year's $85.1 million.   ..."

The casinos are in the mountains surrounded by old gold and silver mines that until recent years were mostly closed. I think all of Colorado's casinos are land based. Maybe the ones at CrippleCreek(fewest/smallest casinos & market) have a creek nearby.

     

https://cdcgaming.com/colorado-casino-profit-down-5-1-year-over-year-in-january/
#18
I played this shoe recently. The outcomes below start at hand one.

PP T PP B PPPPP B P BBB PPPPP T PPPPPPPP BBB P BB PPPPPP .
Then B started to close the gap (continuance from above):

BBB PP B P BBBB P BB PP B

I started wagering mostly P on that 4th P starting from the Left. Mostly wagering P. After I lost the two bets above in blue I stopped wagering so didn't catch the remaining Ps in that final P run. I perceived B was getting ready to seek revenge. I was wrong as P still had some energy. I paused for several hands at that stage as I typically take a pause if I'm incorrect in back-to-back hands.

This was one of the easy days(i.e., Easiest in several weeks) as my first three sessions included the above and two other really easy shoes. In the shoe above I had a net of 48 base units on a 33 base unit buyin. The other two shoes I made a Net of 4 / 6 base units. When I say easy I mean my wagers won first and fast. As well as early in the shoe when my buyin was still near an -0- even balance.

* The first three sessions were completed by approx 1145am. I had brief passing thoughts of calling it a day,lol. I generally try to play at least 8hrs per day of actual table time. I played three more sessions that day with only one being difficult. None of the latter sessions were easy relative to the above. Although easier than many of my days.


Continued Success,
#19
Link is at bottom.
 
When 2.3% Is Terrifying: A Gambler's Guide To The Asteroid Apocalypse.

I found this a good read(as it relates to probablility and gambling). I also think the more one games the more we look at the "non-casino" games of life from a probability stance(or we should)
.
Most of real life worry is generated/based on "perceived" fear and the probability of  bad happening(vs the % of bad NOThappening).

Especially in the way commercials are presented. Many misconstrue the probability of something happening. We should view as what is the probability of that event NOThappening. Notice the weather forcasters(30% of snow), which should be viewed as 70% NOTsnow.

Notice the pharmaceutical TV commercials as they always present their pitch based on a tiny fear of (disease, death, pain,..etc), therefore one should take our RX (just-in-case). Often the side effects(in the fine print) are worse than having a little discomfort for a couple days. Plus one may never catch that diesease, symptom, pain,..etc).


Re: The asteroid apocalypse.
We shouldn't worry too much (or any) until it gets within a year of time distance before striking. We could then predict with great precision "If" and more importantly "Where" it would potentially land.
Obviously, one could easily rule out greater than 50% of the earths surface. Plus about 1/3 of the potential surface would be water(ocean ,lake, river,..etc). So likely a nonissue.
 Maybe it lands in a field(no harm),...etc. Plus its only the size of a football field(Sounds big but... What is that % ratio to the available land surface,..etc). So even if it is projected to land in a populated areas I think we could tell the folks to vacate for a few hours,...etc.
So the potential catastrophe will likely be very very small(if it even hits earth). Yet Im sure the media will yammer on and on to infinitum as it approaches.

Any thoughts???


https://www.casinoreports.com/probability-asteroid-understanding-gambling/

#23
Many are charging $30--50 in recent months. Often if a casino gives free or discounted parking they simply put addendum costs to the room charge,...etc.

https://cdcgaming.com/brief/how-much-do-las-vegas-strip-casinos-charge-for-parking/
#25
How much would you tip in a similar situation??
Personally I am quite certain I would not tip $50k on a $1.1Mil win.
Thx in advance for your replies.

*I talk with casino personnel on the floor that say they were dealers at one time /switched to the floor(service slots, answer questions, payout jackpots,..etc). There main reason for switching to floor is that Min wage +Tips is significantly greater than what dealers generally make.
What say you???


https://www.casino.org/news/tropicana-atlantic-city-gambler-wins-1-1m-tips-casino-staff-50000/