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Topics - Sputnik

#1
Baccarat Forum / Baccarat
November 10, 2019, 04:55:32 PM
 Now great minds will read this and understand the concept.
I will show two things and if you don't understand you can look at the Spuntik's March topic at this forum board.

Personal I considering using both, with real money at my local casino.
This is only a blueprint and you need to develop and tweak with a personal touch.

Raw explanation.

Method 1

I got inspired by Asymbac when he talks about his doubles to become three in a row using the banker side.
Then I come up with a pretty amazing solution for any even-money game.

Two sequences out of three will be used with this method.

Singles and series of two.
Singles and series of three or higher.
And we skip Series of two and series of three or higher.

Each event is by itself one event.

Singles are one event.
A series of two are one event.
Series of three or higher are one event.

There are two things that can happen using the two sequences above when you cut the random bits into sequences, each sequence by itself, own section.
One sequence can have one event each showing to become a triplet and if not you will have a bias sequence with at least two events repeating for three times or more in a row.

Now we have a raw explanation again.
In the long run, do we have 1000 singles and 500 series of two and 250 series of three, but as we use series of three or higher as one event they are equal or greater than series of two with the amount
500 with my example, so figure 250 is not correct.

And in the short run, you can expect a series of two and series of three or higher with the same strike ratio as singles, because there are as many singles as there is series.
Let me repeat the above again, 1000 singles and 500 series of two and 500 series of three or higher.
1000 versus 1000.

The odds are 1 in 3 to get one of the events to show in the short run.
We are betting against each sequence to not getting a greater bias then five or more in a row, with a particular touch.
The singles in each sequence are not going to grow more than four or more times in a row and the whole sequence minimum amount with two events will be five.

For example B P BB P

Now we bet there will be one more series of two or a series of three or higher for the next three attempts.
They have a very high likelihood of strike once within the next three attempts because two events to strike five times or more in a row has less likelihood.

Look at the Asymbac approach where you have one banker double and you bet that one of the next two bankers double will become three in a row, due to the slight advantage of the banker.
But I only need a series of two or three or higher to achieve the same thing, betting against a bias sequence to become less than five in a row.

Let me twist it, let's say you have to single bankers B B and one double banker BB within the next three attempts I will have at least one double banker or three or higher in a row.
Because the slight advantage of the banker side hitting more frequent overall where a series with that particular situation has a higher likelihood to happen.

A short RNG sampel

LW LW W W W LW LLL W W W LLL W W LW W W W W W LW LLW LW W LW

Another good thing about this approach is that you can use a smooth variant of Hollandish Progression - staking 111 222 333 444 555 and so on - I have very difficult to see this way of playing to lose money.

One more example with the other sequence.
BBBB B P her you would for a series of two or three or higher, betting against a bias sequence with five or more in a row.

The reason this work is that you can expect the odds 1 in 3 in the short run with variance and fluctuation.

Pst ... here is a little secret the 50/50 need to make at least five swings (singles) to the other side to lose the three attempts and among them, you have at least one series.
And a tight players use one sequence only to get less variance and more reliable periodic cycles overall.

Next, I will post method two ...


Cheers






#2
General Discussion / Frank Barstow
November 09, 2019, 01:23:11 PM

Back in 1984, Frank Barstow published, "Beat the Casino".  Within the book, there should be a hot number method with the name Pyramid System.
If you have, could you post that particular method or send me a private message.

I can give something really good in return.

Cheers Patrik From Sweden
#3
Baccarat Forum / Baccarat Talk
June 11, 2019, 01:38:23 PM
Asymbacguy post a strategy and I cannot forget about it.
But I see the approach with different observations.

I ask my self how many times does singles and series of two-strike before a series of three strikes.
Also how many times does a series of two and a series of three strikes before a series of four?

The match and probability are the same for both.
Equilibrium and imbalance/balance and the figures of the law of series.

Singles has the value of 1
Series of two has the value of 0
Series of three has the value of 1
Series of four has the value of 2
Series of five has the value of 3
And so it continues...

Series of two has the value of 1
Series of three has the value of 0
Series of four has the value of 1
Series of five has the value of 2
Series of six has the value of 3
And so it continues...

Now if you want to experiment you can make an observation list where you write down how many times singles and series of two-strike before a series of three.
Same for series of two and series of three against series of four.

