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Messages - albertojonas

#1
Money Management / Re: 50% Money Management
Yesterday at 09:30:16 PM
Started using this.
#2
this is the sputnik's post that made me think about this application:

QuoteAssume you not betting and just want to see the true bias of shoe.

Then singles are by them self as outcomes.
Series of two are by them self as outcomes.
And series of three and higher are treated as the same outcome.

Then you get the principal of 1/3

Now assume you would split each sequence into blocks of two events.

For example you see B P B PPPP BBBBB P B PPP then this is a sequence with two events/outcomes - singles and series of three and higher.
Now look at this sequence BB PP B P BB P B P B P B is a sequence with singles and series of two.
The third sequence is series of two and series of three and higher BB PPP BB PPPPPP BB PP BB PPPPPP BBB PP.

Now if a sequence not include two events/outcomes for three times in a row - a true small bias sequence you will have a triplet - no present bias.

Triplet look like this.

One single and serie of two and one serie of three or higher.
The triplets can come in any combination, one of each.

This means you can compare sequence with two otucomes hitting three times or more creating a true bias or you get a triplet.

Cheers
#3
QuoteInstead of observing the pure results Red Black High Low etc, i observe and apply it to the string that is formed comparing present 10 results against previous 10.


There is no advantage doing this, except it creates 3 more strings of play per even chance.
#4
Playing Model #3

Reduce this theory at minimum window of events: 3. So we play groups of three figures in succession. Notice that the 27 Patterns do NOT have the same probability of happening, and that is the loophole that allows profit and reduced variance.

Good Luck Everyone  :rose:

#5
From same 100 spin set Timestamp: 2024-10-02 23:38:10 UTC RANDOM.ORG

2nd playing model is to ride each string until a W or LLL, then wait for the 3 states to show up before restarting.

One can play both sides or with an alter-ego maybe try only one side of the distribution isolated.
   
Player 1      
O/E String      
21112111113 11132 2123 2113 11211113 1213 1123 312 1312 111111213 11      
LWWLWWWWWWLL WWLLL LLWLL LWLL WLWWWWLL LWLL WLLL LLL LWLL WWWWWLWLL W

WL:   LW W LLW LW W LW W LLL LW W W   
BET:   1212343434545678989   
NET:   -1 2 1 -2 -3 4 -3 4 3 -4 5 4 -5 -6 -7 -8 9 8 9   
BANK:   -1 1 2 0 -3 1 -2 2 5 1 6 10 5 -1 -8 -16 -7 1 10 = +10    


Player 2
Odd String      
1111111213 1311132 3131111112 31
W       LW       LLW        W

Player 3
Even String      
212113 132 221121111123 2321 1111      
LLW   LLL W W W    
#6
Here it is. One model of playing to achieve 10 units.

#7
Quote9/27 ends up in WW situation
6/27 end up in WL situation

so 15/27 end up starting with a Win

7/27 en up in LW situation, break even.

There is the 313 exception resulting in a LLW, all the other 4 end up in three Losses.
_____

I wonder about what kind of progression would be more suitable to this expectations.

SO THIS NEEDS CORRECTION TOO. I AM SO SORRY.

15/27 result in direct Win
4/27 result in LW situation
4/27 end up in LLW situation

4/27 result in LLL

Would there be any advantage play only when first event is a series, being a double, or being a series of 3 or larger???

I believe not. Most certainly because there are as many singles as series.

What kind of progression would fit this bet selection?

To take advantage of direct wins and LW
and also do not get in the hole with llw or lll
...

 >:D

For now, i came up with this Modified D'Allembert taught to me by GLC


llw   raise 1 unit
lll   raise 4 units
* lw   counts as a win as you win 1 unit no matter what step of the progression
1 win   lower 1 unit
2 consecutive wins   raise 1 unit
3 consecutive wins   lower 1 unit
4 consecutive wins   raise 1 unit
etc...   

-----

Tomorrow if i have the time i will post an example.

Can Someone kindly give me two or three bac shoes?

Cheers
#8
Quotemore hand testing.
Continuing to explore this idea that 3 states will not show up in succession: 123 or 132 or 213 or 312.

Possibilities are (27 permutations):

111 ww
112 wl
113 wl

121 lw
122 lw
123 LLL

131 lw
132 LLL
133 lw

211 lw
212 lw
213 LLL

221 wl
222 ww
223 ww

231 wl
232 ww
233 ww

311 lw
312 LLL
313 llw

321 wl
322 ww
323 ww

331 wl
332 ww
333 ww

I AM SORRY!!
CORRECTION

111    W
112    W
113    W
121    LW
122    LLW
123    LLL
131    LW
132    LLL
133    LLW
211    LW
212    LLW
213    LLL
221    W
222    W
223    W
231    W
232    W
233    W
311    LW
312    LLL
313    LLW
321    W
322    W
323    W
331    W
332    W
333    W
#9
Creativity Adventures / Re: Experimenting 3 states Bias
September 27, 2024, 02:16:41 AM
more testing
Strings            
            