This would even work using a series of three and a series of four versus a series of five.
Same math and probability.

The strike ratio is very high.
I been testing +2 units or break even with great success.
Don't forget that you get 83% reversals after a negative result flat betting.

Cheers


#4

Taking Statistical Calculated Risk With Sports Betting Service

I have a gambling bankroll for Casino games with amounts at different online casinos.
Now I pull out 500 Euro to put into Sports Betting.

I pay 19 Euro for one Tipster with 112% ROI each month.
Now I been active for five days and are plus 140 Euro.
Placing 10 Euro bets flat betting and risking 2% of the bankroll.
That is 50 Units.

Now Koetsch simulated 50/50 without edge for 60.000 placed bets.
He simulated 100 placed bets sessions.

The worst drawdown during 600 x 100 placed bets sessions was minus 34 units.
And the average loss during 100 placed bets session was minus 8 units.

That means I have a pretty good chance to make 1000 Euro risking 2% of the bankroll ( 50 Units).
So when I reach 750 Euro I will start flat betting 15 Euro until I reach my goal.

After that I not sure what to do - I have three options.

1) I can bet the recommendation 1% of bankroll with 1000 Euro flat betting 10 Euro.
2) I can continue risking 2% of bankroll and bet 20 Euro flat betting.
3) I can regress and play with the sportsbooks own money without risking my own.

Option two feel tempting to reach maybe 2000 Euro
Option three feel like a stable small income with no risks involved, where you can boost a % to make the bankroll slowly grow and pull out money each year as return on investment.
Option one feels like a long term strategy where you slowly grow your bankroll with small risk.

Cheers Patrik


#5
Baccarat Forum / consistent analysis
April 14, 2019, 01:29:02 PM

Did you know that the random bits are connected in waves?
One past event is among future events.

For example, I have singles and a series of two chopping.

P B P BB P B PP BB P B P B PP B PP B P B

When this sequence or wave stop with a series of three or higher, then singles or series of two will be part of the future sequence/wave

P B P BB P B PP BB P B P B PP B PP B P B - - - PPPP B PPP BBBBBB P B P BBB P B P B

This means that after two loses you will win one of the next two attempts if you were aiming for singles as your main dominant.

P
B
P W
B W
B L
P W
B W
P W
P L
B W
B L
P W
B W
P W
B W
P W
P L
B W
P W
P L
B W
P W
B W
-
P W
P L
P L
P
B
P W
P L
P W
B
B L
B W
B
B
B
P
B W
P W
B W
B L
B W
P
B W
P W
B W

All three waves or sequences are connected, you might name them turning points or sections, same thing.

a) Singles and series of two
b) Singles and series of three or higher
c) Series of two and series of three or higher

How do you catch the red line, the dominant event that is part of the past and the future?
Well if you first get singles and series of three and higher and next wave or sequence is series of two and series of three or higher.
Then the third wave should be one of both as two out of three dominant more than not overall.
This gives you a sense of knowing what comes next.

I will show you today's random org file where you can see for your self.
To the right, I will write 1/2 for singles and a series of two.
1/3 for singles and series of three or higher
2/3 for series of two and series of three or higher.

Section and turning points:

1/2 A
2/3 C
1/3 B
2/3 C
1/3 B
2/3 C
1/2 A
1/3 B
1/2 A
Triplet
Triplet
1/2 A
1/3 B
1/2 A
1/3 B
1/2 A
1/3 B
1/2 A
2/3 C
1/3 B
Triplet
1/3 B
1/2 A
2/3 C
1/2 A
2/3 C
1/3 B
1/2 A

Above we have 2 waves or sequences following each other with past and future results for ten times in a row.
Amazing bias, a true large bias that connected two sequences with each other.

More to come ...
#6
Baccarat Forum / Baccarat Selections!
April 13, 2019, 05:03:37 PM

This topic is about baccarat selections, with explanations when and why to bet.
First out will be one side play using the "most common" using the shoe bias sequences.

Cheers
#7
Baccarat Forum / Hit & Run
March 14, 2019, 08:42:17 PM

I have a book that says that average loss is -8 units flat betting for 60.000 trails.
Around 83% include at least one reversal.

Test one selection and won 99 sessions out of 100.


Won +60
Lose -8
break even 39


Cheers
#8
Baccarat Forum / LW-Registry
January 17, 2019, 04:24:53 PM

I have found a way to ride the minimum bias state within a shoe using Sputnik's march.
When you get triplets you get three loses with no present bias.

The LW-Registry looks like this for three shoes.

LW W LW W LW LLW W LLL W W LW LW LW W LW LW LW W LLW W W W LLL W LLW LLW LW W

The triplets are too many loses and I thought you might tweak the results.
I notice after Asymbacguy writes about a selection process that two loses or less is the key to success.

This made me bet with one fictive loss to generate an LW-Registry that would allow you to use a smooth staking plan.
The idea is to bet within the march.

W W W LW LL W W W W W W LW LL LW LW W


Cheers
#9
Multiple locations / Sputnik's HG
December 11, 2018, 09:16:30 AM
I just want to show a selection method that fail 6 times during 100 sessions and still you won all 100 sessions.
This is theory and you use the following information at your own risk.

INTRODUCTION:

This means that if you can lose the selection 6 times and still win and a total of 100 sessions, then during a year that would be around 20 losing selections for 365 sessions.
The probability dictate it can be done.

There are 365 days for one year and the interest banks give you equal zero.
365 Euro playing 1 Euro minimum, pretty good interest.
3650 Euro playing 10 Euro minimum, closer to the stock market return for the average investor.

What I would like to do is to calculate a higher base bet and then when winning half the amount regress and using half of the original unit size.
That way you only risk your money for a one-half year and then operate with casino money for the next half year.

Problems with this idea are that the cost is very expensive for the whole parachute
One could reduce the cost and win half the amount the last steps of the parachute.

Mr. J inspired me into this field of the selection process.
Here is a selection that won 100 sessions using a Parachute Method.

1) One single number that hit within 25 attempts are equal an even money bet.

Hot & Cold

Assume you have two reds in a row or two blacks in a row.
Then for the next two bets, you have 3 in 4 to hit a winning bet.

For example:

RR / RR Win
RR / RB Win
RR / BR Win
RR / BB Lose

That is the Hot selection where one color repeat.

Now reverse.
Assume you have RR and get BB then you lose both bets.
Then you have 3 in 4 ways to get one opposite color.
A sleeping color or Cold selection.

BB / RR Win
BB / RB Win
BB / BR Win
BB / BB Lose

Now numbers and the Parachute Method.
Assume one number hit twice within 50 attempts.
Then that is the same thing getting two reds.
So for the next 50 attempts, you play that this number will repeat once.

Assume you lose, then you have two losing bets during 50 attempts, also equal two blacks.
Now you play 50 attempts that you will get at least one opposite of that particular number.

Now you bet the Parachute Method until you win once and then start over the tracking and charting process.
So even if the single number would fail to show during 100 attempts, so can the Parachute Method win.

1. 21
2. 7
3. 34
4. 30
5. 7
6. 26
7. 36
8. 32
9. 18
10. 6
11. 6
12. 34
13. 49
14. 43
15. 13
16. 8
17. 11
18. 42
19. 6
20. 50/8
21. 33
22. 5
23. 34
24. 7
25. 14
26. 4
27. 18
28. 24
29. 37
30. 33
31. 36
32. 50/21
33. 50/18
34. 50/50 target number fail but parachute win
35. 34
36. 50/50 target number fail but parachute win
37. 50/6
38. 3
39. 50/50 target number fail but parachute win
40. 1
41. 9
42. 9
43. 3
44. 35
45. 50/50 target number fail but parachute win
46. 40
47. 50/48
48. 50/15
49. 37
50. 21
51. 50/36
52. 50/50 target number fail but parachute win
53. 50/17
54. 38
55. 48
56. 6
57. 50/36
58. 50/49
59. 7
60. 14
61. 21
62. 50/44
63. 7
64. 19
65. 21
66. 50/50 target number fail but parachute win
67. 34
68. 25
69. 7
70. 9
71. 29
72. 11
73. 26
74. 9
75. 50/45
76. 2
77. 15
78. 14
79. 23
80. 50/7
81. 50
82. 12
83. 42
84. 15
85. 18
86. 27
87. 50/26
88. 6
89. 50/20
90. 13
91. 50/41
92. 50/19
93. 11
94. 6
95. 9
96. 3
97. 2
98. 39
99. 50/32
100. 50/12