O/E String            
11133111311332 21111113 11312 133311112 111112122223 111313
wwllwwwwlwwwlwlwll-lwwwwwwll-wlwll-llwlwlwwwwwll-wwwwlwlwlwlwlwll-wwlwlw             
Odd String            
1311132 11131113112 112223 133
lwwwlwll-wwlwwwlwwwll-wllwlwll-llw            
Even String            
11313132 111132 331111112 2111            
wlwlwwlwll-wwwlll-wlwwwwwll-lww            
L/H String            
3112 2113 1223 312 22213 2112213 321223 2113 2111123 132
lwll-lwll-llwll-lll-wwlll-lwlwlwwll-wllwlwll-lwll-lwwwlwll-lll            
Low String            
312 1123 2212123 22313112 12
lll-wlll-wllwwlwll-wwllwwwll-            
High String            
1213 2312 2312 1312 212113 3            
lwll-wlll-wlll-lwll-llwwwll-            
R/B String            
1131332 312 231133111311311312 1111132 32112223 11
 wlwlwlwll-lll-lwlwlwlwwwwlwwwlwwwlwwll-wwwwlll-wlwlwlwlwll         
Red String            
1332 1213 1113111112 2123 1
llwll-lwwll-wwlwwwwwll-llwll-            
Black String            
11332 313131132 113312 21            
wllwlwll-llwwlwwwlwll-wllwwll-            
#10
Creativity Adventures / Re: Experimenting 3 states Bias
September 25, 2024, 01:11:20 AM
testing today's randomization
25/09

Strings            
            
O/E String            
321 121223 231 22331 213 31131131112 11213 1213 212213 3            
Odd String            
21122123 231 311112 3231 23            
Even String            
312 233231 1311312 11112213            
            
L/H String            
211121113 123 122123 312 21213 2113 31112 31112 111111332 313112            
Low String            
1111132 1312 231 311312 1113331            
High String            
21213 21223 11213 12111113 2112            
            
R/B String            
31112 1211211211223 331312 2123 1132 311131312 321 112123            
Red String            
111121123 3321 312 111131113            
Black String            
312 2112123 112213 31332 2122

Non Bias = 6
Bias = 49            
            
#11
Creativity Adventures / Re: Experimenting 3 states Bias
September 24, 2024, 08:58:05 AM
Testing...
01-09-2014

O/E String           
33312 - 1312 - 1211213 - 111333111133111112 - 312 - 1312 - 112113 - 11           
Odd String           
3111112 - 3133113112 - 1111211           
Even String           
3323221 - 111311311132 - 321 - 131           
           
L/H String           
1312 - 1113112 - 213 - 1123 - 113112 - 11223 - 33231 - 3112 - 113132 - 2123 - 1           
Low String           
321 - 312 - 313112 - 123 - 211211213           
High String           
11111211213 - 1123 - 33311332 - 21           
           
R/B String           
13113312 - 21213 - 313312 - 1112113 - 231 - 1213 - 123 - 12123 - 11           
Red String           
3132 - 113311113311132 - 21           
Black String           
11312 - 231 - 321 - 212123 - 2113 - 1 

************

bias 43
non-bias 4          
#12
Creativity Adventures / Re: Experimenting 3 states Bias
September 23, 2024, 10:35:26 PM
@Sputnik

While always watching this Singles Vs Larger Series (thank you)

#13
Creativity Adventures / Re: Experimenting 3 states Bias
September 23, 2024, 10:22:32 PM
Random Integer Generator
Here are the numbers, generated with randomization from 2024-09-23
32
9
25
21
25
17
14
34
24
30
26
4
7
29
5
2
26
21
35
18
22
1
28
5
31
10
35
13
4
34
23
28
21
17
32
28
21
29
31
21
28
15
15
1
33
6
13
10
31
35
1
18
27
24
23
29
2
3
4
25
25
12
18
27
23
9
11
11
34
1
4
25
25
16
30
8
6
23
27
1
3
10
33
29
3
17
18
35
21
21
16
31
15
1
24
1
5
3
34
29
Timestamp: 2024-09-23 22:14:47 UTC

O/E       
llw---w---lw---w---w---llw       
B/S       
w---w---w---w---llw---w---w---w---lw       
R/B       
lll---w---lw---llw---w---lll---w---w---w 

*******
We can also watch strings of events
1 for single
2 for double
3 for series of 3 or larger

R/B String
312 - 112111211111113 - 2111111213 - 133112 - 1132- 213 - 2331 - 11132 - 1131
LLL                                                                                LLL
Red String
321 - 1111112111113 - 1132 - 3311313

Black String
112121113 - 11123 - 312 - 12123 - 1121
                                 LLL
#14
Creativity Adventures / Re: Experimenting 3 states Bias
September 23, 2024, 09:27:13 PM
Test 100 spins Random.org (no zero)

O/E
w---w---lw---w---lw---w---w---lw---w---w---llw

S/B
w---llw---w---lw---lw---w---llw   

R/B
w---lll---w---llw---w---w---lll---w---lw   

So this are like mini games inside the main game. I see one state and play until a win or until 3 Losses.

If i win i wait for the third state to show up and consider it the first of the new game.

******************

One Other way is to wait for the 3rd state to show up ant then consider the next new one as the first for the new game

Same spins, different results

w---w---llw---llw---w---w---w---w---w---lw      
w---lw---llw---w---w---w---w   
w---w---w---llw---w---w---lw   


I hope the example is clear

#15
Creativity Adventures / Re: Experimenting 3 states Bias
September 23, 2024, 04:55:11 PM
The assumption is that variation will be lower so it allows to play both sides with the appropriate progression and money management.

Any ideas on progression for this?