1. EC

2. Dozen
3. Dozen

4. Line
5. Line
6. Line
7. Line

8. Corner
9. Corner
10. Corner
11. Corner
12. Corner
13. Corner

14. Street
15. Street
16. Street
17. Street
18. Street
19. Street
20. Street
21. Street

22. Split
23. Split
24. Split
25. Split
26. Split
27. Split
28. Split
29. Split
30. Split
31. Split
32. Split
33. Split

34. Single
35. Single
36. Single
37. Single
38. Single
39. Single
40. Single
41. Single
42. Single
43. Single
44. Single
45. Single
46. Single
47. Single
48. Single
49. Single
50. Single
51. Single
52. Single
53. Single
54. Single
55. Single
56. Single
57. Single
58. Single

59. Single
60. Single
61. Single
62. Single
63. Single
64. Single
65. Single
66. Single
67. Single
68. Single
69. Single
70. Single
71. Single
72. Single
73. Single
74. Single
75. Single
76. Single
77. Single
78. Single
79. Single
80. Single
81. Single
82. Single
83. Single

84. Single
85. Single
86. Single
87. Single
88. Single
89. Single
90. Single
91. Single
92. Single
93. Single
94. Single
95. Single
96. Single
97. Single
98. Single
99. Single
100. Single
#10
General Discussion / Bias emerge and strike!
July 23, 2018, 01:27:39 PM
Yesterday in the casino I test my new twist to catch strikes spotting bias sequences.
I was using Regression Up & Pull and got a quick 20% return on investment and quit.

Getting away flat betting riding strikes alone, but I want out more when I strike 5,6,8 times in a row.
Not satisfied with the known positive progressions, so if you know a variant that is not listed, plz let me know.

1) Regression Up & Pull
2) Win two flat betting and increase one-half unit - up as you win
3) Paroli
4) 1326
5) Guetting

Now I look at some craps videos on youtube and the Dice Doctor has a nice positive progression with a twist.
First, you bet 1 unit and if you win you increase and bet 2 units.
Assume you win both bets and are up 3, then you staking 1,5 next if a win you bet 3 and that sum up to 4,5.
Then next you bet 2,5 and if you win 5 then you have 7,5 and place 4 next.
Push for more at the same time as you regress, very clever.

Cheers

#11
Dice Games Forum / Parachute
July 16, 2018, 04:23:48 PM
Binomial calculation.

Any tripple will appear, odd 30 to 1 = 1 in 25 attempts
6 or 15, odds 18 to 1 = 1 in 12 attempts
7 or 14, odds 12 to 1 = 1 in 8 attempts
8 or 13, odds 8 to 1 = 1 in 6 attempts
10 or 11, odds 6 to 1 = 1 in 4 attempets
The specific number 123456 will appear on one, two or three dice. odds 2 to 1 = 1 in 2 attempts
Big/Small = 1 in 1 attenpts

I want to test this strategy but can not find any online Sic Bo for free play or free download.

Cheers

#12
General Discussion / Sequence
July 10, 2018, 02:24:57 PM
Sequence:

You have heard about a choppy table where singles and series of two-strike for several times in a row.
Also probably heard about streaky tables where one color strikes for several times in a row.

The Median Value:

I have been measuring singles versus a series of three and find a middle value between both, the cut point median value.
Two singles have 50% probability to happen versus a series of three in a row.
A series of three have 50% probability to happen versus two singles in a row.

Singles and Multiples

A single outcome is on isolated event of one color hit and multiples is at least a series of two or more in a row.
With this method and strategy series of two works as break even bets in both directions, no matter is singles or series dominate.
Series of two are neutral.

Enter and Exit points:

Entering points for observation to see one state or wave of one sequence to hit once or several times in a row.
Starts with either two singles or a series of three or higher.

Clarification, after you see two singles you have 50% probability they will continue to strike several times in a row.
After seeing a series of three or higher you will have 50% probability the series will continue to strike for several times in a row.

Summary:

Now you can see variance and read the even money like an open book.

Streaky sequence:

P
P
P

B

P
P

B
B
B
B
B

P
P

B
B
B

Choppy sequence:

P

B

P

B
B

P
P

B

P
P


B

P

B
B

Note:

When tracking and charting singles and multiplies you can use the letters S for singles and M for multiplies.
The Choppy Sequence is different than others as you can play one side by itself without making any bets on the opposite side.
That is a good option for playing Player side with no fee, also worked great with Trading and Sportbetting.
#13
General Discussion / Alrelax
July 07, 2018, 01:13:48 PM

  Hello Alrelax, what is your loss limit and how do you handle your money playing with positive progression.
How and when do you stop playing?

For example, sometimes you make a few units as the strike comes later during the game and sometimes you strike in beginning and win serious money. Do you stop playing in both situations?

Cheers
     
#14
General Discussion / Gambling Perspective!
July 01, 2018, 02:26:23 PM

Gambling Perspective!

When you are trading you use one side of the coin.
You aim for the ups and avoid the downs.

That is the same thing as playing one side with Baccarat.
For example, playing only Player side.

Is very rare or not existed discussion on gambling forums where you tackle only one side of the coin.
If someone solves the puzzle you would be trading expert, sports betting expert, baccarat expert, and roulette expert.

Cheers
#15

Does anyone have good experience using online casino that allows Bitcoin?

Cheers
#16
Baccarat Forum / The Linus Sequence
June 09, 2018, 05:10:15 PM
#17
Sports Betting Forum / Sport betting Service
May 20, 2018, 05:47:33 PM

Bankroll 1000$
Flat betting 20$ units.

Total 50 units.
Tipster Daniel
ROI 116.34%

Period 183 Days
#18
Baccarat Forum / In The Head Of Sputnik
October 29, 2017, 06:54:07 PM

Here we go again with 1 in 3 odds using three different formations that has the same random distribution as three dozen.
What i want to show with this example is how each formation can strike for several times in a row or all three formations can alternate.
That is one selection process using this concept, another concept is to bet against the strikes.

The selection process has such high quality so i have been testing with with positiv progression and mild progression and winning two in a row concept.
I post the selection formations or sequence patterns before and will copy the material and explain how, when and why to place your bets in certain ways.

Cheers
#19
This is observations and not teaching or respond topic for questions:

Conclusion is that you have two random stream mixing everything together into chaotic variance with two independent random bits distribution.
You should play one stream independently from the other as they produce the same results with less confusion and chaotic variance.

In fact i see this with the same reason advantage player separate Clockwise direction and Anticlock wise direction.
The reason is that rotor and ball spin different and the dominant drop zone might be different from the other direction, so that's different physics parameters.

With random bits where one stream is connected within itself (victim to the law of series) and produce the same results as regular distribution, should not be confused and mixed with another opposite side that produce same results independently.
One comparison would be that in Las Vegas do they spin the ball/rotor in one direction without the counter measuring cw and acw that common in Europe.

Playing model is based upon that singles has the value of 1 and series of two the value of 0 and series of three and higher has the value of 123 ... and so on ...
Now you can measuring the periodic cycles length and base your decision making based upon that winning two in a row where series of two between is break even territorium.

Result sample:

P 116112321512112142141312411311342443314111322211453311111216341132112132133141
B 1233123132521211316112421223113333142512221241121113774445321123111231111211215

P LWW LWLWW WW WLLWLWW WW WW WLWW LWW LWW LWW LLWW LWW LLL WW LWW LWLLWW WW WW
B LWLWW WLWW WW WLLWW WW LWLWW WLWLWW LWW WW WLWLWLLWLWW LWLLL LWLWW LLWLWW LLL LWLLWW




#20

What happen to Stephen R. Tabone topic about his book?

Cheers
#21

Roulette 30 forum is down - can not connect - do you have same issue?

Cheers
#22
Baccarat Forum / The Van Kellen Test!
June 02, 2016, 05:40:24 PM
The Van Keelen Test

Every serious system player is interested in an objective method, giving him information whether his system has a certain value and is going to produce a net profit in the long run.

Beside the "Statistical Ecart" and other test options, with which we will deal in one of the next issues of Basics, "the Van Keelen Test" is a simple measuring procedure, with which the player can determine the chances of success or failure of his system.

The Van Keelen Test, which was developed decades ago, will give the player information about the value of a system, and requires the player to check his system over a certain number of placed bets before he begins the practical play.
This again has the advantage that possible losses only develop on paper and not in reality at the table!

The Van Keelen Test sets into relationship the net gain of a system to the number of placed bets, whereby the minimum number of the placed bets checked for all chances must amount to at least 1000.

The units wagered must be of equal value; no progression is to be used! It is very important to point out that we speak here of placed bets, not spins!
To check a system over 1000 spins, has no meaning!

This testing method has the inestimable advantage that a system must be checked at least over 1000 placed bets, and on this basis a prediction about the value of the checked system is possible.

With 100000 *checked bets, even a negative result can be still another feature of a good system. Because if a system indicates a real superiority over ZERO, the possibility exists, that with an adapted progression continuous gains can be obtained.

Even-Money-Bets (Black/Red/Even/Odd/High/Low):
A system indicates a genuine superiority:
1. if after 1000 placed bets a gain of more than 100 units was obtained!
2. if after 8000 placed bets a gain of more than 60 units was obtained!
3. if after 100000 placed bets a result better than - 1000 was obtained*The Van Keelen Test

Every serious system player is interested in an objective method, giving him information whether his system has a certain value and is going to produce a net profit in the long run.

Beside the "Statistical Ecart" and other test options, with which we will deal in one of the next issues of Basics, "the Van Keelen Test" is a simple measuring procedure, with which the player can determine the chances of success or failure of his system.

The Van Keelen Test, which was developed decades ago, will give the player information about the value of a system, and requires the player to check his system over a certain number of placed bets before he begins the practical play.
This again has the advantage that possible losses only develop on paper and not in reality at the table!

The Van Keelen Test sets into relationship the net gain of a system to the number of placed bets, whereby the minimum number of the placed bets checked for all chances must amount to at least 1000.

The units wagered must be of equal value; no progression is to be used! It is very important to point out that we speak here of placed bets, not spins!
To check a system over 1000 spins, has no meaning!

This testing method has the inestimable advantage that a system must be checked at least over 1000 placed bets, and on this basis a prediction about the value of the checked system is possible.

With 100000 *checked bets, even a negative result can be still another feature of a good system. Because if a system indicates a real superiority over ZERO, the possibility exists, that with an adapted progression continuous gains can be obtained.

Even-Money-Bets (Black/Red/Even/Odd/High/Low):
A system indicates a genuine superiority:
1. if after 1000 placed bets a gain of more than 100 units was obtained!
2. if after 8000 placed bets a gain of more than 60 units was obtained!
3. if after 100000 placed bets a result better than - 1000 was obtained*
#23
General Discussion / Hedge Betting!
May 19, 2016, 07:57:54 AM
With sportbetting and stock market you have hedge - reducing risk management.
How would this apply to Roulette?

For example i am risking a bet and not winning, then i should turn around the situautaion and break even or still turn out winning bet but wilth less profit.

John Patrick has a hedge bet for roulette.
He only play low and black.
That way he has a break even situaion and one winning situtaion and 9 numbers against his bet.
So the bet cover 28 numbers.
Have no clue what he use as trigger or differential betting or not.
But is one example of a bet with Hedge qualites.

Other methodology.
Lee Tutor in his book and a member at roulette 30 forum have post a great way to Hedge Betting.

For example you see number 29 hit.
Then you bet high (EC) that 29 will repeat.
If two loses you bet dozen once.
Then if a loss a line bet 3 times more.
If a lose a corner bet and if a lose a street and if a lose split and if a  lose straight up.

Should also add one more that i Think is very common, when you use progression on two dozen, then you hedge betting on zero and accept overall smaller winnings.

Bayes also using Hege betting - reduce risk management.
When he play with his winning method on EC he use diversification.
If i remember it correct he apply it with his MM approch.

Any opinions or suggestions!

#24

I have seen a old classical charting method where you write down the outcomes horizontal.
What kind of old classical methods did they play? using that classical charting method!
How did they play following strikes and how did they play against strikes or any other method?
I just want a discussion about old known methods.

B
PP
BB
P
BB
P
BBB
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#25

Van Kellen Test say one method is superior if you can Place 1000 bets and gain 100 units flat betting.
My result and i have test more then once, 1000 placed bets and 60 units gain flat betting.

What is your result flat betting with your method with 1000 placed bets?

Cheers